collision avoidance updates on advanced driver assistance systems · functional performance and...
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iihs.org
Collision Avoidance – Updates on Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
2019 P&C Insurance SymposiumICT/AFACT July 12, 2019
David Harkey
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IIHS-HLDI Research on driver assistance systemsProvided first evidence of real-world benefits
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Most crash avoidance technologies are living up to expectationsEffects on insurance claim frequency
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
forwardcollisionwarning
FCW withautobrake
adaptiveheadlights
lanedeparturewarning
side-viewassist
(blind spot)
property damage liability bodily injury liability statistically significantcollisionMore
claims
Fewer
claims
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Most crash avoidance technologies are living up to expectationsEffects on relevant police-reported crash types
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
forward collision warning low-speed autobrake FCW with autobrake lane departure warning side-view assist(blind spot)
all severities injury statistically significant
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2019 TOP SAFETY PICK requirements
G Good ratings in the driver-side small overlap front, moderate overlap front,
side, roof strength and head restraint tests
or rating for front crash prevention
G Good rating in the passenger-side small overlap front test
G Good headlight rating
G Good ratings in the driver-side small overlap front, moderate
overlap front, side, roof strength and head restraint tests
or rating for front crash prevention
G Acceptable or good rating in the passenger-side small overlap front testA
G Acceptable or good headlight ratingA
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20 automakers have committedto make AEB a standard feature by
September 2022
99+% ofU.S. market
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Front crash prevention ratings2013 – 19 models, as of July 2019
10 1933
64
101
134
154
11
28
44
48
41
24
14
40
53
62
57
59
44
34
142
116
85
6144
26 17
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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Pedestrian AEB
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U.S. pedestrian fatalities
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2016
46%
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Subaru EyeSight and pedestrians
HLDI Analysis:
Pedestrian-related insurance
claims reduced by 35 percent
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Pedestrian test scenarios
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Adult walking from the right side25 mph condition
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Child running from the right side12 mph condition
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Pedestrian ratingsSmall SUVs
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Rear AEB
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Benefit of rear autobrake
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Rear crash prevention ratings
Rear parking sensors
Rear cross traffic alert
Rear autobrake
reversing car-to-car, 16” overlap reversing car-to-car, 45° angle
reversing car-to-car, 10° angle reversing toward fixed pole
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What’s next for AEB?
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Not all rear-end crashes are the same
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Vehicles with AEB are overrepresented in some types of rear-end crashes (model results)Percent increase in likelihood that crash involved a vehicle with AEB
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
striking vehicleturning, changing lanes,
passing, merging
struck vehicleturning, changing lanes,
passing, merging
struck vehiclenot a passenger vehicle
or special use(vs. car)
snowy or icy road(vs. dry)
speed limit 70+(vs. 40-45)
relative to same model controls
relative to same class controls
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Not all rear-end crashes are the same
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Unrealized benefits
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Status of crash avoidance systemsPercent with system on: mean values and value range
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
front crash prevention lane departure warning
23 – 77
87 – 98
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Predicted registered vehicles by feature by calendar year
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
autobrake adaptiveheadlights
blind spotwarning
lanedeparturewarning
parkingsensors
rearviewcamera
2018
2023
2028
2033
2038
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Understanding Level 2
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Functional performance and user experience
2017 BMW 5 series
with Driving
Assistant Plus
2017 Mercedes
E-Class with
Drive Pilot
2016 Tesla Model S
with Autopilot
software ver. 7.1
2018 Volvo S90
with Pilot Assist
2018 Tesla Model 3
with Autopilot
software ver. 8.1
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Lane keeping in curves
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
BMW 5 seriesn=16
Volvo S90n=17
Mercedes E-Classn=17
Tesla Model Sn=18
Tesla Model 3n=18
disengaged
crossed lane line
on lane line
remained in lane
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Lane keeping on hills
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
BMW 5 seriesn=14
Tesla Model Sn=18
Volvo S90 n=17
Mercedes E-Classn=18
Tesla Model 3n=18
disengaged
crossed lane line
on lane line
remained in lane
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Adaptive cruise control trusted more than active lane keepingPercentage of drivers who agreed or strongly agreed
0
20
40
60
80
100
Tesla Model SAutopilot
Volvo S90Pilot Assist
BMW 5 seriesDriving Assistant
Plus
Infiniti QX50ProPilot Assist
Mercedes E-ClassDrive Pilot
I trust the automation to maintain speed and distance to vehicle ahead
I trust the automation to keep me in center of lane
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