collaborative promotion optimization
TRANSCRIPT
©2014 The LEGO Group
Promotion Optimization Institute • Fall Summit 2014 • Dallas, TX
TPM-TPO-
Collaborat ive
Market ing
is BIGGER
in Dallas!
Collaborat ive Promot ion Opt imizat ion & Cont inuous Improvement Summit
Moving Beyond Building Blocks to Achieve Sustainable TPM/TPE to Win in a Global Marketplace
November 3, 2014
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TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 2
Where have we been ...
What have we done ...
What have we learned.
2.55
2.86
1.09
0.78
4.70
4.42
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
What have we done ...
What have we learned.
Where have we been ...
2.55
2.86
1.09
0.78
4.70
4.42
8.02
11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
4 things to know about the LEGO Group…
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 4
FAMILY-OWNED
NOT THE BIGGEST…BUT THE BEST GLOBAL ORIENTATION
Sold in 130+ countries Sales offices in 35 markets
Founded in Billund, Denmark (1932 ) Owned by 3rd generation Kirk Kristiansen
Top 10 global brand*
No. 2 manufacturer in traditional toys globally
*Source: 2014 RepTrak™
MONO-BRAND COMPANY
~600 active products in global assortment Grouped in 30 product themes
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
Traditional toys are flat in most western markets – e.g., UK 0.2% CAGR ‘08-’13 No. of retailers generating 80% turnover
There are 4 main factors in the toy industry that effect our TPM/TPE journey
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 5
60%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec
% o
f to
tal a
nn
ual
CS
RETAIL Consumer Sales
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
SEASONALITY
FRAGMENTATION STAGNATION
~50% of consumer sales happen in Q4
NOVELTY-DRIVEN
>60% of turnover in a given year from novelties
24
9 4
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
The answer to some of our key challenges is a new Global Customer Planning System (GCPS)
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 6
OBJECTIVES SOLUTION
Strengthen relations with trade partners
1
Increase transparency of trade spend and improve ROI
3
Increase accuracy of forecast
2
Global Customer Planning Solution
Integrating Customer Planning with:
• Financial Planning
• Brand and Marketing Planning
• Demand & Supply Planning
2.55
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
CROSS-FUNCTIONAL TEAM
LOCAL MARKET ENGAGEMENT
Resources dedicated from different parts of organization – workshops planned
locally in lead markets to involve broader team
Lead markets engaged on management and specialist level to ensure ’skin-in-the-
game’ and up-front alignment to key design choices
TOP MANAGEMENT SUPPORT
Scope signed off by all 3 regions with mandate for global alignment and funding
secured with sponsor in corporate
A key factor for long-term success was securing buy-in from the organization
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 7
2.55
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
We secured funding and commitment to a 5-year program to build GCPS
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 8
We are here!
Build the Foundational Concept
Build the Basics (Pilot-UK)
Expand and Rollout
Phase 1 (2012/13) 9 months
Phase 2 (2013/14) 18 months
Phase 3 (2014-16) 24 months
2.55
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 9
What have we learned.
What have we done ...
Where have we been ...
2.55
2.86
1.09
0.78
4.70
4.42
8.02
11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
Overview of the 3 project phases
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 10
TPM Implement
ation • Global Alignment
–Processes
–Requirements
• Reports/KPIs
• SAP TPM prototype
• Excel mock-ups
• Master data
• Change mgmt.
• Pilot decisions
• Detailed blueprint
• SAP TPM and IP planning solution
• Integration with APO, Finical Forecasting, ECC
• Master data
• Pilot (incl. TPE)
• Rollout expansion (US, EUC, N/B)
• GAP analysis
• Change mgmt.
• Extended functionality (e.g., advanced TPE)
Build the Foundational Concept
Build the Basics (Pilot-UK)
Expand and Rollout
Phase 1 (2012/13) 9 months
Phase 2 (2013/14) 18 months
Phase 3 (2014-16) 24 months
CRAWL WALK RUN
2.55
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4.42
8.02
11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
Starting point based on external leading practices in TPM/TPE
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 11
PLAN EVALUATE
EXECUTE
Create BU Business Plan and Go-to-
Market Plan Develop Financial
Targets and Allocate Funds
Create Tactical
Plans and Events
Sell-in and Negotiate Customer Business
Plans
Authorize Payments /
Resolve Deductions
Track Actuals
Against Plan
Evaluate Promotion Effective-
ness
TPM/TPE LEADING PRACTICES CUSTOM MADE BLOCKS +
ACCOUNT PLANNING
Top-line Consumer Sales by account/theme/period
LAUNCH PLANNING
Plan launch volumes by SKU/ account/period
PRODUCT LISTING
Product listing by account/ store cluster/period
DEMAND PLANNING Baseline generation by
Account/SKU using history
2.55
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
The result is an integrated workbench…
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 12
Flow planning
Promotion Planning
Execution
Reporting
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
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6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
The result is an integrated workbench…
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 13
Promotion Planning
Flow planning Reporting
Execution
2.55
2.86
1.09
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4.70
4.42
8.02
11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
Distributors
Improving Trade Promotions and planning has benefits to many stakeholders
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 14
Operations
Finance
Marketing
BU-LT
Stores
Distributors
Distributors Retailer HQ
KAM
Field Sales
Sales Reps
Sales Reps
Sales
Reps
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
We went for global design – with local deployment
• 3 lead markets: US + Central Europe + Nordic/Benelux
• 1 Business owner per market to represent local requirements
• “Sprints” – 1 workshop week in each local market
• Alignment on business processes & requirements
• Mock-ups/prototypes to visualise processes in tool
• Heavy change management focus
–Top-level support (BU Managers, SLTs)
–BU representative to ‘sell back’ final solution to local market
–Early engagement from stakeholders
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 15
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
Before deploying the TPM pilot in UK, a TPE study was done to create a starting point for uplift estimation
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 16
• Heavy NAM involvement to tailor results and generate actionable changes to future account plans
• Opportunities identified to enhance future promotion plans through improved price points, tactics, timing, location, etc. (across retailers and promoted groups)
• 4% overall margin improvement and 5X project ROI
• Combination of data sources to perform promotional analytics and optimization
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
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6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
TPM pilot has been live for 10 months in UK with strong traction
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 17
• “Go Live” January 2014
• Over 60 Users in system
• 30 Planning Customers
• 20+ Promoted Product Groups
• 15 Standard Reports
LEGO-UK
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
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6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 18
What have we learned.
What have we done ...
Where have we been ...
2.55
2.86
1.09
0.78
4.70
4.42
8.02
11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
What have we learned?
19
Process Alignment
Local Involvement
Middle Management Engagement
User-Friendly Platform
Local Presence Top Management Buy-In
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
What are our immediate wins? (the beauty)
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 20
TRANSPARENCY OF VOLUME Number of Promotions Planned
Trade Spend (₤) by Promotion
TRANSPARENCY OF VALUE
• Improved forecast accuracy in the UK
–Transparency of promotion volumes
–Longer time horizon
• Stronger financial / strategic planning
–Ability to allocate trade spend to individual promotions
–Ability to closely monitor and follow-up on our planned spend
–Ability to evaluate individual promotions
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
What are our main struggles? (the beast)
©2014 The LEGO Group Page 21
BASELINE
UPLIFT FACTORS
• It is complex to create baseline
–Due to seasonality
–Due to novelty rate
• How are we handling complexity?
–Minimum full-year volume
–Grouping products with similar price / seasonality to create benchmark / “anchor” products
–Create sales history / statistical baseline forecast
• It is complex to create uplift factors
–It takes time to get solid uplift factors
–We want to isolate different drivers
• How are we handling complexity?
–Used a field study to have a starting point
–3 accounts 8 themes -> Proxy
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX
Our focus is to convert insights to actions
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Governance Meetings
Leadership Meetings
Planning Meetings
Sales Meetings
Sales & Marketing Meetings
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11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13
7.33
6.21
6.73
8.83
9.1 9.6 11.36
TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.
Do not cover the LEGO logo
Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead
Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 23
Next step: Phase 3 – U.S. & Canada Rollout
• Kick-off Sept. 1, 2014
• Planned “Go Live” Jan ‘15
• Target Users: 150+
• 25 Planning Customers
• 20+ Promoted Product Groups
• Currently in Detailed Design Phase
• All major GAPs are system enhancements (one exception)
LEGO-US