collaborative promotion optimization

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©2014 The LEGO Group P romotion Optimization Institute • Fall Summit 2014 • Dallas, TX TPM-TPO- Collaborative Marketing is BI GGER in Dallas! Collaborative Promotion Optimization & Continuous Improvement Summit Moving Beyond Building Blocks to Achieve Sustainable TPM/TPE to Win in a Global Marketplace November 3, 2014

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©2014 The LEGO Group

Promotion Optimization Institute • Fall Summit 2014 • Dallas, TX

TPM-TPO-

Collaborat ive

Market ing

is BIGGER

in Dallas!

Collaborat ive Promot ion Opt imizat ion & Cont inuous Improvement Summit

Moving Beyond Building Blocks to Achieve Sustainable TPM/TPE to Win in a Global Marketplace

November 3, 2014

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 2

Where have we been ...

What have we done ...

What have we learned.

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

What have we done ...

What have we learned.

Where have we been ...

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

4 things to know about the LEGO Group…

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 4

FAMILY-OWNED

NOT THE BIGGEST…BUT THE BEST GLOBAL ORIENTATION

Sold in 130+ countries Sales offices in 35 markets

Founded in Billund, Denmark (1932 ) Owned by 3rd generation Kirk Kristiansen

Top 10 global brand*

No. 2 manufacturer in traditional toys globally

*Source: 2014 RepTrak™

MONO-BRAND COMPANY

~600 active products in global assortment Grouped in 30 product themes

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

Traditional toys are flat in most western markets – e.g., UK 0.2% CAGR ‘08-’13 No. of retailers generating 80% turnover

There are 4 main factors in the toy industry that effect our TPM/TPE journey

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 5

60%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec

% o

f to

tal a

nn

ual

CS

RETAIL Consumer Sales

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

SEASONALITY

FRAGMENTATION STAGNATION

~50% of consumer sales happen in Q4

NOVELTY-DRIVEN

>60% of turnover in a given year from novelties

24

9 4

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

The answer to some of our key challenges is a new Global Customer Planning System (GCPS)

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 6

OBJECTIVES SOLUTION

Strengthen relations with trade partners

1

Increase transparency of trade spend and improve ROI

3

Increase accuracy of forecast

2

Global Customer Planning Solution

Integrating Customer Planning with:

• Financial Planning

• Brand and Marketing Planning

• Demand & Supply Planning

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

CROSS-FUNCTIONAL TEAM

LOCAL MARKET ENGAGEMENT

Resources dedicated from different parts of organization – workshops planned

locally in lead markets to involve broader team

Lead markets engaged on management and specialist level to ensure ’skin-in-the-

game’ and up-front alignment to key design choices

TOP MANAGEMENT SUPPORT

Scope signed off by all 3 regions with mandate for global alignment and funding

secured with sponsor in corporate

A key factor for long-term success was securing buy-in from the organization

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 7

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

We secured funding and commitment to a 5-year program to build GCPS

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 8

We are here!

Build the Foundational Concept

Build the Basics (Pilot-UK)

Expand and Rollout

Phase 1 (2012/13) 9 months

Phase 2 (2013/14) 18 months

Phase 3 (2014-16) 24 months

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 9

What have we learned.

What have we done ...

Where have we been ...

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

Overview of the 3 project phases

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 10

TPM Implement

ation • Global Alignment

–Processes

–Requirements

• Reports/KPIs

• SAP TPM prototype

• Excel mock-ups

• Master data

• Change mgmt.

• Pilot decisions

• Detailed blueprint

• SAP TPM and IP planning solution

• Integration with APO, Finical Forecasting, ECC

• Master data

• Pilot (incl. TPE)

• Rollout expansion (US, EUC, N/B)

• GAP analysis

• Change mgmt.

• Extended functionality (e.g., advanced TPE)

Build the Foundational Concept

Build the Basics (Pilot-UK)

Expand and Rollout

Phase 1 (2012/13) 9 months

Phase 2 (2013/14) 18 months

Phase 3 (2014-16) 24 months

CRAWL WALK RUN

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

Starting point based on external leading practices in TPM/TPE

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 11

PLAN EVALUATE

EXECUTE

Create BU Business Plan and Go-to-

Market Plan Develop Financial

Targets and Allocate Funds

Create Tactical

Plans and Events

Sell-in and Negotiate Customer Business

Plans

Authorize Payments /

Resolve Deductions

Track Actuals

Against Plan

Evaluate Promotion Effective-

ness

TPM/TPE LEADING PRACTICES CUSTOM MADE BLOCKS +

ACCOUNT PLANNING

Top-line Consumer Sales by account/theme/period

LAUNCH PLANNING

Plan launch volumes by SKU/ account/period

PRODUCT LISTING

Product listing by account/ store cluster/period

DEMAND PLANNING Baseline generation by

Account/SKU using history

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

The result is an integrated workbench…

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 12

Flow planning

Promotion Planning

Execution

Reporting

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

The result is an integrated workbench…

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 13

Promotion Planning

Flow planning Reporting

Execution

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

Distributors

Improving Trade Promotions and planning has benefits to many stakeholders

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 14

Operations

Finance

Marketing

BU-LT

Stores

Distributors

Distributors Retailer HQ

KAM

Field Sales

Sales Reps

Sales Reps

Sales

Reps

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

We went for global design – with local deployment

• 3 lead markets: US + Central Europe + Nordic/Benelux

• 1 Business owner per market to represent local requirements

• “Sprints” – 1 workshop week in each local market

• Alignment on business processes & requirements

• Mock-ups/prototypes to visualise processes in tool

• Heavy change management focus

–Top-level support (BU Managers, SLTs)

–BU representative to ‘sell back’ final solution to local market

–Early engagement from stakeholders

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 15

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

Before deploying the TPM pilot in UK, a TPE study was done to create a starting point for uplift estimation

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 16

• Heavy NAM involvement to tailor results and generate actionable changes to future account plans

• Opportunities identified to enhance future promotion plans through improved price points, tactics, timing, location, etc. (across retailers and promoted groups)

• 4% overall margin improvement and 5X project ROI

• Combination of data sources to perform promotional analytics and optimization

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

TPM pilot has been live for 10 months in UK with strong traction

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 17

• “Go Live” January 2014

• Over 60 Users in system

• 30 Planning Customers

• 20+ Promoted Product Groups

• 15 Standard Reports

LEGO-UK

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 18

What have we learned.

What have we done ...

Where have we been ...

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

What have we learned?

19

Process Alignment

Local Involvement

Middle Management Engagement

User-Friendly Platform

Local Presence Top Management Buy-In

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

What are our immediate wins? (the beauty)

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 20

TRANSPARENCY OF VOLUME Number of Promotions Planned

Trade Spend (₤) by Promotion

TRANSPARENCY OF VALUE

• Improved forecast accuracy in the UK

–Transparency of promotion volumes

–Longer time horizon

• Stronger financial / strategic planning

–Ability to allocate trade spend to individual promotions

–Ability to closely monitor and follow-up on our planned spend

–Ability to evaluate individual promotions

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

What are our main struggles? (the beast)

©2014 The LEGO Group Page 21

BASELINE

UPLIFT FACTORS

• It is complex to create baseline

–Due to seasonality

–Due to novelty rate

• How are we handling complexity?

–Minimum full-year volume

–Grouping products with similar price / seasonality to create benchmark / “anchor” products

–Create sales history / statistical baseline forecast

• It is complex to create uplift factors

–It takes time to get solid uplift factors

–We want to isolate different drivers

• How are we handling complexity?

–Used a field study to have a starting point

–3 accounts 8 themes -> Proxy

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX

Our focus is to convert insights to actions

22

Governance Meetings

Leadership Meetings

Planning Meetings

Sales Meetings

Sales & Marketing Meetings

2.55

2.86

1.09

0.78

4.70

4.42

8.02

11.93 6.31 5.78 0.18 0.37 5.98 6.49 12.13

7.33

6.21

6.73

8.83

9.1 9.6 11.36

TIP: You can change the layout of the slide. Choose the slide in the slide overview, in the left panel, right click on the slide – go to ‘Layouts’ and pick the design you prefer.

Do not cover the LEGO logo

Do not cover the graphic elements – pick a simple layout instead

Promotion Optimization Institute ∙ Fall Summit 2014 ∙ Dallas, TX ©2014 The LEGO Group Page 23

Next step: Phase 3 – U.S. & Canada Rollout

• Kick-off Sept. 1, 2014

• Planned “Go Live” Jan ‘15

• Target Users: 150+

• 25 Planning Customers

• 20+ Promoted Product Groups

• Currently in Detailed Design Phase

• All major GAPs are system enhancements (one exception)

LEGO-US