colchicine in covid-19 · • bicytopenia or pancytopenia • combination of high neutrophil count...
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Colchicine in COVID-19
Jean-Claude Tardif CM, MD, FRCPC, FCCS, FACC, FAHA, FESC, FCAHSDirector, MHI Research Center
Canada Research Chair in personalized medicineUdeM Pfizer research chair in atherosclerosis
Professor of medicineMontreal Heart InstituteUniversity of Montreal
November 2020
Ridker PM, Luscher TF. Eur Heart J 2014;35:1782-1791
Inflammatory pathways as targets for therapies
HR = 0.77 (95% CI, 0.61-0.96)P = 0.02
Primary efficacy endpointCV death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, MI, stroke, urgent hospitalization for angina
requiring revascularization (ITT)
Time since randomization (months)
Cum
ulat
ive
inci
denc
e (%
)
Placebo
Colchicine
Tardif JC et al. N Engl J Med 2019;381:2497-2505
Hazard ratio, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.57-0.83), P<0.001
Placebo
Colchicine
0
5
10
15
20
0 12 24 36 48 60Months since Randomization
Cum
ulat
ive
Inci
denc
e (%
)
2760 2655 1703 821 590 1612762 2685 1761 890 629 166
No. at Risk
264 placebo vs 187 colchicine
Nidorf SM et al. N Engl J Med 2020 Aug 31
Cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke or ischemia-driven coronary revascularization
Primary endpoint
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CADPrimary composite endpoint
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COPS (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
Overall
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.01, I2 = 37.70%, H2 = 1.61
Test of θi = θj: Q(2) = 3.21, p = 0.20
Test of θ = 0: z = 9.90, p = 0.00
RCT
.2 .4 .6 .8 1
with 95% CIHR
0.69 [
0.47 [
0.77 [
0.68 [
0.56,
0.20,
0.59,
0.54,
0.82]
0.74]
0.95]
0.81]
47.65
18.60
33.74
(%)Weight
Random-effects DerSimonian-Laird model Favors Colchicine
*Primary composite endpoint includes cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and urgent coronary revascularization
Samuel M, Tardif JC, et al. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CAD Myocardial infarction
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COPS (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo (2013)
Overall
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.05, I2 = 68.76%, H2 = 3.20
Test of θi = θj: Q(3) = 9.60, p = 0.02
Test of θ = 0: z = 4.65, p = 0.00
RCT
0 .5 1 1.5
with 95% CIHR
0.70 [
0.52 [
0.91 [
0.25 [
0.62 [
0.50,
0.11,
0.65,
-0.09,
0.36,
0.90]
0.93]
1.18]
0.59]
0.88]
30.69
19.44
27.00
22.87
(%)Weight
Favors Colchicine Favors PlaceboRandom-effects DerSimonian-Laird model
Samuel M, Tardif JC, et al. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CAD Ischemic stroke
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COPS (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo (2013)
Overall
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0.00%, H2 = 1.00
Test of θi = θj: Q(3) = 2.16, p = 0.54
Test of θ = 0: z = 3.02, p = 0.00
RCT
Favors Colchicine
-.5 0 .5 1 1.5
with 95% CIHR
0.66 [
0.34 [
0.25 [
0.23 [
0.38 [
Favors Placebo
0.21,
-0.48,
-0.09,
-0.77,
0.13,
1.11]
1.16]
0.59]
1.23]
0.63]
30.20
9.21
54.48
6.11
(%)Weight
Random-effects DerSimonian-Laird model
Samuel M, Tardif JC, et al. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CAD Urgent coronary revascularization
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COPS (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
Overall
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.03, I2 = 65.10%, H2 = 2.87
Test of θi = θj: Q(2) = 5.73, p = 0.06
Test of θ = 0: z = 4.21, p = 0.00
RCT
-.5 0 .5 1
with 95% CIHR
0.75 [
0.26 [
0.50 [
0.56 [
0.58,
-0.18,
0.25,
0.30,
0.92]
0.69]
0.75]
0.82]
43.18
21.29
35.53
(%)Weight
Favors ColchicineRandom-effects DerSimonian-Laird model
Samuel M, Tardif JC, et al. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CAD CV death, MI and ischemic stroke
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
Overall
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 6.00%, H2 = 1.06
Test of θi = θj: Q(1) = 1.06, p = 0.30
Test of θ = 0: z = 10.66, p = 0.00
RCT
.6 .8 1 1.2
with 95% CIHR
0.72 [
0.87 [
0.78 [
0.55,
0.65,
0.63,
Favors Placebo
0.90]
1.09]
0.92]
61.57
38.43
(%)Weight
Favors ColchicineRandom-effects DerSimonian-Laird model
Samuel M, Tardif JC, et al. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COPS (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo (2013)
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COPS (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo (2013)
All-Cause Mortality
Non-Cardiovascular Mortality
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.15, I2 = 62.01%, H2 = 2.63
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0.00%, H2 = 1.00
Test of θi = θj: Q(3) = 7.90, p = 0.05
Test of θi = θj: Q(3) = 2.92, p = 0.40
RCT
73
8
43
4
53
5
23
4
YesColchicine
2,689
388
2,323
278
2,709
391
2,343
246
No
60
1
44
10
35
0
20
5
Favors Colchicine
YesPlacebo
2,700
398
2,335
240
2,725
399
2,359
277
No
Favors Placebo1 20 3
with 95% CIRisk Ratio
1.22 [
8.06 [
0.98 [
0.35 [
1.51 [
11.08 [
1.16 [
0.90 [
1.04 [
1.38 [
0.87,
1.01,
0.65,
0.11,
0.99,
0.61,
0.64,
0.25,
0.61,
0.99,
1.70]
64.15]
1.49]
1.12]
2.31]
199.77]
2.10]
3.32]
1.78]
1.93]
41.13
5.87
37.90
15.10
61.30
1.32
30.91
6.47
(%)Weight
Random-effects DerSimonian-Laird model
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CAD All-cause and non-CV mortality
Samuel M, Tardif JC, et al. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Meta-analysis of colchicine studies in CAD Safety outcomes
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
LoDoCo2 (2020)
COLCOT (2019)
Infection
Pneumonia
Hospitalization for Gastrointestinal Event
Diagnosis of Cancer
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.03, I2 = 52.24%, H2 = 2.09
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.43, I2 = 81.50%, H2 = 5.41
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0.00%, H2 = 1.00
Heterogeneity: τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0.00%, H2 = 1.00
Test of θi = θj: Q(1) = 2.09, p = 0.15
Test of θi = θj: Q(1) = 5.41, p = 0.02
Test of θi = θj: Q(1) = 0.53, p = 0.47
Test of θi = θj: Q(1) = 0.01, p = 0.93
RCT
137
51
46
21
53
47
120
44
YesColchicine
2,625
2,315
2,716
2,345
2,709
2,319
2,642
2,322
No
144
38
55
9
50
36
122
46
YesPlacebo
2,616
2,341
2,705
2,370
2,710
2,343
2,638
2,333
No
Favors Placebo1 2 4
with 95% CIRisk Ratio
0.95 [
1.35 [
0.84 [
2.35 [
1.06 [
1.31 [
0.98 [
0.96 [
1.08 [
1.32 [
1.16 [
0.98 [
0.76,
0.89,
0.57,
1.08,
0.72,
0.85,
0.77,
0.64,
0.78,
0.48,
0.87,
0.79,
1.19]
2.05]
1.23]
5.11]
1.55]
2.02]
1.26]
1.45]
1.51]
3.61]
1.55]
1.21]
73.64
26.36
55.57
44.43
55.83
44.17
73.40
26.60
(%)Weight
Favors ColchicineRandom-effects DerSimonian-Laird model
Also discussed in Roubille F, Tardif JC. Circulation 2020;142:1901-1904
Ridker PM, Luscher TF. Eur Heart J 2014;35:1782-1791
Inflammatory pathways as targets for therapies
SARS-CoV viroprotein E activates the NLRP3 inflammasome (INFL)
Nieto-Torres JL et al. Virology 2015;485:330-339.
Inflammasome components were transfected in Vero E6 cells, in absence or presence of SARS-CoV E protein with (IC+) or without (IC-) ion channel activity. EIC1- and EIC2- indicate mutants.As a negative control, cells were transfected solely with pro-IL1b (C-).
IL-6 in COVID-19: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Coomes EA, Haghbayan H. medRxiv, 2020.2003.2030.20048058, doi:10.1101/2020.03.30.20048058 (2020).
Colchicine reduces lung injury in ARDS
Dupuis J, et al, Tardif JC. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Colchicine reduces lung injury by 61%
Dupuis J, et al, Tardif JC. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Colchicine reduces lung edema and improves oxygenation and gas exchanges
Dupuis J, et al, Tardif JC. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Colchicine reduces alveolar wall thickness
Dupuis J, et al, Tardif JC. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Colchicine reduces lung neutrophil recruitment
Dupuis J, et al, Tardif JC. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Colchicine reduces lung injury score, correlating with improved oxygenation
Dupuis J, et al, Tardif JC. Can J Cardiol 2020 (in press)
Colchicine vs standard care on biomarkers and clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized with COVID-19
The GRECCO-19 randomized trial
Deftereos SG et al. JAMA Network Open 2020; 3(6)
COLCORONA Study Design
COVID+ (n=6000 patients)≥40 years, non-hospitalized
≥1 risk factor for complications of COVID-19
Colchicine 0.5 mgX 30 days
Placebo X 30 days
Primary efficacy endpoint: Composite of death or hospitalization due to COVID-19 infection
Secondary efficacy endpoints: Components of primary endpoint; need for mechanical ventilation
* funded by the Government of Québec, the US NIH and the Gates Foundation
*
Risk factors for complicationsdetermining eligibility in COLCORONA
Patient must present ≥1 risk factor for complications:
• Age ≥ 70 years (all patients must be aged ≥40 years)
• Diabetes mellitus
• Body-mass index ≥30 kg/m2
• Uncontrolled hypertension (systolic BP ≥150 mm Hg)
• Known pulmonary disease (including asthma or COPD)
• Known heart failure
• Known coronary disease
• Fever ≥38.4°C in the last 48 hours
• Dyspnea at presentation
• Bicytopenia or pancytopenia
• Combination of high neutrophil count and low lymphocyte count
COLCORONA Study Design
COVID+ (n=6000 patients)≥40 years, non-hospitalized
≥1 risk factor for complications of COVID-19
Colchicine 0.5 mgX 30 days
Placebo X 30 days
Primary efficacy endpoint: Composite of death or hospitalization due to COVID-19 infection
Secondary efficacy endpoints: Components of primary endpoint; need for mechanical ventilation
* funded by the Government of Québec, the US NIH and the Gates Foundation
*