coffee growth in honduras-3

7/25/2019 Coffee Growth in Honduras-3

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HONDURASGROWTH AND OUTLOOKSintercafe


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Intro Macros coee in Honduras

Honduras GDP Honduras A GDP !oee as a Percentae of A GDP Nu"#er of $roducers %"$&o'"ent %"$&o'e"ent in re&ation to e"$&o'a#&e

$o$u&ation


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IntroductionHonduras %($ort )o&u"e *+, -%ARS.

/

01,

+1,

21,

31,

41,

51,

61,

21,+14

21,

+10

21,+13

21,

21+ 213 21+ 21+

31,

415

31331+

41,

417

Millions of 60KG BAGS

04 -ear Gro8t9 : +14 "'n #as 512; ro8t9

rate4 -ear ro8t9: 017 "'n #as


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Introduction

%($ort =o&u"e 9as dou#&ed in t9e $ast 04 'ears1

04 'ear ro8t9 rate 512;> 4 'ear ro8t9 rate


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WH- DO%S HONDURAS K%%P GROWINGCHONDURAS GROWTH AND OUTLOOK


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Gro8t9 dri=ers ana&ied

ProEts: Prices !ost of $roduction

Producti=it'

P&anted Area


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Gro8t9 dri=ers / !ost of $roduction

HIGH%ST !OST A)G SMALL A)G LARG% LOW%ST !OST,1,,

+,1,,

3,1,,

5,1,,

7,1,,

0,,1,,

0+,1,,

03,1,,

+21+0 +21+0 0


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Gro8t9 dri=ers / !ost and se&&in $rice

,1,

4,1,

0,,1,

04,1,

+,,1,

+4,1,

!OST

PRI!%

T9e a=erae cost of $roduction is 0,5 FOB 8it9 a +;annua& =ariation t9rou9 ten 'ears1

A=erae co"$osite se&&in $rice is 04,1,,

Gra$9 of cost and Se&& Price *0, -%ARS.USD 35KG


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Gro8t9 dri=ers / PROFITABILIT-

T9e 8ei9ted a=erae $roEta#i&it' 9as #een 4010 $er35@ for t9e &ast 0, 'ears1

T9at trans&ates to a#out 25,, USD P%R -%AR P%RPRODU!%R

!OFF%% HAS B%%N A PROFITABL% PRODU!T FORHONDURAS PRODU!%R

,1,

+,1,

3,1,

5,1,7,1,

0,,1,

0+,1,

03,1,

05,1,

AVERAGE PROFITS

USD PER 46KG


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Gro8t9 dri=ers / Producti=it'

/

01,

+1,

21,

31,

41,

51,

,1,

41,

0,1,

041,

+,1,

+41,

+1421,

+10

21,

+13

21, 21+213 21+ 21+

31,

415

313 31+

41,0,1,

0+1,

0,1+

0+1+

001,0017

0+1,,, $ic@ers current&' e"$&o'edProduction not constrained #' &a#orBut dis$&acin an increasin a"ount of $eo$&e see"s c9a&&enin


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!oee &a#or de"and =s &ocation

Are t9e $eo$&e &ocated 89ere 8e need t9e"CC


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O-/ L.o/ Iss8-s

Birt9 rate

%""iration URBAN: SiniEcant ro8t9 in ur#an centers> San Pedro

Su&a and Teucia&$a> dra8 &a#or fro" t9e interior1

FOR%IGN: Hirin restrictions in t9e US 9a=e s&o8ede""iration1

!o"$etition T%TIL%S: Was a #i co"$etitor ' t9e +,,,s #ut no8

ro8t9 9as s&o8ed siniEcant&' AGRI!ULTURAL: Not a #i de=e&o$"ent in aricu&ture1

LO IDEAL SERIA PRESENTAR ALGUNAS CIFRAS DE

ESTO%


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Resource Ana&'sis / Processin ca$acit'

,

0

+

2

3

4

5

6

PRODU!%RS

%PORT%RS60KG BAGSMILLIONS

Production ca$a#i&ities are constrained #' 8et "i&&in ca$acit'1


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Potentia& for ro8t9

Ke' &i"itin factor is:

Potentia& for ro8t9 is:


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T9reats to ro8t9 *co"entarios.

!&i"ate c9ane

Deforestation

Water rains a=ai&a#i&it'


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WHO IS TH% PRODU!%R AND WH- DO%S H%K%%P PLANTINGC

HONDURAS GROWTH AND OUTLOOK


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Socioecono"ic Factors

Far" sie distri#utionA=erae AeHea&t9!ost of Li=in

%ducation A&ternati=e O$$ortunitesDi=ersiEcationAttitudeS$endin =s in=est"ent


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Far" Sie Distri#ution

PRODU!%RS )OLUM%

,;

0,;

+,;

2,;

3,;

4,;

5,;

6,;

7,;

anot9er 02 in 9ands of +4; and 02 In 9ands of4;1

A&& =er' s"a&& 9o&ders1


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Ae and Gender of Producers

)

2&

2(

20

!6

07/2,

20/3,

30/4,

40/5,

50Q

53; OF TH% POPULATION L%SS THAN 4, A)%RG% AG% IS 35 ONL-


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Socioecono"ic factors

!ost of &i=in &o8 in rura& Honduras: ((((( USD -%AR !an $roudcer sur=i=e $roducin coeeCCC

A=ai&a#i&it' of 9ea&t9 care =er' &i"ited a"on t9e

"aorit' of t9e $roducers1 %ducation "ost&' a=ai&a#&e a"on #ier

$roducers1 A=ai&a#i&it' of credit 9as 9e&$ed to not outs$end

9is earnin1 !an Do Attitude Producer =ie8s coee $roduction as a an

in=est"ent1 W9en 9e 9as cas9 &eft o=er 9e$&ants

Tec9no&o' transfer =er' dicu&t for


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Socioecono"ic factors / !onc&usions

Not enou9 'oun $eo$&e are enterin in coee$roduction


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!HALL%NG%S


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!9a&&enes

Wet "i&&in ca$acit' is &i"ited1 Tec9no&o' transfer is dicu&t 8it9 t9e =er'

s"a&& $roducer1 T9e cost of ettin to t9e $roducer is =er'

9i9 T9e $otentia& of t9e s"a&&&est $roducer is &o81

)ariet' re$&ace"ent sina& reduction in$re"iu" coees1

Road net8or@ sti&& &i"ited u$ countr' Bi cost and &i"ited access to "ar@et for

$roducer

coffee growth in honduras-3

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