codelco update april 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... ·...

19
Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved. CODELCO UPDATE April 2015

Upload: others

Post on 26-Jul-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

CODELCO UPDATE April 2015

Page 2: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco Highlights

Industry Overview

Operating and Financial Review

Development Plan and Outlook

Page 3: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco’s Highlights 2014

Copper Mine Production: increased by 2.7% in 2014 to 1,841 thousand tons, compared to 1,792 thousand tons in 2013, especially due to the new production coming from Mina Ministro Hales.

Cost Reduction: Consolidating as one of the world’s lowest cost producers, C1 decreased 7.8%, from Usc 163.1 per pound in 2013 to Usc 150.4 per pound in 2014, primarily attributable to higher by-product credit, favorable exchange rate movements and lower energy cost.

Financial Performance: Adjusted EBITDA achieved US$5.4 bn and EBITDA Margin reached 39.4%, despite the 6.7% drop in the average copper price in 2014

Capitalization Program: A multi-year capitalization bill became effective and provides CODELCO resources up to US$3 billion as capital injection for the period 2014-2018, and another US$1 billion as retained earnings has been committed for the same period of time.

1

Page 4: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Leadership in Copper and Molybdenum Mining

Codelco: 10%

FCX:8%

BHP Billiton:7%

Glencore-Xstrata:

7%Rio

Tinto:3%

Codelco: 8%

Chile excl. Codelco:22%

Peru:10%

Mexico:5%United

States:5%China:4%

Russia:4%

Australia: 13%

Others: 28%

FCX: 14%

Codelco: 10%

China Moly:5%

JDC:6%

Grupo Mexico:

8%

Others: 58%

Long Life Reserves and Resources

Leadership in Proven and Probable Copper Reserves Leadership in Copper Production

Second Largest Molybdenum Producer

Ore Reserves (million mft)

Identified Mineral Resources (million mft)

Chuquicamata 7.5 14.7

RT 10.3 15.8

MH 2.3 9.3

Salvador 0.3 7.6

Andina 15.8 39.2

El Teniente 15.5 36.8

Gaby 1.6 1.7

Total 53.2 125.0 Sources: Codelco, US Geological Survey

Others: 65%

2 Sources: Codelco 2014

Page 5: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Sales Breakdown – 2014

Source: Codelco

Refined Copper 77% Concentrate 23%

Copper Sales Breakdown by Region 2014(mft)

Copper Sales Breakdown 2014 (mft)

Sales Breakdown by Product 2014

US$ million %

Copper 12,592 91.1%

Molybdenum 670 4.8%

Other Products

(anodic slimes,

sulfuric acid, etc.)

565 4.1%

Total 13,827 100%

36% 41%

22% 17%

17% 15%

11% 12%

14% 14%

1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2014 2013

China Asia (exc. China) Europe

North America South America Africa

3

Page 6: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco Highlights

Industry Overview

Operating and Financial Review

Development Plan and Outlook

Page 7: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Copper Price and Stocks Evolution

Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015

*: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges

Copper Price

c/lb Stocks*

„000 tons

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0

300

600

900

1.200

1.500

ene2002

ene2003

ene2004

ene2005

ene2006

ene2007

ene2008

ene2009

ene2010

ene2011

ene2012

ene2013

ene2014

ene2015

Stocks Copper Price

0

65

130

195

260

325

0

130

260

390

520

650

nov 2014 dic 2014 ene 2015 feb 2015

Stocks

Copper Price

Copper Price

c/lb Stocks*

„000 tons

4

Page 8: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Future Copper Consumption Fundamentals Remain Healthy

Sources: Codelco based on different sources

Consumption increase 2013-2022: 7.5 million tons

Refined Copper Consumption Projection Refined Copper Consumption Fundamentals

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

China USA Germany Japan India Russia

Mil

lare

s

2013 2018 2022

China 5.164 (69%)

India 394

Brazil 201

Indonesia 179

Rest of the World

1.526

´000 tonnes

Fundamental Demand in China Remains in good shape Economic activity supported by faster

infrastructure investment Tight supply of scrap in oversea market

(poor generation) and cathode export scarcity creating tightness in domestic market

Europe recovering consumption from a low

base due to a fundamental improvement.

U.S. demand should start improving driven by: Consumer confidence has been growing

to high level ranges Automotive Production and Construction

industries recovering to pre subprime crisis level

Sources: Codelco based on different sources

5

million tons

Page 9: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Steep declining average industry ore grade

Environmental and community challenges

Tighter operating margins require higher levels of efficiency

Production concerns related to the ramp-up of several recently new operations

Current Operations Challenges:

Deposits with lower ore grade and metallurgically more complex Higher cash costs

Projects face delays:

Environmental and community challenges

Lots of permits and excessive time for review and approval

Different criteria for environmental assessment

Active and negative reaction from the community to large scale projects

Project judicialization and lack of predictability

New Operations Challenges:

Sources: Codelco, CRU and Wood Mackenzie.

Supply Challenges for the Copper Mining Industry

0,55%

0,60%

0,65%

0,70%

0,75%

0,80%

0,85%

0,90%

0,95%

1,00%

198

5

19

88

19

91

19

94

19

97

20

00

20

03

20

06

20

09

201

2

20

15

20

18

20

21

20

24

6

22 17 15

9 9

05

10152025

Enviromental andcommunities

Financing / CAPEX Change inownership and

others

N° Projects delayed by theme

Page 10: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Market Outlook for the following years 2015 currency

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

2015 2016 2017 2018

Sources: CRU, April 2015 Report.

Market Balance Analysts and Banks Copper Price Outlook

„000 mft

250

275

300

325

350

2015 2016 2017 2018

Analysts Average

Sources: Consensus Forecast Energy & Metals April 2015, CRU April

2015, Wood Mackenzie April 2015 and SML April 2015 reports.

c/lb

<

Banks Average

7

Page 11: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco Highlights

Industry Overview

Operating and Financial Review

Development Plan and Outlook

Page 12: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Upward Trend in Costs Has Been Broken

80

125

170

215

260

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Cash Cost C1 Net Cathode Cost

c/lb

CODELCO’S COSTS CODELCO’S CASH COST BY QUARTER

8

120

135

150

165

180

1Q

20

13

2Q

20

13

3Q

20

13

4Q

20

13

1Q

20

14

2Q

20

14

3Q

20

14

4Q

20

14

2014 C1: 150.4 c/lb

2013 C1: 163.1 c/lb

Cost reduction main drivers:

Exchange Rate

By-product credit

Energy cost

Page 13: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Increases in Production and Lower Costs Softened the Financial Impact of Copper Price Reduction

COPPER PRODUCTION

400

700

1.000

1.300

1.600

1.900

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Codelco El Abra AAS

9

Adjusted EBITDA US$ mn

ADJUSTED EBITDA AND COPPER PRICE

150

200

250

300

350

400

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

2010 2011 2012 W/OAAS effect

2013 2014

Adjusted EBITDA Copper Price

Copper Price c/lb

Page 14: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Financial Results

FY

2012 2013 2014 2014/2013

Copper Production (‘000 mft)(1)

1,758 1,792 1,841 2.7%

Cash Cost (US¢/pound)(2)

163.5 163.1 150.4 (7.8)%

LME Copper price (US¢/pound) 360.6 332.1 311.3 (6.3)%

Metal Week Molybdenum price (US$/pound) 12.6 10.3 11.3 9.7%

Average Exchange Rate (US$/CLP) 487 495 570 15.2%

Closing Exchange Rate (US$/CLP) 479 525 607 15.7%

Total Revenues $15,860 $14,956 $13,827 (7.5)%

Gross Profit $5,253 $4,154 $3,715 (10.6)%

Gross Margin 33.1% 27.8% 26.9% (3.2)%

Adjusted EBITDA(3)

$9,818 $5,964 $5,445 (8.7)%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin 61.9% 39.9% 39.4% (1.3)%

Net Financial Debt(4)

$7,785 $10,262 $11,554 12.6%

Net Interest Expense(5)

$347 $298 $445 49.3%

Capex $4,093 $4,178 $3,364 (19.5)%

1 Includes Codelco’s share of El Abra and Anglo American Sur production

2 Cash cost is always relative to a metal and expressed per unit of production. It includes all cash expenses of production net of the revenues from other metals extracted that are not copper

3 Calculated as Net Profit plus Taxes (includes Export Tax), Finance Cost and Depreciations and Amortizations

4 Net of cash and cash equivalents. Excludes Mitsui debt to acquire 20% of Anglo American Sur asset, because it is non-recourse to Codelco

5 Includes provisions and other financial expenses, net of swap effects

In US$ million, except noted

10

Page 15: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco Debt Maturity Profile - March 2014* In US$ million

699

973

23

1223

13 13 6

600

1000

11501250

750820

500 500

750

950 980

208

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2035 2036 2042 2043 2044

Local bonds International bonds

955 413

Bank Debt

*: Does not include Anglo American Sur acquisition debt with Mitsui because it is non recourse to Codelco

11

Page 16: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco Highlights

Industry Overview

Operating and Financial Review

Development Plan

Page 17: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Codelco´s Current Operations – 2014

Santiago

Calama

C

H

I

L

E

Antofagasta

Radomiro Tomic 17.8%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 327

Gabriela Mistral 6.6%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 121 Salvador 2.9%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 54

Andina 12.6%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 232

El Teniente 24.7%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 455

Chuquicamata 18.5%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 340

*: Share in Codelco‟s production

**: Proportional production according to Codelco‟s share

El Abra** 4.4%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 81

Anglo American Sur** 4.7%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 87

Ministro Hales 7.7%*

Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 141

12

Page 18: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

Shaping the Future

Source: CODELCO – Business and Development Plan 2015 (PND 2015) Note: Projects production refers to first 10 years average production after ramp up

13

Chuquicamata Underground

RT Sulphides Phase

II

Andina Reallocation

El Teniente New Mine Level

Salvador Inca Pit

AndinaExpansion

2018

• Production: 367,000 mft/y

• Stage: Under construction -17.4% progress execution

2019

• Production: 354,000 mft/y

• Stage: Detail engineering studies and environmental permits proceedings

2019

• Production: 161,000 mft/y

• Stage : Under Construction - 12.6% progress execution

2020

• Production: 432,000 mft/y

• Stage: Under construction -31.8% progress execution

2020

• Production: 196,000 mft/y

• Stage: prefeasibility studies

2024

• Production: 343,000 mft/y

• Stage: environmental permits proceedings

Page 19: CODELCO UPDATE April 2015prontus.codelco.cl/prontus_codelco/site/artic/20110803/asocfile/... · Note: Figures up to April 9th, 2015 *: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges4

Copyrights © 2014 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. | Copyrights © 2014 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.

This presentation has been prepared by Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile (“Codelco” or the “Company”) This presentation does

not constitute or form part of an offer or any solicitation to any other person or to the general public to subscribe for or otherwise acquire

securities issued by Codelco in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity, nor shall it (or any part of it) or the fact

of its distribution or availability, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any contract or

commitment or investment decision.

The information contained in this independently presentation has not been verified and is subject to change without notice. No

representation or warranty express or implied is made as to and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or

correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of the Company, any of its respective affiliates, advisers or

representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this

presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation.

This presentation is only for persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments and must not be acted or relied on

by people who are not relevant persons.

This presentation includes „forward-looking statements‟. These statements may include words such as “anticipated”, “believe”, “intend”,

“estimate”, “expect”, “preliminary” and words of similar meaning. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this

presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding the Company‟s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of

management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to the Company‟s products and services) are

forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors

that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results,

performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on

numerous assumptions regarding the Company‟s present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will

operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation. The Company expressly disclaims

any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any

change in the Company‟s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such

statement is based.

As is standard in the industry, CODELCO divides its mineral holdings into two categories, reserves and resources. Resources are ore

bodies of economic value that have been identified and evaluated through exploration, reconnaissance and sampling. Reserves are the

portion of the resource that can be extracted based on an economic, environmental and technological analysis set forth in the mining

plan. Reserves and resources are both subdivided further, based on the degree of knowledge that CODELCO has of their extent and

composition. The system used by CODELCO for categorizing mineral ore is widely used within the mining industry (and codified in such

international regulations as the Joint One Reserves Committee (JORC) code of Australia, the South African Mineral Resources

Committee (SAMREC), and the Reporting Code of Great Britain). Other systems of categorization are also used; one such system is that

used by the U.S. Geological Survey. This presentation may not be taken away with you. The contents of this presentation may not be

reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.

Disclaimer