coase versus the coasians - scholar.harvard.edu · coase versus the coasians* edwardglaeser...
TRANSCRIPT
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
EDWARD GLAESER
SIMON JOHNSON
ANDREI SHLEIFER
Who should enforce laws or contracts judges or regulators Many Coasiansthough not Coase himself advocate judicial enforcement We show that the incen-tives facing judges and regulators crucially shape this choice We then compare theregulation of nancial markets in Poland and the Czech Republic in the 1990s InPoland strict enforcement of the securities law by a highly motivated regulator wasassociated with a rapidly developing stock market In the Czech Republic hands-offregulation was associated with a moribund stock market
I INTRODUCTION
At the heart of economistsrsquo traditional skepticism about gov-ernment regulation is the Coase theorem [Coase 1960] Thetheorem states that when property rights are well dened andldquotransaction costsrdquo are zero market participants will organizetheir transactions in ways that achieve efcient outcomes Whenthey can do so it is not necessary for the government to engage inldquocorrectiverdquo actions through taxes regulations or even legalrules Financial markets are often used to demonstrate the Coasetheoremrsquos case against regulation Advocates of the regulation ofthese markets point to a variety of potential failures such as theability of security issuers to ldquoexpropriaterdquo both potential and exist-ing investors through misrepresentation or prot diversion Inves-torsrsquo fear of such expropriation prevents rms from raising externalfunds and keeps efcient projects from being undertaken
Not so reply the Coasians They point out that most securi-ties transactions take place between sophisticated adults andthat both the buyers and the issuers of securities have availableto them a vast range of private arrangements to achieve ef-ciency including contracts such as corporate charters certica-tion by intermediaries and various forms of bonding Such con-tracts render most laws and regulations unnecessary [Stigler1964 Easterbrook and Fischel 1991]
We thank Alberto Alesina Simeon Djankov Oliver Hart Louis KaplowLawrence Katz Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Gerry McDermottRandall Morck Raghuram Rajan Mark Ramseyer Steven Shavell Peter Teminand three anonymous referees for helpful comments and the National ScienceFoundation and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology EntrepreneurshipCenter for nancial support
copy 2001 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute ofTechnologyThe Quarterly Journal of Economics August 2001
853
On the face of it the Coasiansrsquo argument is powerful Yet itcrucially relies among other assumptions on the possibility ofeffective judicial enforcement of complicated contracts Judgesmust be able and more importantly willing to read complicatedcontracts verify whether the events triggering particular clauseshave actually occurred and interpret broad and ambiguous lan-guage These requirements on the judges apply as strongly to thejudicial enforcement of laws where the interpretation and appli-cation of particular statutes requires signicant investment Inreality courts in many countries are undernanced unmoti-vated unclear as to how the law applies unfamiliar with eco-nomic issues or even corrupt Such courts cannot be expected toengage in costly verication of the facts of difcult cases orcontingencies of complicated contracts Indeed even when con-tracts are restricted by statutes the courts may not have theresources or incentives to verify whether or how particular stat-utes apply
Financial contracting illustrates these problems When is theinformation that a rmrsquos manager fails to disclose to shareholdersldquomaterialrdquo and hence has to be disclosed because of a statute ora contract When does a corporation ldquoabuserdquo minority sharehold-ers as opposed to just following the managersrsquo best ldquobusinessjudgmentrdquo When does a broker fail to engage in ldquohonest tradingrdquoin executing customer orders When does a manager trade onldquoinside informationrdquo rather than simply happen to be lucky Theinterpretation of the contracts or statutes involving such terms isexpensive and requires powerful incentives to motivate an adju-dicator to invest in understanding the case Absent such incen-tives courts often postpone decisions or simply let go the poten-tial violators of rules and contracts
An alternative strategy is the enforcement of legal rules byregulators as opposed to judges In our view the crucial distinc-tion between judges and regulators is that the latter can be moreeasily provided with incentives to punish violations of particularstatutes1 Judges in contrast are by design more independentand therefore harder to motivate The stronger incentives of theregulators have the benet of bringing about more aggressiveenforcement than can be achieved through courts Yet these
1 The classic reference on the incentive of law enforcers is Becker and Stigler[1974] to whose work we return below A recent survey of public enforcement oflaw by Polinsky and Shavell [2000] scarcely pays attention to the incentives of theenforcers
854 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
incentives also have the potential cost of excessively aggressiveenforcement when regulators motivated to nd violations penal-ize innocent suspects There is thus a trade-off between enforce-ment by judges facing relatively weak but unbiased incentivesand enforcement by regulators facing stronger but possibly biasedincentives2
We present a theoretical model that sheds light on this trade-off and identies the circumstances under which enforcement byjudges or regulators is preferred The model shows that relativeto judges regulators may be better motivated to invest in under-standing the laws and circumstances of a case but also morelikelymdashif overmotivatedmdashto reach politically desirable decisionsat the expense of doing justice The model also shows how reduc-ing the costs of the investment in information by law enforcerscan improve enforcement efciency
We then illustrate the model by comparing the regulation ofsecurities markets through corporate and securities laws in Po-land the Czech Republic and to a lesser extent Hungary Inthese transition economies nancial regulation was designedessentially from scratch and hence we can compare both thedesigns of laws and regulations and their consequences Themodel bears in particular on the design of securities laws sincethese laws shape the incentives of market regulators as well asthe costs of information acquisition by the enforcers
We show that in its securities law Poland adopted a morestringent regulatory stance than did the Czech Republic Thisdifference was reected not just in the general philosophies ofregulation but in the statutes and the mechanisms of law en-forcement In contrast to the Czech Republic Poland adoptedlegal rules highly protective of investors mandated extensiveinformation disclosure by securities issuers and intermediariesand created an independent and highly motivated regulator toenforce the rules We nd that this approach to regulation inPoland has stimulated rapid development of securities marketsand enabled a number of rms to raise external funds Theexpropriation of investors has been relatively modest In contrastthe lax regulations in the Czech Republic enforced by an unmo-tivated ofce in the nance ministry have been associated with
2 Coase [1988 pp 117ndash118] recognized that regulation may be preferred tojudicially enforced contracts as a method of regulating some types of conductldquoThere is no reason why on occasion such governmental regulation should not bean improvement on economic efciencyrdquo
855COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
security delistings and a notable absence of equity nancethrough a public market by either new or existing rms Expro-priation of investors has been rampant and has acquired a newCzech-specic name tunneling [Coffee 1996 1998 1999 Pistor1999 Johnson et al 2000b] Starting in 1996 the Czech govern-ment tightened its regulations Hungary adopted an intermediateregulatory stance and has shown an intermediate level of nan-cial development
II A MODEL OF ENFORCEMENT INCENTIVES
A Basic Model
We consider a situation in which the government wishes topunish particular conduct creating negative externalities such asnondisclosure of material information by a manager or ldquomarketmanipulationrdquo by a broker This task is assigned to an enforce-ment ofcial (an adjudicator) The question we address is whetherthe government wants this adjudicator to be a judge or a regula-tor In the case of a judge we focus on the inquisitorial legalsystem of civil law countries where the judge must himself un-dertake an investigation into the facts of the situation and thelaw The model we present focuses on the case where there is alegal rule or law that restricts certain conduct The question ofwho should adjudicate however equally well applies to a situa-tion in which two private parties such as an investor and a brokercontractually agree on their conduct and have a dispute onwhether this contract was followed
Our general assumption is that the society does not have fullcontrol over the incentives facing law enforcement ofcials Its abil-ity to reward them for ldquoenforcing the lawrdquo is limited because ldquodoingjusticerdquo is largely unveriable Many of the rewards that theseofcials receive for doing justice are intangible including self-es-teem and the respect of onersquos peers On the other hand the govern-ment does have the ability to politicize the enforcement of particularlegal rules by rewarding the enforcers for certain outcomes such asnding violations We are interested in the conditions under whichthe government would choose such politicization
We consider an adjudicator (who can be a judge or a regula-tor) examining a possible violation of a legal rule For a cost c gt0 this adjudicator can undertake an investigationmdashwhich forsimplicity we call searchmdashand nd out for sure whether a viola-
856 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tion had taken place We think of c as a personal cost to theadjudicator which includes the time he might otherwise spendworking on other matters The adjudicator has complete discre-tion as to whether to penalize the potential violator and candecide to do so without searching and incurring the cost c
The adjudicator derives a payoff of b from following the lawor doing justice which here means punishing a violator of the ruleand letting go an innocent person We can think of b as self-esteem or long-run respect of the peers which evidently mattersto judges [Posner 1995] We assume that in the short run thegovernment cannot increase b since it cannot verify whetherthe adjudicator actually searches or makes correct decisionsTraining judges and building up their prestige presumably raisesb but such policies may take decades to pay off
In addition the adjudicator derives the payoff a from eachsuspect he punishes whether or not this suspect actually violatedthe rules If a = 0 this adjudicator is only interested in justiceand is not motivated by ldquopoliticsrdquo or short-run career concerns Ifa gt 0 this adjudicator has a personal interest in nding viola-tions This can be so for a number of reasons The state may beconcerned with nding violators of particular rules to achieve itsbroader political goals such as ghting drugs or persecutingparticular ethnic minorities More narrowly only successful pun-ishments of violators may be recorded by the superiors of anenforcer and hence his future career or budget may be deter-mined by the number of penalties he metes out Still anotherimportant reason why adjudicators may wish to achieve certainoutcomes is that these improve their career opportunities follow-ing government service [Glaeser Kessler and Piehl 2000] Inprinciple law enforcement can be heavily politicized and a couldbe a lot higher than b We can also imagine the case where a lt0 which might describe regulators ldquocapturedrdquo by the industrythat they are supposed to regulate [Stigler 1971] In this case theanalysis becomes very simple the adjudicator will generally notnd any violations Note that as we have set up the model a band c capture the private rather than social payoffs and costs tothe adjudicator
To complete the model we assume that the fraction p ofsuspected violators of the legal rule are actually guilty and thefraction (1 2 p) are innocent The payoffs to the adjudicator andthe associated probabilities are shown in Table I
The adjudicator makes the ex ante decision of whether to
857COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search We refer to the strategy of letting everyone go regardlessof violation as ldquoleniencyrdquo and the strategy of punishing everyoneregardless of violation as ldquoabuserdquo With b gt 0 it never pays theadjudicator to sink the cost c and then ignore the information heobtains and be either lenient or abusive If he searches he alwayspunishes the violators and lets go the innocent But before searchit may pay the adjudicator to be either lenient or abusive de-pending on the magnitudes of a b c and p
To analyze the adjudicatorrsquos incentives for enforcement werst consider his payoffs to the three strategies he can pursueleniency abuse and search These payoffs are given by
(1) Leniency (1 2 p)b(2) Abuse a + pb(3) Search b + pa 2 c
These payoffs dene the optimal strategies of the enforcer assummarized in
PROPOSITION 1 Fix b and p The following strategies are followedfor respective parameter values
Leniency a (1 2 2p)b and c $ (a + b) pAbuse a $ (1 2 2p)b and c $ (b 2 a)(1 2 p)Search c (a + b) p and c (b 2 a)(1 2 p)
These conditions divide the space of parameter values into threeregions as shown in Figure I3
The interpretation of these conditions is straightforward Forlow-powered punishment incentives and high cost of search theadjudicator chooses leniency For high-powered punishment in-centives and high cost of search the adjudicator turns to abuseHe only searches for the truth as long as the cost of investigationis low enough that for low arsquos he prefers search to leniency andfor high arsquos he prefers search to abuse
Even this simple analysis in Figure I has several implica-
3 Note that if a gt b the only equilibrium outcome is abuse
TABLE I
Not Punish Punish Probability
Innocent b a 1 2 pGuilty 0 a + b p
858 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
On the face of it the Coasiansrsquo argument is powerful Yet itcrucially relies among other assumptions on the possibility ofeffective judicial enforcement of complicated contracts Judgesmust be able and more importantly willing to read complicatedcontracts verify whether the events triggering particular clauseshave actually occurred and interpret broad and ambiguous lan-guage These requirements on the judges apply as strongly to thejudicial enforcement of laws where the interpretation and appli-cation of particular statutes requires signicant investment Inreality courts in many countries are undernanced unmoti-vated unclear as to how the law applies unfamiliar with eco-nomic issues or even corrupt Such courts cannot be expected toengage in costly verication of the facts of difcult cases orcontingencies of complicated contracts Indeed even when con-tracts are restricted by statutes the courts may not have theresources or incentives to verify whether or how particular stat-utes apply
Financial contracting illustrates these problems When is theinformation that a rmrsquos manager fails to disclose to shareholdersldquomaterialrdquo and hence has to be disclosed because of a statute ora contract When does a corporation ldquoabuserdquo minority sharehold-ers as opposed to just following the managersrsquo best ldquobusinessjudgmentrdquo When does a broker fail to engage in ldquohonest tradingrdquoin executing customer orders When does a manager trade onldquoinside informationrdquo rather than simply happen to be lucky Theinterpretation of the contracts or statutes involving such terms isexpensive and requires powerful incentives to motivate an adju-dicator to invest in understanding the case Absent such incen-tives courts often postpone decisions or simply let go the poten-tial violators of rules and contracts
An alternative strategy is the enforcement of legal rules byregulators as opposed to judges In our view the crucial distinc-tion between judges and regulators is that the latter can be moreeasily provided with incentives to punish violations of particularstatutes1 Judges in contrast are by design more independentand therefore harder to motivate The stronger incentives of theregulators have the benet of bringing about more aggressiveenforcement than can be achieved through courts Yet these
1 The classic reference on the incentive of law enforcers is Becker and Stigler[1974] to whose work we return below A recent survey of public enforcement oflaw by Polinsky and Shavell [2000] scarcely pays attention to the incentives of theenforcers
854 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
incentives also have the potential cost of excessively aggressiveenforcement when regulators motivated to nd violations penal-ize innocent suspects There is thus a trade-off between enforce-ment by judges facing relatively weak but unbiased incentivesand enforcement by regulators facing stronger but possibly biasedincentives2
We present a theoretical model that sheds light on this trade-off and identies the circumstances under which enforcement byjudges or regulators is preferred The model shows that relativeto judges regulators may be better motivated to invest in under-standing the laws and circumstances of a case but also morelikelymdashif overmotivatedmdashto reach politically desirable decisionsat the expense of doing justice The model also shows how reduc-ing the costs of the investment in information by law enforcerscan improve enforcement efciency
We then illustrate the model by comparing the regulation ofsecurities markets through corporate and securities laws in Po-land the Czech Republic and to a lesser extent Hungary Inthese transition economies nancial regulation was designedessentially from scratch and hence we can compare both thedesigns of laws and regulations and their consequences Themodel bears in particular on the design of securities laws sincethese laws shape the incentives of market regulators as well asthe costs of information acquisition by the enforcers
We show that in its securities law Poland adopted a morestringent regulatory stance than did the Czech Republic Thisdifference was reected not just in the general philosophies ofregulation but in the statutes and the mechanisms of law en-forcement In contrast to the Czech Republic Poland adoptedlegal rules highly protective of investors mandated extensiveinformation disclosure by securities issuers and intermediariesand created an independent and highly motivated regulator toenforce the rules We nd that this approach to regulation inPoland has stimulated rapid development of securities marketsand enabled a number of rms to raise external funds Theexpropriation of investors has been relatively modest In contrastthe lax regulations in the Czech Republic enforced by an unmo-tivated ofce in the nance ministry have been associated with
2 Coase [1988 pp 117ndash118] recognized that regulation may be preferred tojudicially enforced contracts as a method of regulating some types of conductldquoThere is no reason why on occasion such governmental regulation should not bean improvement on economic efciencyrdquo
855COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
security delistings and a notable absence of equity nancethrough a public market by either new or existing rms Expro-priation of investors has been rampant and has acquired a newCzech-specic name tunneling [Coffee 1996 1998 1999 Pistor1999 Johnson et al 2000b] Starting in 1996 the Czech govern-ment tightened its regulations Hungary adopted an intermediateregulatory stance and has shown an intermediate level of nan-cial development
II A MODEL OF ENFORCEMENT INCENTIVES
A Basic Model
We consider a situation in which the government wishes topunish particular conduct creating negative externalities such asnondisclosure of material information by a manager or ldquomarketmanipulationrdquo by a broker This task is assigned to an enforce-ment ofcial (an adjudicator) The question we address is whetherthe government wants this adjudicator to be a judge or a regula-tor In the case of a judge we focus on the inquisitorial legalsystem of civil law countries where the judge must himself un-dertake an investigation into the facts of the situation and thelaw The model we present focuses on the case where there is alegal rule or law that restricts certain conduct The question ofwho should adjudicate however equally well applies to a situa-tion in which two private parties such as an investor and a brokercontractually agree on their conduct and have a dispute onwhether this contract was followed
Our general assumption is that the society does not have fullcontrol over the incentives facing law enforcement ofcials Its abil-ity to reward them for ldquoenforcing the lawrdquo is limited because ldquodoingjusticerdquo is largely unveriable Many of the rewards that theseofcials receive for doing justice are intangible including self-es-teem and the respect of onersquos peers On the other hand the govern-ment does have the ability to politicize the enforcement of particularlegal rules by rewarding the enforcers for certain outcomes such asnding violations We are interested in the conditions under whichthe government would choose such politicization
We consider an adjudicator (who can be a judge or a regula-tor) examining a possible violation of a legal rule For a cost c gt0 this adjudicator can undertake an investigationmdashwhich forsimplicity we call searchmdashand nd out for sure whether a viola-
856 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tion had taken place We think of c as a personal cost to theadjudicator which includes the time he might otherwise spendworking on other matters The adjudicator has complete discre-tion as to whether to penalize the potential violator and candecide to do so without searching and incurring the cost c
The adjudicator derives a payoff of b from following the lawor doing justice which here means punishing a violator of the ruleand letting go an innocent person We can think of b as self-esteem or long-run respect of the peers which evidently mattersto judges [Posner 1995] We assume that in the short run thegovernment cannot increase b since it cannot verify whetherthe adjudicator actually searches or makes correct decisionsTraining judges and building up their prestige presumably raisesb but such policies may take decades to pay off
In addition the adjudicator derives the payoff a from eachsuspect he punishes whether or not this suspect actually violatedthe rules If a = 0 this adjudicator is only interested in justiceand is not motivated by ldquopoliticsrdquo or short-run career concerns Ifa gt 0 this adjudicator has a personal interest in nding viola-tions This can be so for a number of reasons The state may beconcerned with nding violators of particular rules to achieve itsbroader political goals such as ghting drugs or persecutingparticular ethnic minorities More narrowly only successful pun-ishments of violators may be recorded by the superiors of anenforcer and hence his future career or budget may be deter-mined by the number of penalties he metes out Still anotherimportant reason why adjudicators may wish to achieve certainoutcomes is that these improve their career opportunities follow-ing government service [Glaeser Kessler and Piehl 2000] Inprinciple law enforcement can be heavily politicized and a couldbe a lot higher than b We can also imagine the case where a lt0 which might describe regulators ldquocapturedrdquo by the industrythat they are supposed to regulate [Stigler 1971] In this case theanalysis becomes very simple the adjudicator will generally notnd any violations Note that as we have set up the model a band c capture the private rather than social payoffs and costs tothe adjudicator
To complete the model we assume that the fraction p ofsuspected violators of the legal rule are actually guilty and thefraction (1 2 p) are innocent The payoffs to the adjudicator andthe associated probabilities are shown in Table I
The adjudicator makes the ex ante decision of whether to
857COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search We refer to the strategy of letting everyone go regardlessof violation as ldquoleniencyrdquo and the strategy of punishing everyoneregardless of violation as ldquoabuserdquo With b gt 0 it never pays theadjudicator to sink the cost c and then ignore the information heobtains and be either lenient or abusive If he searches he alwayspunishes the violators and lets go the innocent But before searchit may pay the adjudicator to be either lenient or abusive de-pending on the magnitudes of a b c and p
To analyze the adjudicatorrsquos incentives for enforcement werst consider his payoffs to the three strategies he can pursueleniency abuse and search These payoffs are given by
(1) Leniency (1 2 p)b(2) Abuse a + pb(3) Search b + pa 2 c
These payoffs dene the optimal strategies of the enforcer assummarized in
PROPOSITION 1 Fix b and p The following strategies are followedfor respective parameter values
Leniency a (1 2 2p)b and c $ (a + b) pAbuse a $ (1 2 2p)b and c $ (b 2 a)(1 2 p)Search c (a + b) p and c (b 2 a)(1 2 p)
These conditions divide the space of parameter values into threeregions as shown in Figure I3
The interpretation of these conditions is straightforward Forlow-powered punishment incentives and high cost of search theadjudicator chooses leniency For high-powered punishment in-centives and high cost of search the adjudicator turns to abuseHe only searches for the truth as long as the cost of investigationis low enough that for low arsquos he prefers search to leniency andfor high arsquos he prefers search to abuse
Even this simple analysis in Figure I has several implica-
3 Note that if a gt b the only equilibrium outcome is abuse
TABLE I
Not Punish Punish Probability
Innocent b a 1 2 pGuilty 0 a + b p
858 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
incentives also have the potential cost of excessively aggressiveenforcement when regulators motivated to nd violations penal-ize innocent suspects There is thus a trade-off between enforce-ment by judges facing relatively weak but unbiased incentivesand enforcement by regulators facing stronger but possibly biasedincentives2
We present a theoretical model that sheds light on this trade-off and identies the circumstances under which enforcement byjudges or regulators is preferred The model shows that relativeto judges regulators may be better motivated to invest in under-standing the laws and circumstances of a case but also morelikelymdashif overmotivatedmdashto reach politically desirable decisionsat the expense of doing justice The model also shows how reduc-ing the costs of the investment in information by law enforcerscan improve enforcement efciency
We then illustrate the model by comparing the regulation ofsecurities markets through corporate and securities laws in Po-land the Czech Republic and to a lesser extent Hungary Inthese transition economies nancial regulation was designedessentially from scratch and hence we can compare both thedesigns of laws and regulations and their consequences Themodel bears in particular on the design of securities laws sincethese laws shape the incentives of market regulators as well asthe costs of information acquisition by the enforcers
We show that in its securities law Poland adopted a morestringent regulatory stance than did the Czech Republic Thisdifference was reected not just in the general philosophies ofregulation but in the statutes and the mechanisms of law en-forcement In contrast to the Czech Republic Poland adoptedlegal rules highly protective of investors mandated extensiveinformation disclosure by securities issuers and intermediariesand created an independent and highly motivated regulator toenforce the rules We nd that this approach to regulation inPoland has stimulated rapid development of securities marketsand enabled a number of rms to raise external funds Theexpropriation of investors has been relatively modest In contrastthe lax regulations in the Czech Republic enforced by an unmo-tivated ofce in the nance ministry have been associated with
2 Coase [1988 pp 117ndash118] recognized that regulation may be preferred tojudicially enforced contracts as a method of regulating some types of conductldquoThere is no reason why on occasion such governmental regulation should not bean improvement on economic efciencyrdquo
855COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
security delistings and a notable absence of equity nancethrough a public market by either new or existing rms Expro-priation of investors has been rampant and has acquired a newCzech-specic name tunneling [Coffee 1996 1998 1999 Pistor1999 Johnson et al 2000b] Starting in 1996 the Czech govern-ment tightened its regulations Hungary adopted an intermediateregulatory stance and has shown an intermediate level of nan-cial development
II A MODEL OF ENFORCEMENT INCENTIVES
A Basic Model
We consider a situation in which the government wishes topunish particular conduct creating negative externalities such asnondisclosure of material information by a manager or ldquomarketmanipulationrdquo by a broker This task is assigned to an enforce-ment ofcial (an adjudicator) The question we address is whetherthe government wants this adjudicator to be a judge or a regula-tor In the case of a judge we focus on the inquisitorial legalsystem of civil law countries where the judge must himself un-dertake an investigation into the facts of the situation and thelaw The model we present focuses on the case where there is alegal rule or law that restricts certain conduct The question ofwho should adjudicate however equally well applies to a situa-tion in which two private parties such as an investor and a brokercontractually agree on their conduct and have a dispute onwhether this contract was followed
Our general assumption is that the society does not have fullcontrol over the incentives facing law enforcement ofcials Its abil-ity to reward them for ldquoenforcing the lawrdquo is limited because ldquodoingjusticerdquo is largely unveriable Many of the rewards that theseofcials receive for doing justice are intangible including self-es-teem and the respect of onersquos peers On the other hand the govern-ment does have the ability to politicize the enforcement of particularlegal rules by rewarding the enforcers for certain outcomes such asnding violations We are interested in the conditions under whichthe government would choose such politicization
We consider an adjudicator (who can be a judge or a regula-tor) examining a possible violation of a legal rule For a cost c gt0 this adjudicator can undertake an investigationmdashwhich forsimplicity we call searchmdashand nd out for sure whether a viola-
856 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tion had taken place We think of c as a personal cost to theadjudicator which includes the time he might otherwise spendworking on other matters The adjudicator has complete discre-tion as to whether to penalize the potential violator and candecide to do so without searching and incurring the cost c
The adjudicator derives a payoff of b from following the lawor doing justice which here means punishing a violator of the ruleand letting go an innocent person We can think of b as self-esteem or long-run respect of the peers which evidently mattersto judges [Posner 1995] We assume that in the short run thegovernment cannot increase b since it cannot verify whetherthe adjudicator actually searches or makes correct decisionsTraining judges and building up their prestige presumably raisesb but such policies may take decades to pay off
In addition the adjudicator derives the payoff a from eachsuspect he punishes whether or not this suspect actually violatedthe rules If a = 0 this adjudicator is only interested in justiceand is not motivated by ldquopoliticsrdquo or short-run career concerns Ifa gt 0 this adjudicator has a personal interest in nding viola-tions This can be so for a number of reasons The state may beconcerned with nding violators of particular rules to achieve itsbroader political goals such as ghting drugs or persecutingparticular ethnic minorities More narrowly only successful pun-ishments of violators may be recorded by the superiors of anenforcer and hence his future career or budget may be deter-mined by the number of penalties he metes out Still anotherimportant reason why adjudicators may wish to achieve certainoutcomes is that these improve their career opportunities follow-ing government service [Glaeser Kessler and Piehl 2000] Inprinciple law enforcement can be heavily politicized and a couldbe a lot higher than b We can also imagine the case where a lt0 which might describe regulators ldquocapturedrdquo by the industrythat they are supposed to regulate [Stigler 1971] In this case theanalysis becomes very simple the adjudicator will generally notnd any violations Note that as we have set up the model a band c capture the private rather than social payoffs and costs tothe adjudicator
To complete the model we assume that the fraction p ofsuspected violators of the legal rule are actually guilty and thefraction (1 2 p) are innocent The payoffs to the adjudicator andthe associated probabilities are shown in Table I
The adjudicator makes the ex ante decision of whether to
857COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search We refer to the strategy of letting everyone go regardlessof violation as ldquoleniencyrdquo and the strategy of punishing everyoneregardless of violation as ldquoabuserdquo With b gt 0 it never pays theadjudicator to sink the cost c and then ignore the information heobtains and be either lenient or abusive If he searches he alwayspunishes the violators and lets go the innocent But before searchit may pay the adjudicator to be either lenient or abusive de-pending on the magnitudes of a b c and p
To analyze the adjudicatorrsquos incentives for enforcement werst consider his payoffs to the three strategies he can pursueleniency abuse and search These payoffs are given by
(1) Leniency (1 2 p)b(2) Abuse a + pb(3) Search b + pa 2 c
These payoffs dene the optimal strategies of the enforcer assummarized in
PROPOSITION 1 Fix b and p The following strategies are followedfor respective parameter values
Leniency a (1 2 2p)b and c $ (a + b) pAbuse a $ (1 2 2p)b and c $ (b 2 a)(1 2 p)Search c (a + b) p and c (b 2 a)(1 2 p)
These conditions divide the space of parameter values into threeregions as shown in Figure I3
The interpretation of these conditions is straightforward Forlow-powered punishment incentives and high cost of search theadjudicator chooses leniency For high-powered punishment in-centives and high cost of search the adjudicator turns to abuseHe only searches for the truth as long as the cost of investigationis low enough that for low arsquos he prefers search to leniency andfor high arsquos he prefers search to abuse
Even this simple analysis in Figure I has several implica-
3 Note that if a gt b the only equilibrium outcome is abuse
TABLE I
Not Punish Punish Probability
Innocent b a 1 2 pGuilty 0 a + b p
858 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
security delistings and a notable absence of equity nancethrough a public market by either new or existing rms Expro-priation of investors has been rampant and has acquired a newCzech-specic name tunneling [Coffee 1996 1998 1999 Pistor1999 Johnson et al 2000b] Starting in 1996 the Czech govern-ment tightened its regulations Hungary adopted an intermediateregulatory stance and has shown an intermediate level of nan-cial development
II A MODEL OF ENFORCEMENT INCENTIVES
A Basic Model
We consider a situation in which the government wishes topunish particular conduct creating negative externalities such asnondisclosure of material information by a manager or ldquomarketmanipulationrdquo by a broker This task is assigned to an enforce-ment ofcial (an adjudicator) The question we address is whetherthe government wants this adjudicator to be a judge or a regula-tor In the case of a judge we focus on the inquisitorial legalsystem of civil law countries where the judge must himself un-dertake an investigation into the facts of the situation and thelaw The model we present focuses on the case where there is alegal rule or law that restricts certain conduct The question ofwho should adjudicate however equally well applies to a situa-tion in which two private parties such as an investor and a brokercontractually agree on their conduct and have a dispute onwhether this contract was followed
Our general assumption is that the society does not have fullcontrol over the incentives facing law enforcement ofcials Its abil-ity to reward them for ldquoenforcing the lawrdquo is limited because ldquodoingjusticerdquo is largely unveriable Many of the rewards that theseofcials receive for doing justice are intangible including self-es-teem and the respect of onersquos peers On the other hand the govern-ment does have the ability to politicize the enforcement of particularlegal rules by rewarding the enforcers for certain outcomes such asnding violations We are interested in the conditions under whichthe government would choose such politicization
We consider an adjudicator (who can be a judge or a regula-tor) examining a possible violation of a legal rule For a cost c gt0 this adjudicator can undertake an investigationmdashwhich forsimplicity we call searchmdashand nd out for sure whether a viola-
856 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tion had taken place We think of c as a personal cost to theadjudicator which includes the time he might otherwise spendworking on other matters The adjudicator has complete discre-tion as to whether to penalize the potential violator and candecide to do so without searching and incurring the cost c
The adjudicator derives a payoff of b from following the lawor doing justice which here means punishing a violator of the ruleand letting go an innocent person We can think of b as self-esteem or long-run respect of the peers which evidently mattersto judges [Posner 1995] We assume that in the short run thegovernment cannot increase b since it cannot verify whetherthe adjudicator actually searches or makes correct decisionsTraining judges and building up their prestige presumably raisesb but such policies may take decades to pay off
In addition the adjudicator derives the payoff a from eachsuspect he punishes whether or not this suspect actually violatedthe rules If a = 0 this adjudicator is only interested in justiceand is not motivated by ldquopoliticsrdquo or short-run career concerns Ifa gt 0 this adjudicator has a personal interest in nding viola-tions This can be so for a number of reasons The state may beconcerned with nding violators of particular rules to achieve itsbroader political goals such as ghting drugs or persecutingparticular ethnic minorities More narrowly only successful pun-ishments of violators may be recorded by the superiors of anenforcer and hence his future career or budget may be deter-mined by the number of penalties he metes out Still anotherimportant reason why adjudicators may wish to achieve certainoutcomes is that these improve their career opportunities follow-ing government service [Glaeser Kessler and Piehl 2000] Inprinciple law enforcement can be heavily politicized and a couldbe a lot higher than b We can also imagine the case where a lt0 which might describe regulators ldquocapturedrdquo by the industrythat they are supposed to regulate [Stigler 1971] In this case theanalysis becomes very simple the adjudicator will generally notnd any violations Note that as we have set up the model a band c capture the private rather than social payoffs and costs tothe adjudicator
To complete the model we assume that the fraction p ofsuspected violators of the legal rule are actually guilty and thefraction (1 2 p) are innocent The payoffs to the adjudicator andthe associated probabilities are shown in Table I
The adjudicator makes the ex ante decision of whether to
857COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search We refer to the strategy of letting everyone go regardlessof violation as ldquoleniencyrdquo and the strategy of punishing everyoneregardless of violation as ldquoabuserdquo With b gt 0 it never pays theadjudicator to sink the cost c and then ignore the information heobtains and be either lenient or abusive If he searches he alwayspunishes the violators and lets go the innocent But before searchit may pay the adjudicator to be either lenient or abusive de-pending on the magnitudes of a b c and p
To analyze the adjudicatorrsquos incentives for enforcement werst consider his payoffs to the three strategies he can pursueleniency abuse and search These payoffs are given by
(1) Leniency (1 2 p)b(2) Abuse a + pb(3) Search b + pa 2 c
These payoffs dene the optimal strategies of the enforcer assummarized in
PROPOSITION 1 Fix b and p The following strategies are followedfor respective parameter values
Leniency a (1 2 2p)b and c $ (a + b) pAbuse a $ (1 2 2p)b and c $ (b 2 a)(1 2 p)Search c (a + b) p and c (b 2 a)(1 2 p)
These conditions divide the space of parameter values into threeregions as shown in Figure I3
The interpretation of these conditions is straightforward Forlow-powered punishment incentives and high cost of search theadjudicator chooses leniency For high-powered punishment in-centives and high cost of search the adjudicator turns to abuseHe only searches for the truth as long as the cost of investigationis low enough that for low arsquos he prefers search to leniency andfor high arsquos he prefers search to abuse
Even this simple analysis in Figure I has several implica-
3 Note that if a gt b the only equilibrium outcome is abuse
TABLE I
Not Punish Punish Probability
Innocent b a 1 2 pGuilty 0 a + b p
858 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
tion had taken place We think of c as a personal cost to theadjudicator which includes the time he might otherwise spendworking on other matters The adjudicator has complete discre-tion as to whether to penalize the potential violator and candecide to do so without searching and incurring the cost c
The adjudicator derives a payoff of b from following the lawor doing justice which here means punishing a violator of the ruleand letting go an innocent person We can think of b as self-esteem or long-run respect of the peers which evidently mattersto judges [Posner 1995] We assume that in the short run thegovernment cannot increase b since it cannot verify whetherthe adjudicator actually searches or makes correct decisionsTraining judges and building up their prestige presumably raisesb but such policies may take decades to pay off
In addition the adjudicator derives the payoff a from eachsuspect he punishes whether or not this suspect actually violatedthe rules If a = 0 this adjudicator is only interested in justiceand is not motivated by ldquopoliticsrdquo or short-run career concerns Ifa gt 0 this adjudicator has a personal interest in nding viola-tions This can be so for a number of reasons The state may beconcerned with nding violators of particular rules to achieve itsbroader political goals such as ghting drugs or persecutingparticular ethnic minorities More narrowly only successful pun-ishments of violators may be recorded by the superiors of anenforcer and hence his future career or budget may be deter-mined by the number of penalties he metes out Still anotherimportant reason why adjudicators may wish to achieve certainoutcomes is that these improve their career opportunities follow-ing government service [Glaeser Kessler and Piehl 2000] Inprinciple law enforcement can be heavily politicized and a couldbe a lot higher than b We can also imagine the case where a lt0 which might describe regulators ldquocapturedrdquo by the industrythat they are supposed to regulate [Stigler 1971] In this case theanalysis becomes very simple the adjudicator will generally notnd any violations Note that as we have set up the model a band c capture the private rather than social payoffs and costs tothe adjudicator
To complete the model we assume that the fraction p ofsuspected violators of the legal rule are actually guilty and thefraction (1 2 p) are innocent The payoffs to the adjudicator andthe associated probabilities are shown in Table I
The adjudicator makes the ex ante decision of whether to
857COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search We refer to the strategy of letting everyone go regardlessof violation as ldquoleniencyrdquo and the strategy of punishing everyoneregardless of violation as ldquoabuserdquo With b gt 0 it never pays theadjudicator to sink the cost c and then ignore the information heobtains and be either lenient or abusive If he searches he alwayspunishes the violators and lets go the innocent But before searchit may pay the adjudicator to be either lenient or abusive de-pending on the magnitudes of a b c and p
To analyze the adjudicatorrsquos incentives for enforcement werst consider his payoffs to the three strategies he can pursueleniency abuse and search These payoffs are given by
(1) Leniency (1 2 p)b(2) Abuse a + pb(3) Search b + pa 2 c
These payoffs dene the optimal strategies of the enforcer assummarized in
PROPOSITION 1 Fix b and p The following strategies are followedfor respective parameter values
Leniency a (1 2 2p)b and c $ (a + b) pAbuse a $ (1 2 2p)b and c $ (b 2 a)(1 2 p)Search c (a + b) p and c (b 2 a)(1 2 p)
These conditions divide the space of parameter values into threeregions as shown in Figure I3
The interpretation of these conditions is straightforward Forlow-powered punishment incentives and high cost of search theadjudicator chooses leniency For high-powered punishment in-centives and high cost of search the adjudicator turns to abuseHe only searches for the truth as long as the cost of investigationis low enough that for low arsquos he prefers search to leniency andfor high arsquos he prefers search to abuse
Even this simple analysis in Figure I has several implica-
3 Note that if a gt b the only equilibrium outcome is abuse
TABLE I
Not Punish Punish Probability
Innocent b a 1 2 pGuilty 0 a + b p
858 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search We refer to the strategy of letting everyone go regardlessof violation as ldquoleniencyrdquo and the strategy of punishing everyoneregardless of violation as ldquoabuserdquo With b gt 0 it never pays theadjudicator to sink the cost c and then ignore the information heobtains and be either lenient or abusive If he searches he alwayspunishes the violators and lets go the innocent But before searchit may pay the adjudicator to be either lenient or abusive de-pending on the magnitudes of a b c and p
To analyze the adjudicatorrsquos incentives for enforcement werst consider his payoffs to the three strategies he can pursueleniency abuse and search These payoffs are given by
(1) Leniency (1 2 p)b(2) Abuse a + pb(3) Search b + pa 2 c
These payoffs dene the optimal strategies of the enforcer assummarized in
PROPOSITION 1 Fix b and p The following strategies are followedfor respective parameter values
Leniency a (1 2 2p)b and c $ (a + b) pAbuse a $ (1 2 2p)b and c $ (b 2 a)(1 2 p)Search c (a + b) p and c (b 2 a)(1 2 p)
These conditions divide the space of parameter values into threeregions as shown in Figure I3
The interpretation of these conditions is straightforward Forlow-powered punishment incentives and high cost of search theadjudicator chooses leniency For high-powered punishment in-centives and high cost of search the adjudicator turns to abuseHe only searches for the truth as long as the cost of investigationis low enough that for low arsquos he prefers search to leniency andfor high arsquos he prefers search to abuse
Even this simple analysis in Figure I has several implica-
3 Note that if a gt b the only equilibrium outcome is abuse
TABLE I
Not Punish Punish Probability
Innocent b a 1 2 pGuilty 0 a + b p
858 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
tions First we can think of c as a measure of the efciency of thejudicial system the cost to the adjudicator of obtaining informa-tion In principle c can be reduced through legal and regulatoryreform In the context of nancial markets for example c can bereduced by improving accounting systems and disclosure by issu-ers and intermediaries The model implies that reductions in thelevel of c always lead to increases in search For high levels of csearch may not be achievable Increasing career or nancial in-centives of the enforcers only moves the system from leniency toabusemdasha risk that a society may not wish to take if it prefers theformer to the latter Put differently a relatively efcient legalsystemmdashwhich could potentially be designed using appropriatelegal rulesmdashis necessary for achieving just outcomes without itit may be better to settle for leniency
Second for moderate and low levels of c increasing incen-tives for punishment may indeed have the effect of moving theadjudicator from leniency to search Even here however signi-cant increases in a move the adjudicator out of search and intoabuse This analysis cautions against the Becker-Stigler [1974]
FIGURE IA Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search
859COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
enthusiasm for the high-powered enforcement incentives as itshows the risk for abuse particularly in inefcient legal systems
We can use this model to provide further comparative staticsresults summarized in
PROPOSITION 2 Assume that b gt a and that p lt 12 An increasein adjudicator professionalism b always 1) strictly reducesthe region of abuse 2) strictly increases the region of searchand 3) diminishes leniency for low arsquosmdashto favor searchmdashandexpands leniency for high arsquosmdashat the expense of abuse (Fig-ure II) An increase in the fraction of suspects who are guiltyp always 1) reduces the region of leniency 2) expands theregion of abuse and 3) expands search for low arsquosmdashat theexpense of leniency and reduces it for high arsquosmdashto favorabuse
The intuition behind these results is straightforward Anincrease in the adjudicatorrsquos concern for justice raises his aver-sion to both letting the guilty go (resulting from leniency) and
FIGURE IIComparative Statics Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicatorrsquos incentive for enforcement divides the space of parametervalues into three regions leniency abuse and search Increasing adjudicatorprofessionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse
860 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
punishing the innocent (resulting from abuse) As a consequencefor a broader range of parameter values he conducts a searchSince with p lt 12 most suspects are innocent a higher b makesleniency more attractive relative to abuse further shrinking thelatter region
An increase in the guilty share of the population p obviouslyexpands the range of abuse and contracts the range of search Forlow incentives the attractiveness of search rises relative to thatof leniency and hence the scope of search expands For highincentives the attractiveness of search falls relative to that ofabuse and hence the scope of search contracts
B An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators pis independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues Moregenerally we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-lators fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive In this sub-section we briey consider such a behavioral response
Suppose that there are many adjudicators so that the deci-sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool ofpotential violators Denote by P the fraction of actual violators inthe population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators areeither lenient or abusive This P must be the same in the lenientand the abusive equilibrium since in both cases the action of thepotential violator has no effect on his fate Denote by Q lt P thefraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibriumwhere all the adjudicators search If breaking a rule entails coststhe likelihood of violations falls An adjudicator chooses betweenleniency abuse and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-cators and therefore P and Q as given In equilibrium thechoices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices ofthe potential violators
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this modelfor different parameter values There are now six regions Asbefore the area of high search costs and low incentives denotedby L has leniency as the only equilibrium The area of highsearch costs and high incentives denoted by A has abuse as theonly equilibrium The area of low search costs denoted by S hassearch as the only equilibrium In area X there is a unique mixedstrategy equilibrium in which the fraction of actual violators isgiven by p = c(a + b) adjudicators are indifferent between
861COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
search and leniency and choose them in proportions that makep be the optimal response by the potential violators In area Ythere are three equilibria including pure search pure abuse anda mixture of the two with the fraction of actual violators given byp = 1 2 c(b 2 a) The reason for multiplicity is that startingwith the mixed strategy equilibrium in this region a decision byone adjudicator to become more abusive can increase the incen-tive of the potential violators to break the rule making abuserather than search more attractive for other adjudicators Fi-nally in area Z there are also multiple equilibria including pureabuse
The addition of the behavioral response introduces the pos-sibility of multiple and mixed strategy equilibria (alternativelydifferent adjudicators do different things) Nonetheless the gen-eral thrust of the results including our principal point that pro-viding adjudicators with incentives is desirable for moderate lev-els of investigation costs is preserved
C Implications
What does this analysis imply for the choice of optimal en-forcement incentives To begin we can think of a = 0 as the case
FIGURE IIIIncentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential ViolatorsThere are six different regions of equilibria
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
of ldquotrue justicerdquo which is perhaps provided by judges truly inde-pendent of the government We can alternatively think of high arsquosas regulators or prosecutors whose careers and budgets dependnot only on doing justice but also on nding violations Onefurther difference between judges and regulators might be thegreater specialization of the latter leading to lower search cost cbut one can of course imagine specialized judges as in the casesof bankruptcy or family law The intermediate arsquos may perhapscorrespond to civil law judges who are part of the civil service andhence may be dependent on the government but who at the sametime have less of an incentive to nd violations than regulators do[Ramseyer and Rasmusen 1997] Using this interpretation thequestion becomes ldquoWho should enforce a particular legal rulerdquo
The model illustrates the costs and benets of enforcementby judges and regulators The government must choose the in-centives of an enforcer namely a (so long as career concerns arenot dominated by outside opportunities) to achieve two objec-tives The rst is to stimulate search as opposed to leniency andthereby to punish the violators (this is the problem that Coasianslargely ignore) The second objective is to achieve justice by notpunishing the innocent (this is the problem that the advocates ofgovernment regulation usually ignore) Increasing a has the bene-t of stimulating search relative to leniency and thereby makingit more likely that the violators are punished but also the costof increasing the likelihood of abusemdashthe punishment of theinnocent as well as the violators without search Put differentlyturning the enforcement of a legal rule over to an apolitical judgehas the benet that the innocent would be rarely punished but ajudgemdashespecially a judge with a low bmdashwould also tend towardleniency In contrast politicizing the system and turning theenforcement to a regulator moves it away from leniency (providedthat this regulator is not captured ie a gt 0) but risks abuse
In principle the government would wish to have judges withvery high brsquosmdasha very professional and motivated judiciary whichhas both sufcient incentives to investigate and a strong interestin justice But this may not be possible In this event the modelsuggests that the best enforcement strategymdashparticularly wheninvestigations are personally expensive (though not prohibitivelyexpensive)mdashmay be to have a regulator with a high enough a toget some search but not so high as to risk abuse How high an athe government chooses would depend on how much it caresabout punishing the violators relative to avoiding punishing the
863COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
innocent Presumably in the cases where punishing the innocentis particularly expensive to the society such as criminal law thecosts of abuse are sufciently high that most governments wouldstill set a low and allocate adjudication to judges In civil situa-tions however the case for regulation is stronger at least whenc is moderately high The other way of looking at this is thatenforcement reforms which lower c are likely to stimulate searchand lead to more efcient outcomes regardless of whether a judgeor a regulator handles the enforcement
These predictions of the model relate to the case for securitiesmarkets regulation made by James Landis [1938] the architect ofsuch regulation in the United States and one of the rst SECcommissioners Landis was skeptical that the courts were moti-vated enough to punish dishonesty in security issuance and trad-ing in a world where the opportunities for promoters and insidersto expropriate investors were extensive He thought that an in-dependent and highly motivated SEC whose only objective wouldbe to assure the integrity of nancial markets could do thisbetter He also argued that using regulators as adjudicators is abetter strategy because they face lower costs of investigationLower costs encourage search and make abuse less likely for agiven level of incentives The model can thus account for somebasic intuitions for when regulation might be preferred to judicialenforcement
In the following sections we examine the implications of themodel for nancial regulation in Poland and the Czech Republic(and to a lesser extent Hungary) We examine the reform in twocrucial areas governing nancial markets corporate law andsecurities law Corporate law deals in particular with the rela-tionship between corporate insiders and shareholders and istypically enforced through private litigation Securities law regu-lates nancial markets As such it also deals with some aspects ofshareholder protection In addition securities law species thestatus and the powers of the securities regulator and deals withdisclosure of information by securities issuers and intermediar-ies Variation in the securities laws therefore can be interpretedas variation in a and c in the model a more motivated regulatorwould have a higher a and greater disclosure would correspondto a lower c We show that Poland and the Czech Republic haveadopted very different strategies toward shareholder protectionespecially in their securities laws and that these strategies canbe interpreted in light of the model Our evidence suggests that
864 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
the greater success of nancial development in Poland than in theCzech Republic might be related to the more appropriate regula-tory stance in Poland in line with the predictions of the theo-retical analysis
III INITIAL CONDITIONS
In broad terms Poland and Czechoslovakia share similarhistories over the past 50 years Both countries turned commu-nist and became Soviet satellites shortly after World War II andspent the next 40 years building socialism In 1989 the twocountries spearheaded the anticommunist revolution In PolandSolidarity won overwhelming support in the June 1989 electionsand by September 1989 was able to form a government InCzechoslovakia the communists gave up their ldquoleading rolerdquo inthe country in the face of massive protests in November 1989 andthe communist President resigned in December Free elections inJune 1990 completed a sequence of events that came to be knownas ldquothe velvet revolutionrdquo
At the beginning of reforms Poland had a larger populationof 38 million people compared with 103 million in the CzechRepublic The Czech Republic in 1989 had per capita income of$5727 in constant 1995 U S dollars compared with Polandrsquos$3045 Both countries were fully industrialized with an indus-trial structure largely shaped by decades of Soviet-style centralplanning Both countries border on Western Europe and in par-ticular Germany although Warsaw is 569 miles from Frankfurtwhile Prague is only 261 miles away
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately aftershedding communism In Poland critical legislation on liberaliza-tion was passed in the fall of 1989 and the key measures cameinto effect on January 1 1990 Small-scale privatization began inMay 1990 although large-scale privatization started with a whis-per in 1991 ran into political obstacles and spread over most ofthe 1990s In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early1990 with the devaluation of the currency budget cuts andbanking reform The formal reform package including price in-creases started on January 1 1991 The law on large-scale pri-vatization was adopted on February 1 1991 Privatizationthrough vouchers took place in two waves in 1992 (completed in
865COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
mid-1993) and 1993 (completed in 1994) Most rules of privatiza-tion including those on Investment Privatization Funds weredeveloped in 1991 [Coffee 1996]
Moreover both countries were virtually nished withthese basic reforms by 1994 They received virtually identicalscores on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition[de Melo Denizer and Gelb 1996] The European Bank forReconstruction and Development also ranked them veryclosely (see Table II) Although the Czech Republic moved morerapidly on large-scale privatization and so had a somewhathigher share of its GDP generated in the private sector inmatters such as small-scale privatization governance and re-structuring price and trade liberalization competition policybanking reform and nancial institutions the countries are
TABLE IICOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
Transitionindicators 1997
Transitionindicators 1996
Transitionindicators 1995
Private sectorshare of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scaleprivatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scaleprivatization 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4
Governance andrestructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4 4 4 4Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3Banking reform
and interest rateliberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities marketand nonbanknancialinstitutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
Scale is from 1 (no reform) to 4+ (full reform)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995]
866 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
neck and neck and very far advanced4 In short both countrieswere rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence fromcommunism especially in comparison with other transitioneconomies
There are however two differences which we come back tobelow First the Czech large-scale voucher privatization wasfaster and more extensive than privatization in Poland whichover time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to sharetransfers to mutual funds As a consequence the number ofpublicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantlyhigher in the Czech Republic than in Poland Second during thisperiod Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than theCzech Republic The assessments of growth rates depend onexactly how they are calculated The level of GDP in Poland in1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989 whereas in the CzechRepublic it stood only at 90 Using constant 1995 dollars how-ever Polandrsquos advantage is smaller5 During 1992ndash1997 theCzech ination averaged 139 percent per annum while Polishination was signicantly higher at 265 percent
In legal development the two countries again appear similarIn the universe of transition economies both get perfect or nearlyperfect scores although these scores have only been kept after1995 The European Bank for Reconstruction and Developmentevaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws(since 1996) effectiveness of laws (since 1996) and overall legaldevelopment (since 1995) Table III Panel A presents the scoresfor Poland and the Czech Republic which again are close to eachother and as high as those of any transition economy6 The legalsystems of the two countries however lagged behind those of richmarket economies Freedom House generates an index of ldquoequal-ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-discriminatory judiciaryrdquo In 1995ndash1996 both Poland and the
4 In 1997 the EBRD gave Poland a 3+ relative to the Czech Republicrsquos 3 onsecurities markets and nancial institutions We argue below that the differenceshould have been larger
5 The World Bank reports the level of real GDP using constant 1995 pricesbut calculates growth rates using the GDP deator Given the large changes inrelative prices during reforms it is hard to know which measure is better Onevery available measure however Poland has had more growth since 1989 andgrew signicantly faster during the 1995ndash1998 period
6 Pistor [1995] assesses the extent of legal development in a number oftransition economies She gives Poland and the Czech Republic the same scorethe highest (shared with Hungary) among all the transition economies shestudies
867COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech Republic received scores of 5 out of 10 compared with 75or 10 for the rich industrial countries7 The 1997 World Competi-tiveness Yearbook [IMD 1997] in its question on the legal frame-work gave Poland 416 out of 9 and the Czech Republic 466 Thiscompares with 846 for the world leader Singapore (and overeight generally for rich industrial countries) and the low of 235for Venezuela Finally the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report[World Economic Forum 1996] in its question on condence inthe fair administration of justice gives 293 out of 6 to the CzechRepublic and 292 to Poland This compares with the high of 578for New Zealand and the low of 177 for Russia All the surveysthen treat the judicial systems of the two countries as aboutequally advanced ahead of world laggards yet far behind the richindustrial countries
These results are echoed by the concerns of knowledgeableobservers about the state of the judicial system in the two coun-tries in the early stages of reform [Gray et al 1993] With respect
7 These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997 by JamesGwartney and Robert Lawson a publication of The Fraser Institute a conserva-tive think tank in Canada
TABLE IIILEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Panel A PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic
EBRD 1997 1996 1995
Extensivenessof laws 4 4 4 4 na na
Effectivenessof laws 4+ 4 3 4 na na
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street JournalCEER survey
December 1997ndashJanuary 1998
December 1996ndashJanuary 1997
December 1995ndashJanuary 1996
February1995
Rule of lawlegalsafeguards 9 87 9 88 91 91 na na
Legal framework 98 98
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform)Scale for rule for lawlegal safeguards and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highestbest score)Source European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997 1996 1995] and Central European
Economic Review a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table)
868 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
to Poland Gray et al [p 109] write ldquoMany of the newly appointedjudges lack experience Developing such expertise will taketime Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in thebusiness population rdquo With respect to the Czech RepublicGray et al [p 59] note ldquoAs in other Central and East Europeancountries judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the marketeconomy Incapacity in the court system is likely to be aconstraint for some time to comerdquo
In summary the economies and the economic policies ofPoland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-ties during the 1990s The two countries emerged from socialismwith a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively In many crucialrespects they followed similar policies toward this goal andachieved similar results especially compared with other lesssuccessful transition economies
IV COMPANY LAW
Recent research shows that investor protection through com-pany laws and commercial codes is an important deterrent ofexpropriation of outside investors and as such a key determinantof the development of securities markets across countries [LaPorta et al 1997 1998 1999 2000 Johnson et al 2000a] Beforefocusing on securities regulations therefore it is important tocompare Poland and the Czech Republic along this dimension8
La Porta et al [LLSV 1998] propose six dimensions to evalu-ate how well a commercial code (or company law) protects mi-nority shareholders against expropriation by the insiders andcombine them into an index of shareholder protection Table IVPanel A presents and explains this index and its components forPoland and the Czech Republic based on their rst postreform
8 Polandrsquos law dates back to the code of 1934 which was modied repeatedlythrough the communist era and in the early 1990s The Polish commercial codehas both German and French inuences [Gray et al 1993 Pistor 1999] Althoughthe Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s its laws wereldquomore thoroughly abrogatedrdquo than those of Poland during communism and itaccordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1 1992 [Gray et al 1993]The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German In this andthe following sections we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s whichare relevant for nancial development during the 1990s Toward the end of thedecade the laws have been revised in both countries particularly in the CzechRepublic
869COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IVCOMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
Poland CommentLLSVscore Czech Comment
LLSVscore
Proxy-by-mail No Article 405 (proxyin person isallowed)
0 No Article 185 0
Shares blockedbefore generalmeeting ofshareholders
Yes Article 399 (oneweek ahead ofmeeting)
0 Yes (one week aheadof meeting)
0
Oppressedminoritymechanism
Yes Articles 409 and414
1 Yes Can protestdecision ofgeneralassembly
1
Shareholders havepreemptive rightto new issues
No Not mentioned inPolish law
0 No Can be excludedby Articles ofAssociation(Article204(2))
0
Percent of votesneeded to callextraordinarygeneral meeting
10 Article 394 1 10 Article 181 1
Cumulative voting Yes Article 379A combination of
shareholderswith at least20 of theshare capitalcan elect aboard member
1 No Articles 186 and200
51 of the votesis enough toappoint allthe directors13 of seats goto employeesif at least 500workers
0
ldquoAnti-DirectorRightsrdquo indexcalculated as inLLSV
3 2
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Denitions used in Panel A(from LLSV [1998])
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code ofthe country requires that ordinary shares carryone vote per share and zero otherwiseEquivalently this variable equals one when thelaw prohibits the existence of both multiple-votingand nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allowsetting maximum number of votes per shareholderirrespective of the number rms of shares ownedand zero otherwise
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to therm and zero otherwise
Shares not blockedbefore meeting
Equals one if the company law or commercial codedoes not allow rms to require that shareholdersdeposit their shares prior to a generalshareholders meeting thus preventing them fromselling those shares for a number of days andzero otherwise
Cumulative voting orproportionalrepresentation
Equals one if the company law or commercial codeallows shareholders to cast all their votes for onecandidate standing for election to the board ofdirectors (cumulative voting) or if the companylaw or commercial code allows a mechanism ofproportional representation in the board by whichminority interests may name a proportionalnumber of directors to the board and zerootherwise
Oppressed minoritiesmechanism
Equals one if the company law or commercial codegrants minority shareholders either a judicialvenue to challenge the decisions of management orof the assembly or the right to step out of thecompany by requiring the company to purchasetheir shares when they object to certainfundamental changes such as mergers assetdispositions and changes in the articles ofincorporation The variable equals zero otherwiseMinority shareholders are dened as thoseshareholders who own 10 percent of share capitalor less
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercialcode grants shareholders the rst opportunity tobuy new issues of stock and this right can bewaived only by a shareholdersrsquo vote equals zerootherwise
Percentage of sharecapital to call anextraordinaryshareholdersrsquo meeting
The minimum percentage of ownership of sharecapital that entitles a shareholder to call for anextraordinary shareholdersrsquo meeting it rangesfrom 1 to 33 percent
871COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
commercial codes Neither country allows proxy-by-mail (scorezero) each requires that shares be blocked before the annualmeeting of shareholders (score zero) and neither gives sharehold-ers a preemptive right to new share issues (score zero) They eachrequire 10 percent of the votes to call an extraordinary share-holder meeting (score 1) and each provide the minority share-holders with some opportunities to protest certain majority deci-sions (score 1) The two laws differ in one important dimensionusing this classication the Polish law allows a signicant (20percent and in some cases less) minority shareholder to elect adirector Under the Czech law 51 percent of the votes are enoughto appoint all directors Overall Poland ends up with a score of 3out of 6 on anti-director rights and the Czech Republic with ascore of 2
To put these scores in perspective the highest actual share-holder rights score in the LLSV [1998] sample of 49 countries is5 Several common law countries such as the United States theUnited Kingdom and Canada receive this score Belgium is thelowest in the sample with a score of 0 but several countriesincluding Italy Jordan and Mexico get a score of 1 The averagein the sample is 3 Thus Poland is average in the world inprotecting shareholder rights through the company law while theCzech Republic is below the average
Some additional rules in the commercial codes not studiedby LLSV [1998] are also more protective of minority shareholdersin Poland (Table IV Panel B) Poland gives important rights tosignicant minority shareholders (those with either 20 percent ofthe votes or 20 percent of share capital) In Poland but not in theCzech Republic this group can demand the appointment of anadditional board of auditors and not just a seat on the supervi-sory board This group can also check who attended the generalshareholdersrsquo meeting thus keeping the management from ma-nipulating the total number of the available votes Both countriesgenerally require supermajorities for important decisions suchas the change in the objectives of the company Poland grants ashorter term in ofce to directors (three years) than does theCzech Republic (ve years) In one interesting regard the Czechlaw is more protective of minority shareholders Article 185 of theCzech 1992 Commercial Code requires that a quorum of 30 per-cent of the total possible votes be present at a general meeting ofshareholders The Polish Commercial Code does not set any suchquorum (Article 401)
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE IV(CONTINUED)
Panel B
Poland Czech Republic
Further rights ofshareholders ldquoOneshare-one voterdquo (forordinary shares) andno limits on votes pershareholder
No Art 404 canlimit votesof largeshareholders
No Can set max votesper shareholder(Article 180)
Supervisory board andmanagement boardboth elected byshareholdersrsquo meeting
Yes Articles 377and 366
Yes Articles 194 and200
Shareholdersrepresenting at leastone-fth of shares candemand an additionalboard of auditors
Yes Article377(3)
No Not mentioned inCzech law
Shareholders with 10of share capitalrepresented atgeneral meeting cancheck the list ofattendance
Yes Article 403 No Article 185
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed forlarge purchases (overone-fth of sharecapital) within twoyears of registrationof company
Yes Article 389 No Not mentioned inCzech law
Two-thirds majority ofgeneral assembly orvotes cast needed tochange articles ofassociation or objectsof company
Yes Article 409each sharehas onevotewithoutpreferencesorrestrictions
Yes Article 187
Term of board ofdirectors(management board)
3 years Article 366and 381
5 years Article 194
Bearer shares allowed Yes Article 345 Yes Article 155 and156
Preference sharesallowed (possiblywithout voting rights)
Yes Article 357 Yes Article 159
Quorum of votes neededto be present
None Article 401 30 Article 185
873COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
In summary Polandrsquos company law is somewhat more pro-tective of minority shareholders than the Czech law These dif-ferences in themselves however do not appear to be signicantenough to account for the differences in nancial developmentdocumented below
V SECURITIES LAW AND REGULATION
Despite the many crucial similarities the two countries fol-lowed different approaches to reform in terms of the governmentrsquosinterest in regulatory intervention This difference did not escapethe early observers of the two countries who viewed Czech eco-nomic policy as more laissez-faire than Polish economic policyFor example in each of the three years 1994 ndash1996 the conser-vative Heritage Foundation gave the Czech Republic a perfect(from its perspective) score of 1 and Poland a mediocre score of 3on its measure of ldquoregulationrdquomdashthe extent to which governmentrestricts economic activity Along similar lines Euromoney con-sidered Poland to be riskier for foreign investment and lendingthan the Czech Republic in part because property rights wereless secure from government intervention
These observers had every right to form such opinions basedon the pronouncements about markets and market reform comingfrom economic ofcials in the two countries Vaclav Klaus theCzech Finance Minister and later Prime Minister was both tre-mendously articulate and unabashedly antigovernment in hisvision of reforms ldquoWe knew that we had to liberalize deregulateprivatize at a very early stage of the transformation process evenif we might be confronted with rather weak and therefore notfully efcient markets Conceptually it wasmdashat least for memdashrather simple all you had to do was to apply the economic phi-losophy of the University of Chicago [Klaus 1997 from a 1995speech]rdquo Leszek Balcerowicz the champion of Polish reformswas more cautious ldquoThe capacity of the state to deal with variousproblems varies mainly because of varying informational re-quirements On this basis one can distinguish on the one handthe sphere of the statersquos natural competence (legislating andenforcing the law dealing with other states for example) and onthe other hand its sphere of natural incompetence (a massive anddetailed industrial policy for example) [1995 p 176]rdquo
These differences revealed themselves most clearly in theregulation of capital markets The Polish ldquoLaw of Public Trading
874 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
in Securities and Trust Fundsrdquo was adopted on March 22 1991and became effective in early April 1991 The Czech ldquoSecuritiesActrdquo was adopted in 1992 and became effective on January 11993 Although this Act was passed after privatization hadstarted nancial institutions such as Investment PrivatizationFunds (IPFs) apparently did not lobby for or against it In factthe Czech rules were established before privatization started andbefore the IPFs existed and only codied later [Coffee 1996]They were a product of the governmentrsquos economic philosophynot lobbying
In our analysis of securities laws we focus especially on twoissues First we show that there were signicant differences inthe institutions of securities regulation in the two countriesparticularly with respect to the independence and the power ofsecurities regulators We interpret the greater independence andpower of the regulator as an increase in the parameter a in themodel the incentives of the adjudicator Second we show that theissuers and the intermediaries in the two countries faced radi-cally different disclosure requirements so that the regulators hadvery different access to information We interpret the greatermandatory disclosure and the use of intermediaries to enforce itas reductions in the parameter c in the model the cost of search
From this perspective on regulation an examination of secu-rities laws in Poland and the Czech Republic reveals profounddifferences To begin the two laws differed in the identity of thegovernment body supervising securities markets In Poland itwas an independent Securities Commission In the Czech Repub-lic such a commission was not established initially and marketswere supervised by the Capital Markets Supervisors Ofce of theMinistry of Finance The Ministry of Finance during this periodwas rst under Klaus and later when he became Prime Ministerremained indifferent to regulating securities markets Both su-pervisory bodies received the power to generate regulations toissue and revoke licenses and to impose nes for violations ofsecurity laws and regulations but had to refer criminal cases tothe public prosecutor The criminal channel was scarcely used ineither country The fact that the Polish Securities Commissionwas independent and charged solely with supervision of securi-ties markets is likely to have provided it with greater incentivesto nd violations than those faced by the Czech Ministry ofFinance with its much broader agenda
A key difference in the structure of securities laws in the two
875COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
countries is in the emphasis on the regulation of intermediariesThe idea of focusing the regulation of securities markets on in-termediaries is sometimes credited to James Landis [Landis1938 McCraw 1984] who reasoned that the U S SEC couldmonitor neither the compliance with disclosure reporting andother rules by all listed rms nor the trading practices of allmarket participants Rather the SEC would regulate intermedi-aries such as brokers accounting rms investment advisorsetc placing on them the burden of assuring compliance withregulatory requirements by issuers and traders By maintainingsubstantial administrative power over the intermediaries includ-ing the power to issue and revoke licenses the Commission couldforce them to monitor market participants Moreover the inter-mediaries would be relatively few in number and more concernedwith their own reputations with the SEC compared with most ofthe issuers By privatizing part of the enforcement of disclosure tothe intermediaries the regulator could reduce the share of theenforcement costs he had to bear himselfmdasha reduction in c in ourmodel
Table V compares the two laws from the perspective of theregulation of nancial intermediaries In the regulation of indi-vidual brokers Poland instituted relatively elaborate licensingrequirements accompanied by tests Brokers were supposed toengage in ldquohonest tradingrdquo as interpreted by the Commission andcould lose their license The Czech Republic had much more proforma licensing of brokers with easy exams no warning concern-ing ldquohonest tradingrdquo and evidently no real power of the Commis-sion to revoke licenses The Polish Commission used the broadldquohonest tradingrdquo requirement and its own power to interpret itto discourage brokersrsquo practices that might not have served theinterests of clients
Brokerage rms were also licensed in both countries butfaced considerably stiffer regulations in Poland For example theregulator received the right to access and inspect the books ofbrokerage rms and these rms had to disclose their ownershipstructure stay away from trading in the securities issued by aparent or a subsidiary company and retain organizational andnancial separateness from banks which owned some of themThese regulations did not exist in the Czech Republic It is clearthat the Czech Republic adopted a very hands-off stance towardbrokers and brokerage rms in contrast to Poland
The Czech Securities law contained no regulation of invest-
876 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE VREGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Poland Czech Republic
Individual brokers
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Articles 182and 141
Yes Section 49
Must pass examadministered bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 141(4) No Section 49
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 171 No Section 49
License can be suspendedor revoked by SecuritiesCommission
Yes Article 162and 163
Yes Section 49
Brokerage enterprises
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 182 Yes Section 45
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 26 No Sections 45ndash48
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 253 Yes Section 48(2)
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 252(3) No Sections 45ndash48
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 186 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 232 No Sections 45ndash48
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 233 No Sections 45ndash48
Bank engaged in brokerageoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 24 No Sections 45ndash48
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 31 No Sections 45ndash48
877COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech Republic
Investment advisers(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Licensed by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must pass exam set bysecurities marketregulator
Yes Article 333 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Securities market regulatorhas right of access andinspection
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
License can be suspendedor revoked by securitiesmarket regulator
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Required to engage inldquohonest tradingrdquo and actin the interest of clients
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not conduct otherbusiness with the samename
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report who has morethan 5 percent of votingrights at general meetingof shareholders
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must report any change ofvoting rights for oneperson above 2 percent
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Bank engaged ininvestment advisoryoperations must haveorganizational andnancial separateness ofdepartment for publictrading in securities
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Must not trade securitiesissued by parent orsubsidiary company
Yes Article 33 No Not mentioned inthe Czech law
Sources Poland Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Securities Act 1992
878 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Trading must take place ona stock exchange Yes Article 541 No
Section 50 of theSecurities Law
Securities regulatorcontrols stock exchangerules Yes No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure a uniform market Yes Article 57(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Securities exchange shouldensure dissemination ofuniform information onthe value of securities Yes Article 57(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Agreements among anygroups to articiallyraise or lower the priceof securities areprohibited Yes Article 643 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may beadministered solely bymutual fund companies Yes Article 892 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund companies arelicensed by securitiesregulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company canbe dissolved by securitiesregulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companiesmust be joint stockcompanies Yes Article 901 No Section 2
Only registered shares areallowed in mutual fundcompanies (no bearershares) Yes Article 922 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Closed-end funds areallowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10 ofshare capital Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Founder not allowed to beon Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Publicly traded securitiesor governmentobligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
879COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ment advisors the Polish law contained substantial regulationsincluding licensing The Polish law restricted trading to takeplace on a stock exchange and regulated these exchanges to
TABLE V(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
No more than 5 of thefunds assets can be insecurities issued by oneissuer Yes Article 108 No Section 17
Custodian banks (for mutual funds)
All fund assets must beentrusted to a trusteebank Yes Article 1121 Yes Section 31
Trustee bank must makesure that sale andretirement ofparticipation units in thefund are consonant withthe law and house rulesof the fund Yes
Article1122(2) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank mustcompute the net worth ofthe fundrsquos assets Yes
Article1122(3) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must notexecute instructions thatare in conict with thelaw or house rules of thefund Yes
Article1122(4) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank must makesure income of the fundis made public Yes
Article1122(6) No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Trustee bank may not be afounder of the mutualfund company or a buyerof its securities or theadministrator of thecompany Yes Article 1131 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Mutual fund company maynot buy securities issuedby the trustee bank or arelated company Yes Article 1132 No
Not mentioned inCzech law
Source Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds 1991 Czech Investment Companies andInvestment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
ensure some transparency in trading The Czech law did notinclude such regulations The Polish law contained detailed regu-lations of mutual funds and in fact for several years the entryinto this activity was severely limited The Czech law took a muchmore lenient approach again Finally the Polish law containedstringent regulations of custodian banks which are an importantcheckpoint for changes in ownership that might facilitate tunnel-ing The Czech law again was less restrictive
Finally the Polish Securities law to a much greater extentthan the Czech law established administrative procedures en-abling the securities market regulator to discipline the interme-diaries without recourse to the judicial system The intermediariescould then appeal the decisions of the regulator to administrativecourts but then they rather than the regulator had to face thedelays and the inefciency of the judicial system Because the judi-ciary in neither country is corrupt the regulators had little fear oftheir lawful decisions being overturned
Table VI compares the two original laws from the perspectiveof the regulation of security issuers especially in the area ofdisclosure Recall that greater disclosure of nancial informationcan serve to reduce the cost of information acquisition by a regu-lator or a judge In Poland the introduction of securities to publictrading required both permission of the regulator and a prospec-tus The Czech law required neither The Polish law requiredmonthly quarterly semiannual and annual reporting of nan-cial information the Czech law only the annual results ThePolish law required disclosure of all material information theCzech law only that of signicant adverse developments
Financial results are one area where disclosure may be im-portant ownership structure is another The Polish law requireddisclosure of substantial minority shareholdings the Czech lawdid not Indeed under the original Polish law a shareholdercrossing 10 20 33 50 66 and 75 percent ownership stakes hadto publicly disclosure his ownership The lack of disclosure ofminority shareholdings has been seen as a problem in several WestEuropean countries since it enables anonymous large shareholdersto collude with management and expropriate minority shareholders[European Corporate Governance Network 1997] Finally the orig-inal Polish law also required a mandatory bid for the remainingshares when a 50 percent ownership threshold was reached theCzech law did not Such mandatory bids combined with disclosureof ownership are intended to prevent the expropriation of minority
881COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
IR
EG
UL
AT
ION
OF
LIS
TE
DC
OM
PA
NIE
S
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Reg
ula
tion
ofli
sted
com
pan
ies
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
perm
issi
onof
the
secu
riti
esre
gula
tor
Yes
Art
icle
49N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Intr
odu
ctio
nof
secu
riti
esin
topu
blic
trad
ing
requ
ires
apr
ospe
ctu
sY
esA
rtic
le50
2N
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Fal
sest
atem
ent
inpr
ospe
ctu
sis
forb
idde
nY
esA
rtic
le11
8Y
esS
ecti
on79
Mon
thly
repo
rtin
gof
n
anci
alin
form
atio
nY
esR
eg
ofS
ecC
omm
an
dS
tock
Exc
han
geN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Qua
rter
lyre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Sem
ian
nu
alre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
An
nua
lre
port
ing
of
nan
cial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
Yes
Sec
tion
80
Obl
igat
ion
topu
blis
hal
lm
ater
ial
info
rmat
ion
Yes
Reg
of
Sec
Com
m
and
Sto
ckE
xch
ange
No
Sec
tion
80ju
stsi
gni
can
tad
vers
ede
velo
pmen
ts
Con
stra
ints
onpu
rch
aser
spo
ten
tial
con
trol
ling
shar
ehol
ders
Tra
nsp
aren
cyof
own
ersh
ipre
quir
emen
tY
esN
oC
entr
efo
rS
ecu
riti
esca
nch
ange
own
ersh
ipw
ith
out
disc
losu
reT
hre
shol
dat
wh
ich
mus
tde
clar
est
ake
(per
cen
t)N
one
10Y
esA
rtic
le72
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w20
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w33
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w50
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w66
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w75
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
882 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
For
mof
disc
losu
rere
quir
edto
Sec
uri
ties
Com
mis
sion
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oA
nti-
Mon
opol
yO
fce
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wT
oco
mpa
ny
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wC
ompa
ny
mu
stan
nou
nce
wh
oow
ns
mor
eth
an10
Y
esIn
2n
atio
nal
Pol
ish
new
spap
ers
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Th
resh
old
atw
hic
hm
ust
mak
ege
ner
alof
fer
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
inte
nd
topa
sssp
eci
edth
resh
old
for
own
ersh
ipst
ake
Yes
An
ype
rson
wh
oin
tend
sto
acqu
ire
shar
esin
one
com
pan
yon
ceor
byw
ayof
repe
ated
tran
sact
ion
sbe
com
ing
wit
hin
12m
onth
sth
eh
olde
rof
shar
esin
anam
oun
tth
atgu
aran
tees
him
reac
hin
gor
surp
assi
ng
33pe
rcen
tof
vote
sat
the
gen
eral
mee
tin
gsh
all
beob
lige
dto
doso
sole
lyby
way
ofpu
blic
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
the
exch
ange
orsh
ares
(Art
icle
73)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Mu
stm
ake
offe
rif
actu
alow
ner
ship
stak
epa
sses
spec
ied
thre
shol
dY
esA
nype
rson
who
has
beco
me
aho
lder
ofsh
ares
inon
eco
mpa
nyre
pres
enti
ngov
er50
perc
ent
ofth
evo
tes
atth
ege
nera
lmee
ting
sha
llbe
oblig
edp
rior
toex
erci
sing
any
pow
ers
resu
ltin
gfr
omth
eri
ght
tovo
tet
oan
noun
cean
invi
tati
onto
subs
crib
efo
rth
esa
leor
exch
ange
ofth
ere
mai
ning
shar
esin
that
com
pany
(Art
icle
87)
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
883COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
TA
BL
EV
I(C
ON
TIN
UE
D)
Pol
and
Cze
chR
epu
blic
Ten
der
offe
rru
les
Not
allo
wed
toh
ide
behi
nda
rela
ted
com
pany
Yes
Can
not
hide
beh
ind
ldquodep
ende
nt
subj
ectrdquo
(Art
icle
72(2
)A
rtic
le73
(2))
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
w
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns
insh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dY
esA
lltr
ansa
ctio
ns
inth
issh
are
onth
est
ock
exch
ange
shou
ldbe
susp
ende
dN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Tim
eli
mit
for
subs
crib
ing
Yes
25da
ysN
oN
otm
enti
oned
inC
zech
law
Mu
stbu
yal
lth
esh
ares
offe
red
Yes
No
Not
men
tion
edin
Cze
chla
wS
peci
ed
pric
efo
rpu
rch
ase
t
heC
omm
issi
onm
ayfo
rbid
the
anno
unc
ing
ofth
ein
vita
tion
if
the
pric
eof
fere
din
the
invi
tati
onis
low
erby
10pe
rcen
tth
anth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
duri
ng
3m
onth
sim
med
iate
lypr
eced
ing
the
anno
unc
emen
tof
the
invi
tati
on
(Art
icle
74)
The
pric
eof
fere
d
can
not
belo
wer
than
the
hig
hes
tpr
ice
paid
ther
eby
for
the
shar
esin
the
last
12m
onth
sor
wh
ere
nosu
chpr
ice
was
paid
mdashth
eav
erag
em
arke
tpr
ice
inth
ela
st30
days
befo
reth
ean
noun
cem
ent
ofth
ein
vita
tion
Th
epr
ice
shal
lal
sobe
rega
rded
asth
eva
lue
ofth
ings
orri
ghts
inte
nded
tobe
give
nby
the
invi
ting
pers
onin
exch
ange
for
shar
esC
ondi
tion
su
nde
rw
hic
hca
nldquog
opr
ivat
erdquoS
ecu
riti
esC
omm
issi
onm
ust
appr
ove
Yes
Not
spec
ied
Sou
rces
Pol
ish
and
Cze
chS
ecur
itie
sL
aws
884 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
shareholders in tender offers since they force an acquirer to buy outminority shareholders when he gains control
This evidence shows that Poland chose to regulate its secu-rities markets more stringently than the Czech Republic In linewith the model its law provided for extensive disclosure of nan-cial and ownership information a way to reduce c and thus tofacilitate regulation (as well as private governance) The Polishreliance on nancial intermediaries to ensure nancial disclosurecan also be seen as a reduction in c Also in line with the modelPoland relied on administrative control over markets by a moti-vated securities regulator an increase in a relative to judicialenforcement This could in principle motivate the regulators tobecome informed and reduce the likelihood of leniency We nextconsider whether this approach worked
VI OUTCOMES
A Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices rapid privatization and openness to the Westcombined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czecheconomic reforms By 1996 however there was mounting evi-dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders byInvestment Privatization Funds and company insiders colludingwith them Coffee [1996] who rst presented his paper in 1994drew attention to such expropriationmdashwhich came to be knownas tunneling In a typical scheme the managers of an IPF holdinga large stake in a privatized company would agree with themanagers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)entity which they would jointly control The IPF might then sellits shares in the company to this entity at below market pricethereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF The companycould also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entityagain at below fair value thereby expropriating its own minorityshareholders These arrangements between corporate managersand their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expenseof minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee[1996 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic)
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunnelingFirst since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-change large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-change at less than the prevailing market price Even on an
885COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
exchange there was no guarantee of price uniformity Moreoverbrokers and brokerage rms had no restrictions on facilitatingsuch transactions nor did the custodian banks have any regula-tory duty to stop them Second since there was no requirement ofownership disclosure the acquirers of large blocks could remainsecret Third without a mandatory bid these acquirers had noobligation to buy out the remaining minority shareholdersFourth the IPFs appear to have been under no restrictions inpursuing such transactions since their management did not oweany clearly regulated duty to their investors let alone to theminority shareholders of the companies they tunneled Fifththere was no reason to disclose any nancial transactions be-tween the new owner of shares and the company since suchtransactions were generally allowed and did not need to be dis-closed except perhaps in the annual report several months laterFinally the minority shareholders had virtually no legal recoursein stopping such expropriation except in a very few cases whenthe oppressed minority mechanism came into play and evensubstantial minority shareholders could not elect their own di-rectors to represent their interests
During the mid-1990s the heyday of tunneling in the CzechRepublic the regulators did very little to stop it Part of theproblem was the weakness of the laws But equally importantwas probably the lack of interest of securities regulators com-bined with judicial ineffectiveness
By 1996 it became widely believed that something had gonewrong with the regulation of the Czech nancial markets InMarch 1996 the Central European Economic Review a publica-tion of the Wall Street Journal surveyed assorted brokerages andfund managers on corporate governance in four transition econo-mies The survey asked respondents to comment on the disclo-sure of large shareholdings transparency of markets quality ofreporting protection of small shareholders and insider tradingThe Polish market came out as the best of the four followed bythe Hungarian market The Czech market came third ahead ofthe Russian market which received the lowest score on everydimension The Polish market outscored the Czech market onevery dimension with large spreads on the disclosure of owner-ship and transparency Consistent with this general assessmentthe International Federation of Stock Exchanges admitted theWarsaw Exchange as a full member as early as 1994 on thegrounds that the regulation of securities markets met its stan-
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
dards As of this writing the Prague Stock Exchange still had notbeen admitted even as an associate member
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregiousthan those in the Czech Republic and often invited an aggressiveregulatory response The best known Polish scandal involves afailure of a large conglomerate Elektrim to reveal in a prospec-tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuablesubsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as apayment for services) When the agreement came to light Elek-trimrsquos shareholders complained and the Securities Commissionquickly referred the case to a public prosecutor The top managerof Elektrim was forced to step down The Elektrim case illus-trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-ties law in the enforcement of investor rights The failure by thecompany to disclose possibly material information in a prospectuswas the source of the Commissionrsquos investigation under the se-curities law This failed disclosure also brought about an effort bythe outside shareholders to change the board of directors usingthe commercial code which ultimately brought down the topmanager This interplay between the securities law and the com-pany law appears in other countries as well the securities lawforces disclosure which in turn invites shareholder activism us-ing the provisions of company law
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-istrative oversight of the intermediaries In 1994 Bank Slaskione of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker atthe time was privatized In response to the evidence that thebrokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocatingshares in this privatization the regulators took away its broker-age license This was done against opposition from the Ministry ofFinance
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors it was not justtheir ideology that made a difference In the cases we examinedthey relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did notexist in the Czech law consistent with the view that reductions inc matter The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated topolice the market aggressively consistent with the view that alevel of a above that of the judges may be benecial Importantly(and in line with the model) the Polish regulator also had thepower and not just the motivation to punish the violations ofrules
887COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
B Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-ment in Poland and the Czech Republic In terms of capitaliza-tion the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polishmarket thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Praguestock exchange as a result of privatization As a share of GDP theCzech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polishmarket By 1998 the valuation of the Polish market increasedalmost sevenfold The valuation of the Czech market increaseduntil 1996 but then fell and the market ended up at roughlydouble its 1994 value Over this period the Polish market rose to141 percent of GDP although the Czech market capitalizationremained a larger share of GDP at 242 percent
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies inPoland and the Czech Republic It separates the Czech companiesinto those trading on the main market (most liquid) those trad-ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure andoccasional trading) and those listed on the free market (withhardly any disclosure and infrequent trading) The listed Polishcompanies are separated into those trading on the main marketand those trading on the parallel (again less liquid) market The
TABLE VIISTOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Marketcaptialization
MarketCapGDP Number of issues listed
PolandCzech
Republic PolandCzech
Republic Poland Czech Republic
US $m end of year End of year End of year
Mainmarket
Parallelmarket Total
Mainmarket
Secondmarket
Freemarket Total
1991 144 019 9 0 91992 222 026 16 0 161993 2706 315 22 0 22 3 0 966 9691994 3057 5938 330 149 44 0 44 34 0 990 10241995 4564 15664 384 308 65 0 65 62 6 1630 16981996 8390 18077 623 320 83 0 83 42 51 1535 16281997 12135 12786 895 246 143 0 143 45 58 217 3201998 20461 12045 1410 242 198 20 218 10 94 179 283
Sources Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and includeNational Investment Funds Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
vast majority of Czech companies barely traded and most of therms trading on the free market were delisted by the late 1990sThe number of rms on the main market having risen to 62 in1995 fell all the way down to 10 by 1998 with most of the rmsbeing transferred to the less liquid secondary market By 1998most listed Czech rms had been either delisted or transferred toan exchange with only limited liquidity In contrast despite amuch lower initial level the number of listed Polish rms rosesteadily over time and hardly any rms were transferred to theparallel market
Figure IV reports the number of Czech and Polish stocks overtime included in the IFC Investable Index compiled by WorldBankrsquos International Finance Corporation the maker of standardemerging market indices The IFC Investable Index generallyincludes only the stocks liquid enough that foreign investors canldquopracticallyrdquo take positions in them This Index for Poland startedout with 9 stocks in 1992 and rose to 34 stocks in 1998 In theCzech Republic the Index included ve stocks in 1993 and onlythirteen in 1998 Almost all of these thirteen stocks were eithergovernment or foreign controlled The value of the IFC InvestableIndex in Poland having started below that in the Czech Republichas by the end of 1998 far surpassed it (Figure V)
Perhaps the most signicant indicator of success of a nan-
FIGURE IVNumber of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
889COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
cial market is how effectively it enables rms to raise capitalTable VIII presents data on the number of initial public offerings(for cash as opposed to vouchers) in the Czech Republic and
FIGURE VMarket Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIIIINITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
Czech Republic initialpublic offerings
Poland initialpublic offerings
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
Issued aspart of
privatization
Issued byprivate
companies
1991 0 0 9 mdash1992 0 0 5 21993 0 0 4 21994 0 0 8 141995 0 0 6 151996 0 0 3 151997 0 0 10 361998 0 0 5 52Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchangeor public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic
Source Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund
890 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Poland It also distinguishes between offerings of shares in pri-vatizing companies coming into public ownership through ota-tion and offerings by new private companiesmdashthe latter beingperhaps a more effective indicator of a marketrsquos effectivenessBetween 1991ndash1998 no Czech company sold equity for cash aspart of initial privatization whereas 50 Polish companies did9
This is not surprising since the Czech Republic has followed anoncash privatization strategy At the same time the data showthat no private Czech company had done an IPO on the Pragueexchange By comparison 136 nonprivatizing companies hadgone public on the Warsaw exchange This is perhaps the stron-gest evidence of the differential effectiveness of the two markets
What about the total amount of capital raised on the stockexchange by both already listed and newly admitted companiesTable IX presents the data since 1996 These numbers are moredifcult to interpret since there have been several rights offeringsin the Czech Republic for which data are not available The dataagain show that no new or already listed Czech company raisedequity funds on the exchange through a public offering In con-trast the Polish data show rapidly growing equity nancing byboth new and already listed rms In 1998 over U S $1 billion ofnew equity funds was raised on the Warsaw exchange
9 A foreign-controlled mobile phone company Ceske Radiokomunikceraised $134m in 1998 by issuing Global Depositary Receipts in London
TABLE IXNEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U S DOLLARS
CzechRepublic Poland
CzechRepublic Poland
Total capitalraised through public
issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Total capitalraised throughpublic issues
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
Alreadylisted
companies
Newlyadmitted
companies
On PragueStock
Exchange
On WarsawStock
Exchange
1996 0 0 319 675 0 38651997 0 0 5474 4386 0 9861998 0 0 8186 328 0 11466
Source International Federation of Stock Exchanges (FIBV) wwwbvcom
891COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
This evidence is consistent with both the reading of the lawsand the qualitative assessments The regulated Polish stock mar-ket grew faster maintained greater liquidity and has been abetter source of capital for rms than the less regulated Czechmarket
After a period of hostility toward any criticism of its policiestoward the stock market the Czech government introduced anumber of reforms starting in 1996 These included disclosure ofblockholdings greater regulation (through disclosure and other-wise) of investment funds restrictions on trading off the ex-change some separation of investment and commercial bankingand nally in April 1998 the creation of an independent Secu-rities Commission
VII DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point tosignicant problems in the Czech nancial system Still we onlyhave one comparison and our analysis of even this case is subjectto alternative interpretations Here we discuss some of theseinterpretations
To begin our assessment of the Czech situation may be undulyharsh Overall the Czech economy performed well during the 1990sas the transition indicators show Did the Czech rms simply avoidthe stock market and raise capital elsewhere
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equitynance has undermined investment by Czech rms there is noevidence of effective substitute sources of external nance TheCzech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms andhave themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-neling as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans If any-thing the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured thelack of equity nance The venture capital industry is also moredeveloped in Poland than in the Czech Republic
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in theCzech Republic Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrialproduction fell from 1133 to 1097 in the Czech Republic androse from 736 to 1274 in Poland Much of that growth in Polandcame from new rms often relying on external equity nanceMore generally the available evidence from other countries sug-gests that stock market development is associated with faster
892 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
economic growth and better resource allocation [Levine and Zer-vos 1998 Beck Levine and Loayza 2000 Wurgler 2000]
A second concern holds that the Czechs may have only fol-lowed a different strategy of stock market development oat allthe companies you can through privatization and then see whichones survive market selection As part of becoming private rmscould always commit in the Coasian style to charters that wouldobligate them to treat investors well and thus facilitate externalnance in the future Even if the Czech strategy resulted inmassive delisting of shares and investor losses in many rms thettest rms with most market-friendly charters survived SuchDarwinian arguments were made by the Czech reformers in theearly 1990s Indeed the Czech market still has more listed com-panies than Polandrsquos and their aggregate value is still higher asa share of GDP Is this approach to market development obvi-ously inferior
We believe that it is In the 1990s the Czech market saw notsome Darwinian selection of the ttest rms but rather tunnel-ingmdashthe diversion (both legal and illegal) of assets from both goodand bad rms Coasian contracts bonding rms to treat investorswell did not materialize The survival of the theft-proof rms isnot an efcient mechanism of economic selection The most ef-cient rms might be the most attractive to tunnel making themthe least rather than the most likely to survive Such tunnelingwas not expected either by the Czech reformers or the investors inthe Czech rms Moreover the cost of tunneling has been theinability of both new and existing rms to raise equity capitalwhich is perhaps the marketrsquos main function It is hard to con-sider this outcome a success even if the government had expectedDarwinian selection
Even if one agrees that the Czech stock market has not func-tioned admirably one can still object to our inference that the lack ofregulation is to blame The leading alternative culprit is mass pri-vatization in the Czech Republic which led to the listing of hundredsof rms on the stock market But privatized rms have generallyoutperformed those remaining in government hands in the CzechRepublic [Claessens 1997 Claessens and Djankov 1999 Frydman etal 1999] as elsewhere [Megginson and Netter 2001] If anythingprivatization could have jump-started nancial markets Moreoverif the regulation had focused on intermediaries as it did in Poland inthe 1990s the large number of listed rms would not have been aproblem so long as the number of intermediaries was small Indeed
893COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
much of the tunneling in the Czech Republic was perpetratedby relatively few IPFs and related intermediaries which could inprinciple have been regulated with limited resources Ultimatelythe arguments come back to the Czech failure to protect investorsthrough the regulation of intermediaries
Assuming that the regulation of nancial markets was in-deed inadequate in the Czech Republic and that this inadequacyhad some costs why has the system not adapted in other ways tothis regulatory failure Several such adaptations come to mindPerhaps private associations of market participants could havebeen created to enforce good conduct among members Perhapsthe Prague Stock Exchange could design its own private regula-tions to protect investors similar to those of Germanyrsquos NeuerMarkt [Johnson 2000] Perhaps the Czech companies could optinto more protective legal regimes including those abroadthereby committing themselves to good conduct and accessingexternal nance Perhaps the Czech companies could individual-ize their corporate charters and incorporate good standards ofconduct into these charters in principle a Czech company couldagree to adhere to the Polish law in its charter Finally why didthe Czechs not reform their judiciary and thereby avoid the needfor regulation altogether
An examination of the Czech record and of the experiences ofother countries points to problems with each of these adaptationstrategies First the Czech investment funds have indeed formedassociations But since some of their powerful members them-selves engaged in tunneling these associations were not a strongforce against tunneling in the mid-1990s The brokers in theCzech Republic perhaps for related reasons were unable to forman effective association Second some of the companies from therst wave of the Czech privatization have listed shares in Viennaand Berlin but none raised capital there They listed for theconvenience of foreign traders and the listing had no conse-quences for corporate governance since the underlying corporateand securities law remained Czech Third nonstandard corporatecharters need to be enforced by courts whose limitations we havealready discussed If rules from Poland are incorporated into acharter of a Czech rm the Czech courts still need to interpretthe Polish statutes which even the Polish courts have troubledoing In a world of limited judicial enforcement customizedcharters are hardly a solution to the corporate governanceproblem
894 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
The argument then boils down to the possibility of radicalimprovement of the courts increases in b in the language of themodel As we have argued in Section III transition economiesstill have a long way to go before their judiciaries achieve theefciency levels of those in rich industrial countries In the mean-time and consistent with the model regulation can serve as asubstitute for the judicial enforcement of private contracts andlaws
VIII THE CASE OF HUNGARY
As a secondary check on our approach we briey considernancial regulation and market development in Hungary an-other rapidly reforming East European transition economy Hun-gary started the transition slightly poorer than the Czech Repub-lic but received similar high scores on reform as Poland and theCzech Republic Hungary relied more heavily than the other twocountries on sales of control to foreigners in privatizationmdashachoice that inuenced its securities markets On the quality of thejustice system the 1996 Global Competitiveness Report gaveHungary the score of 292 indistinguishable from Poland and theCzech Republic Gray et al [1993] have the same complaintsabout the Hungarian judiciary as they do about the Czech andPolish judiciaries The 1997 World Competitiveness Yearbookhowever gave Hungary a sharply higher score of 554 than itgave the other two countries although still signicantly lowerthan those of the rich industrial countries The comparison withHungary is not as clean an experiment as the comparison ofPoland and the Czech Republic but it does add some data
Hungary reformed its corporate law in 1988 and securitieslaw in 1990 a bit earlier than the other two countries Its share-holder rights score is 2 the same as the Czech Republic and apoint below Poland In its regulation of securities markets Hun-gary falls clearly between the two countries Unlike Poland andlike the Czech Republic it had almost no regulations of individualbrokers and none of investment advisors Hungary regulatedbrokerage rms more strictly than the Czech Republic but stilldid not have the Polish ldquohonest tradingrdquo requirements Hungaryalso had very weak stock market regulations and in particular norequirement that trading must take place on the exchange or thatthe exchange must ensure a uniform market price Hungaryrsquosregulation of mutual funds was between the Polish and the
895COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
Czech On the other hand Hungary like Poland and unlike theCzech Republic had relatively strict regulation of custodianbanks With respect to the issuers of securities Hungary likePoland required permission of the regulator to bring a new issueto the market as well as a prospectus It only required annualreporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownershiphowever In sum Hungary regulated securities markets far morethoroughly than the Czech Republic but not as pervasively insome important dimensions as Poland Consistent with this as-sessment of the legal rules the Budapest Stock Exchange wasadmitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-eration of Stock Exchangesmdashnot as good as the full membershipgranted to the Warsaw Exchange but better than the outrightexclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange
What about the development of the stock market Hungaryactually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratioof market capitalization to GDP which stood at 292 percentin 1998 This ratio however reected foreign control and highvaluation of the largest rms including the phone company con-trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted forhalf of the aggregate stock market value At the end of 1998Hungary had only 55 listed companies fewer than either of theother two countries Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted) 54 did so aspart of privatization and did not raise any funds Only ve werenew private rms and three of them were foreign-controlled Thiscompares favorably with the Czech Republic but falls far short ofthe Polish success The Hungarian companies raised about $80million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market comparedwith over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-lic in some potentially important respects this evidence is con-sistent with our approach Hungaryrsquos stricter regulation of mar-kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicantforeign control) paid off in a higher market valuation as well assome equity market access for new rms but it had not experi-enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland
IX CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions First the evidencecorroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
896 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
helped by the legal protection of outside investorsmdashboth share-holders and creditorsmdashfrom expropriation by issuers and nan-cial intermediaries This indeed has been the focus of the Polishnancial regulations in their emphasis on disclosure and theadministrative oversight of the intermediaries
Second the evidence is consistent with the prediction of themodel that an important element of investor protection is thedisclosure of information by issuers and intermediaries Suchdisclosure is often mandated by securities laws which thus playa key role in investor protection The benets of disclosure areboth to reduce the cost to the regulators (and judges) of gettinginformed and to enable private corporate governance mecha-nisms to function more effectively
Third and most generally the analysis bears on a crucialquestion in law and economics who should enforce laws or con-tracts We establish the conditions under which regulatory en-forcement presents an attractive alternative to judicial enforce-ment In emerging markets where the costs of verifying thecircumstances of specic cases and interpreting statutes are highjudges may not be sufciently motivated to enforce legal rulesEnforcement by regulators with more lopsided but powerful in-centives may then be a more efcient way to protect propertyrights The Polish regulation of securities markets presents oneexample of such evidently benecial regulation taking place inprecisely the circumstances suggested by our model
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBERMASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
HARVARD UNIVERSITY AND NBER
REFERENCES
Balcerowicz Leszek Socialism Capitalism Transformation (Budapest CentralEuropean University Press 1995)
Beck Thorsten Ross Levine and Norman Loayza ldquoFinance and the Sources ofGrowthrdquo Journal of Financial Economics LVIII (2000) 261ndash300
Becker Gary and George Stigler ldquoLaw Enforcement Malfeasance and the Com-pensation of Enforcersrdquo Journal of Legal Studies III (1974) 1ndash18
Claessens Stijn ldquoCorporate Governance and Equity Prices Evidence from theCzech and Slovak Republicsrdquo Journal of Finance LI (1997) 1641ndash1658
Claessens Stijn and Simeon Djankov ldquoOwnership Concentration and CorporatePerformance in the Czech Republic Journal of Comparative EconomicsXXVII (1999) 498ndash513
Coase Ronald ldquoThe Problem of Social Costrdquo Journal of Law and Economics III(1960) 1ndash44 reprinted in Coase [1988]
mdashmdash The Firm the Market and the Law (Chicago University of Chicago Press1988)
Coffee John C Jr ldquoInstitutional Investors in Transitional Economies Lessons
897COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
from the Czech Experiencerdquo in Corporate Governance in Central Europe andRussia Volume 1 Roman Frydman Cheryl W Gray and Andrzej Rapaczyn-ski eds (Budapest Central European University Press distributed by Ox-ford University Press New York 1996a)
mdashmdash ldquoInventing a Corporate Monitor for Transitional Economies The UncertainLessons from Czech and Polish Experiencesrdquo in Klaus Hopt et al edsComparative Corporate Governance The State of Emerging Research (OxfordClarendon Press 1998)
mdashmdash ldquoThe Future as History The Prospects for Global Convergence in CorporateGovernance and its Implicationsrdquo Northwestern Law Review XCIII (1999)631ndash707
De Melo Martha Cevdet Denizer and Alan Gelb ldquoFrom Plan to Market Patternsof Transitionrdquo Background paper for the 1996 World Development ReportWorld Bank 1996
Easterbrook Frank and Daniel Fischel The Economic Structure of CorporateLaw (Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1991)
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Transition Report (LondonEBRD 1995)
mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1996)mdashmdash Transition Report (London EBRD 1997)European Corporate Governance Network The Separation of Ownership and
Control A Survey of 7 European Countries Preliminary Report to the Euro-pean Commission Volumes 1ndash4 (Brussels European Corporate GovernanceNetwork 1997)
Frydman Roman Cheryl Gray Marek Hessel and Andrzej Rapaczynski ldquoWhenDoes Privatization Work The Impact of Private Ownership on CorporatePerformance in the Transition Economiesrdquo Quarterly Journal of EconomicsCXIV (1999) 1153ndash1192
Glaeser Edward Daniel Kessler and Ann Piehl ldquoWhat do Prosecutors Maxi-mizerdquo American Law and Economics Review II (2000) 259ndash290
Gray Cheryl W et al ldquoEvolving Legal Frameworks for Private Sector Develop-ment in Central and Eastern Europerdquo World Bank Discussion Paper No 209(1993)
Gwartney James and Robert Lawson Economic Freedom of the World 1997(Vancouver Canada Fraser Institute 1997)
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook (Lausanne Switzerland 1997)Johnson Simon ldquoWhich Rules Matter Evidence from Germanyrsquos Neuer Marktrdquo
MIT manuscript 2000Johnson Simon Peter Boone Alasdair Breach and Eric Friedman ldquoCorporate
Governance in the Asian Financial Crisisrdquo Journal of Financial EconomicsLVIII (2000a) 141ndash186
Johnson Simon Rafael La Porta Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes and Andrei Shle-ifer ldquoTunnelingrdquo American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings XC(2000b) 22ndash27
Klaus Vaclav Renaissance The Rebirth of Liberty in the Heart of Europe (Wash-ington DC Cato Institute 1997)
Landis James M The Administrative Process (New Haven CT Yale UniversityPress 1938)
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert VishnyldquoLegal Determinants of External Financerdquo Journal of Finance LII (1997)1131ndash1150
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoLaw and Financerdquo Journal of Political Economy CVI (1998)1113ndash1155
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoThe Quality of Governmentrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Orga-nization XV (1999) 222ndash279
La Porta Rafael Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes Andrei Shleifer and Robert WVishny ldquoInvestor Protection and Corporate Governancerdquo Journal of Finan-cial Economics LVIII (2000) 3ndash26
Levine Ross and Sara Zervos ldquoStock Markets Banks and Economic GrowthrdquoAmerican Economic Review LXXXVIII (1998) 537ndash558
898 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS
McCraw Thomas K Prophets of Regulation (Cambridge MA Harvard Univer-sity Press 1984)
Megginson William L and Jeffery M Netter ldquoFrom State to Market A Surveyof Empirical Studies on Privatizationrdquo Journal of Economic LiteratureXXXIX (2001) 321ndash389
Pistor Katharina ldquoLaw Meets the Market Matches and Mismatches in Transi-tion Economiesrdquo manuscript 1995
mdashmdash ldquoLaw as a Determinant for Equity Market Development The Experience ofTransition Economiesrdquo manuscript Max Planck Institute for Comparativeand International Private Law 1999
Polinsky Mitchell and Steven Shavell ldquoThe Economic Theory of Public Enforce-ment of Lawrdquo Journal of Economic Literature XXXVIII (2000) 45ndash76
Posner Richard A ldquoWhat Do Judges Maximizerdquo Chapter 3 in Overcoming Law(Cambridge MA Harvard University Press 1995)
Ramseyer Mark and Eric Rasmusen ldquoJudicial Independence in the Civil LawRegime The Evidence from Japanrdquo Journal of Law Economics and Organi-zation XIII (1997) 259ndash286
Stigler George J ldquoPublic Regulation of the Securities Marketrdquo Journal of Busi-ness XXXVII (1964) 117ndash142
mdashmdash ldquoThe Theory of Economic Regulationrdquo Bell Journal of Economics and Man-agement Science II (1971) 3ndash21
World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Report (Davos Switzerland1996)
Wurgler Jeffrey ldquoFinancial Markets and the Allocation of Capitalrdquo Journal ofFinancial Economics LVIII (2000) 187ndash214
899COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS