clmv competitiveness -...
TRANSCRIPT
CLMV competitiveness
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Market- Rising purchasing
power- Organic Growth- Connectivity
Production- Young Labor
Force- Natural
Resources
- Production Network
OpportunitiesL
K
A
Exports
Investment
CLMVT is a major potential market for Thai economy.
Myanmar
Nominal GDP $64.3 bil
Real GDP Growth(5 Year Average)
27.96%
Total Population 53.4 mil
GDP per capita $4,800
Lao PDR
Nominal GDP $12.0 bil
Real GDP Growth (5 Year Average)
7.92%
Total Population 6.7 mil
GDP per capita $5,000
Vietnam
Nominal GDP 186.2 bil
Real GDP Growth(5 Year Average)
5.86%
Total Population 90.7 mil
GDP per capita $5,700
Cambodia
Nominal GDP $16.8 bil
Real GDP Growth(5 Year Average)
6.95%
Total Population 15.3 mil
GDP per capita $3,300
Source: World Bank, CIA, ASEAN
Thailand can easily access to CLMV as it is located in the center of the region.
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Source: World Bank
During the past decade, CLMV economies have been growing rapidly.
Thailand and CLMV’s Population Pyramid in 2016
Source: World Bank
Thailand is transitioning to the aging society while CLMV’s labor forces are growing with younger population.
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Thailand and CLMV’s Population Pyramid in 2050
Source: World Bank6
Thailand is transitioning to the aging society while CLMV people is younger and more vibrant.
* Exclude petroleum and petroleum productsSource: International Trade Centre
CLMV market has become more important asThai trading partners.
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Thailand Export structure to CLMV*
Source: Bank of Thailand
CLMV market is more important in terms of Thailand’s outward investment.
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Stocks of Thailand Outward Direct Investment (as of 2015 Q3)
Thailand’s Outward FDI in CLMV Countries
Source: Bank of Thailand
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Food and beveragesCP, THAIBEV,
MITRPHOL, KSL, BETAGRO
CP, THAIBEV, MITRPHOL, KSL,
BOONRAWDCP CP, THAIBEV
Chemical, Plastics, Paper Products
DOUBLE A TOA
Mining and Petroleum PTT BANGCHAK, PTTEP PTT, PTTEP
Electricity
BANPU, RATCHABURI ELECTRICITY,
EGCO
EGAT
Construction SCG CK, SCG ITD, SCG SCG
Wholesale & Retail Trade
SAHAPAT CENTRAL GROUP
Financial Activities BBL, SCBBBL, SCB, BAY,KTB,
BBL,SCB, KTB BBL,SCB, BAY
Real Estate Activities DUSIT,BAIYOKECENTARA, AMATA,
PRUKSA
Others
TG, BANGKOKAIRWAYSBANGKOK HOSPITAL
TG TGTG, BANGKOK
HOSPITAL
Currently, most Thai firms investing in CLMV are large companies.
Source:
WEAKNESSES
Infrastructure shortage
Unskilled labor
Low purchasing power
High logistic cost
High electricity cost
Fair financial and banking system
Small domestic market
No marine borderline
However, CLMV still lack infrastructure and skilled labors.
10Source: Bolliger and Co.
OPPORTUNITIES
Developing infrastructure
Special Economic Zone
FDI openness policy
Production for domestic and export
Generalized Systems of Preferences(GSP)
Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP)
Each government has promoted FDI by developing infrastructure and setting up Special Economic Zone.
11Source: Bolliger and Co.
THREATS
Unstable regulation
Skilled labor shortage
Language barrier
High competition
Ethnic minority conflict
Unstable regulation is the primary obstacle for doing business in CLMV.
12Source: Bolliger and Co.