climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in asian monsoon region (caam)
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The First International Workshop of CAAM 3-5 March 2012. Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM). Project leader: Prof . Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo. What is CAAM Project?. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in
Asian monsoon region (CAAM)
Project leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi
Department of Global Agricultural ScienceThe University of Tokyo 1
The First International Workshop of CAAM3-5 March 2012
What is CAAM Project?
• under the research framework of the Green Network of Excellence (GRENE) – One of 7 selected-projects– Biodiversity, Climate, Land, Water, Agriculture, Health, DIAS
• from 2011 to 2015 (by the end of March 2016)
• supported by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT)
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Budget in 5 years
• (2011) 63 Million JPY • (2012) 54 Million JPY • (2013) 50 Million JPY (hopefully)• (2014) 50 Million JPY (hopefully)• (2015) 50 Million JPY (hopefully)
• (Total) Approx. 267 Million JPY
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Objective of this workshop
• To discuss our research implementation and collaboration in each country – by exchanging present research activities related
with CAAM project
• To make short presentation – about research activities on the related topic and
expectation for CAAM project.
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Background• Asian monsoon region
– Large population (more than 60 % in the world)– Many agricultural countries– Rapid development– Rapid change in land use
• Need for adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture– against the predicted climatic changes– Control of GHG from agricultural fields
• Problem– Lack of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases
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Research plan
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Project aims
• To improve the reliability of future climate prediction
• To develop the information platform – which will be useful to design adaptation and
mitigation strategies in agriculture – against the predicted climatic changes in Asian
monsoon region
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Research targets• Development of agro-meteorological and
climatological data-bases • Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate • Elucidation of the effects of climatic changes on
major crops • Development of the information platform to
design adaptation and mitigation strategies of major crops against the predicted climatic changes– in Asian monsoon region
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Objectives
• Development of information system on agrometeorological and climatological data in Asian monsoon region – that can be utilized in DIAS (Data Integration and
Analysis System)
• Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate characteristic in Asian monsoon region – by utilizing climate model outputs available in DIAS
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Objectives• Elucidation of climate changes on major crops in
Asian monsoon region – by field surveys and development of evaluation
system utilizing meteorological data and crop models• Development of information platform to design
adaptation strategies of major crops – against the predicted climatic changes – to evaluate the mitigation potential – by reducing green house gasses from agricultural
sector in Asian monsoon region
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Planned benefits• Development of information platform on climate
changes, land use, and agro-meteorology, – that on the prediction of major crops against the predicted
climatic changes for designing adaptation and mitigation strategies in Asian monsoon region
• Education of young scientists in Asian developing countries who will lead researches on– adaptation and mitigation strategies against the future
climatic changes– development of regional collaboration network by them
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Planned benefits
• Development of research platform – for adaptation and mitigation policies in Asian agricultural
sector – against the future global warming in the coming post-Kyoto
Protocol period
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Members• Climate change research team 1 (CCR-1)
– Department of Geography, Tokyo Metropolitan University (GEO-TMU)
– Leader: Dr. Hiroshi G. Takahashi• Member: Ikumi Akasaka
• Climate change research team 2 (CCR-2)– Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Marine-
Earth Science and Technology (RIGC-JMSTEC)– Leader: Prof. Jun Matsumoto
• Members: Shin-ya Ogino, Nobuhiko Endo, Hisayuki Kubota, Shuichi Mori
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Members• Agricultural effect research team 1 (AER-1)
– Department of Global Agricultural Science, The University of Tokyo (GAS-UT)
– Leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi• Members: Seishi Ninomiya, Kazuhiko Kobayashi
• Agricultural effect research team 2 (AER-2)– National Agricultural Research Center, National
Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARC-NARO)
– Leader: Dr. Kei Tanaka• Members: Takuji Kiura, Hiroe Yoshida
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Members• Agricultural effect research team 3 (AER-3)
– National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences– Leader: Dr. Tsuneo Kuwagata– Members: Shigeto Sudo, Yusuke Takada, Kazunori
Minamikawa
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1) Development of Agro-climatological Data-base in the Developing Countries in Asian Monsoon Region (Climate Change Research Team 1: CCR-1) (JAMSTEC)
2011-
2012
Collection and digitization of agro-meteorological and climate data
2012-
2013
Completion and opening of the agro-climate database
2014-
2015
CCR2
Scenario data of agro-climatic conditions from AER1, 2
2013-
2014
Overseas collaboratinginstitutes
2012-
2013
In-situ observation (Vietnam, Philippines)
DIAS
Routine obs.duration of sunshine, temperature, humidity, wind speed, rainfall
Estimated valuessolar radiation
longwave radiationpotential
evapotranspirationclimatic wetness
Comparisons
Calculation
Formulae
Special obs.solar radiationlongwave radiation
Development of station-based and gridded database
Improvement of surface water and energy budget model and calculation of agro-meteorological elements
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2) Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) Changes on the Asian Monsoon Climate - Land-Atmosphere Interaction Study - (Climate Change Research Team 2: CCR-2) (Tokyo Metropolitan University)
2011-
2012
Long-term changes in rainfall (inter-comparison of several rainfall datasets)
Boundary condition datasets for climate simulation (soil moisture etc.)
2012-
2013
Impact of LULC changes on Asian monsoon climate using regional climate model
2014-
2015
Meteorological data from
AER2,3
2013-
2014
Inter-comparison of CMIP3/5 in terms of Land-Atmospheric interaction.
Long-term changes in Rainfall over 40 years in May
+
ー
DIAS
Meteorological data from CCR1
+
ー
Takahashi et al. (2010)
Takahashi (2011)
Rainfall Change due to land use change
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Presets for joint research(Thailand, Indonesia)
3) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey -Validation of evaluation system by field survey - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 1: AER-1) (Univ. of Tokyo)
Cropping survey and understand their characteristics
Examination of potential cultivation by crop models
Possible cultivation test for
suitable crop system
2011
2012 -
2013
2013-
2014
Development of infrastructure for Web applications use
2015
Spinach fieldrice cassava spinach
CCR-1
AER-2
Rain-fed rice field
Cassava field
Simulator for Cultivation Possibility of Rice
AER-3
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Rice cultivation possibility prediction tool
Collecting crop models & params.( for Asian Monsoon Region )
4) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey - Construction of an Assessment System Using Meteorological Data and Crop Models - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 2: AER-2) (NARO)
Rice Cultivar A
Spinach Cassava ・・・
・・・
Implementing cultivation simulators with flexibility which can exchange a crop model
Simulator execution ↓Climate change evaluation
Results of Climate Change Research Meteorological Data +Climate Change Coef.
• Clop models• Web applications• Framework for
developing applications
Existing Results2011-
2012
2012
2013-
2014
Improvement of the framework
VerificationCorrection
Implementing web applications → Deploying to DIAS
2015Improvement of simulators
Rain Fed Rice Field
Rice Cultivar B
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5) Development of Information Platform to Design Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies of Major Crops against the Predicted Climatic Changes in Asian Monsoon Region(Agricultural Effect Research Team 3: AER-3) (NIAES)
2011 -2014
Collecting data of meteorology, soil, land cover and agriculture
Evaluation of soil temperature and moisture of cropland
2012 -2014
Development of information platform for adaptation and mitigation strategies
2015
2014
2011 -2014
Compilation of agro-climate change scenarios
Measurement of greenhouse gas emissions from cropland
CCR-1
AER-1, 2
Rice field
Foreign Institutes for joint research
Database for planning adaptation and mitigation strategies
CCR-2
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