climate information portal for copernicus...

Frascati, February 4-6, 2014lipc

Climate Information Portalfor Copernicus

CLIPCMartin Juckes

[email protected]

Start: December 2013www.clipc.eu

UK STFC Magellium Ltd. Univeristy of Reading UK Met Office British Oceanographic Data CentreNetherlands: Dutch Met Office Alterra MarisGermany: Technical Uni. Dortmund Potsdam Inst. for Climate Climate Services CentreFrance: IPSL CERFACS TECFinland Met Office Environment Agency (SYKE)

Sweden SMHI Linköping UniversityNorway Met OfficeItaly CMCCSpain University of BarcelonaInternational Joint Research Centre

22 partners, 9 countries + 1 international

5 FP7-SPACE projects prepare for a Copernicus Climate Change Service: 1. ERA-CLIM2 (global reanalysis, Dick Dee, ECMWF)2. UERRA (regional reanalysis, Per Unden, SMHI)3. QA4ECV (air quality ECVs, Folkert Boersma, KNMI)4. CLIPC (climate impact platform, Martin Juckes, STFC)5. EUCLEIA (event attribution, Peter Stott, Met Office)

An overarching WP (led by Albert Klein-Tank) will co-ordinate information exchange between these projects and the outside world, including relevant Commission DGs and joint stakeholders

Albert Klein-Tank (WP11 lead)


CLIPC

ESA J.Huart

Temperature change

Societal impact

Flooding change

● Provide harmonised access to data from many sources;● Information on data value and limitations;● Indices of climate change and climate change impact;● A knowledge base of authoritative information; ● A toolkit to update and extend the collection of indices.


COPERNICUS Services

Marine

Climate

Atmosphere FP7 projects

end,Transitional

funding

5 FP7 projects

start

Mon

th 6

Mon

th 3

6

Phase IIPre-op Phase I

Proof of concept

ERA-CLIM2UERRAEUCLEIAQA4ECVCLIPC

EOI etc.


Consistent Data Store

Sectoral Information System

Eva

luat

ion

an

d

Qu

alit

y C

on

tro

l

Ou

tre

ach

an

dD

isse

min

atio

n


Consistent Data Store

Sectoral Information System

Eva

luat

ion

an

d

Qu

alit

y C

on

tro

l

Ou

tre

ach

an

dD

isse

min

atio

n

Petascale data backbone

SentinelsModelsIn-situ

Re-analysis

Data harmonisation

Toolbox for climate impacts


GFCS & CLIPC

lipc Component of CSIS?

Candidate technology

“CSIS comprises global, regional and national centres and entities that generate/process climate information (observations and predictions), and the exchange of data and products to agreed standards and protocols.”

Rupa Kumar Kolli, 2013


Why do we need CLIPC?A little learning is a dangerous thing;

Drink deep, or taste not the Pierian spring.

Alexander Pope, 1711 (An essay on criticism).

Pope's house, wikipedia

CLIPC is initiating the technical development of a data service

infrastructure to provide a comprehensive source of climate information.

CLIPC is initiating the technical development of a data service

infrastructure to provide a comprehensive source of climate information.


Example: The “hiatus”

IPCC AR5 Global Mean Temperature.. to 2012.

NASA GISS .. to 2013

● How does the extra year of data affect the conclusions drawn in IPCC AR5?

● Can we find a name describes the phenomenon rather than the desires of the climate science community?


Example: The “hiatus”CLIPC can (perhaps):● Update factual statements such as “111 out of 114

realizations show a GMST trend over 1998–2012 that is higher than the entire HadCRUT4 trend ensemble”;

● Make the link between societal issues (the “hiatus”) and relevant areas of scientific enquiry:➢ Gaps in the observational record;➢ Decadal variability in the ocean;➢ Model accuracy.

● Context: discrepancies which have been resolved.

CLIPC cannot:● Resolve scientific issues;● Review the latest literature;

cf. 166in CMIP5


The Global PerspectiveNASA Earth Observation System Data Information

System

“Free [no charge to users] access to data critical to success of EOSDIS” Martha Maiden (AGU, 2013).

Authoritativeassessment

Linking to the end users

Integrating globalresources


– Structures to organise data defined before data is generated;

– Terms to identify the data within this structure embedded in data files;

– Files held on disk, search metadata held in a database to give fast search performance;

– Access through a range of services;

– Single user account provides access across the entire federation; access authorisation on a project by project basis;

– Access to data across multiple sites.

ESGF: Persistent features

ESGF: Earth System Grid FederationPCMDI: Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison


Data Access

MARSIPY

EURO4M reanalyses

ngEO

EMODNet

ESA archives

Marine observations

ERA

CLIPCportal

high level interface

data collections

low level catalogue

ESA-CCI

HADOBS

SPECS

Eobs

obs4mip

CORDEXTHREDDS

ESGF-iCMIP5

IS-ENES(2)

climate4impact

THREDDS

CLIPC will exploit existing resources, exploiting the climate data service infrastructure supported by the FP7 projects IS-ENES and IS-ENES2.

IS-ENES: Infrastructure Support for the European Network Earth for Earth System Modelling

CCMI

ISI-MIP

SPECS


Climate4impact.eu (prototype)The climte4impact portal, hosted at KNMI, is able to display data held at any ESGF archive node. It provides a fast and flexible plotting service for CMIP5 and CORDEX data.

(2)


Producer: MIROCProducer: MIROCProducer: MIROCPu: MIROC

Data provider: MIROC

Identity provider: BADC

Distribution: DIAS (JAPAN)

Visualisation: KNMI

Quality control: DKRZ

Authorisation: PCMDI

A federated system optimises the use of the limiting resource: people.

Climate4impact.eu (prototype)

MIROC CMIP5 simulation, surface temperature 2100


ESPON climate

● Analysis on regional basis, using NUTS (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics) regions;

● Considered a range of environmental impacts;

● Aggregated indicators;

● First attempt of a pan-European cross-sectoral climate change vulnerability assessment.

Temperature change

Economic impact

Flooding changeEuropean Observation Network, Territorial Development and Cohesion (www.espon.eu/).


News update● There is evidence that severe storm frequency in some areas will increase

as a result of anthropogenic climate change;● Individual events, such as those recently causing severe damage in SW UK

and NW Spain cannot be directly attributed to climate change;● Costs associated with possible increases in severe storm frequency are not

included in the ESPON Climate assessment.

Mainline track west of Exeter, BBC, Feb 5th 2014.

Coast road near San Sebastien, Diario Vasco, Feb 5th 2014.

New events in the context of existing science


Ranking and aggregation of

impacts

Environmental and societal

impacts

Value added climate data

products

Climate data accessservices

User consultation

Portal and service

integration

Project coordination, scientific lead, dissemination, Copernicus service integration.

1, 9, 10, 11

Schematic overview

3,4 8

7

6

5 2

Delivering products to target users

Value and limitations

Thematic integration


Value and Limitations● All data to have guidance on value and limitations;

● Ideally include quantitative estimates of uncertainty or expert assessments of uncertainty in calibrated language;

● Data without usable information on uncertainty is likely to be considered of low value in the context of inter-disciplinary studies.

● The data value working group will coordinate the discussion within CLIPC and with the communities.


Scientific leadership in CLIPC● Sustainability roadmap for Copernicus climate data

service infrastructure [month 20] – interim report this year.

● How should the Copernicus climate data service infrastructure be run?

● How can we maintain a service which requires such a diversity of knowledge, both in terms of regional information and scientific domains?

● How should the service interact with the Global Framework for Climate Services and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change?

THE END

London, January 14-16, 2014

Climate Information Portal for Copernicus; First General Assembly

3.7) Progress beyond the state of the art

One-stop-shop for climate data accessData discovery and downloadIntegrating data access protocolsUser registration and authorisationVisualisation servicesEfficiency through temporal and geo-spatial data selection of large data collectionsStructured quantified information in data limitationsA knowledge base for current information on climate dataA review of climate impact indicatorsImpact indicators based on new data sets and new approachesGuidance on different approaches to defining indicators of impact on human health and SocietyAggregation of impact indicatorsScenario-based exploration and integrated uncertainty assessment of impact indicatorsInteractive climate impact indicator interface



Earth Obs

In situ obs.

Predictions

Re-analysis

Simulations

ESA J.Huart{}CLIPC data services

CLIPC impacts toolkit



ESPON 2013 report (finalised 2011) uses results cited in IPCC AR4 (2007) from the CMIP3 intercomparison, data generated 2005.

Delays between generation and use of data are desirable for research data: there is no other way of understanding and quantifying uncertainty.



Deliverables and milestones● Review deliverables and milestones, with the emphasis on those due in the 1st 12 months.

● 1 to 2 slides



– Single user account for data in multiple repositories;

– Common access and service protocols on all repositories;

– Fast search and support for large volume downloads;

– Ability to subset data;



8.1) Copernicus – The European Earth

Observation Programme

Copernicus consists of a complex set of systems which collect data from multiple sources: earth observation satellites and in situ sensors such as ground stations, airborne and sea-borne sensors. It processes these data and provides users with reliable and up-to-date information through a set of services related to environmental and security issues...

Status: Legislative underpinnings: July 2013

Call for Expressions of Interest in operating the Marine, Atmosphere and Climate Services issued January 21st, 2014.


Dressing ECVs

Take a collection of fresh ECVs;

Add a 150 years of in-situ observations;

Put to one side and mix an ensemble of climate simulations;

Add perturbation experiments for physical understanding;

Natural forcing experiments for attribution;

Scenario runs to illuminate future possibilities;

Feed through impacts models for environmental consequences;

Combine with social and economic models for societal outcomes;

Reduce to standard serving through aggregation.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service will support adaptation and mitigation policies, and provide: reanalysis datasets, climate change analyses, projections based on scenarios, and tailored indicator datasets for different societal sectors.

A call for expressions of interest to bid for the Service Operator role was published by the Commission January 2013.

Albert Klein-Tank (WP11 lead)


Data Access

Impacts toolkit


CLIPC DATA INPUTSSimulationsProjections

Reanalysis

Observations

GlobalRegional

SatelliteIn-situ

CLIPC DATA OUTPUTSClimate indicesEnvironmental impactSocietal impact

KnowledgebaseH2020 findingsValue and limitationsDetection and attribution

climate information portal for copernicus...

Documents