climate change: ripple effects on international law ____________ m.j. mace 17 october 2008 london...

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Climate Change: Ripple Effects on International Law ____________ M.J. Mace 17 October 2008 London British Institute of International and Comparative Law Annual Conference 2008: “Climate Change and its challenges for the international legal system”

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Climate Change:

Ripple Effects on International Law

____________

M.J. Mace17 October 2008

LondonBritish Institute of International and Comparative Law

Annual Conference 2008: “Climate Change and its challenges for the international legal system”

Climate change now affecting…

• implementation of a range of existing treaties, creating– practical challenges to their successful implementation– political challenges to their successful implementation– Substantial threat to past accomplishments

• development of existing treaties– climate concerns reflected in decisions taken by a range of

convention bodies– calls for plugging of new-found ‘gaps’ in existing regimes– calls for expedited implementation of existing mandates– calls for new instruments, tools, funding approaches

• Rapid expansion of interest and expertise• Opportunities for synergies, and for conflicts• Collision of environmental, economic, social, political

concerns

No end to the areas of law that will be affected

• Air pollution• Water pollution • Marine pollution• Law of the sea• Biodiversity / conservation• Species protection • Energy frameworks• Human rights • Security • International Economic Law• Investment• Intellectual property

• Trade • Financial regulation• Insurance• Accounting• State aid• Cultural protection• Indigenous rights• Refugee and migration law• International transport• Rights and duties of States• Dispute settlement

• Etc, etc, etc

Big Picture New Challenges: Arctic and Small Island States?

UNCLOS: Establishment of new boundaries?

• Denmark, Russia, Canada, US, Norway claims under UNCLOS Art.76

• Canada/US/EU disputes over Northwest Passage

Defense of boundaries at risk due to rising sea levels

Defense of statehood and where territory at risk of loss

EU Parliament has called for a new Arctic treaty!

What is at stake?

Economic/Commercial Interests• Offshore oil and gas reserves• Offshore fisheries• Mineral deposits on the seabed• Shipping lanes

Political/Strategic Interests• Military • GPS Navigation

Human dimension?

• Displacement, migration? • New visa categories under

existing migration laws?• Amendments to 1951

Refugee Convention?• New Convention on the

Protection of Environmentally Displaced Persons?

• Protocol to UNFCCC on recognition, protection and resettlement of climate ‘refugees’?

Photo © Gary Braasch

Undermining and Enabling? Biodiversity and species protection

• CBD, CMS, CITES, Forest protection agreements (TTA)

• Biodiversity has declined by 25% in last 35 years (WWF)

• EEA reports half its conservation sites are failing to protect vulnerable species and habitats

• But…new interest, new tools, new funding• ‘Reducing Emissions from Deforestation’ • ‘Adaptation’ under the UNFCCC as a

funding lever • Sustainable forest management,

conservation, forests may get instruments get a new lease on life

Revisiting the law?London Dumping Convention / OSPAR

• Carbon capture and storage identified as a potential mitigation tool

• 1972 London Convention prevents the pollution of the sea by the ‘dumping’ of waste; specifically the dumping of industrial waste ‘generated by manufacturing or processing operations’ was specifically prohibited.

• Proponents of carbon capture and storage underneath the sea bed sought amendment of marine pollution conventions…

• In 2006, the 1996 London Protocol was amended to specifically allow the ‘storage’ of CO2 streams from capture processes for sequestration beneath the seabed.

• EU waste and water legislation – as ‘barriers’ to the storage of CO2 underground.  

Perverse Incentives and Conflicts? Montreal Protocol

• Montreal Protocol aims to phase out ozone-depleting substances– KP’s CDM creates incentive for reduction of

HFC-23 (good) – But created incentive for production of

additional HCFC-22 (bad)– Value of CDM credits greater than the cost

of HCFC production, creating an incentive to build HCFC plants despite the phase-out

• September 2007, Parties agreed to accelerate phaseouts of HCFCs from 2009:– Developed countries to reduce production

and consumption 10 years earlier, with final phase out in 2020.

– Developing countries to cut production and consumption by 10% in 2015 with a final phase-out in 2030, also 10 years sooner than planned.

The Nitty Gritty of Implementation?: International Accounting Standards

• With the creation of the EU ETS, differences in how countries and companies account for allowances

• IASB in the process of answering questions:

• Is an allowance an asset? Does it depend where allowances are acquired from? What is the nature of an allowance? A license to emit? A form of emission currency? If assets, when are they recognised and how are they valued?

• What is the book entry where allowances are received from the government for free? Is there a liability? What is the nature of the liability? How is it valued initially?

• How should allowances be accounted for subsequently? As under IAS 38 Intangible Assets? Under IAS 39 Financial Instruments? If not, how?

Tools for Enforcement? UNESCO

• UNESCO World Heritage List• 2005 decision by the World

Heritage Committee to start studying impact of climate change on World Heritage sites.

• Report features case studies, including Tower of London, Kilimanjaro National Park, Great Barrier Reef - representative of dangers faced by the 830 listed sites (Westminster Palace, Greenwich, Tower of London)

• UNESCO rejected efforts to have 5 sites added to the ‘sites in danger list’, based on exposure to climate change impacts.

Competing principles?: Emissions from International Transport

• UNFCCC, IMO, ICAO, MARPOL and Chicago Convention

• KP provides emissions from international aviation and maritime shipping to be addressed by developed countries working through ICAO and IMO.

• UNFCCC principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities

• IMO – MARPOL – principle of equal applicability - standoff

• ICAO – Chicago Convention• EU going ahead with integration of

aviation into EU ETS

Thank you for your attention

_____________

M.J. [email protected]