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Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Program: activities & outputs

Sonja VermeulenHead of ResearchVanessa MeaduCommunications Manager

11 July 2013

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Outline

• What is CCAFS and how does it operate?

• We work on climate-smart agriculture – what is that?

• What and where are our key activities?

• What outputs, tools and resources do we offer?

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Led byCCAFS is a global research partnership of over 500 organisations

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Independent Science Panel

Management Team

CCAFS is publicly funded, and stakeholders set the priorities

Partners and stakeholders at all levels

Public goods

CGIAR fund councilCCAFS 2012 budget = US$ 70 million

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1. Identify and develop pro-poor adaptation and mitigation practices, technologies and policies for agriculture and food systems.

2. Support the inclusion of agricultural issues in climate change policies, and of climate issues in agricultural policies, at all levels.

CCAFS objectives2011-2020

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Food security

Adaptation Environmental footprint

US Malawi0

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GHG CO2-eq tonne per capita

What is “climate-smart agriculture”?

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http://www.climatesmartagriculture.org

FAO (2010). CSA is ‘agriculture that sustainably increases productivity, resilience (adaptation), reduces/removes GHGs (mitigation), and enhances achievement of national food security and development goals.’

Practical information on CSA practices

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CCAFS tackles multiple“climate-smart” themesClimate & impact modelsFuture farming regionsNew farming systemsPublic policy

Seasonal forecastsDiversificationEarly warning systemsWeather insurance

Low-carbon development pathwaysSolutions for mitigation in smallholder systems

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80% of research happens in five regions

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Led byCCAFS pathways to impact

Demand-drivenproducts

Working directly with farmers, policy makers,development agencies, NGOs and companies

Events and media

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Tour of CCAFS website,resources & tools

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Live blogs from Rio+20

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Get our latest research

@cgiarclimate

/cgiarclimate

ccafs.cgiar.org/feeds

ccafs.cgiar.org

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The Analogue tool

http://analogues.ciat.cgiar.org/climate/(NB this is a new version of the platform,

currently under development)

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The Ag Trials database

http://www.agtrials.org

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The Case Maps tool

http://www.ifpri.org/climatechange/

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Led byCCAFS Regional Agricultural Forecasting Toolbox (CRAFT)

CRAFT is a flexible, adaptable, accessible software platform to support within-season forecasting of crop production, which also provides risk analysis and climate change impact studies and presents timely information to policy makers.

It provides support for:• Spatial input data & spatial crop simulations• Integration of seasonal climate forecasts• Probabilistic analysis of forecast uncertainty• Calibration of model predictions from historic agricultural statistics• Analysis and visualisation

• Software design completed May 2013• Expect release later this year for rice, wheat, maize Bangladesh, Nepal, India, Sri Lanka

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ccafs.cgiar.org/bigfacts

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Food system emissions

Food system emissions—from production to consumption—contribute

9,800 to 16,900 million metric tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e)

per year, or 19 to 29 percent of total greenhouse gas emissions. Vermeulen et al., 2012

4,382.5MtCO2e/year

6,111MtCO2e/year

560MtCO2e/year

1,534MtCO2e/year

Indirect emissions (deforestation)

Direct emissions Preproduction Postproduction

35%49% 4% 12%

PERCENT AND AMOUNT OF FOOD SYSTEM EMISSIONS Data from Vermeulen et al. 2012; US-EPA, 2011; and Blaser and Robledo, 2007

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Agricultural mitigation potential

The mitigation potential of a suite of agricultural practices that reduce emissions associated with

farming and increase carbon storage is estimated to be 1,500 to 1,600 million tonnes of carbon

dioxide equivalent (MtCO2e) per year at a carbon price of USD 20 per tCO2e. The mitigation potential

through land use change is estimated to be a further 1,550 MtCO2e per year. Smith et al., 2008

Restoredegraded lands~135 MtCO2e/year

Grazing land management~160 MtCO2e/year

Restore cultivated soils~248 MtCO2e/year

Rice management~168 MtCO2e/year

Setaside, land use change, and agroforestry~7 MtCO2e/year

Livestock management

~127 MtCO2e/year

Manuremanagement

~8 MtCO2e/year

Cropland management~767 MtCO2e/year

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Get our latest research

@cgiarclimate

/cgiarclimate

ccafs.cgiar.org/feeds

ccafs.cgiar.org

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Key links

• CCAFS homepage http://ccafs.cgiar.org

• Big Facts http://ccafs.cgiar.org/bigfacts

• Blog http://ccafs.cgiar.org/blog

• Publications http://ccafs.cgiar.org/publications

• Tools, maps, models, data http://ccafs.cgiar.org/tools

• AgClim Letters science- policy bulletin http://ccafs.cgiar.org

/resources/agclim-letters-policy-bulletin

• Climate Analogues tool http://analogues.ciat.cgiar.org/climate

• Agricultural Trials Database http://www.agtrials.org

• Climate Change Case maps http://www.ifpri.org/climatechange