Programme Paris, 3-4 May 2012

Evidence, Emerging

Risks and a New Agenda

 

Research Workshop 3 May 2012 – British Council 9.00 Welcome Sally Goodman (British Council) David Warrilow (Department of Energy and Climate Change – UK) Audrey Brassel-Day (DAS, Ministry of Defense – FR) 9.15 Introduction Neil Adger (University of Exeter) François Gemenne (IDDRI – Sciences Po) 9.30 Setting the stage: Climate Change Scenarios and Security Impacts Chair: Raphaël Billé (IDDRI – Sciences Po) Presentation by Michael Oppenheimer (Princeton University) Response by Kirsty Lewis (UK Met Office, Hadley Centre) Discussion 10.00 Coffee break 10.15 First panel: Peace and Conflicts Chair: Shahrbanou Tadjbakhsh (MPA Sciences Po and PRIO) Climate , Conf l i c t , and Soc ial Stabi l i ty : What Do the Data Say ? Presentation by Halvard Buhaug (Peace Research Institute Oslo) Response by Solomon Hsiang (Princeton University) Climate Vulnerabi l i ty in Fragi l e and Conf l i c t -a f f e c t ed Soc ie t i es Presentation by Clionadh Raleigh (Trinity College Dublin) Response by Dan Smith (International Alert) Peace-bui lding and Mit igat ion & Adaptat ion Projec t s Presentation by Marc Levy (Columbia University) Response by Richard Matthew (University of California, Irvine) Discussion 12.15 Lunch hosted by the British Council 13.15 Second panel: Resources Chair: Anne Hammill (IISD)

Climate Change as a Driver o f Humanitar ian Crises and Response Presentation by Lilianne Fan (Overseas Development Institute) and Katie Harris (Overseas Development Institute) Response by Peter Walker (Tufts University) and Shubhada Kambli (Harvard University)

Climate and Energy Securi ty : Evidence , Emerging Risks and a New Agenda Presentation by Michel Colombier (IDDRI – Sciences Po) Response by Marcus King (George Washington University)

Hydro-c l imati c change , Conf l i c t and Securi ty Presentation by Naho Mirumachi (King’s College London) Response by Giorgos Kallis (Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona) Discussion 15.15 Coffee break 15.30 Third panel: Strategic Issues Chair: Laurence Tubiana (IDDRI – Sciences Po) Climate Securi ty : The Arct i c Ocean Case-s tudy Presentation by Cleo Paskal (Chatham House)

Response by Paul Arthur Berkman (University of California, Santa Barbara and University Paris 6) Crit i ca l Infrastructure Presentation by Tobias Feakin (Royal United Services Institute for Defence) Comments by Stacy Van Deveer (University of New Hampshire) Climate Change, Securi ty and Intergovernmental Dialogue: A Bridge Too Far? Presentation by Alexandre Taithe (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique) Response by J. Jackson Ewing (Nanyang Technological University, Singapore) Discussion

17.30 Conclusions of the day Jon Barnett (University of Melbourne) Geoff Dabelko (Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars)

Public Conference 3 May 2012 – Sciences Po (amphitheatre Caquot) 18.30 Welcome address David Warrilow (Department of Energy and Climate Change, UK) 18.40 Introduction and presentation of the workshop’s findings Neil Adger (University of Exeter) François Gemenne (IDDRI – Sciences Po) 18.50 Roundtable discussion of the findings Didier Bigo (Sciences Po and King’s College London) Teresa Ribera (former Minister for the Environment, Spain) Jamie Shea (NATO) Laurence Tubiana (IDDRI – Sciences Po) 19.30 Questions from the audience 20.00 Conclusions Jon Barnett (University of Melbourne) Geoff Dabelko (Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars) 20.30 Dinner Restaurant La Petite Chaise, 36 Rue de Grenelle, 75006 Paris Policy Workshop 4 May 2012 – Cercle National des Armées Objectives of the workshop Researchers should focus on the key policy-relevant outcomes to present to policymakers, while policymakers inform the future research agenda by helping to prioritise the key follow-on questions from this work. Expected outcome Create an informal network for discussion; identify areas for further research and future policy challenges.

8.40 Welcome and refreshments 9.00 Introduction by the organisers Colonel Marc De Fritsch (DAS, Ministry of Defense, FR) Lucy Hayes (Department of Energy and Climate Change, UK)

9.10 Breakout on the previous day workshop and expected conclusions of the project Neil Adger (University of Exeter) Jon Barnett (University of Melbourne) 9.30 First panel: Peace and Conflicts Chair: Sharon Harvey (Department of International Development, UK) 10.30 Coffee break

10.50 Second panel: Resources

Chair: Nicolas Beriot (Observatoire National des Effets du Réchauffement Climatique, FR) 11.50 Third panel: Strategic Issues Chair: European policy-maker 12.50 Workshop conclusions Audrey Brassel-Day (DAS, Ministry of Defense, FR) Rachel Healy (British Embassy, Paris) François Gemenne (IDDRI – Sciences Po) 13.00 Luncheon hosted by the French Ministry of Defense