clic tdr task force clic zero, cost & schedule considerations r. corsini
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations
R. Corsini
![Page 2: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Klystrons/Modulators, cost per MW – initial assumption
• From Erk:• 20 k$ / MW for a klystron• Similar number for a modulator• Cost of 15 MW unit = 2 x 300 k$ = 600 kCHF• I assumed as well ~ 200 kCHF per structure
N.B.: I assume everywhere 1 $ = 1 CHF
![Page 3: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
CPI Evaluation
![Page 4: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Learning curve
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Cos
t (k$
)
N. units
Klystrons learning curve (15 MW tube)
cost of unit N
average cost/unit
85% curve
90% curve
80% curve
CPI data
![Page 5: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Conservative assumptions on RF units
• Consider:
• 500/600 k$ for a 15 MW klystron, for a production of about 40/60 units• Similar number for a modulator• Cost of a 15 MW unit = 1000/1200 kCHF• Assuming ~ 200 kCHF per structure
• Total cost for RF unit plus structure 1200/1400 kCHF
![Page 6: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Costing the CLIC facilities (I)
• Had refined costing spreadsheet, introducing a few (more realistic?) assumptions
• No major changes with previous version for the same cost of RF units. For example, assuming the optimistic cost (Total cost for RF unit 600 kCHF plus 200 kCHF structure)
• Results (linac + ring/TBA areas):
• DBA 200 MeV 87 MCHF• CLIC Zero- 103 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 187 MCHF• CLIC Zero 183 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 267 MCHF
![Page 7: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Costing the CLIC facilities (II)
• Using the costing spreadsheet, assuming conservative costs for RF power sources (20 + 20 k$ /MW) & using the learning curves(Total cost for RF unit 900/1200 kCHF plus 200 kCHF structure)
• Results (linac + ring/TBA areas):
• DBA 200 MeV 119 MCHF• CLIC Zero- 139 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 223 MCHF• CLIC Zero 240 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 324 MCHF
![Page 8: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Scaling with RF units cost
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
0 500 1000 1500 2000
Tot
al cos
t [M
CH
F]
cost of RF unit [kCHF]
Scaling with cost of RF sources
DBA 200 MeV
CLIC 0- linac
CLIC 0-
CLIC 0 linac
CLIC 0
![Page 9: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
DBA 200 MeVCosting DB injector/linac total material 107596
total manpower 11700
total 119296Injector Linac
Energy 30 Mev Energy 170 MevCurrent 4 A Current 4 A
Power 120 MW Power 680 MWTotal P. 133 MW Total P. 756 MW
Unit power 15 MW Unit power 15 MW
N. Units 9 N. Units 51cost/RF unit 1000 kSfr cost/unit 1000 kSfrtotal cost RF 9000 total cost RF 51000N. structures 9 N. structures 51cost/structure 200 kSfr cost/unit 200 kSfrstructures 1800 structures 10200
add. Equipment cost 5400 add. Equipment cost 20196
total injector 16200 total linac 81396building/infrastructure 10000
construction operationManpower/year 10 FTE Manpower/year 7 FTEDuration 5 years Duration 4 yearsCost/FTE 150 kSfr Cost/FTE 150 kSfr
manpower cost /year 1500 manpower cost /year 1050
manpower (constr. only) 7500 manpower (constr. only) 4200 11700
![Page 10: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
DBA-, CLIC Zero-Costing DBA- CLIC 0- total material 124340
total manpower 14250
total 138590Injector Linac II
Energy 30 Mev Energy 318.19805 MevCurrent 4 A Current 1.4142136 A
Power 120 MW Power 450 MWTotal P. 133 MW Total P. 500 MW Others n unit cost total
Unit power 15 MW Unit power 15 MW 2 beam modules 46 500 23000DL,CR1,CR2 1 25000 25000
N. Units 9 N. Units 34 Probe beam injector 1 10000 10000cost/RF unit 1200 kSfr cost/unit 1200 kSfr Conventional facilities 1 15000 15000total cost RF 10800 total cost RF sources 40800N. structures 9 N. Units 136 total material 73000cost/structure 200 kSfr cost/unit 200 kSfrstructures 1800 structures 27200 manpower constr 60 150 9000
manpower op 15 150 2250add. Equipment cost 6300 add. Equipment cost 22440
total manpower 11250
total injector 18900 total linac 90440 total 84250building/infrastructure 15000
construction operationManpower/year 10 FTE Manpower/year 7 FTEDuration 6 years Duration 5 years total material 197340Cost/FTE 150 kSfr Cost/FTE 150 kSfr
total manpower 25500manpower cost /year 1500 manpower cost /year 1050
manpower (constr. only) 9000 manpower (constr. only) 5250 total 222840
![Page 11: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
CLIC ZeroCosting CLIC 0 total material 360096
total manpower 14250
total 374346Injector Linac II
Energy 30 Mev Energy 450 MevCurrent 4 A Current 4 A
Power 120 MW Power 1800 MWTotal P. 133 MW Total P. 2000 MW Others n unit cost total
Unit power 15 MW Unit power 15 MW 2 beam modules 46 500 23000DL,CR1,CR2 1 25000 25000
N. Units 9 N. Units 134 Probe beam injector 1 10000 10000cost/RF unit 1600 kSfr cost/unit 1600 kSfr Conventional facilities 1 15000 15000total cost RF 14400 total cost RF sources 214400N. structures 9 N. Units 134 total material 73000cost/structure 200 kSfr cost/unit 200 kSfrstructures 1800 structures 26800 manpower constr 60 150 9000
manpower op 15 150 2250add. Equipment cost 8100 add. Equipment cost 79596
total manpower 11250
total injector 24300 total linac 320796 total 84250building/infrastructure 15000
construction operationManpower/year 10 FTE Manpower/year 7 FTEDuration 6 years Duration 5 years total material 433096Cost/FTE 150 kSfr Cost/FTE 150 kSfr
total manpower 25500manpower cost /year 1500 manpower cost /year 1050
manpower (constr. only) 9000 manpower (constr. only) 5250 total 458596
![Page 12: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
CLIC Zero (Hans costing)
Material only
![Page 13: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Schedule ?
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
CTF3 TBTS operation inst.1-2 structures, beam loading,
breakdown kick
CTF3 TBL operation inst.Deceleration 8 PETS
final decelerator test (16 PETS, 50%)
Modules labinitial tests,
installation 2 modulesfurther tests,
installation 4 modules testing pre-series production, industrialization
Modules CTF3 1 module
inst.testing 1 module
3 modules inst. testing 3 modules > upgrades?
CTF3 phase feedback design, hardware tests installation testing
CTF3 TBL+ installationcommissio
-ning RF testing, potential upgrades
CLIC DB injector & linac design & hardware construction installation commissioning staged upgrade & testing
RF structures constructionprecision metrology,
fabr. proceduresup to 40 structures built, establish precision machining at CERN or
elsewhere, 5 mm tolerances achievedmore than 200 structures built, final cost optimization, pre-series
with industry
RF test infrastructureCERN test stand inst.
CERN test stand testing and upgrades (at least two slots)
continue testing with increased capabilities, CERN or elsewhere, up to 10 slots
testing, up to 200 accelerating structures plus PETS and RF components
Prototypes of critical components
technical choices, design construction, hardware tests
finalization, performance & cost optimization, industrialization for large scale components
![Page 14: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini](https://reader036.vdocuments.site/reader036/viewer/2022083009/5697bf951a28abf838c90bda/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
CLIC TDR Task Force
Schedule ?
Tentative schedule for CLIC R&D 2010-2016 (Away Day)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
module test design build commission
TBL+finish TBLprogram
modify X RF test X RF test X RF test X RF test X RF test
phase feedforward design buildgeneral
DBA Injector build commissionNominal DBA modulesEconomy DBA modules commissioncombiner rings commissionTBA commissioncivil engineering Design
Year
commission & run
X-band structure development
build & commission additional test ports
RF test program
Stand aloneX-band sources
build commissionbuild
DesignDesign
build
LC Detector R&D continuation
continuationDesign & beam dynamics studies
build
consolidation
Nex
t fac
ility
tow
ards
CLI
CCT
F3+
DesignDesign
build
continuation