clic tdr task force clic zero, cost & schedule considerations r. corsini

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CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

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Page 1: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations

R. Corsini

Page 2: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Klystrons/Modulators, cost per MW – initial assumption

• From Erk:• 20 k$ / MW for a klystron• Similar number for a modulator• Cost of 15 MW unit = 2 x 300 k$ = 600 kCHF• I assumed as well ~ 200 kCHF per structure

N.B.: I assume everywhere 1 $ = 1 CHF

Page 3: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

CPI Evaluation

Page 4: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Learning curve

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Cos

t (k$

)

N. units

Klystrons learning curve (15 MW tube)

cost of unit N

average cost/unit

85% curve

90% curve

80% curve

CPI data

Page 5: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Conservative assumptions on RF units

• Consider:

• 500/600 k$ for a 15 MW klystron, for a production of about 40/60 units• Similar number for a modulator• Cost of a 15 MW unit = 1000/1200 kCHF• Assuming ~ 200 kCHF per structure

• Total cost for RF unit plus structure 1200/1400 kCHF

Page 6: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Costing the CLIC facilities (I)

• Had refined costing spreadsheet, introducing a few (more realistic?) assumptions

• No major changes with previous version for the same cost of RF units. For example, assuming the optimistic cost (Total cost for RF unit 600 kCHF plus 200 kCHF structure)

• Results (linac + ring/TBA areas):

• DBA 200 MeV 87 MCHF• CLIC Zero- 103 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 187 MCHF• CLIC Zero 183 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 267 MCHF

Page 7: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Costing the CLIC facilities (II)

• Using the costing spreadsheet, assuming conservative costs for RF power sources (20 + 20 k$ /MW) & using the learning curves(Total cost for RF unit 900/1200 kCHF plus 200 kCHF structure)

• Results (linac + ring/TBA areas):

• DBA 200 MeV 119 MCHF• CLIC Zero- 139 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 223 MCHF• CLIC Zero 240 MCHF + 84 MCHF = 324 MCHF

Page 8: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Scaling with RF units cost

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0 500 1000 1500 2000

Tot

al cos

t [M

CH

F]

cost of RF unit [kCHF]

Scaling with cost of RF sources

DBA 200 MeV

CLIC 0- linac

CLIC 0-

CLIC 0 linac

CLIC 0

Page 9: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

DBA 200 MeVCosting DB injector/linac total material 107596

total manpower 11700

total 119296Injector Linac

Energy 30 Mev Energy 170 MevCurrent 4 A Current 4 A

Power 120 MW Power 680 MWTotal P. 133 MW Total P. 756 MW

Unit power 15 MW Unit power 15 MW

N. Units 9 N. Units 51cost/RF unit 1000 kSfr cost/unit 1000 kSfrtotal cost RF 9000 total cost RF 51000N. structures 9 N. structures 51cost/structure 200 kSfr cost/unit 200 kSfrstructures 1800 structures 10200

add. Equipment cost 5400 add. Equipment cost 20196

total injector 16200 total linac 81396building/infrastructure 10000

construction operationManpower/year 10 FTE Manpower/year 7 FTEDuration 5 years Duration 4 yearsCost/FTE 150 kSfr Cost/FTE 150 kSfr

manpower cost /year 1500 manpower cost /year 1050

manpower (constr. only) 7500 manpower (constr. only) 4200 11700

Page 10: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

DBA-, CLIC Zero-Costing DBA- CLIC 0- total material 124340

total manpower 14250

total 138590Injector Linac II

Energy 30 Mev Energy 318.19805 MevCurrent 4 A Current 1.4142136 A

Power 120 MW Power 450 MWTotal P. 133 MW Total P. 500 MW Others n unit cost total

Unit power 15 MW Unit power 15 MW 2 beam modules 46 500 23000DL,CR1,CR2 1 25000 25000

N. Units 9 N. Units 34 Probe beam injector 1 10000 10000cost/RF unit 1200 kSfr cost/unit 1200 kSfr Conventional facilities 1 15000 15000total cost RF 10800 total cost RF sources 40800N. structures 9 N. Units 136 total material 73000cost/structure 200 kSfr cost/unit 200 kSfrstructures 1800 structures 27200 manpower constr 60 150 9000

manpower op 15 150 2250add. Equipment cost 6300 add. Equipment cost 22440

total manpower 11250

total injector 18900 total linac 90440 total 84250building/infrastructure 15000

construction operationManpower/year 10 FTE Manpower/year 7 FTEDuration 6 years Duration 5 years total material 197340Cost/FTE 150 kSfr Cost/FTE 150 kSfr

total manpower 25500manpower cost /year 1500 manpower cost /year 1050

manpower (constr. only) 9000 manpower (constr. only) 5250 total 222840

Page 11: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

CLIC ZeroCosting CLIC 0 total material 360096

total manpower 14250

total 374346Injector Linac II

Energy 30 Mev Energy 450 MevCurrent 4 A Current 4 A

Power 120 MW Power 1800 MWTotal P. 133 MW Total P. 2000 MW Others n unit cost total

Unit power 15 MW Unit power 15 MW 2 beam modules 46 500 23000DL,CR1,CR2 1 25000 25000

N. Units 9 N. Units 134 Probe beam injector 1 10000 10000cost/RF unit 1600 kSfr cost/unit 1600 kSfr Conventional facilities 1 15000 15000total cost RF 14400 total cost RF sources 214400N. structures 9 N. Units 134 total material 73000cost/structure 200 kSfr cost/unit 200 kSfrstructures 1800 structures 26800 manpower constr 60 150 9000

manpower op 15 150 2250add. Equipment cost 8100 add. Equipment cost 79596

total manpower 11250

total injector 24300 total linac 320796 total 84250building/infrastructure 15000

construction operationManpower/year 10 FTE Manpower/year 7 FTEDuration 6 years Duration 5 years total material 433096Cost/FTE 150 kSfr Cost/FTE 150 kSfr

total manpower 25500manpower cost /year 1500 manpower cost /year 1050

manpower (constr. only) 9000 manpower (constr. only) 5250 total 458596

Page 12: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

CLIC Zero (Hans costing)

Material only

Page 13: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Schedule ?

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

CTF3 TBTS operation inst.1-2 structures, beam loading,

breakdown kick

CTF3 TBL operation inst.Deceleration 8 PETS

final decelerator test (16 PETS, 50%)

Modules labinitial tests,

installation 2 modulesfurther tests,

installation 4 modules testing pre-series production, industrialization

Modules CTF3 1 module

inst.testing 1 module

3 modules inst. testing 3 modules > upgrades?

CTF3 phase feedback design, hardware tests installation testing

CTF3 TBL+ installationcommissio

-ning RF testing, potential upgrades

CLIC DB injector & linac design & hardware construction installation commissioning staged upgrade & testing

RF structures constructionprecision metrology,

fabr. proceduresup to 40 structures built, establish precision machining at CERN or

elsewhere, 5 mm tolerances achievedmore than 200 structures built, final cost optimization, pre-series

with industry

RF test infrastructureCERN test stand inst.

CERN test stand testing and upgrades (at least two slots)

continue testing with increased capabilities, CERN or elsewhere, up to 10 slots

testing, up to 200 accelerating structures plus PETS and RF components

Prototypes of critical components

technical choices, design construction, hardware tests

finalization, performance & cost optimization, industrialization for large scale components

Page 14: CLIC TDR Task Force CLIC Zero, cost & schedule considerations R. Corsini

CLIC TDR Task Force

Schedule ?

Tentative schedule for CLIC R&D 2010-2016 (Away Day)

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

module test design build commission

TBL+finish TBLprogram

modify X RF test X RF test X RF test X RF test X RF test

phase feedforward design buildgeneral

DBA Injector build commissionNominal DBA modulesEconomy DBA modules commissioncombiner rings commissionTBA commissioncivil engineering Design

Year

commission & run

X-band structure development

build & commission additional test ports

RF test program

Stand aloneX-band sources

build commissionbuild

DesignDesign

build

LC Detector R&D continuation

continuationDesign & beam dynamics studies

build

consolidation

Nex

t fac

ility

tow

ards

CLI

CCT

F3+

DesignDesign

build

continuation