PHOTO BY MICHAEL FLESHMAN ANDREW STEER, PRESIDENT & CEO, WRI

JOIN THE URBAN `

REVOLUTION!

ConnectKaro, April 5th, 2017

3% in 1800

75% in 2050

50% in 2000

14% in 1900

30% in 1950

SHIFT TO AN URBANIZED WORLD

THE EXTRAORDINARY URBANIZATION CHALLENGE

Source: UN Habitat; UN World Urbanization Prospects 2014 Revision; Image: Harvey

Barrison

• Globally, 800 million per decade

• India’s urban population will double to 800 million by 2050

1 billion in 1990

2 billion in 2010

5 billion by 2030

EXPLOSION OF THE GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS

Source: Reuters, McKinsey

Photo: Flickr/ben124

2015-2030 – UNPRECEDENTED URBAN GROWTH –

ESPECIALLY IN S. ASIA & AFRICA

DRASTIC CHANGES IN CITIES

Photo: Flickr/RICO Lee

Globally, urban infrastructure will more

than

DOUBLEin the next 15 years

INDIA AT THE CENTER OF THINGS

75% of India’s

2050 infrastructure

has yet to be built

Source: Global Buildings Performance Network

MEDIUM SIZE CITIES WILL GROW THE MOST

Note: N = 1,692 urban agglomerations (populations ≥ 300,000 inhabitants).

Sources: United Nations (2014); World Bank country classification.

1M to 5M

THIS?

Image: Flickr/RodrigoSolon

OR THIS?

Image: Flikr/Andreas

THE CITIES REVOLUTION: A NEW URBANISM

Image: Flickr/Frikjan

A NEW URBAN PARADIGM:COMPACT, CONNECTED, COORDINATED AND RESILIENT

Source: New Climate Economy; Image: Flickr/Chris Wilkinson

$3 trillion savings on

infrastructure 2015-2030

COVENANT OF MAYORS: SCALING ACTION

7,000+ Cities

Source: covenantofmayors.eu

URBAN PLANNING

Photo by Meena Kadri/Flickr.

HOW WE BUILD CITIES MATTERS

Atlanta’s built-up area

Population: 2.5 millionUrban area: 4,280 km2

Transport carbon emissions: 7.5 tonnes CO2 per person

Population: 2.8 millionUrban area: 162 km2

Transport carbon emissions: 0.7 tonnes CO2 per person

ATLANTA BARCELONA

Source: Bertaud and Richardson, 2004, Kenworthy (2003) citied in Lefevre, B. (2009)

HOW WE BUILD CITIES MATTERS

Atlanta’s built-up area

Population: 2.5 millionUrban area: 4,280 km2

Transport carbon emissions: 7.5 tonnes CO2 per person

Population: 2.8 millionUrban area: 162 km2

Transport carbon emissions: 0.7 tonnes CO2 per person

ATLANTA BARCELONA

Source: Bertaud and Richardson, 2004, Kenworthy (2003) citied in Lefevre, B. (2009)

URBAN SPRAWL IS COSTLY

Image: Flickr/Jeff Turner; Source: The New Climate Economy

14% GDP Houston, TX spends on transport

COMPACT, CONNECTED, AND COORDINATED

CITIES SAVE MONEY

Image: Wikimedia Commons/Bob Collowân; Source: The New Climate Economy

4% GDP Copenhagen spends on transport

COMPACT CITIES HAVE FASTER GROWING

ECONOMIES

Source: IIHS,2011,h\p://iihs.co.in/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/IUC-Book.pdf

24

INDIA’S SPRAWL IS DIFFERENT

Source: Sholomo Angel

9 m2

•per person in Mumbai

42.5 m2

per person in Urban China

TRANSIT-ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT

Image: EMBARQ Sustainable Urban Mobility

INDIA’S 100 SMART CITIES

Source: NASA Marshall Space Flight Center/Flickr

MOBILITY

Photo by: Ashwat Mahendran/Flickr

Photo: Flickr/Neil Rickards

Workers lose 8 days per year sitting in traffic

-- and 1.3 million die in accidents

SEARCH FOR LOW COST HIGH QUALITY PUBLIC

TRANSPORT

* Busway / BRT year commencement

Source: BRTData.org, March 2016

0

50

100

150

200

250

0

5

10

15

20

25

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Cu

mu

lative

nu

mb

er

of citie

s

Ne

w c

itie

s

Bus Rapid Transport Takes OffIn 2017, Bus Rapid

Transit serves:

206 Cities

34 million passengers per

day

SHARING ECONOMY TAKES OFF

(Laurence Coss/BBC)

PROGRESSIVE TRANSPORT

POLICIES

(Congestion Charge London)

RECLAIMING INDIA'S STREETS-- RAAHGIRI DAY

Photo: Flickr/EMBARQ Sustainable Urban Mobility

Photo: Flickr/Paladin27

BIG DECISIONS: SHARED, AUTONOMOUS, AND

ELECTRIC?

ENERGY

Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell

ALMOST ALL CITIES FAIL AIR QUALITY STANDARDS

SOURCE: Mortality data from World Health Organisation:

http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.wrapper.ENVHEALTH3

• Source: WHO

6.7mDeaths from

air pollution

$266 BillionInvestment in renewable

energy capacity was double

coal & gas last year

Photo: Google Earth

RENEWABLE ENERGY SURGES

INDIA’S CLEAN ENERGY AMBITIONS

Narendra Modi, Flickr

From 3 gigawatts to

100 gigawatts

solar power by 2022

Notes: FY = All years in chart are fiscal years from April 1 to March 31; GW = 1,000 MW.

Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.

INDIA’S TARGETS TO REACH 100GW SOLAR BY 2022

Notes: FY = All years in chart are fiscal years from April 1 to March 31; GW = 1,000 MW.

Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.

INDIA’S TARGETS TO REACH 100GW SOLAR BY 2022

Photo: Flickr/Brookhaven National Lab

COMPETITION FOR WORLD’S LARGEST

SOLAR PLANT

November 2016: India

648 Megawatts

January 2017: China

850 Megawatts

URBAN RESILIENCE

FLOOD RISK MAGNIFIED BY 1 METER SEA LEVEL

RISE AND MUCH STRONGER STORMS

URBAN POOR ARE AT THE FOREFRONT

2300 deathsBy 2015 heat wave

Photo source: Tsering Topgyal/ Associated Press, click here; 1The Natural Resources

Defense Council, click here

RESILIENT CITIES NEEDED

URBAN COMMUNITY RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT

• Initiated in Brazilian Cities

• 3 cities: Rio, Surat, Semarang

• Plans for climate resilience

PRIVATE SECTOR

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

NEW LEADERSHIP FROM PRIVATE SECTOR

• 1,000+ commit to carbon pricing

• 83 commit to 100% renewable energy

• 204 commit to Science-Based Targets

Photo: iStock

South Region

INDIA GHG PROGRAM

50+Businesses

formally

managing

emissions

through IGHGP

100+Businesses

formally

measuring their

emissions using

GHG Protocol

44+Businesses

working on an

Internal Carbon

Price

CORPORATE LEADERSHIP ON LOW CARBON MEASURES

Mahindra Steel

Science Based

Target

Commitment to align ambitions with

<2°C

Godrej & Boyce

Carbon Neutrality

By 2020-21

Mahindra &

Mahindra

$10 / tonne Carbon Price

Achieve 25% reductions in emissions intensity

of output

Infosys

100% RE

Reduce emissions intensity of operations by

55.4% per employee by 2018

Delhi Airport

Achieved Carbon

Neutrality

In 2016

Tata Chemicals

Internal Carbon Price

Adopted Internal Carbon Price in 2016

DRIVING AMBITIOUS ACTION

WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM CITIES THAT

HAVE TRANSFORMED?

Photo Credits: Deutsche Welle/Patrick Benning/Flickr; GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html)], via Wikimedia Commons

Medellin, Colombia Surat, India

FIVE REVOLUTIONS FOR INDIAN CITIES

• New Urban Development

• People-Friendly Mobility

• Clean Energy

• Climate Resilience

• Private Sector Leadership

Photo by Benoit Colin/WRI

PHOTO BY BENOIT COLIN/WRI

THANK YOU!