citicorp - fusion cl&ca
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Av. Atocongo 2440 – Villa María del Triunfo Lima 35 – Perú Teléfono: (511) 217-0200 Fax: (511) 217-1496 www.cementoslima.com.pe E-mail: [email protected]
GF.0070.12 Lima, 05 de Julio de 2012 Señores
SUPERINTENDENCIA DEL MERCADO DE VALORES SMV Presente.-
Atención: Registro Público de Valores e Intermediarios ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Ref.: Hechos de Importancia
-------------------------------------
Estimados señores:
CEMENTOS LIMA S.A.A., de conformidad con lo dispuesto por el artículo 28º de la Ley de Mercado de Valores y la Resolución CONASEV No. 107-2002-EF/94.10, informa el siguiente “Hechos de Importancia”: En relación a la Junta General de Accionistas de la Sociedad, convocada para el 24 de julio de 2012, en primera citación, se pone a disposición de los accionistas de la Sociedad el informe elaborado por Citicorp Global Markets Inc., con las valorizaciones de Cementos Lima S.A.A. y Cemento Andino S.A., que sirvió de base para la Relación de Canje determinada por las administraciones de ambas sociedades, que consta en el Proyecto de Fusión aprobado por los Directorios de las dos sociedades el pasado 27 de junio de 2012. Sin otro particular, quedamos de ustedes. Atentamente,
ALVARO MORALES PUPPO Gerente Financiero Representante Bursátil
Av. Atocongo 2440 – Villa María del Triunfo Lima 35 – Perú Teléfono: (511) 217-0200 Fax: (511) 217-1496 www.cementoslima.com.pe E-mail: [email protected]
cc: Directores GG VAL CONT.
Disclaimer
The accompanying material has been prepared by Citigroup Global Markets Inc. (“Citi”) and is subject to the terms of our
engagement letter with Cementos Lima S.A.A. (“CLSA” or the “Company”), including the section entitled "Use of Information"
therein. The accompanying valuation does not constitute an opinion by Citi as to the fairness to the Company or its
shareholders of the terms of any actual or proposed transaction involving the Company.
In preparing the accompanying valuation, Citi held discussions with certain senior officers, directors and other representatives
and advisors of the Company and of Cemento Andino S.A. (“CASA”), concerning the business, operations and prospects of
each of the operating subsidiaries that compose both companies. Citi examined certain publicly available business and
financial information relating to CLSA and CASA as well as certain financial forecasts and other information and data relating
to CLSA and CASA which were provided to or discussed with Citi by the management of CLSA and CASA. Citi considered, to
the extent publicly available, the financial terms of certain other transactions which Citi considered relevant in evaluating CLSA
and CASA and analyzed certain financial, stock market and other publicly available information relating to the businesses of
other companies whose operations Citi considered relevant in evaluating those of CLSA and CASA. In addition to the
foregoing, Citi conducted such other analyses and examinations and considered such other information and financial,
economic and market criteria as Citi deemed appropriate.
In preparing the accompanying material, Citi assumed and relied, without independent verification, upon the accuracy and
completeness of all financial and other information and data publicly available or provided to or otherwise reviewed by or
discussed with Citi and upon the assurances of the management of CLSA and CASA that they are not aware of any relevant
information that has been omitted or that remains undisclosed to Citi. With respect to financial forecasts and other information
and data relating to CLSA and CASA provided to or otherwise reviewed by or discussed with Citi, Citi has been advised by the
management of CLSA and CASA that such forecasts and other information and data were reasonably prepared on bases
reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of the management of CLSA and CASA as to the future
financial performance of the companies.
The accompanying material is necessarily based upon information available to Citi, and financial, stock market and other
conditions and circumstances existing and disclosed to Citi, as of the date of the accompanying material. Citi does not have
any obligation to update or otherwise revise the accompanying material. Nothing contained herein shall be construed as legal,
tax or accounting advice.
1
1. Executive Summary
Scope of Work Performed
As part of our valuation exercise of Cementos Lima S.A.A. (“CLSA”) and Cemento Andino S.A. (“CASA”), Citi
has performed the following tasks:
– Review of the operational and financial information provided by the management teams of CLSA and CASA
Citi had extensive discussions with the management teams of all material operating subsidiaries of CLSA
and CASA
– Review of the operational and financial information of relevant publicly traded peers (Latin American & Global)
for the different industries in which CLSA, CASA and their respective subsidiaries operate
– Review of recent M&A transactions involving companies in the Cement sector (relevant for CASA’s valuation)
Citi has performed a Sum-of-Parts valuation analysis for CLSA and CASA based on their financial projections
and the following methodologies:
– Discounted cash flow analysis
– Publicly traded multiples analysis
– Precedent transaction multiples analysis (applicable only to CASA)
We have valued each operating company individually to subsequently apply the corresponding proportional
equity participation in each of the businesses to CLSA and CASA
– This methodology allowed us to accurately value each of the minority interests held at the different
subsidiaries
2
Cementos Lima & Cemento Andino Organizational Structures
(1) Includes stake held through "Transportes Lurin“.* Not considered in valuation analysis given Management’s indication that these are considered Holding Vehicles with no operating activities.
We have considered the following corporate structure to perform our valuation analyses for each of theindividual entities.
CELEPSA60.00% 30.00%
Ferrocarril CentralAndino S.A.
(“FCA”)
Mining Projects
14.69%
100.00%
PrefabricadosAndinos S.A.(“Preansa”)
GeneraciónEléctrica Atocongo S.A.
(“GEA”)
99.85%
99.50%
Depósito AduaneroConchán S.A.
(“Decosa”)
50.00%
MineraAdelaida S.A.*
99.99%
NavieraConchan S.A.*
99.97%
0.07%
INVECO73.52% 19.86%
100.00%100.00%
BASF ConstructionChemicals Perú
(“BASF CC”)
30.00% 50.00%
Firth Industries S.A.
EntrepisosLima SAC
Unión deConcreteras S.A.
(“Unicon”)
SkanonInvestments Inc
Sunshine Concrete(“Drake Materials”)
Drake Cement LLC
93.33%100.00%
7.59%89.36%(1)
3.05%
Cementos Lima S.A.A(“CLSA”)
Cement Operations(“CL”)
Cemento Andino S.A.(“CASA”)
100.00%
Cement Operations(“CA”)
100.00%
0.07%
3
Overview of Valuation Methodologies
Applies LTM FV / EBITDA and FV / Capacity multiples paid
in precedent transactions in the Cement sector to CASA’s
financial metrics
Looks at premium multiples paid for control in the industry
(ONLY relevant for CASA’s valuation)
Analysis limited by the lack of pure-play Latin American
trading comparables in the various sectors in which CLSA
and CASA operate. Relevant comparable sets include:
– Cement (CL, CA, Unicon and Firth)
– Power (Celepsa)
– Light-side Building Products (Preansa andEntrepisos Lima)
– Diversified Chemicals (BASF CC)
– Railroad (FCA)
Reflects the market’s current perspective of the different
businesses CLSA and CASA operate
Based on forward Firm Value / EBITDA and FV / Capacity
(where applicable) multiples of global and regional
companies in the sectors where CLSA and CASA operate
Multiples applied to each of the operating companies’
relevant metrics
Publicly
Traded
Comparables
This methodology is usually the most sound as it takes into
account the expected evolution of the financial performance
of the businesses
This methodology is highly sensitive to Weighted Average
Cost of Capital (WACC) and terminal value assumptions
Captures the value of future cash flows and growth
opportunities
Analysis based on information provided by the management
teams of CLSA and CASA
– Projections take into account the management teams’
views of the different businesses
– CASA’s projections adjusted based on CLSA
management’s guidance
DCF
Methodology Summary Description Considerations
Precedent
Transactions
(CASA)
Precedent Transactions typically include a control premium
Analysis limited by the number of public transactions in the
Latin American cement sector, lack of comparability to
CASA’s business and size, and point in the cycle those
transactions took place
Citi’s valuation analysis considers the following methodologies for the independent valuation of each ofCLSA and CASA’s operating subsidiaries.
4
$753$711
$64
$45
$563
$19$14
$6
($190)
Cemento Andino
Firm Value
(DCF Range Avg.)
Net Debt Cemento Andino
Implied Equity Value
30.0% Stake in
Celepsa
19.9% Stake in
Inveco
7.6% Stake in
Skanon
14.7% Stake in FCA 100.0% Mining
Assets
Implied Equity Value
$1,829$219
$168
$129
$1,783
$1,304
($480)
$6 $6 $2
Cement Business
Firm Value
(DCF Range Avg.)
Net Debt Cementos Implied
Equity Value
89.4% Stake in
Skanon
73.5% Stake in
Inveco
60.0% Stake in
Celepsa
50.0% Stake in
Preansa
99.9% Stake in
GEA
99.5% Stake in
Decosa
Implied Equity
Value
Inveco
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Unicon 3 5
Firm Value DCF $191 $226
(-) Net Debt (57) (57)
Implied 100% Equity Value $135 $169
Inveco Stake 100.00% 135 169
Entrepisos Lima 7 9
Firm Value Comps $6 $7(-) Net Debt 0 0
Implied 100% Equity Value $6 $8
Inveco / Unicon Stake 50.00% 3 4
BASF CC 7 9Firm Value Comps $23 $34
(-) Net Debt 2 2
Implied 100% Equity Value $25 $36
Inveco / Unicon Stake 30.00% 7 11
Firth 3 5
Firm Value DCF $66 $75
(-) Net Debt (14) (14)
Implied 100% Equity Value $52 $62
Inveco Stake 100.00% 52 62
Stake in Skanon 3.05% $7 $8
Inveco Implied Equity Value $204 $253
CLSA Stake 73.52% 150 186
CASA Stake 19.86 41 50
June 2012
Project Fusion – Sum-of-Parts Valuation Summary
DCF based on 2011 UFCF assuming 0.0% perpetuity growth WACC: 9.05% - 9.55% (mid-point 9.30%) based on CL
DCF based on 2011 UFCF assuming 0.0% perpetuitygrowth
WACC: 9.05% - 9.55% (mid-point 9.30%) based on CL
5yr DCF based on Management projections, assuming perpetuitygrowth rate of 2.25% - 2.75% (2.50% mid-point)
WACC: 9.05% - 9.55% (mid-point 9.30%) based on CL Implied FV / 2012E EBITDA: 9.3x
Comps valuation based on 2012 Management budget Comps FV/ EBITDA range: 8.0x – 9.5x based on international
railroad public companies
Notes:(1) Includes 0.073% Stake through Minera Adelaida.(2) Figures based on DCF range average.(3) Includes net debt of US$5 mm held in other vehicles not considered in the valuation exercise.(4) Based on feasibility study prepared by ARPL.
5
5yr DCF based on Management projections, assumingperpetuity growth rate of 2.75% - 3.25% (3.00% mid-point)
WACC: 8.65% - 9.15% (mid-point 8.90%) Implied FV / 2012E EBITDA: 6.6x
5yr DCF based on Management projections, assumingperpetuity growth rate of 2.75% - 3.25% (3.00% mid-point)
WACC: 9.45% - 9.95% (mid-point 9.70%) Implied FV / 2012E EBITDA: 6.2x
Comps valuation based on 2012 Management budget Comps FV/ EBITDA range: 6.0x – 7.5x based on
international light-side building product public companies
Comps valuation based on 2012 Management budget Comps FV/ EBITDA range: 4.0x – 6.0x based on
international diversified chemicals public companies
10yr DCF based on Management projections (for the first5 years), assuming perpetuity growth rate of 1.75% - 2.25%(2.00% mid-point) for Drake Cement and Drake Materialscombined cash flows
WACC: 7.75% - 8.25% (mid-point 8.00%)
5yr DCF based on Management projections, assumingperpetuity growth rate of 2.25% - 2.75% (2.50% mid-point)
WACC: 9.15% - 9.65% (mid-point 9.40%) Implied FV / 2012E EBITDA: 8.5x
5yr DCF based on Management projections, assumingperpetuity growth rate of 2.25% - 2.75% (2.50% mid-point)
WACC: 9.05% - 9.55% (mid-point 9.30%) Implied FV / 2012E EBITDA: 11.2x
5yr DCF based on Management projections, assumingperpetuity growth rate of 2.25% - 2.75% (2.50% mid-point)
WACC: 9.35% - 9.85% (mid-point 9.60%) Implied FV / 2012E EBITDA: 9.8x
Cementos Lima Total Equity Value adds the proportionalequity value of its subsidiaries
Cemento Andino Total Equity Value adds the proportionalequity value of its investments in unconsolidated affiliates
– Considers new mining project based on feasibilitystudy prepared by ARPL
CLSA Valuation (2)
(US$ mm)CASA Valuation (2)
(US$ mm)
CLSA
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Cementos 3 5
Firm Value DCF $1,666 $1,901
(-) Net Debt (480) (480)
Cementos Implied Equity Value $1,186 $1,421
Stake in Skanon 89.36% $197 $241
Stake in Inveco 73.52 150 186
Stake in Celepsa 60.00 116 142Stake in Preansa 50.00 6 7
Stake in GEA 99.93 6 7
Stake in Decosa 99.50 2 2
(-) Net Debt Held at Other Vehicles ($5) ($5)
CLSA Implied Equity Value $1,658 $2,001
FD Shares Outstanding 1,186 1,186
CLSA Equity Value per Share $1.40 $1.69
Premium (Discount) to Current 37.4% 65.8%
CASA
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Cemento Andino 3 5
Firm Value DCF $705 $801
(-) Net Debt (190) (190)
CA Implied Equity Value $515 $611
Stake in Inveco 19.86% $41 $50
Stake in Celepsa 30.00 58 71
Stake in Skanon 7.59 17 20Stake in FCA 14.69 5 6
Mining Assets 100.00 8 21
CASA Implied Equity Value $643 $780FD Shares Outstanding 1.2 1.2
CASA Equity Value per Share $536 $650
Premium (Discount) to Current 59.8% 93.7%
Preansa
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Preansa 3 5
Firm Value DCF $15 $17
(-) Net Debt (3) (3)
Implied 100% Equity Value $12 $14
Preansa Implied Equity Value $12 $14
CLSA Stake 50.00% 6 7
GEA
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
GEA 3 5
Firm Value DCF $6 $7
(-) Net Debt 0 0
Implied 100% Equity Value $6 $7
GEA Implied Equity Value $6 $7
CLSA Stake 99.93% 6 7
Skanon
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Skanon 3 5
Firm Value DCF $350 $401
(-) Net Debt (117) (117)
(-) Drake Cement Minority Interest (12) (14)
Implied 100% Equity Value $220 $270
Skanon Implied Equity Value $220 $270CLSA Stake 89.36% 197 241
CASA Stake 7.59 17 20
Inveco Stake 3.05 7 8
Celepsa
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Celepsa 3 5
Firm Value DCF $359 $402
(-) Net Debt (166) (166)
Implied 100% Equity Value $193 $236
Celepsa Implied Equity Value $193 $236
CLSA Stake 60.00% 116 142
CASA Stake 30.00 58 71
Decosa
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
Decosa 3 5
Firm Value DCF $2 $2
(-) Net Debt 0 0
Implied 100% Equity Value $2 $2
Stake in GEA 0.073% 0 0
Decosa Implied Equity Value $2 $2
CLSA Stake 99.50% 2 2
FCA
Valuation Range
Method. Low High
FCA 7 9
Firm Value Comps $47 $56
(-) Net Debt (12) (12)
Implied 100% Equity Value $35 $44
FCA Implied Equity Value $35 $44
CASA Stake 14.69% 5 6
(1)
(1)
(3)(1) (4)
$293
$536
$481
$196
$515
$650
$618
$386
$335
$100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
Precedent
Transactions
($170 - $310 / MT)
(7.5x - 8.5x LTM
EBITDA)
5Yr DCF
(9.35% - 9.85%
WACC)
Comparable
Companies
($300 - $330 / MT)
(9.0x - 11.0x '12E
EBITDA)
52Wk
Low - High
$1.40
$1.22
$0.70
$1.69
$1.55
$1.09
$1.02
$0.50 $0.75 $1.00 $1.25 $1.50 $1.75 $2.00
DCF
(SOP)
Comparable
Companies
(SOP)
52Wk
Low - High
Cemento AndinoCementos Lima
CLSA – CASA Side-by-Side Valuations
Current (1)
Notes:(1) As of June 22, 2012.(2) Except for Skanon, GEA and Decosa, which are accounted for based on DCF valuation.(3) 5yr DCF except for Skanon based on 10yr DCF. Inveco’s stake in Entrepisos Lima and BASF CC are accounted for based on comparable company multiples valuations.(4) Investment in Unconsolidated Subsidiaries accounted for based on comparable company multiples valuation, except for Skanon accounted for based on DCF. Unicon (excl. Entrepisos Lima andBASF CC) and Firth valuation range of 5.0x – 7.0x FV / 2012E EBITDA based on US Concrete multiples; Entrepisos Lima valuation range of 6.0x – 7.5x FV / 2012E EBITDA based on NorthAmerican Light-side building products companies multiples; BASF CC valuation range of 4.0x – 6.0x FV / 2012E EBITDA based on international diversified chemicals multiples; Celepsa valuationrange of US$1,500 - US$1,800 FV / KW and 7.0x – 8.5x FV / 2012E EBITDA based on Latin American power generation comparables; FCA valuation range of 8.0x – 9.5x FV / 2012E EBITDAbased on North American railroad companies; mining project based on feasibility study prepared by ARPL.(5) Investment in Unconsolidated Subsidiaries accounted for based on DCF valuation for each business, except for Inveco’s stake in Entrepisos Lima and BASF CC, and FCA based on comparablecompany multiples valuation, and mining assets based on feasibility study prepared by ARPL.
(3)
(2)
Price per Share(US$)
Price per Share(US$)
Current (1)
(5)
(4)
(4)
6
PF Ownership in Combined Entity
CLSA Shares Issued (mm) CL PF Shares Outs. (mm) Current CLSA Shs. Former CASA Shs.
215.0 - 659.3 1,400.7 - 1,845.0 64.3% - 84.7% 15.3% - 35.7%
335.1 - 423.0 1,520.8 - 1,608.7 73.7% - 78.0% 22.0% - 26.3%
372.9 - 608.4 1,558.6 - 1,794.1 66.1% - 76.1% 23.9% - 33.9%
473.9 - 478.8 1,659.6 - 1,664.5 71.2% - 71.4% 28.6% - 28.8%
381.1 - 557.6 1,566.8 - 1,743.3 68.0% - 75.7% 24.3% - 32.0%
460.0 - 462.0 1,645.7 - 1,647.7 72.0% - 72.0% 28.0% - 28.0%
227.1 - 507.2 1,412.8 - 1,692.9 70.0% - 83.9% 16.1% - 30.0%
288.6 - 399.1 1,474.3 - 1,584.8 74.8% - 80.4% 19.6% - 25.2%
CA Shares Outs. (mm) CL Shares Outs. (mm)
1.2 1,185.7
189x
318x
311x
179x
423x
465x
507x
549x
330x
292x
384x
397x
324x
0x 100x 200x 300x 400x 500x 600x 700x
Precedent
Transactions
DCF
Comparable
Companies
52Wk
Low - High
Exchange Ratio Summary
78.0%73.7% 22.0% 26.3%
75.3% 24.7%
71.4%71.2% 28.6% 28.8%
71.3% 28.7%
72.0%72.0% 28.0% 28.0%
72.0% 28.0%
80.4%74.8% 19.6% 25.2%
77.2% 22.8%
352x
395x 399x
383x 385x
241x 333x
279x
75.0% 25.0%
Notes:(1) As of June 22, 2012.(2) Based on CASA’s precedent transactions multiples valuation and CLSA’s comparable multiples valuations.
(2)
Current (1)
Implied Exchange Ratio(CLSA Shares per CASA Share)
7
0x 100x 200x 300x 400x 500x 600x 700x
Precedent
Transactions
DCF
Comparable
Companies
52Wk
Low - High
0x 100x 200x 300x 400x 500x 600x 700x
Precedent
Transactions
DCF
Comparable
Companies
52Wk
Low - High
Pro Forma Ownership Summary
78.0%73.7% 22.0% 26.3%
75.3% 24.7%
71.4%71.2% 28.6% 28.8%
71.3% 28.7%
72.0%72.0% 28.0% 28.0%
72.0% 28.0%
80.4%74.8% 19.6% 25.2%
77.2% 22.8%
84.7% 15.3%64.3% 35.7%
76.1%66.1%
75.7%68.0%
83.9%70.0%
23.9% 33.9%
24.3% 32.0%
16.1% 30.0%
75.0% 25.0%Current (1)
Notes:(1) As of June 22, 2012.(2) Based on CASA’s precedent transactions multiples valuation and CLSA’s comparable multiples valuations.
Current (1)
Former Cemento Andino ShareholdersCurrent Cementos Lima Shareholders
The implied exchange ratios under the different valuation methodologies result in the following Pro Formaownerships:
(%) (%)
(2)
8
Jun-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
Price
(US
$)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Volu
me
('000s)
CASA Volume
CLSA & CASA Current Market Valuations
CLSA and CASA shares trade at a deep discount to their intrinsic valuations.
52-Week High: US$386
52-Week Low: US$196
CLSA’s Market Valuation & Share Price Performance
Source: Company filings and Factset as of June 22, 2012.(1) Multiples calculated in local currency.
CASA’s Market Valuation & Share Price Performance
Jun-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jun-12
$0.50
$0.65
$0.80
$0.95
$1.10
$1.25
Price
(US
$)
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.8
1.1
1.4
1.7
1.9
2.2
Volu
me
(mm
)
CLSA Volume
52-Week High: US$1.09
52-Week Low: US$0.70
Period Performance ADTV (US$ mm) VWAP (US$)
1-Month 8.0% $0.2 $0.98
3-Month (1.5) 0.4 1.03
6-Month 31.1 0.3 0.99
12-Month 12.5 0.2 0.93(US$ in mm) Lima
Share Price (US$) $1.02
Shares Outstanding (mm) 1,185.7
Market Capitalization $1,206
(+) Total Debt 876
(-) Cash & Equivalents 35
(+) Minority Interest 162
(-) Invest. in Uncons. Subs. 2
Firm Value $2,208
FV / 2012E EBITDA (1)9.2x
FV / 2013E EBITDA (1)8.2
Total Debt / LTM EBITDA 3.9x
Net Debt / LTM EBITDA 3.7
(US$ in mm) Andino
Share Price (US$) $335
Shares Outstanding (mm) 1.2
Market Capitalization $402
(+) Total Debt 223
(-) Cash & Equivalents 32
(+) Minority Interest 0
(-) Invest. in Uncons. Subs. 105
Firm Value $488
FV / 2012E EBITDA (1)5.7x
FV / 2013E EBITDA (1)5.1
Total Debt / LTM EBITDA 3.9x
Net Debt / LTM EBITDA 3.3
Period Performance ADTV (US$ mm) VWAP (US$)
1-Month 1.7% $0.0 $332
3-Month (9.6) 0.1 363
6-Month 48.3 0.1 334
12-Month 8.5 0.1 303
9
Natural Exchange Ratio Evolution
150.0x
200.0x
250.0x
300.0x
350.0x
400.0x
450.0x
500.0x
Jun-09 Oct-09 Feb-10 Jun-10 Oct-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Oct-11 Feb-12 Jun-12
Natural Exchange Ratio Evolution(CLSA shares per CASA share)
Current 3-Mth 6-Mth 1-Yr 3-Yr
Average 329.6x 343.7x 323.9x 318.5x 319.2x
Source: Factset as of June 22, 2012.
Natural exchange ratio between CLSA and CASA shares has been very stable during the past few years.The current exchange ratio is at 330x.
10
$87
$25
$217
$319$330
($10)
Commercial Logistics Headcount Total Synergies Integration Costs Net Synergies
Potential Synergies
Source: RTM Synergies Report, as of June 2012.(1) Based on after-tax figures using a 40.8% effective tax rate (including PTU rate). Present value calculated using a 9.3% WACC and a 2.5% perpetuity growth rate, in line with Cementos Lima valuationassumptions.(2) Net of cost for salary stabilization for similar positions in both companies.
Present Value of Potential Synergies (1)
(US$ mm)
Commercial Synergies include: pricing synergies (43%), synergies for market share gains (38%), synergies for product mix improvements (15%) and synergies from sales forcesavings (4%)
Logistics Synergies include purchasing and other general savings
(2)
Significant synergies could result from a potential combination between CLSA and CASA, representing~13% premium to the combined DCF valuation and a ~20% to current combined market capitalizations.
Annual After Tax Run Ratesynergies of ~US$30mm
11
PV of Synergies (US$ mm)
$200 $250 $300 $350
70.0% 5.0% 7.9% 10.8% 13.7%
71.0% 6.5 9.4 12.3 15.3
72.0% 8.0 10.9 13.9 16.9
73.0% 9.5 12.5 15.5 18.5
74.0% 11.0 14.0 17.1 20.2
CL
SA
Ow
ners
hip
Value Creation Analysis – @ Current Market Capitalizations
Notes:(1) Based on RTM’s Synergies Report.(2) Current market price of US$1.02 as of June 22, 2012.
Pro Forma Equity Value + Synergies(US$ mm)
CLSA Price per Share Sensitivity(US$)
(1)
Value for CLSA Shareholders: US$1,388 mm
Value per CL share: US$1.17
Premium / (Discount) to Market: 15.1%
Value for CASA Shareholders: US$540 mm
Value per CA share: US$450
Premium / (Discount) to Market: 34.2%
Premium to Current (2)
(%)
(72%)
(28%)
PV of Synergies (US$ mm)
$1.17 $200 $250 $300 $350
70.0% $1.07 $1.10 $1.13 $1.16
71.0% 1.08 1.11 1.14 1.17
72.0% 1.10 1.13 1.16 1.19
73.0% 1.11 1.14 1.18 1.21
74.0% 1.13 1.16 1.19 1.22
CL
SA
Ow
ners
hip
$402
$319$540
$1,206$1,388
$1,928
CLSA Equity Value
(At Market)
(9.2x FV / '12E EBITDA)
CASA Equity Value
(At Market)
(5.7x FV / '12E EBITDA)
PV of Synergies Total PF Equity Value
(72%)
(28%)
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Value Creation Analysis – CASA @ CLSA Multiple
Pro Forma Equity Value + Synergies(US$ mm)
$701
$319$623
$1,603
$1,206
$2,227
CLSA Equity Value
(At Market)
(9.2x FV / '12E EBITDA)
CASA Equity Value
(At CLSA's Mult iple)
(9.2x FV / '12E EBITDA)
PV of Synergies Total PF Equity Value
CLSA Price per Share Sensitivity(US$)
(1)
Value for CLSA Shareholders: US$1,603 mm
Value per CL share: US$1.35
Premium / (Discount) to Market: 32.9%
Value for CASA Shareholders: US$623 mm
Value per CA share: US$520
Premium / (Discount) to Market: 54.9%
Premium to Current (2)
(%)
(72%)
(28%)
PV of Synergies (US$ mm)
$1.35 $200 $250 $300 $350
70.0% $1.24 $1.27 $1.30 $1.33
71.0% 1.26 1.29 1.32 1.35
72.0% 1.28 1.31 1.34 1.37
73.0% 1.30 1.33 1.36 1.39
74.0% 1.32 1.35 1.38 1.41
CL
SA
Ow
ners
hip
PV of Synergies (US$ mm)
$200 $250 $300 $350
70.0% 22.3% 25.2% 28.1% 31.0%
71.0% 24.0 26.9 29.9 32.8
72.0% 25.8 28.7 31.7 34.7
73.0% 27.5 30.5 33.5 36.6
74.0% 29.2 32.3 35.4 38.4
CL
SA
Ow
ners
hip
Notes:(1) Based on RTM’s Synergies Report.(2) Current market price of US$1.02 as of June 22, 2012.
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Value Creation Analysis – @ DCF
Pro Forma Equity Value + Synergies(US$ mm)
$711
$319
$801
$2,059$1,829
$2,860
CLSA Equity Value
(At DCF)
(11.4x FV / '12E EBITDA)
CASA Equity Value
(At DCF)
(9.8x FV / '12E EBITDA)
PV of Synergies Total PF Equity Value
CLSA Price per Share Sensitivity(US$)
(1)
Value for CLSA Shareholders: US$2,059 mm
Value per CL share: US$1.74
Premium / (Discount) to Market: 70.7%
Value for CASA Shareholders: US$801 mm
Value per CA share: US$667
Premium / (Discount) to Market: 98.9%
Premium to Current (2)
(%)
(72%)
(28%)
PV of Synergies (US$ mm)
$1.74 $200 $250 $300 $350
70.0% $1.62 $1.65 $1.68 $1.71
71.0% 1.64 1.67 1.70 1.73
72.0% 1.66 1.69 1.72 1.76
73.0% 1.69 1.72 1.75 1.78
74.0% 1.71 1.74 1.77 1.80
CL
SA
Ow
ners
hip
PV of Synergies (US$ mm)
$200 $250 $300 $350
70.0% 59.0% 61.9% 64.8% 67.7%
71.0% 61.3 64.2 67.2 70.1
72.0% 63.5 66.5 69.5 72.5
73.0% 65.8 68.8 71.9 74.9
74.0% 68.1 71.1 74.2 77.3
CL
SA
Ow
ners
hip
Notes:(1) Based on RTM’s Synergies Report.(2) Current market price of US$1.02 as of June 22, 2012.
14