circular p-c-p option strategy · 2017-01-13 · option level : basic only two action : 1. sell put...
TRANSCRIPT
Circular P-C-P Option Strategy
Honest and Open sharing By Seon
Alan Ellman’s Option Strategy
Circular PCP Strategy (see below diagram)
Book Review on Alan Cash-Secured Puts/
Why use P-C-P strategy
Pro
• Almost pow chiak
• Sell option only
• Concurrent activities
• Monthly Income
• Beginner can pick up fast
• Mechanical
• Relatively safe
Con
• Slow
• Boring
• Low ROI
• Extreme price movement
• Not 100% win all the time
• Some losses are to be expected
• Neutral or Bull condition
• Not effective use capital/margin
Integrating Information to Knowledge
Option level : Basic Only two action : 1. Sell Put (intent to buy stock at low price) 2. Sell Call (intent to sell away stock at higher price) Period : Monthly (expiration month) Stock Condition : Slightly bearish to bullish Underlying : For beginner chose growing ETF or low volatility stock For more advance ; stocks or leverage ETF (3x) (However beware of notable event) Diversification : At least 5 ETF or stocks and different sector Mindset : 3% rule to cut loss and position sizing
That is Alan Ellman P-C-P strategy! Now, I share from how I copy his strategy and integrate it to my option style
Step 1 – Sell cash-secured PUT
Prefer to sell OTM put (collect monthly income)
• If price above - do nothing
• If NTM – check news, no major impact, do nothing
• If bad news, can do adjustment (rolling, inversion etc)
• Else get ready for assignment (game on)
Integrating Information to Knowledge Selling Put consider bullish or flat trend. Can use Linear Regression channel and below consider anything below the 25% line (one of these cannot sell put)
Step 2 –Sell covered CALL (Fun begin)
CoveredCall
Premium Protection Capital Gain
Sell ITM (Bearish)
High Good Zero
Sell ATM (Neutral)
Med Zero Zero
Sell OTM (Bullish)
Low Zero High
Three ways to sell covered call ITM, ATM and OTM (all three can collect premium)
Option Chain on Call ITM, ATM and OTM
ATM
OTM
ITM
One month
Assume Assignment at $68.50 Current Price $68.71
Sell Covered Call : ITM, ATM and OTM
Covered Call
SP Premium Protection Capital Gain Total gain is
ITM $66.5 $2.95 $2 0 $0.95
ATM $68.5 $1.55 0 0 $1.55
OTM $70.5 $0.65 0 $2 $2.65
Assume Assignment at $68.50 Current Price $68.71 DTE = One month
Wait there is more …. Step 3
Milk the cow Rollover Adjustment
Price Bullish Neutral Bearish
OTM rollout and/or up roll out roll out and down
ATM rollout and/or up roll out roll out and down
ITM rollout and/or up roll out roll out and down
or leave it
Step 3: Milking the cow or Adjustment
If correct – milk the cow
OTM – rollout (collect premium using contingency order)
ATM – rollout (rollup to collect premium and aim for capital gain)
ITM – rollout or up (avoid assignment)
If wrong – adjustment
OTM – rollout and down (collect more premium)
ATM – rollout and down (start to protect)
ITM – do nothing or rolldown (to protect further)
Comparison of PCP and Mod version
Alan’s P-C-P
1. Sell Put
2. When assigned then do
3. Sell ATM Call
4. When assigned repeat 1
Seon’s Modified version
1. Sell Put with adjustment or buy stocks when see price head north
2a. Sell ITM – Bearish
2b. Sell ATM – Neutral
2c. Sell OTM – Bullish
3a. Perform rollover when right
3b. Perform adjustment when wrong