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    Add Resilience toSupply Chains

    WHITE PAPER

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 2

    In brief

    Natural disasters and other events have exposed

    weaknesses in lean global, regional, and domestic

    supply chains, disrupting connections between

    companies, their suppliers, and their customers. In the

    next phase of supply chain development, companies

    are creating ways to circumvent disruptions andminimize their impact on the business. This white

    paper looks at issues that companies should consider

    when developing a more resilient supply chain.

    ContentsDeveloping Supply Chain Resilience: The New Frontier 3

    Case Study: A Lean Supply Chain Deals With Disaster 4

    Mapping the Supply Chain to Find the Gaps 5

    The Process flow map 5

    Network modeling 6

    Hi-Viz Supply Chain maps 7

    Developing Options for Resilience 8

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 3

    Developing Supply Chain Resilience: The New FrontierFor decades, finding efficiencies has been the primary driver in evolving supply

    chains. Companies have promoted problem solving to drive out waste and rely

    on just-in-time flow, a process that is determined by customer demand.1As

    efficiencies have increased with Lean and similar systems, highly optimized

    networks have been developed, lowering inventory and other costs. But a series

    of well publicized events that compromised supply chains has prompted many

    leaders to wonder if an operation can be too lean.

    In the past, disasters were felt primarily by companies in an affected region.

    Now, problems that used to be isolated to a region can have far-reaching

    impact on many supply chains, especially those that are lean and global. Their

    suppliers and customers can be located anywhere in the world. Inventory that is

    strategically positioned for lean operations may be poorly situated to serve keycustomers if disruption occurs.

    While gaining efficiencies and reducing costs will remain high on the list of

    priorities, analyzing different levels of risk and building in resiliency is the nextfrontier in supply chain management. Financial models assess different levels

    of supply chain risk on the overall balance sheetcarrying costs, inventory, and

    cycle times. C-level executives seek mitigation strategies for natural disasters

    or man-made events that could interfere with business interests. In this era of

    scrutiny, managers with compelling ways to add resiliency to the global supply

    chain and help the overall companys profit and loss will have arguments that

    leadership is ready to hear.

    Developing a resiliency plan is now a must for any company. But global

    companies, especially those with high-value, high-demand products coming

    from multiple locations, are most likely to need such plans. Certain industries

    are particularly vulnerable to disruption. Retailers and brand name pharma-ceutical companies require speed to market to keep sales channels open

    and customers satisfied. Manufacturers need raw materials and supplies at

    planned intervals to prevent downed plant lines and maintain machinery. Food

    and beverage companies must be able to trace problems back to their source

    in multi-tiered supply networks, and understand divergent regulations for food

    quality around the world.2

    Developing a resiliency plan is now a must for any company. But

    global companies, especially those with high-value, high-demand

    products coming from multiple locations, are most likely to

    need such plans.

    1 Miller, Jon. The Necessity of Redundancy in Lean. Quality Digest, April 30, 2010.2 Deloitte Insights. Supply Chain Risk: Answers to Five Often-asked Questions.The Wall Street Journal,

    April 19, 2013.

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 4

    For global organizations, it may be less obvious where process and supply gaps

    exist. Even though many of these companies use transportation management

    systems (TMS) to achieve efficiencies, few of those systems provide global

    visibility. Incompatibilities in technology, language, culture, and regulation

    between and across continents can prevent identification of transportation and

    operational chokeholds.

    Yet, certain considerations can help build backup plans for more resilient supplychains and help companies adapt to changing circumstances while maintaining

    their central objectives.3Companies with resilient global supply chains are more

    likely to have goods available when they need them, and to be able to continue

    serving customers without disruption. And because they can see their inventory,

    they are less likely to spend unnecessarily to transport emergency supplies.

    The hardened enterprise will be able to not only withstand all manner of

    disruption but also increase its competitiveness. Unforeseen disruptions can

    create shortages that are not dissimilar to the demand spikes caused by

    supply/demand imbalances; resilient enterprises can thus react to changing

    market demand ahead of their competitors.4

    A motor manufacturer had

    operations and suppliers

    in North America and the

    Asia Pacific region. After

    outsourcing their global

    supply chain to a third

    party logistics provider

    (3PL), order cycle mapping

    revealed that internal

    groups duplicated efforts

    in customs documentation.

    Poor global visibility

    prevented accurate answers

    about manufacturing/

    delivery timelines. Inbound

    transportation costs were

    bundled into the total price

    of goods. Freight was not

    optimized.

    The 3PL obtained weight

    and dimensions of all SKUs

    and consolidated less than

    container loads (LCL) into

    full container loads (FCL)

    for fewer containers to lower

    costs. Raw materials from

    all global suppliers came to

    one bonded warehouse in

    Laredo for optimization and

    delivery in the United States.

    Technology provided visibility

    into when raw materials

    would actually arrive for

    less stress on warehousing,

    receiving, manufacturing, and

    customer service.

    While these efficiency

    measures were underway, the

    tsunami struck Japan. Years

    before, the company had

    worked with U.S. suppliers,

    but gradually turned to

    lower-cost Asian suppliers.

    When that distribution

    channel was disrupted, the

    company was no longer a

    preferred customer with

    U.S. suppliers, and their

    raw materials went to

    competitors.5

    Todays backup plan

    includes:

    A significant increase in

    raw materials orders with

    U.S. and Mexican suppliers;as preferred customers,

    they can obtain materials if

    disruption occurs.

    Balanced North American

    supply with strategic

    orders from Asia to gain

    redundancy and help

    prevent supply interruptions.

    Opened a new plant in

    Houston to complement the

    one in Vietnam. They can

    respond during a disasterand when orders exceed

    demand forecasts.

    CASE STUDY:A Lean Supply Chain Deals With Disaster

    3 IDC Energy Insights. Predictions: Oil & Gas ICT Systems Need to Be Resilient to Counteract DisruptiveFactors. IDC Energy Insights 2014 Predictions: Worldwide Oil & Gas, December 11, 2013.

    4 Sheffi, Yossi. Building a Resilient Supply Chain. HBR Blog Network, August 14, 2007.5 Glendon, Lee, and Lyndon Bird. 5th Annual Supply Chain Resilience Survey. Business Continuity

    Institute (BCI), April 2013. The company in the case study is similar to companies surveyed by BCI. Theyasked 519 global shippers whether key suppliers would declare them a priority customer in the event ofa disruption; 64 percent said they either did not know where their organization would be in the ranking orknew for only some key suppliers.

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 5

    Mapping the Supply Chain to Find the GapsIdentifying potential chokepoints in the global supply chain is the first challenge.

    Maps can be simple or highly complex, but they help the company visualize

    where the greatest risks can be found. Three types of maps are explored here,

    from high-level to extremely detailed views of operations.

    The process flow map (high-level view)

    As a neutral third party, a consultant or provider can work with key stakeholdersfrom across the organization and provide insight on the supply chains current

    state. As each stakeholder explains how orders flow from supplier to customer,

    the consultant combines all perspectives in a single page map. Process flow

    maps simultaneously reveal efficiency gaps and potential risks for analysis (see

    Figure 1).

    FIGURE 1 PROCESS FLOW MAP

    ManufacturingInternationalRaw Goods Supplier

    DomesticRaw Goods Supplier

    End Customer

    Packaging SupplierLocal

    Port

    If the raw materials come

    from overseas, they must

    go through sterilization

    before manufacture.

    Expedited shipments are

    shipped directly from

    manufacturing

    Primary DC

    Distributor Network

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 6

    Network modelingAs companies experience significant changes in their operations (e.g., mergers

    and acquisitions, factory closings, customer gains or losses), they can enlist

    help from a logistics expert to model the current and future network. Network

    modeling reveals where materials and inventory are located and how end

    customers are served through distribution channels. The map shows where the

    company has the biggest inefficiencies and the greatest risk. Detailed analysis

    leads to recommendations on where vendors and distribution points are, and

    where they ideally will be positioned (see Figure 2).

    Global network modeling requires not only data but deep knowledge of local

    and regional complexities. It is not equally easy to do business in all regions

    of the world. Some countries have complex provincial and state government

    regulations. These regulations make it essential to carefully choose the ideal

    location and type of warehouse (i.e., free trade zone, bonded logistics park, etc.)

    to perform the necessary operational tasks.

    FIGURE 2 NETWORK MODELING MAP

    Companies that plan for service disruptions gain an advantage over less prepared

    competitors in providing continuous service to customers.

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 7

    FIGURE 3 HIVIZ SUPPLY CHAIN TOOLS

    Hi-Viz Supply Chain mapsDr. Bruce Arntzen, researcher at Massachusetts Institute of Technologys Center

    for Transportation and Logistics, is developing Hi-Viz Supply Chain displays that

    gather data from corporate databases, such as enterprise resource planning

    (ERP) systems. The program automatically generates several types of flow

    diagrams and maps of the companys supply chain. Visual displays of risk events

    can be superimposed on top of supply chain images to show chokeholds.

    Information that can be

    displayed includes:

    Locations of plants, suppliers, customers, and major transportation lanes

    Alerts of natural disasters, strikes and protests, infrastructure failure, etc.

    Heat maps (frequency diagrams) of hurricanes, floods, earthquakes, etc.

    Inventory deployment (dollars and days of supply) across the network

    Risk pathways (most vulnerable segments) across the network

    Risk exposure and value at risk for each location in the network

    Predicted customer blackout days from the loss of any site or lane in

    the network

    With Hi-Viz Supply Chain maps (see Figure 3), companies can identify whichnodes of a supply chain could be disrupted and answer questions like these:

    Where is the weakest link? What is the probability that the node will be

    disrupted?

    What are the downstream ripple effects of the loss of a node or link in the

    network? What downstream plants, DCs, and customers will be disrupted,

    and at what cost?

    What supply chain actions would make the company less vulnerable

    (e.g., backup suppliers, extra inventory, overlapping DC coverage)?

    Where to begin: across the network, what is the highest risk?

    Hi-Viz Supply Chain tools offer a variety of maps and flow diagrams of the supply

    chains plants, suppliers, customers, and major transportation lanes. This map

    shows a high-level, strategic view of risk pathways after a natural disaster in

    Europe (in red) that is suitable for the boardroom. Other areas of potential risk are

    noted in yellow; locations with the least exposure are shown in green.

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 8

    Tips to help reduce risk Find alternate sources for critical materialsif there is only one supplier. Also

    verify that suppliers have assessed risk with their own vendors, and that they

    have more than one source for essential materials.

    Consider interchangeable parts or products.If certain materials become

    unavailable, there may be similar materials or products that could be

    substituted. For example, U.S. cities banned the use of triclosan from anti-bacterial hand soaps when the ingredient was linked to brain damage and

    cancer.7Manufacturers responded by substituting a similar product without

    this ingredient to satisfy regulations and customers.

    Ensure there are alternate distribution solutionsif suppliers and customers

    are in the same region. If disruption occurs, suppliers may need to reroute

    products to keep manufacturing underway, or open a facility closer to key

    customers to keep product flowing.

    Developing Options for ResilienceWhile it is impossible to prevent all supply chain risk, global companies can and

    should assess how much risk they can tolerate and develop a plan to mitigate

    the most likely risks to their business.

    SUPPLIER RESILIENCE

    Establish direct supplier relationships and have a

    person who knows the culture and language perform

    due diligence.6

    6 Simchi-Levi, Professor David. Making the right decisions to strengthen operations performance.PriceWaterhouseCoopers and the MIT Forum for Supply Chain Innovation, 2013.

    7 Huff, Ethan. FDA may ban antibacterial soap ingredients such as triclosan. Natural News.com,December 20, 2013.

    TECHNOLOGY

    If operations technology

    is disrupted, corrupted,

    or destroyed, how

    quickly can data be

    recovered?

    If you use a providers

    technology, what is

    their plan for data

    redundancy? Forbackups? For security?

    TRANSPORTATION

    & DISTRIBUTION

    If there is a disaster, what

    transportation alternatives

    can keep product flowing?

    How easy is it to

    import and export from

    distribution locations?

    INVENTORY

    Where is inventory

    located? Is it at the right

    levels?

    Are most-used SKUs

    close to key customers?

    Should there be a plan for

    safety stock or forward

    stocking?

    Which key lanes cannot

    afford to have financially

    optimized inventory

    levels?

    SUPPLIERS

    Which SKUs come from

    which suppliers, and

    what regulations exist in

    supplier locations?

    Are there backup

    suppliers for critical

    components, and do the

    suppliers sources of

    rare raw materials havealternative sources?

    Should vendors be

    changed to provide the

    necessary safety stock?

    QUESTIONS TO ANSWER TO ADD RESILIENCE TO THE SUPPLY CHAIN

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 9

    Tips to help reduce risk Develop plans for safety stock.Regional strikes can shut down a supply chain,

    making it impossible to serve customers. Having a critical part held up at an

    international border can shut down a production line. Smart, well intentioned,

    lean inventory management can present more areas of risk that can disrupt

    a supply chain. Consider what it will mean if key customers cannot be served

    for a day, a week, or a month. Some companies maintain a day or more of

    safety stock close to key customers. If a temporary disruption occurs, they can

    examine forecasts and point of sale data to determine priorities and deploy the

    safety stock until regular shipping can resume.

    Set up forward stocking locations.Consider positioning non-critical parts close

    to customers. That enables better speed to market during temporary disruptions

    while lowering costs.

    Create parallel supply chains.When product launches are essential to profit-

    ability, a parallel supply chain can directly connect independent production

    facilities with sales sites, bypassing the traditional supply chain.

    Consider postponement.Ramping up all inventory increases carrying costs

    and inventory expenses. To control costs and add resilience, shippers can

    hold off on deliveries until they have a better sense of when a disruption will

    be over, or until they can gain more clarity on customer demand. Fast-moving

    SKUs can be positioned regionally, close to customers; lesser-used SKUs

    or products can be moved further back in the supply chain and sent to the

    regional DCs as needed. Similarly, manufacturers can place most-used

    components closer to manufacturing facilities for faster access when they

    need to step up production.

    Consider tradeoffs and riskswhen choosing locations for sourcing or dis-

    tribution. During the threatened West Coast port strike, shippers developed

    alternate strategies to bringing product to the West Coast and trucking it east.

    Some shipped from Asia through the Panama Canal and to the West Coast

    and from Asia to Canada to the U.S. Others moved supply sources to Mexico;

    for them, having lower transportation costs and inventory closer to U.S.

    customers outweighed the risks of potential crime, theft, and

    governmental issues.

    INVENTORY RESILIENCE

    Supply chains are dynamic. As changes occur in

    labor rates, country of origin decisions, and more,

    companies with a single global TMS are betterpositioned to initiate alternate plans for

    built-in resiliency.

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 10

    TRANSPORTATION RESILIENCE

    As junior logistics employees gain experience and

    move up in the organization, routing decisions are

    made by people with the least tenure in transportationand logistics. Because they may not know their

    options, they can make unnecessarily costly decisions

    when disruptions occur.

    Tips to help reduce risk Leverage all types of transportation.Introduce newer members of the team

    to the full range of logistics options, and help junior employees recognize the

    best options.

    Teach employees how to evaluate the risk/cost/service tradeoffs.Velocity ofdelivery is a consideration in air-to-ocean, consolidated-air-to-direct-air, and

    truck-to-rail combinations. Even within a single transportation type, there are

    tradeoffs. Ocean freight that goes to direct port of call has a shorter transit

    time, but costs more; ocean shipments that stop at multiple ports of calls have

    longer transits and lower costs for transportation. But the more vessel stops

    there are, the greater potential there is for delays and disruption.

    Have an expediting strategy.Not all freight needs to be expedited if disruption

    occurs. For instance, rather than sending whole truckloads by air after a

    disaster, work with customers to airfreight only what they need immediately,

    and truck the rest.

    Conduct thorough due diligence on potential transportation providers.Aswith suppliers, working with reputable providers can help reduce unexpected

    supply chain failures.

    TECHNOLOGY RESILIENCE

    There is no substitute for data redundancy to protect

    a companys orders, sales, and costing information.

    Tips to help reduce risk Make sure all data has a backup.Whether the system belongs to the company

    or a provider, ask what the disaster recovery plan is and how often it is tested.

    Your backup should have a backup.If the backup goes down, a good, resilient

    plan will be ready for continuous or fast recovery.

    Safeguard critical data. Employ vigilance and advanced security measures to

    protect the companys information and reputation, and ensure system stability,

    integrity, and performance.

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    C.H. Robinson | Add Resilience to Supply Chains 11

    8 Curkovic, Sime, and Thomas Scannell. Identifying the Factors for Successfully Managing Supply ChainRisks. The World Financial Review, September 26, 2013.

    9 Glendon, Lee, and Lyndon Bird. 5th Annual Supply Chain Resilience Survey. Business ContinuityInstitute (BCI), April 2013. The company in the case study is similar to companies surveyed by BCI. Theyasked 519 global shippers whether key suppliers would declare them a priority customer in the event ofa disruption; 64 percent said they either did not know where their organization would be in the ranking orknew for only some key suppliers.

    Does Redundancy Have a Place in Lean Systems?How lean is too lean? As well-known brands have suffered through highly-

    publicized service disruptions in recent years, that question has gained renewed

    attention in corporate boardrooms. The focus on hyper-efficient supply chains

    reveals that fewer parts and fewer suppliers can drive down material costs

    and radically simplify operations. But when a strategic supplier of a critical

    part encounters a hiccup, it can have crippling and costly implications for the

    enterprise.9

    Complete redundancy is cost-prohibitive, but some redundant stock, systems,

    and resources can help avoid the waste of system breakdown if a disasteroccurs, even in a highly efficient supply chain. Companies can look at key raw

    materials, customers, and lanes where having a solely financially-driven plan

    is not an option the business can afford. In addition, shippers can consider

    questions about suppliers, inventory, transportation, and technology to discern

    how much risk is tolerable and develop the what if questions and solutions

    that can lead to resilience.

    Supplier failure/reliabilityBankruptcy, ruin, or default of

    suppliers/shippersLogistics failure

    From a survey of 46 supply chain managers; participants could choose more than one response to this question.8

    89%

    48%

    44%

    TOP PERCEIVED THREATS8

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    C H R bi | Add R ili t S l Ch i 12

    1. Technology.Supply chain resilience is easier to achieve with a global

    TMS. Having visibility to global operations enables optimization and

    identifies chokepoints and areas of risk that should be analyzed.

    2. A global transportation provider.Many companies can manage air

    or ocean shipments globally. But very few have the capability to tell

    where everything is, in any mode, around the world. Experienced

    transportation experts who understand how to use a global TMS can

    help companies manage the level of risk thats acceptable and plan

    for contingencies.

    3. A very specific carrier strategy.Shippers can review their allocation

    of modestruckload, rail, intermodal, ocean, and airand create

    options for moving freight in other ways if the supply chain is

    disrupted.

    4. A balanced approach to supply.Global companies can analyze how

    to balance sourcing across regions to gain preferred customer

    status with suppliers in key regions. That way, the company can still

    obtain materials and products if other supplier routes are disrupted.

    4

    TOOLSTHAT SUPPORT

    SUPPLY CHAIN

    RESILIENCY

    14701 Charlson Road, Eden Prairie, MN 55347 | 800.323.7587 | www.chrobinson.com 2014 C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

    About UsC.H. Robinson helps companies

    simplify their global supply chains.

    Skilled logistics employees apply a

    deep knowledge of market conditionsand proven processes to solve

    transportation problems. Integrated

    technology gathers data from all parts

    of the supply chain and provides full

    visibility to orders and costs. From

    local truck transportation to global

    supply chain management systems,

    from produce sourcing to consulting

    based on practical experience

    to outsourcing, C.H. Robinson

    accelerates competitive advantage for

    companies of all sizes.

    For more information, please

    visit www.chrobinson.com or our

    Transportfolio blog at

    www.blog.chrobinson.com.