china’s food security challenge and the implications for business
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China’s food security challenge and the implications for business. China’s Urbanization. China's urban population will expand from 572 million in 2005 to 926 million in 2025 and hit the one billion mark by 2030; - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
China’s food security challenge and the implications for business
China's urban population will expand from 572 million in 2005 to 926 million in 2025 and hit the one billion mark by 2030;
More than 350 million people will add to its urban population by 2025, more than 240 million will be migrants in China;
Over the next two decades, migration will play a much larger role, accounting for about 70 percent of the new urban residents;
China’s Urbanization
Rapid Urbanization
More New Megacities
City Renewal
Enhanced Intercity Connection
Guangzhou Baiyun new town China High Speed Rail Map
Growing Middle Class
Year 2010 Year 2020
Disposable income of urban residents
Disposable income of urban residents
Population Annual disposable income of urban residents Population
（ Million） （ US$: 000） （ Million）1 Upper class >30 12
13 Lower upper class 15~30 53
34 Middle class 9~15 69
61 Emerging Middle Class 6~9 66
57 Low income class 4~6 39
36 Poorest class <4 23
202 262
Total 109M
Total200M
• The current arable land per capita in China is about 0.08 hectares, which is only about 40 percent of the global average, one-seventh the United States, and a quarter of the Brazil level.
• The level of arable land per capita in 2008 is about half of that in 1961
Availability of Arable Land
Arable Land Comparison (hectares per person)
Source: The World Bank
Country Name 1961 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008
2008 vs. 1961
World 0.34 0.30 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.21 61%
European Union 0.31 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.22 69%
United States 0.98 0.92 0.83 0.74 0.62 0.60 61%
Brazil 0.30 0.36 0.37 0.34 0.33 0.32 108%
India 0.35 0.29 0.24 0.19 0.16 0.14 40%
China 0.16 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.08 52%
China Urbani zation
Less rural workforce Arable land shrinkage Environment pollution
Water shortage Soil erosion Climate change
Combined withSelf-sufficient of food is not sustainable
China Urbanizatio
n
China Urbanizatio
n
Wealth creation Dietary upgrade
Wealth creation Dietary upgrade
Increase demand on staple and non-
staple food
Increase demand on staple and non-
staple food
Supply &
Demand Gap
Import/FEX
China’s Food Supply & Demand
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