checking data for type i and type ii errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/l •...

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Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors Peter T. Reid Hemmera Envirochem Inc. Date: November 23 rd , 2016

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Page 1: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors

Peter T. Reid

Hemmera Envirochem Inc.

Date: November 23rd, 2016

Page 2: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

The Lab Reported it so it has to be!

Data Validation• First step in getting data from a lab is validating it.

• Just because we can measure to the part per billion does not mean it is right.

• Cross contamination in field• Sample carry over in lab• Stuff Happens

• Key is to be able to evaluate and where necessary confirm your data.

Page 3: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

What are Type I and II Errors

Page 4: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Type II Error

False Negative

• Sent in a characterization sample from a gasoline station remediation that caught fire.

• Lab says Non Detect sample

• So high lab has a blown column

Page 5: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Type I Error

False Positive

• Soil – One area of contamination that does not fit the Conceptual Site Model.

• Groundwater – Sediment in the sample.

• Vapour – Background Sources.

Page 6: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

False Positive - Soil

Page 7: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Classic Situation – What is That?

Complete a Conceptual Site Model and findings are not consistent with it?• Usually there is one soil sample that is way outside of the

expected:• The CSM is wrong and an area of contamination was missed.• The lab result is incorrect.

• Follow TG 12-8:• Show sample result is an outlier• Sample within 1 m of original sample

• Reconfirm result – have contamination

• Cannot confirm result – Original data is a false positive

Page 8: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Typical Question

Typical Soil Question?• What if the soil concentration is confirmed with the

second sample?• Try Statistics• Try Risk Assessment• Remediate it

Page 9: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

False Positive - Groundwater

Page 10: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Classic Situation – Sediment in Sample

Sampling the Correct Media?• Water samples are for groundwater not groundwater

entrained with large amounts of sediment.• Usually addressed with well development• Sometimes a very low producing well does not

develop clear.• Shallow wells use low flow sampling where

appropriate.• Does not work when need to overcome one

atmosphere (10 m) for peristaltic pump.

• One solution is the snap sampler.

Page 11: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Snap Sampler

What is a Snap Sampler?• Dedicated in well sampler with double-end-opening

bottle and snap sealing caps.

• Insert in well open.

• Leave it for an ample amount of time for sediment to settle out from insertion.

• Snap the bottle shut and remove.

• Forward bottles to the lab for analysis.

• Can be installed at depths up to 2,000 feet.

Page 12: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Snap Sampler Results - PAH

Bailer Snap Sampler

Benzo(a)pyrene 120 0.12

Pyrene 270 0.23

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Gro

un

dw

ate

r C

on

cen

trat

ion

(u

g/L)

Sediment Interference (High PAH)

Bailer Snap Sampler

Benzo(a)pyrene 0.41 0.009

Pyrene 0.69 0.065

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

Gro

un

dw

ate

r C

on

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trat

ion

(u

g/L) Sediment Interference (Mod PAH)

Solubility from BC Water Quality Guidelines:• Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L• Pyrene: 133 ug/L

Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines:• Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000• Pyrene: 38,000

• There is going to be much more PAH compounds in soil than water

Page 13: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Why is this the Case?

Chemical/Physical Properties of Compounds• Solubility from BC Water Quality Guidelines:

• Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L• Pyrene: 133 ug/L

• Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines:• Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000• Pyrene: 38,000

• There is going to be much greater PAH compounds in soil than water

Page 14: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Snap Sampler Results – LEPH

Bailer Snap Sampler

LEPH 5010 200

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000G

rou

nd

wat

er

Co

nce

ntr

atio

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ug/

L)

Sediment Interference (LEPHw)

Page 15: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Typical Questions

Typical Groundwater Questions?• Has the MOE approved of the snap sampler?

• Yes

• How many clean samples do you need with the Snap sampler?• Have been getting 2, but would like to just be one.

Page 16: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

False Positive - Vapour

Page 17: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

False Positive Vapour• Vapour is newest media to be sampled

regularly.

• All guidance comments on the importance of assessing false positives from secondary sources, ie vehicle exhaust etc., but not a lot on what to do when found.

• Clear case for professional judgement.

Page 18: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Ambient Air Entering Sample• We all try to eliminate ambient vapours

by using a helium shroud. Make sure the sampling apparatus is tight.

• But on unpaved sites, ambient air can be pushed into the ground when pressure changes from low pressure to high pressure.

• What do we do then?

Page 19: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Ambient Air Entering Borehole• During drilling we can have ambient air

plus exhaust from the drill rig enter the borehole void.

• Once in the borehole it needs to be flushed out. With a much higher purge rate ambient air can be drawn into the hole.

• What does the data show?

Page 20: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Differences in VPHv over time

0

1000

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4000

5000

6000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

VP

Hv

Days

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

VP

Hv

Days

Page 21: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Differences in VPHv over time

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

VP

Hv

Days

Higher concentrates may oscillate first then decrease rapidly.

Page 22: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

What say the Chromatographs?• Mass solvent plume excavation.

• 20+ soil limit sample, non detect VPHs <10 mg/kg.

• 4 groundwater post remedial, non detect VPHw (<300 ug/L)

• VPHv (144,000 and 72,000 ug/m3)

• Chromatograph very similar to diesel.

• Yellow iron worked on site for one month backfilling and compacting.

Page 23: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

All Hydrocarbon Parameters over time

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Co

nce

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ug/

m3

)

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VPHv

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1200

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1600

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m3

)

Days

Individuals

Benzene

Ethylbenzene

Toluene

1,2,4-TMB

1,3,5-TMB

1,3-Butadiene

Xylenes

Page 24: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

What to do?• If there is time resample the wells to see if the

initial sample can be determined to be compromised.

• Calculate theoretical from soil and groundwater.

• Get the chromatographs from the lab to see if it makes sense.

• Only use the data if it is good.

• Write up using professional judgement.

Page 25: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Typical QuestionsTypical Vapour Questions?• Is there a study that has looked at this?

• Not that I know of. Mentioned in guidance as a possible issue but nothing quantified.

• Are these just seasonality trends? • No, some are summer to winter, others are winter to summer

• What about the ground cover?• These are all non-asphalt

• Was the barometric pressure rising or falling during the events?• Pressure was rising during drilling

• What do we do now? • Need to collect more data. Do you data we could include in a study?

Page 26: Checking Data for Type I and Type II Errors · 2020. 5. 23. · • Benzo(a)pyrene: 3.8 ug/L • Pyrene: 133 ug/L • Koc from BC Water Quality Guidelines: • Benzo(a)pyrene: 550,000

Thank you. Questions?