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Is healthcare getting safer? Charles Vincent Department of Psychology & Oxford Academic Health Science Network

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Is healthcare getting safer? Professor Charles Vincent - Patient safety lead, Oxford AHSN Presentation from the Patient Safety Collaborative launch event held in London on 14 October 2014 More information at http://www.nhsiq.nhs.uk/improvement-programmes/patient-safety/patient-safety-collaboratives.aspx

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: charles vincent collaborative launch

Is healthcare getting safer?

Charles Vincent Department of Psychology &

Oxford Academic Health Science Network

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Evangelists & snails

‘Run don’t walk’

‘The correct question is

whether there is a rationale

for withholding critical

care resources from

critically ill patients

outside the intensive care

unit. The answer is

obvious. No’

Walk, don’t run

‘In view of the

limitations of the

evidence and the

heterogeneity of study

results it seems premature

to declare Rapid

Response Teams as the

standard of care’.

Davidoff, 2011

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Page 4: charles vincent collaborative launch

Table 4.3 Adverse events in acute hospitals in ten countries

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Cutting error and harm by 50% within 5 years

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UK National Reporting & Learning System

Hospital Episode Statistics: 11.8M hospital admissions in England 2004/5

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But incident reporting only detects 5% of

harmful events

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Page 9: charles vincent collaborative launch

Safety interventions

The challenge of scaling up

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Cumulative incidence radiologically

confirmed thrombosis

Kreckler et al, 2010

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Intensive care Operating theatre

Major successes in focal clinical areas

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Safer Patients Initiative

To reduce adverse events by 50% in 24 hospitals

11

SPI programme elements 4SPI programme elements 4

Improvement = shifting the level of the

process in the desirable direction (A) or

reducing variation (B)

A

BA

BA

BPoint of initial intervention

Improvement = shifting the level of the

process in the desirable direction (A) or

reducing variation (B)

A

BA

BA

BPoint of initial intervention

Annotated Run

Charts

80 metrics (34 standard)

Process analysis

10

SPI programme elements 3SPI programme elements 3

Incremental

spread

Iterative

development of

local innovations

9

SPI programme elements 2SPI programme elements 2

8

SPI programme elements 1SPI programme elements 1

8

Breakthrough Series

Model

Programme model

Change elements Process measurement

QI methodology

Safer Patients Initiative Participating hospital site

Collaborative learning

Expert support

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SPI programme elements: Change package

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Commentaries on patient safety in the United States

five years after the publication of to key reports

on patient safety in 2000 were characterised by some despair

at an apparent lack of progress. Our data suggest

that a more encouraging story on patient safety in the NHS

can now be told

Benning et al, 2011

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The Achievements of SPI

Inspirational and important legacy

Objectives over ambitious

Organisations in different states of readiness

First major UK safety initiative that took evaluation seriously

Simply getting basic clinical data and measures was a major challenge

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Assessing safety interventions at

population level

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We do not know whether we

are making progress or not

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Temporal trends in rates of patient harm:

|United States

Landrigan et al, NEJM 2011

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Making Care Safer. Preventable hospital-acquired conditions would decrease by 40% compared to 2010.

This would mean 1.8 million fewer injuries to patients.

Improving Care Transitions. Preventable complications during a transition be decreased so that hospital readmissions would be reduced by 20% compared to 2010. This would mean 1.6 million patients recovering without suffering a preventable complication requiring re-hospitalization.

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Did Hospital Engagement Networks

Actually Improve Care?

‘Weak study design and methods, combined with

a lack of transparency and rigour in evaluation …’

‘These numbers appear impressive but given the

publicly available data and the approach CMS

used it’s nearly impossible to tell whether the PPP

actually led to better care’

(Pronovost & Jha, NEJM 2014)

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Aspiration and realism. The pace of change?

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Page 24: charles vincent collaborative launch

Measurement & Evaluation

Our major challenge will be to demonstrate change (rather

than activity)

This has bedevilled all safety programmes in NHS

Measurement is therefore number 1 priority because:

– It focuses minds and priorities

– It has been the major headache for all safety programmes

– The time taken to get measures in place has been consistently

underestimated

– It is essential for the programme teams to function effectively

– It is fundamental to evaluation