characteristics of value creating strategies and … · this material includes material developed...
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CHARACTERISTICS OF VALUE CREATINGSTRATEGIES AND BUSINESS MODELS
Lars Terney & Bent Dyhre Hansen
Copenhagen, May 30th, 2006
The Boston Consulting GroupThe Boston Consulting Group
INTRODUCTION
This material includes material developed by The Boston Consulting Group for a presentation with Finansanalytikerforeningen on Tuesday, May 30th, 2006 in Copenhagen
The material is incomplete without accompanying oral comments. As such, it is most meaningful to those who participated in the meeting.
For further information please contact:
The Boston Consulting GroupAmaliegade 151256 Copenhagen KPhone: +45 77 32 34 00
Bent Dyhre Hansen can also be contacted directly at +45 77 32 34 15 or at [email protected]
- 1 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
THREE OBJECTIVES TODAY
1. Put value creation in Danish companies in a long term and international perspective
2. Give our perspective on what characterizes value creating strategies and business models
3. Facilitate an open discussion on how to “test” strategies and business models
- 2 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
WHO IS HERE TODAY
The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) Lars Terney Bent Dyhre Hansen
- 3 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Founded in 1963
>3,000 consultants in 61 offices in 37 countries
Work with clients on topics of strategy and operational effectiveness
Office in Denmark since 1998
• Today 35 employees• Part of Nordic system
with 170 employees
• Vice President& Director
• With BCGsince 1995
• ManagingDirector
• With BCGsince 1994
• Cand. merc., ASB
• Works with strategy, M&A, post merger integration, organization and pricing
• HA from OdenseUniversity, MBA from Kellogg
• Works with corporate strategy, strategy, efficiency improvement, organization and innovation
DENMARK HAS BEEN A TOP PERFORMER ON VALUE CREATION LAST TEN YEARS
10y Annual TSR Growth 5y Annual TSR Growth 1y Annual TSR Growth
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Net
herla
nds
UK
Ger
man
yU
SA
sia
Nor
way
Euro
pe n
ewSw
eden
Fran
ceD
enm
ark
Finl
and
CAGR%(1)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Net
herla
nds
US
UK
Swed
enFr
ance
Ger
man
yN
orw
ayFi
nlan
dA
sia
Euro
pe n
ewD
enm
ark
CAGR%(1)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
US
UK
Fran
ceFi
nlan
dN
ethe
rland
sG
erm
any
Asi
aD
enm
ark
New
EU
Swed
enN
orw
ay
CAGR%(1)
- 4 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
(1) CAGR: Cumulative Average Growth RateNote: Including companies >100MEUR Market Cap. Data rolling 24th of November each year, Last date 24.11.2005.US: Frank Russell 3000 Index. Asia: Indonesia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore, China, South Korea, IndiaEurope new: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia, Cyprus, Malta Source: BCG Analysis, Datastream.
LARGE DIFFERENCES IN PERFORMANCE OF DANISH COMPANIES
Performance of Individual Danish Companies
Annual TSRgrowth, %(1)
12 12
30
19
28
40
25
38
65
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Period
Bottom 25 Median Top 25
1996–2005 2001–2005 2005
- 5 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
(1) CAGR: Cumulative Average Growth RateNote: Including companies >100MEUR Market Cap. Data rolling 24th of November each year, Last date 24.11.2005Note: Median have been applied due to the small sample size i.e. listed companies in Denmark with a Market Cap > 100 MEURSource: Datastream, BCG Analysis
TSR RANKING OF DANISH COMPANIESTen Year Perspective
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Bio
mar
Hol
ding
TK D
evel
opm
ent
Tivo
liC
arls
berg
A/S
Per A
arsl
eff
Sani
stål UP
Dan
isco
Mon
berg
& T
hors
enFL
Smid
th
DLH
Aur
iga
Indu
strie
sSc
houw
& C
oN
ordi
sk S
olar
Lån
& S
par B
ank
AM
BU
Inte
rnat
iona
lC
odan
Flug
ger
UIE
Har
boe
H&
H In
tern
atio
nal
Chr
. Han
sen
TDC
B
ang
& O
lufs
enED
B G
rupp
en
Col
opla
stR
oyal
Uni
brew
GN
Sto
re N
ord
Kbh
's L
ufth
avne
Alm
Bra
nd ØK
DFD
S D
anth
ern
Hol
ding
sN
ørre
sund
by B
ank
Nov
o N
ordi
skFi
onia
Ban
kA
P M
ølle
r Mæ
rsk
Jeud
anLo
kalb
ank
i Nor
dSp
arba
nk V
est
Høj
gaar
d H
oldi
ngs
Dan
ske
Ban
kTo
pDan
mar
kVe
stjy
sk B
ank
Dib
a B
ank
Nor
djys
k B
ank
Jysk
e B
ank
Gro
nlan
dsba
nken
Rin
gkjø
bing
Ban
kSp
ar N
ord
Ban
kN
KT
Dju
rsla
nds
Ban
kSp
arka
ssen
Fåb
org
Sydb
ank
Will
iam
Dem
ant
Fors
tæde
rnes
Ban
kA
mag
erba
nken
Luxo
rN
ESA
Gre
entc
h En
ergy
Nor
dico
mR
ingk
jøbi
ng L
andb
oEg
nsba
nk H
an H
erre
dD
/S T
orm
Ros
kild
e B
ank
DSV
D/S
Nor
den
Company Annual TSR Growth(1) 10y
(%)
- 6 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
(1) CAGR: Cumulative Average Growth RateSource: Datastream, BCG Analysis
MOST DANISH COMPANIES HAVE OUTPERFORMEDEUROPEAN INDUSTRY AVERAGE
- 7 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
William Demant
Company’s performance
relative toown sector
average
Company’s sector performance relative to overall market
Højgaard
Chr. Hansen
B&O
Tivoli
TDC
(1) Refers to value creation performance last 5 yearsNote: Company performance indexed vs. relevant DJTM Western Europe index. Each industry segment has a different index performance i.e. comparison point Source: DJ, Datastream, BCG Analysis
Top Danmark
HighLow
Low
High
Codan
Nesa
Novo Nordisk Carlsberg
Ente
rtai
nmen
t
Insu
ranc
e
Tele
com
Inds
. Goo
ds/S
ervi
ces
Phar
ma
Indu
stria
ls
Food
& B
ever
ages
Con
sum
er G
oods
Med
ical
Equ
ipm
ent
Ban
ks
Util
ities
Inds
. Tra
nspo
rtat
ion
Bev
erag
es
GN
DanskeBank
Jyske Bank
DaniscoNKTFLS
Monberg & Thorsen
Alm. Brand
Harboe
Ambu
ColoplastMærsk
NordenTorm
DSVRoyal Unibrew
KBH lufthavne
Roskilde Bank
ØK
Companies performing
below average in strong sectors(1)
Companies performing
above average in strong sectors(1)
Companies performing
above average in difficult sectors(1)
Companies performing
below average in difficult sectors(1)
CREATING SUPERIOR SHAREHOLDER VALUEYEAR AFTER YEAR IS A DIFFICULT TASK
Number of companies(1)
Number of years in which they beat the local market(2)
Relative TSR Analysis 1995-2004
1
522
305
98
5 1
556
147
355
343
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
What characterize these
companies?
- 8 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
(1) Sample characteristics: 2,020 companies excl. financial service companies; continuously listed for at least 10 years; market cap above $1B as of end 2004(2) Relative TSR > 0 Source: T.F. Datastream; BCG analysis
LEADING PRACTICES OF TOP PERFORMING COMPANIESKey Check Points
Set explicit value creation targets• And translate these into operational targets on business level
Actively improve business portfolio health• Shift investments from under-performing units to strong performing• Improve profitability to above the cost of capital before growing• Manage portfolio mix, roles of BU’s
Use M&A to improve businesses and to take advantage of relative valuation• Migrate portfolio through acquisitions and divestitures• Create value from acquiring relatively undervalued companies
Apply disciplined management processes• Install processes that reinforce value creation
Actively manage the valuation and the free cash flow• Understand key share price drivers and expectations• Understand tradeoffs on capital structure and free cash flow payouts
1
2
3
4
5
- 9 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.Source: BCG worldwide research 1991–2006
1 SELECTING RIGHT MEASURES AND DRIVING THESE DOWN THE ORGANIZATION ALLOWS FOCUS ON VALUE DRIVERS
ProfitabilityCFROI
TBR
∆ intrinsicvalue
Freecash flow
Growth in assets
Cash flowmargin
Asset turns
TSR
Capitalgains
Dividends
~
Top value creators set explicit value creation goals and translate them into internal value creation metrics
Top value creators set explicit value creation goals and translate them into internal value creation metrics
- 10 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
1 VALUE DRIVER DISCOVERY PROCESS BUILDS OPERATING TEAM CONSENSUS AROUND PRIORITIES AND TRADEOFFS
Value drivers are known by management
But not prioritized for value impact
And trade-offs across them not syndicated
1. Reduce churn2. Extend asset
lives
3. New services4. Price
5. New customer additions
6. …
High
Medium
Low
Service levels
Revenue growth
Acquisition costs
Cost of service
Extend lives
Capital costs
Customer pruning
Lifetime value
Customer churn
Maintenance costs
PriceService level
VolumeMarket share
Safety
Working capital turnsEmployee
turnover …
Value driver discovery creates a shared understanding of priorities and tradeoffs for managing revenue, margin, and capital
Value driver discovery creates a shared understanding of priorities and tradeoffs for managing revenue, margin, and capital
- 11 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
2 THREE ASPECTS IN MANAGING PORTFOLIO HEALTH
BU strategic fit BU value creation fit BU logic fit
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Market attractive
-ness
High
Low High
Supports portfolio
visionCFROI
High
Low High
High
LowLow High
Low Low
Business Unit position/competitive
advantage
TBR Parenting advantageto BU value
Value creation fit
Strategic fit
Logicfit
?
??
2 TOP VALUE CREATORS MANAGE THEIR PORTFOLIO BASED ON PERFORMANCE...
Historical performance of the BU(1) over three years
Average relative change in assets (%)(2) Comment
–67
Out-performers stop investing in business units with deteriorating performance
–182Steadily declining
22
99Consistently above average
169
83Steadily rising
Out-performers clearly identify turnaround candidates
Out-performers consistently support well-performing units
Top performerUnder-performer–200% 0% 200%
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(1) Business-unit ROI relative to the average cost of capital in the region in the year under review(2) Relative to the change in the company's total assetsSource: Annual reports; BCG research 1991–2006
... AND DON'T INVEST IN BUSINESSES BEFORE THEY REACH COST OF CAPITAL – THE “C” CURVE
2
Hurdle rateHurdle rate
Top relative TSR performers, year 0–5 Bottom relative TSR performers, year 0–5
Low starting point profitability companies and subsequent performance
ROI(%)
Capital employed index (starting year= 1.0)
0
5
10
15
0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 1,4 1,6 1,80
5
10
15
0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 1,4 1,6 1,8
ROI(%)
Capital employed index (starting year= 1.0)
(n = 27) (n = 36)
Yr 5Yr 4
Yr 3
Yr 2
Yr1
Starting point
Yr 5Yr 4Yr 3
Yr 2Yr 1 Starting point
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Note: Top performers are second-quartile ROI companies that achieve year 1–5 RTSR >1.0; bottom performers are second-quartileROI companies that achieve year 1–5 RTSR < 1.0Source: BCG top value creator company research 1991-2006
EXAMPLES OF THE “C-CURVE”
Gross investment
CFROI
Cost of capital
2. Increaseprofitability
1. Downsize for profitability
3. Leverage profitability
Louisana-Pacific(1): TSR 16% p.a. (Miscellaneous, USA)
2000
2003
20022001
WACC
CFROI(%)
Gross investm. (Bn. USD)
10
3.52.5 3.0
5
15
Orica: TSR 25% p.a.(Chemicals, Australia)
WACC2003
2004
10
3
2002
2001
2 Gross investm.(Bn. USD)
CFROI(%)
8
6
1 4
Hyundai Mobis: TSR 70% p.a.(Automotive Supply, Korea)
200420032002
2001
CFROI(%)
Gross investm.(Bn. USD)
10
1.5
WACC
1.0 2.00.5
2000
1999
20
2
- 15 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
(1) Not included in any TPS industry sampleSource(s): BCG Value Creators Report 2005
TOP VALUE CREATORS COMPANIES ACQUIRE AND DIVEST MORE THAN UNDER PERFORMERS
3
6.7
13.7
4.65.8
Average number of deals in 2000 BCG research shows that companies growing
Acquisitions Divestments
Out-performer
Under-performer
through M&A creates more value
Analysis of 700 largest companies from 1992-2002 shows that companies growing through M&A creates more value
Successful M&A practices• Growth through M&A only when inherent part
of the strategy and only when competitive advantage can be achieved
• Develop detailed understanding of the role of M&A in achieving growth – far in advance of bidding on any particular deal
• Rigorous deal evaluation, buy in "lean times"• Pay at least as much attention to integration
as to the deal itself and integrate fast
- 16 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: Bloomberg; BCG research 1991–2006
4 SUCCESSFUL COMPANIES HAVE VALUE MANAGEMENT INGRAINED IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES
Explicit shareholdervalue goal?
Are more than 75% ofmanagers trained In VBM?
- 17 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Note: Success is defined as improvement of a 3-year average annual total shareholder return relative to industry peers (to 3-year averages were compared)Source: INSEAD, BCG and Harvard Business Review study ‘Getting The Most Out of Value Based Management’ (July 2001)
Are more than 75% of employeesparticipating in a bonus scheme?
‘Our budgets and strategicplans are closely integrated’
32%
SuccessfulCompanies
UnsuccessfulCompanies
65%
26%
SuccessfulCompanies
UnsuccessfulCompanies
65%
37%
70%
SuccessfulCompanies
UnsuccessfulCompanies
50%
12%
SuccessfulCompanies
UnsuccessfulCompanies
5 INVESTOR/ANALYST DISCUSSIONS SHEDS LIGHT IN A NUMBER OF IMPORTANT AREAS
Feedback tomanagement’s agenda
Goals and measures
Acquisitions, portfolio
Diversification
Growth vs. ROIC focus
Capital structure
Dividend policy
Share repurchase
Incentive alignment
Risk management
- 18 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Who are your investors, segmented by investment style?
What are investor expectations for performance?
What is your credibility quotient with current investors?
How could or should your investor base change
• To improve valuation?• In response to
strategies?
Fact base development Tailored communication/ outreach strategy
Equity “story” and commitments
Targeting new investors and “natural” investor
LOB reporting
Strategic milestone reporting
Value creation commitment and alignment dissemination
Investor migration plan
POPULAR AND NECESSARY STRATEGIC THEMES
Low cost manufacturing – what is the role of Rapid Developing Countries (RDCs)
Lean concept – introducing it in production, logistics, administration, commercial development (but competition is likely doing the same...)
Winning model development – knowing your capabilities and their worth (inspired from Danaher’s Business System thinking)
Acquisitions – building scale, forward integration, or entry into new adjacentbusinesses
Growth strategy and sales force effectiveness – understand growth drivers on an operational level
Innovation – increasing success rate to secure long term performance
- 19 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Testing the water• Recognize LCC
potential• May source some
products on a trial basis• Have no formal LCC
initiatives• Are not yet organized
for sourcing in LCCs
Purchasing components or complete products
• Focus on reducing purchasing costs
• Obtain valuable understanding of the supply base
• But gain little defensible advantage
Developing comprehensive sourcing
• Sourcing plan includes- parts- products- talent/R&D
• Advantage gained from- supplier
relationships- product
development- proprietary tools
and processes- market intelligence
Using an integrated single country strategy
• View LCCs as both a market and a sourcing location
• Leverage synergies between export sourcing and domestic production
- integrated capacity planning
- Supply chain- flexible
production
• Create global centers of excellence in LCCs
Capture global advantage
• Exploit global synergies in
- cost structure- manufacturing
strategy- Supply chain
• Re-deploy assets in high- cost countries
FIVE LEVELS OF LOW COST COUNTRY (LCC) ADVANTAGECheck Point: What Far is The Company in Question
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5- 20 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Net growth of LCC imports, 1997–2002 (percentage points)(1)
LCC penetration, 2002: LCC imports as a percentage of U.S. consumption Footwear
Audio and Video equipment
Apparel
Measuring and controlling devices
Motor vehicles
Communication equipment
Motor vehicle parts
Household appliances
80%
70%
50%
Fabricated metal products
60%
Computer equipmentSemiconductors and
other electronic components
Heating and ventilationEngine, turbine and power transmission
equipment
Industrial goods average = 9.8%
Industrial goods average = 10.5%
Pumps, compressors, and material-handling equipment
Moving early Growing fast
Globalizing slowly Up and coming
Case Study U.S.
Value of 2002 LCCimports into theUnited States ($5B)
Consumer goods
CHECK POINT: AHEAD THE CURVE FOR THE INDUSTRY?Role of LCC For Sourcing
- 21 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
(1) The average annual growth rate of LCC imports minus the average annual growth rate of U.S. domestic consumptionNote: Consumption is defined as U.S. production plus imports minus exports; industrial imports from LCCs consist of North American Industry Classification System
codes 332 to 336 with import value greater than $2BSource: U.S. Census Bureau; BCG analysis
CHECK POINT: AHEAD THE CURVE FOR THE INDUSTRY?Role of LCC For Out-Sourcing (This Case India)
High-end
Call centers• GECIS• CITI Bank• HSBC
Data conversion• Decision support Intl.
Medical Transcription• Selectronic• Ephinay
Insurance claims processing• Conseco
Back office operations (payroll, accounting)
• GECIS• BA• World Bank
Animation• Toonz animation
Geographical systems• Creation of maps etc.
Testing • Altair Engineering
Manufacturing• Alcatel (Switching)• Novar Plc (IBS(1))
R&D (Fundamental & incremental)• GE FHP Motors (Manufacturing)• HP (Design)• Texas instruments (Design)• Intel • Cadence (Software)
Clinical research• Pfizer• Eli Lilly
Web/Digital content development• Smart analyst• E-value serve
Business consulting• Inductis
Embedded software development• Xerox• Motorola• Canon• Honeywell
Low end
(1) Intelligent Business SystemsNote: Only a few indicative companies listed for each application. The list is not exhaustive in natureSource: Literature survey, Nasscom
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- 23 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Communication and involvement of employees
HR support and incentive programs
Performance culture to ensure constant efficiency initiatives
3
2
Kaizen events
Key numbers,
bench-marking,
best practice
4b 4c
THE WINNING MODEL – EXAMPLE OF KEY ELEMENTSKnowing The Value of Your Capabilities And “Business System”
5
(1) Called ”policy deployment”Source: Interview February 2005
Integrated ”lean”business system(1)
“Lean”tools
4a
1
Global Global
INNOVATOR MARKET PERFORMANCE SUPERIOR TO REGIONAL PEERS
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
GlobalInnovators vs.
S&P 1200
US Innovatorsvs. S&P US 500
EuropeanInnovators vs.S&P Euro 350
AsianInnovators vs.
S&P AsianComposite
Total Shareholder Return For Innovative Companies and Industry benchmarks
10-Year TSR(ending
December 2005) Peer Group Median
Innovator Median
TSR = Total shareholder return = Capital appreciation plus dividendsInnovators based on public innovators domiciled in indicated regionS&P Asian composite = S&P/TOPIX 150 + S&P/ASX 50+ Asia 50S&P 1200 = Global Largecap Index = S&P US 500 + S&P Euro 350 + S&P/TOPIX 150 + S&P Asia 50 +S&P/ASX 50 + S&P/TSX 60 + S&P Latin America 40Source: 2006 BusinessWeek/BCG Innovation to Cash Survey; BCG\ValueScience analysis
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NordicNordic
JUST OVER HALF OF NORDIC RESPONDENTS ARE SATISFIED WITH THEIR INNOVATION ROI
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Yes No
“Are you satisfied with the financial return on your investments in innovation?”
57%
43%
But >90% of CEOs rate innovation as top-3 priority and >70% plan to increase R&D spending in plan period
But >90% of CEOs rate innovation as top-3 priority and >70% plan to increase R&D spending in plan period
- 25 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: 2006 BCG Nordic Innovation to Cash Survey
NordicNordic
UNDERSTANDING BARRIERS FOR INNOVATIONHow is The Company Approaching Innovation (track record, measures, targets, etc.)
- 26 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
4%
9%
17%
17%
17%
17%
17%
22%
22%
36%
35%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Development times are too long
Not enough great ideas
Lack of coordination w ithin the company
Not enough customer insight
Risk-averse culture
Selecting the right ideas to commercialize
No good way to measure the ROI accurately
Marketing and/or communicating our innovation
Insufficient senior-management support
In-market performance is below expectations
Competitors are more innovative
“If you are not completely satisfied with the return on your investments in innovation, what are the obstacles you face?”
Source: 2006 BCG Nordic Innovation to Cash Survey
INNOVATION CHECK POINTS
R&D/Engineering Sales & Marketing
How is my R&D project investment weighted in terms of cost reductions vs. line extensions vs. truly innovative products?
How is my innovation process linked with the life-cycle management of a product?
Are the products slated to be launched in the next 2-3 years sufficiently breakthrough to deliver the sales growth in my plan?
What was the root cause of my last failed product launch? Have I fixed it?
Finance Manufacturing/operations
Am I differentially investing in the projects that will earn the highest returns?
How good is the organization at predicting the revenues and costs of new products? What is creating the systematic biases in our business plans and how can I fix them?
Is my plant sufficiently flexible to incorporate new products?
How quickly did I reach low-cost, at-scale manufacturing position on my last product launch?
- 27 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
FUNDAMENTAL BCG BELIEFS ABOUT STRATEGY
“Unless a business has a unique advantage over its rivals, it has no reason to exist”
“The underlying principle of a good strategy is simple: concentrate your strength against your competitor’s relative weakness”
“Strategy is by definition the essentially irretrievable commitment of resources…success almost always depends upon the competitor’s decision not to compete”
“Strategy is more than a posture or a pattern; it is a dynamic concept involving sequence, timing and competitive reaction...strategy development is thus a reiterative process requiring art as well and science”
Bruce Henderson, Founder of BCG
- 28 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
A GOOD BUSINESS PLAN ANSWERS THREE KEY QUESTIONS
Where do you want to go?• Vision and aspiration• (Quantitative) objectives in terms of market positions and financial
performance,
Which road(s) will you take?• What is your strategy to get there, and the subsequent high level activities
required?• What will you do and more importantly, what will you NOT do!
How will you get there – what does it take?• A more detailed action agenda covering priorities, timing, investment, etc.
1
2
3
- 29 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
INGREDIENTS FOR A SUCCESSFUL STRATEGY
Uniqueness Competition
Sustainability Implementation
Disruption (deconstruction)Surprise
Influence this dynamic equilibrium to
your own benefit
STRATEGY
- 30 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: BCG
CHECK POINTS (I)
Uniqueness Competition
From the customers' perspective, is our product clearly different/differentiable from competitors' products?
Do our products offer further basicapproaches for differentiation?
Can we remove elements from our offering and would the customers really miss them?
Can our uniqueness/differentiationbe defended over the long term or can it be copied?
Are our investments in innovation sufficient to maintain our differentiation?
Do we know our competitors?
Have we correctly defined our marketsegment or possibly forgotten potentialcompetitors?
Do we spend enough time analyzingthe competitors' strengths/weaknesses?
Have any new competitors emerged and why?
Have we been surprised in the last few years by any unforeseen stepsfrom competitors?
- 31 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: BCG
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CHECK POINTS (II)
Surprise Disruption
Is our strategy focused not only on incremental changes?
Do we have "radical" innovationsin the pipeline?
Have we sufficiently surprisedcompetitors/customers in the past?
Have we been surprised several times by competitors?
In the past has the competition always quickly responded to ouractions?
Are our strategies capableof changing the competitive equilibrium over the long term?
Are there any considerations being made in our industry on deconstructing the value chain?
Do we have employees that do notonly act as administrators?
Is our strategy simply an update ordoes it really have somethingnew/different to offer?
- 32 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: BCG
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CHECK POINTS (III)
Sustainability Implementation
Is our strategy focused on the long term?
Do we have clearly formulated andconsistent long-term goals?
Do we reserve sufficient space for strategy discussions/the long-term in our planning?
Do we have a clear idea of the long-term trends in our industry?
Do we take the long-term implicationsof our decisions into consideration?
Have we devoted enough attention to implementing the strategy?
Are we also prepared to make uncomfortable decisions (despiteresistance) and to carry through?
Are the leaders fully committed tothe strategy and are employeesconvinced/loyal?
Do our present (decision-making)structures interfere with our strategy?
Are our systems (staff development,compensation, IT, etc.) aligned with our strategy?
- 33 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: BCG
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QUESTIONS A CEO SHOULD KNOW HOWTO ANSWER IN REGARD TO VALUE CREATION (I)
1. Do you understand the historical sources of your company's TSR?
2. What fundamental value will your current plans generate in the future?
3. What are the current market expectations embedded in your stock price?• Is there a gap between what you can deliver and what your investors
expect?
4. What drives valuation multiples in your industry?• Why is your multiple at the level it is relative to industry peers?
5. What are the key tradeoffs for your company between improving fundamental value, optimizing your valuation multiple, and distributing free cash flow?
- 34 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: BCG 2005 Value Creators Report
QUESTIONS A CEO SHOULD KNOW HOWTO ANSWER IN REGARD TO VALUE CREATION (II)
6. Who are the dominant investors in your company and what are their priorities?• Are your plans in sync with their investment goals?
7. What are the consequences of your company’s value creation strategy for line managers and their business units?
• Do they know what they must deliver to achieve your TSR target?• Have you translated that target into operational metrics and goals that
they can actually influence?
8. Are management processes such as planning and budgeting, resource allocation, and incentive compensation aligned with your value creation strategy?
• Do they surface the right tradeoffs for management discussions? • Do they appropriately balance short-term and long-term priorities?
- 35 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.
Source: BCG 2005 Value Creators Report
OTHER POINTS
Can the strategy be articulated short and precisely?
Is the strategy clear including key actions and investment plan?
What is the completive advantage and how are they maintained?
What is the projected revenues for existing products, known launches and thus the gap the “R&D machine” must cover?
What risks are being taking and how are they contained?
- 36 -43860-00_BDH-kth_30May06_Cph.ppt Copyright © 2006 by The Boston Consulting Group. All rights reserved.