chapter 8 ed
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
1/45
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
2/45
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
3/45
DISCUSSION OUTLINE
How Moral Hazard affects the choice betweenDebt and Equity Contracts
- Moral Hazard in Equity Contracts: ThePrincipal-Agent Problem
- Tools to help solve the principal-agent problem
- Production of information: Monitoring
-GovernmentRegulationtoincreaseinformation
- Financial Intermediation
- Debt contracts
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
4/45
DISCUSSION OUTLINE
How Moral Hazard Influences Financial Structure in DebtMarkets
- Tools to help solve moral hazard in debt contracts
- Net worth and collateral
-Monitoring and enforcement ofrestrictive covenants
-Covenants to discourage undesirablebehavior
- Covenants to encourage desirable behavior-Covenants to keep collateral available
- Covenants to provide information
- Financial Intermediation
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
5/45
ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION
A situation that arises when one partysknowledge about the party involved in a
transaction makes it impossible to makeaccurate decisions when conducting thetransaction.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
6/45
ADVERSE SELECTION
Is an asymmetric information problem that
occurs before the transaction: Potential bad
credit risks are the ones who most activelyseek out loans. Thus the parties who are the
most likely to produce an undesirable
outcome are the ones most likely to engage
in transaction.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
7/45
MORAL HAZARD
Arises after the transaction occurs: The lenderruns the risk that the borrower will engage inactivities that are undesirable from the lenders
point of view because they make it less likelythat the loan will be paid back.
The analysis of how asymmetric informationproblems affect economic behavior is called
agency problem.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
8/45
THE LEMONS PROBLEM: HOW ADVERSE SELECTION
INFLUENCES FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
Lemons article by Nobel prize winner GeorgeAkerlof
It is called the lemons problem because itresembles the problem cause by lemons in theused-car market.
Potential buyers of used cars are frequently unable
to assess the quality of the car.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
9/45
THE LEMONS PROBLEM: HOW ADVERSE SELECTION
INFLUENCES FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
The price that a buyer pays must thereforereflect the average quality of the cars in themarket, somewhere between the low value of alemon and a high value of a good car.
The owner of a used car, by contrast, is morelikely to know whether the car is a peach or a
lemon. As a result of this adverse selection, few good
used cars will come to the market.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
10/45
LEMONS IN THE STOCK AND BOND
MARKETS
Suppose that our friend Irving the investor, apotential buyer of securities such as common stock,
cant distinguish between good firms with highexpected profits and low risk and bad firms with lowexpected profits and high risk.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
11/45
LEMONS IN THE STOCK AND BOND
MARKETS
The analysis is similar if Irving considers purchasinga corporate debt instrument in the bond market
rather than an equity share. Few bonds are likely to sell in this market, so it will
not be a good source of financing.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
12/45
TOOLS TO HELP SOLVE ADVERSE
SELECTION PROBLEMS
In the absence of asymmetric information, thelemons goes away.
If buyers know as much about the quality of usedcars as sellers, so that all involved can tell a goodcar from a bad one, buyers will be willing to payfull value for good used cars.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
13/45
PRIVATE PRODUCTION AND SALE OF
INFORMATION
One way to get this material to saver-lendershave private companies collect and produceinformation that distinguishes good from badfirms and then sell it.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
14/45
PRIVATE PRODUCTION AND SALE OF
INFORMATION
The system of private production and sale ofinformation does not completely solve the adverseselection problem in securities markets, however,
because of free-rider problem. The free-rider problem occurs when people who do
not pay information take advantage of theinformation that other people have paid for.
The free-rider problem suggests that the private saleof information will be only a partial solution to thelemons problem.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
15/45
GOVERNMENT REGULATION TO INCREASE
INFROMATION
Could financial markets benefit fromgovernment intervention?
The government could, for instance, produceinformation to help investors distinguish goodfrom bad firms and provide it to public free ofcharge.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
16/45
GOVERNMENT REGULATION TO INCREASE
INFROMATION
In the United States, the SEC is the governmentagency that requires firms selling their securitiesto have independent audits, in which accountingfirms certify that the firm is adhering to standardaccounting principles and disclosing accurateinformation about sales, assets, and earnings.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
17/45
GOVERNMENT REGULATION TO INCREASE
INFROMATION
Even when firms provide information to thepublic about their sales, assets, or earnings, theywill have more information than investor: Thereis a lot more to knowing the quality of a firmthan statistics can provide.
Bad firms will slant the information they are
required to transmit to the public, thus making itharder for investors to sort out the good firmsfrom the bad.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
18/45
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
19/45
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
20/45
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
21/45
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
Another important fact that is explained by theanalysis here is the greater importance of banksin the financial systems of developing countries.
The better known a corporation is, the moreinformation about its activities is available in themarketplace.
Thus it is easier for investors to evaluate thequality of the corporation and determinewhether it is a good firm or a bad one.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
22/45
COLLATERAL AND NET WORTH
Collateral, property promised to the lender if theborrower defaults, reduces the consequences ofadverse selection because it reduces the lenders
losses in the event of a default. If a borrower defaults on a loan, the lender can
sell the collateral and use the proceeds to makeup for the losses on the loan.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
23/45
COLLATERAL AND NET WORTH
Net worth (also called equity capital), thedifference between a firms assets (what it ownsor is owned) and its liabilities (what it owes), can
perform a similar role to collateral. In addition, the more net worth firm has in the
place, the less likely it is to default, because thefirm has a cushion assets that it can use to pay
off its loans.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
24/45
MORAL HAZARD IN EQUITY CONTRACTS: THE
PRINCIPAL-AGENT PROBLEM
Equity contracts, such as common stock, are claimsto a share in the profits and assets of a business.
Equity contracts are subject to a particular type of
moral hazard called the principal-agent problem. When managers own a small fraction of the firm they
work for, stockholders who own most of the firmsequity (called the principals) are not the same people
as the managers of the firm, who are the agents ofthe owners.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
25/45
MORAL HAZARD IN EQUITY CONTRACTS: THE
PRINCIPAL-AGENT PROBLEM
This separation of ownership and control involvesmoral hazard, in that the managers in control (theagents) may act in their own interest rather than in
the interest of the stockholders-owners (theprincipals) because the managers have less incentiveto maximize profits than the stockholder-owners do.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
26/45
MORAL HAZARD IN EQUITY CONTRACTS: THE
PRINCIPAL-AGENT PROBLEM
Further indications that the principal-agentproblem created by equity contracts can besevere are provided by recent scandals in
corporations such as Enron and TycoInternational, in which managers have beenaccused of diverting funds for their own personaluse.
The principal-agent problem would not arise ifthe owners of a firm had complete informationabout what the managers were up to and couldprevent wasteful expenditures or fraud.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
27/45
PRODUCTION OF INFORMATION:
MONITORING
One way for stockholders to reduce this moralhazard problem is for them to engage in aparticular type of information production, themonitoring of the firms activities: auditing thefirm frequently and checking on what themanagement is doing.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
28/45
PRODUCTION OF INFORMATION:
MONITORING
Costly state verification makes the equitycontract less desirable, and it explains, in part,why equity is not more important element in ourfinancial structure.
The moral hazard problem for shares of commonstock will then be severe, making it hard for firms
to issue them to raise capital.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
29/45
GOVERNMENT REGULATION TO INCREASE
INFORMATION
As with adverse selection, the government hasan incentive to try to reduce the moral hazardproblem created by asymmetric information,which provides another reason why the financialsystem is so heavily regulated.
However, these measures can be only partly
effective. Catching this kind of fraud is not easy;fraudulent managers have the incentive to makeit very hard for government agencies to find orprove fraud.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
30/45
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
Financial intermediaries have the ability to avoidthe free-rider problem in the face of moralhazard, and this is another reason why indirectfinance is so important.
Venture capital firms pool the resources of theirpartners and use the funds to help budding
entrepreneurs start new businesses.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
31/45
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
32/45
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
Venture capital firms have been important in thedevelopment of the high-tech sector in theUnited States, which has resulted in job creation,economic growth, and increased internationalcompetitiveness.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
33/45
DEBT CONTRACTS
Moral hazard arises with an equity contract,which is a claim on profits in all situations,whether the firm is making or losing money.
If a contract could be structured so that moralhazard would exist only in certain situation,there would be a reduced need to monitor
managers, and the contract would be moreattractive than the equity contract.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
34/45
DEBT CONTRACTS
Only when the firm cannot meet its debtpayments, thereby being in a state of default, isthere a need for the lender to verify the state ofthe firms profits.
Only in this situation do lenders involved in debtcontracts need to act more like equity holders;
now they need to know how much income thefirm has to get their fair share.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
35/45
DEBT CONTRACTS
The less frequent need to monitor the firm, andthus the lower cost of state verification, helpsexplain why debt contracts are used morefrequently than equity contracts to raise capital.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
36/45
HOW MORAL HAZARD INFLUENCES FINANCIAL
STRUCTURE IN DEBT MARKETS
Even with the advantages just described, debtcontracts are still subject to moral hazard.
Because a debt contract requires the borrowersto pay out a fixed amount and lets them keepany profits above this amount, the borrowershave an incentive to take on investment projects
that are riskier than the lenders would like.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
37/45
NETWORK AND COLLATERAL
One way of describing the solution that high networth and collateral provides to moral hazardproblem is to say that it makes the debt contractincentive-compatible; that is, it aligns theincentives of the borrower with those of thelender.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
38/45
NETWORK AND COLLATERAL
The greater the borrowers net worth and collateralpledged, the greater the borrowers incentive tobehave in the way that the lender expects anddesires, the smaller the moral hazard problem in the
debt contract, and easier it is for the firm orhousehold to borrow.
Conversely, when the borrowers net worth andcollateral are lower, the moral hazard problem isgreater, and it is harder to borrow.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
39/45
MONITORINGAND ENFORCEMENTOF
RESTRICTIVE COVENANTS
By monitoring Steves activities to see whether he iscomplying with the restrictive covenants andenforcing the covenants if he is not, you can makesure that he will not take risk at your expenses.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
40/45
COVENANTS TO DISCOURAGE UNDESIRABLE
BEHAVIOR
Some covenants mandate a loan can be usedonly to finance specific activities such as thepurchase of particular equipment or inventories.
Others restrict the borrowing firm fromengaging in certain risky business activities suchas purchasing other businesses.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
41/45
COVENANTS TO ENCOURAGE
DESIRABLE BEHAVIOR One restrictive covenant of this type requires the
bread winner in a household to carry lifeinsurance that pays off the mortgage upon thepersons death.
Restrictive covenants of this type for businessesfocus on encouraging the borrowing firm to keep
its net worth high because higher borrower networth reduces moral hazard and makes it lessthat the lender will suffer losses.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
42/45
COVENANTS TO KEEP COLLATERAL
VALUABLE Because collateral is an important protection for
the lender, restrictive covenants can encouragethe borrower to keep the collateral in goodcondition and make sure that it stays in thepossession of the borrower.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
43/45
COVENANTS TO PROVIDE
INFORMATION Restrictive covenants also require a borrowing
firm to provide information about its activitiesperiodically in the form of quarterly accountingand income reports, thereby making it easier forthe lender to monitor the firm and reduce moralhazard.
This type of covenant may also stipulate that thelender has the right to audit and inspect thefirms books at any time.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
44/45
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
Although restrictive covenants help reduce themoral hazard problem, they do no eliminate itcompletely.
It is almost impossible to write covenants thatrule out every risky activity.
Furthermore, borrowers maybe clever enough to
find loopholes in restrictive covenants that makethem ineffective.
-
8/8/2019 Chapter 8 Ed
45/45