chapter 4 research methodology and theories on the uses of accounting information
TRANSCRIPT
Introduction
To have a science is to have a recognized domain and a set of phenomena in that domainTheory describes the underlying reality of that domain through input (observations) and outputs (predictions)
Very little behavior is explained through existing accounting theoryTheory vs theorizingChapter introduces methods of developing theory and some theories on outcomes of providing accounting information
Research Methodology
Deductive approach
Inductive approach
Pragmatic Approach
Scientific Method
Other
Deductive Approach
It is essentially an “armchair” approach which is described from going from the general to the specific
Begins with the establishment of objectives
Next definitions and assumptions are stated
A logical structure for accomplishing the objectives based on the definitions and assumptions is developed
Attempts to “theorize are generally based on the deductive approach
Validity of this approach lies in the ability to relate components
Inductive Approach
Making observations and drawing conclusions
Generalizations are made about the universe based upon limited observations
APB Statement No. 4 utilized the inductive approach
Pragmatic Approach
Based upon the concept of utility or usefulness
When a problem is found…
an attempt to find a solution is undertaken
Most accounting theory was developed using this approach
A Statement of Accounting Principles was a pragmatic approach
The Scientific Method
Involves the following steps:
Most accounting research found in academic journals uses the scientific method
Identify and state the problem to be studied
State the hypotheses to be tested
Collect data necessary to test the hypotheses
Analyze and evaluate data
Draw a tentative conclusion
Other Research Approaches
Ethical approach– Developed by DR Scott and involves
the concepts of truth, justice and fairness
Behavioral approach– The study of how accounting
information affects the behavior of users
The Outcomes of Providing Accounting Information
Fundamental analysis
The efficient market hypothesis
The capital asset pricing model
Agency theory
Human information processing
Critical perspective research
Fundamental Analysis
Investor decisions Buy
Hold
Sell
The goal of fundamental analysis
Investment analysis
The Efficient Market Hypothesis
Holds that Fundamental analysis is not a useful tool… because individual investors are not able to identify mispriced securities
The Efficient Market Hypothesis
Based on the free market supply and demand model with the following assumptions:– All economic units have complete knowledge
of the economy– All goods and services are completely mobile– All buyers and sellers are so small in relation
to total supply and demand that neither has an influence on supply or demand
– No artificial restrictions on demand, supply or prices of goods and services
The Supply and Demand Model
Best illustrated in the securities marketInformation available from many sources including:1 Published financial reports2 Quarterly earnings reports3 News reports4 Published competitor information5 Contract awardings6 Stockholder meetings
The Efficient Market Hypothesis
According to the supply and demand model, the price of a product is determined by knowledge of relevant information
The securities market is viewed as efficient if it reflects all available information and reacts immediately to new information
The Efficient Market Hypothesis
The EMH indicates that an investor with a diversified portfolio cannot make an excess return by knowledge of available information
There are three forms of the EMH which differ in respect to the definition of available information– Weak form
– Semi-strong form
– Strong form
Weak FormAn extension of the random walk theory in the financial management literature
The historical price of a stock provides an unbiased estimated of its future price
Consequently, an investor cannot make an excess return by knowledge of past prices
This form of the EMH has been supported by several studies
Semi-Strong Form
All publicly available information including past prices is assumed to be incorporated into the determination of security prices
An investor cannot make an excess return by knowledge of any publicly available information
Implication is that the form of disclosure, whether in the financial statements, the footnotes, or financial press information is not important
This form of the EMH has been generally supported in the literature
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
The goal of investors is to minimize risk and maximize returns.
The rate of return on stock is calculated:
Dividends + increases (or - decreases) in value
Purchase Price
Strong Form
All available information, including insider information is immediately incorporated into the price of securities as soon as it is known leaving no room for excess returnsMost available evidence suggest that this form of the EMH is not valid Implications
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
Risk:The possibility that actual returns will deviate from expected returns
U. S. treasury billsA risk free investment
Return on these investments is the risk free return
DiversificationStocks can be combined into a portfolio that is less risky than any of the individual stocks
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
Types of risk are company specific and environmental
Unsystematic riskThe risk that is company specific and can be diversified away
Systematic riskThe nondiversifiable risk that is related to overall movements in the stock market
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
Assumption is that investors are risk aversive and will demand higher returns for taking greater risks
Beta (The measure of the relationship of a particular stock with the overall movement of the stock market
viewed as a measure of volatility - a measure of risk
Securities with highers offer greater returns than securities with relatively lower s
The Relationship Between Risk and Return
Rs = Rt + Rp
Where:
Rs = Expected return on a given risky security
Rt = The risk free return rate
Rp = The risk premium
The Relationship Between Risk and Return
Investors will not be compensated for bearing unsystematic risk since it can be diversified away
The only relevant risk is systematic risk
Incorporating Risk Into the Equation
Rs = Rt + Ps (Rm - Rt)
Where:
Rs = Expected return on a given risky security
Rt = The risk free return rate
Rm = The expected market rate as a whole
Ps = The stock’s beta
Implications of CAPM
A security’s price will not be impacted by unsystematic risk
Securities with higher s (higher risk) will be priced relatively lower than securities offering less risk
Research has indicated that past s are a good predictor of future stock prices
Criticized because it causes managers to seek only safe investments
Positive Theory
Agency theoryBased on economic theories of
Prices
Agency relationships
Public choice
Economic regulation
Positive TheoryAgency theory is based on the assumption that individuals act to maximize their own expected utilities.As a result the relevant question is:
What is a particular individual’s expected benefit from a particular course of action?
An agency is a consensual relationship between two parties whereby one agrees to act on behalf of the otherInherent in this theory is that there is a conflict of interest between the shareholders and the managers of a corporation
Positive Theory
Agency relationships involve costs to the principles1 Monitoring expenditures by the
principal
2 Bonding expenses by the agent
3 Residual loss
Agency theory holds that all individuals will act to maximize their own utility
Monitoring and bonding costs will be incurred as long as they are less than the residual loss
Human Information Processing
Annual reports provide vast amounts of information
Disclosure of information is intended to help investors make buy - hold - sell decisions
Human Information Processing
HIP studies Studies attempting to assess an individual’s ability to use accounting informationResults - individuals have limited ability to process large amounts of information
Consequences:– Selective perception– Difficulty in making optimal decisions– Sequential processing
Implications - extensive disclosures now required may be having opposite effect
Critical Perspectives Research
Previous theories assumed that knowledge of facts can be gained by observation
Belief in indeterminacy - the history of accounting is a complex web of economic, political and accidental consequences
This area of research contests the view that knowledge of accounting is grounded in objective principles
Critical Perspectives Research
Accountants have been unduly influenced by utility based marginal economics that holds:
Profit = efficiency in using scarce resources
Conventional accounting theory equates normative and positive theory.
What should be and what is are the same
Critical Perspectives Research
Critical perspective research concerns itself with the ways societies and institutions have emerged.
Three assumptions:1 Society has the potential to be what
it isn’t
2 Human action can help this process
3 Critical theory can assist human action
Accounting Research Education and Practice
How are research, education and practice related in most disciplines?
For example, medicine?
How are they related in accounting?
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Prepared by Kathryn Yarbrough, MBA