chapter 3 mesoscale processes and severe convective weather meteorology 515/815 san francisco state...
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Chapter 3Mesoscale Processes and Severe
Convective Weather
Meteorology 515/815
San Francisco State University
Spring 2006
Christopher Meherin
Mesoscale Phenomena—Severe Convective Weather
• Tornadoes
• Hail storms
• Heavy winds
• Flash floods
Synoptic Scale Flow
• Initiates mesoscale storms
• Affects their evolution
• Influences their environment
A Variety of Mesoscale Processes are Involved in Severe
Weather
• Environmental preconditioning
• Environmental triggering
• Storm initiation
• Feedback of convection on the environment
What is the mesoscale?
• A fixed geometrical scale (Fujitia 1963, 1981; Ogura 1963; Orlanski 1975)
• Dynamical considerations (Ooyama 1982; Emanuel 1986; Doswell 1987)
Dynamical considerations
• λ=NH÷ƒ• Where λ is the Rossby radius of deformation• N is the Brunt-Viaisala frequency• H is the scale height (~10 to several hundred km)• And ƒ is the coriolis parameter (2Ω sin φ)
Mesoscale preconditioning/triggering
processes for severe weather
• Local effects
• Advective effects
• Dynamical effects
Examples of Local Preconditioning processes
• Boundary layer processes– Nocturnal inversion
• Terrain effects– Modification of hodograph
• Surface effects– Evaporation & heating
Examples of Advective Preconditioning processes
• Differential advection– destabilization
• Convergence lines– fronts
• Moisture advection– Increase CAPE; lower LFC
Examples of Dynamical Preconditioning processes
• Secondary circulations– jets
• Gravity currents, waves– Localized reduction of CIN
• Mesoscale instabilities– Boundary layer processes
Examples of Local Triggering processes
• Boundary layer circulation– thermals
• Terrain effects– Orographic lifting
• Surface effects– Sensible/latent heat flux
Examples of Advective Triggering processes
• Convergence lines– Gust fronts
• Boundary intersections– Tripple point
Instability of the atmosphere
• Effects of buoyancy
• Effects of dry air aloft
• Effects of wind shear
What is buoyancy?
• The acceleration of gravity times the fractional density difference between a parcel of air and its environment
• Gathering information from soundings is difficult
Parcels, soundings, and deep convective instability
• Thunderstorms
• CAPE/CIN
• Lapse rate stability/instability
• Moist/dry layers aloft
• Warm/cold advection patterns
Environmental factors can alter the development of storms
• Mesoscale perturbations– Local orography– Low level jets– Weaker CIN
Effects of dry air aloft enhances evaporation increasing strength
in
• Outflow boundries
• Squall lines
• Bow echoes
• Dry microbursts
Mesoscale mechanisms for environment preconditioning
• Instability
• Shear
Effects of Wind Shear Indices
• The Bulk Richardson number combines the effects of buoyancy and shear
• R=CAPE÷0.5ū2
• Ū is defined as the difference between the density weighted mean windspeed taken over the lowest 6 km and an average surface wind speed taken over the lowest 500 m
• R>30 multicell storms• 10<R<40 supercell storms
Draw backs in applying indices in forecasting
• Obtaining a representative sounding
• Shear profiles modified by mesoscale phenomena
• Variability in storm evolution by convection
This section will consider three preconditioning processes
• Locally preconditioning
• Advective preconditioning (later sections)
• Dynamic preconditioning (later sections)
Local processes—vertical mixing in the boundary layer
• Day time heating (this process depends on several factors which either restrict or promote convection– Strength/depth of morning inversion– Sky cover– Surface wetness
Terrain effects
• Hills
• Ridges
• Escarpments
• Mountain Ranges
Three classifications have been assigned to these effects
• Mechanical lifting to the LFC
• Thermally generated circulations
• Aerodynamic effects
Thermally generated circulations
• Hail storms
• Tornadoes
• Flash floods
• Heavy winds
Flash floods are examples of mechanically forced upslope
flow• Low level jets
• Weak flow at midlevels
• Moderate to large CAPE
• Low level inversion
Locations of storms producing flash floods determined by
• Interaction of outflow boundaries with terrain
• Orographic lift
• Other mesoscale features
Aerodynamic effects• F=U÷NH equation descries whether flow is
blocked to go around or forced above• F is defined as the Froude number• N is defined as the stratification
(represented by Brunt Vaisala frequency)• U is the incident flow speed• H is the height of the barrier• F<1 flow is blocked goes around barrier• F>1 Flow goes over a barrier
The most common terrain effects are located in
• Isolated mountains or hills
• Mountain ranges
• Mountain Islands
Surface affects on environmental preconditioning
• State of soil (dry vs. wet)
• Heterogeneities in surface conditions (dry land adjacent to wet land)
Wet soil more conducive to convection when
– Latent heat flux increases CBL q in afternoon– Cape enhancement– If cap is weak, convection explodes
Dry soil more conducive to convection when
• When strong cap inversion exists
• Sensible heat flux errodes the cap
• Afternoon heating from the sun force temps to CT
• Parcels reach there CCL
Land surface can also produce circulations leading to convection
• Terrain roughness
• Wetness of terrain
• Albedo
• Vegetation cover
• Snow cover
• urbanization