changing students, changing university
TRANSCRIPT
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Changing Students,
Changing University
A Presentation to the University of
Minnesota Board of Regents
September, 2004
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This Report
Analyzes U of M students
How they have changed from the recent past
How they compare to students at other schools
How they are likely to change in the near future
Focuses primarily on the Twin Cities Campus,
especially new freshmen
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Three Themes
1. The academic preparation of our students has
increased dramatically.
2. Our students are changing demographically
and attitudinally.
3. We continue to be committed to both qualityand access.
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1. Academic Preparation
During the past decade the academic
preparation of entering students has steadily
increased.
We are in the mainstream of our Big 10 peers.
We have distanced ourselves from theMNSCU campuses.
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Cumulative % Change in UMTC MN Applicants and
Minnesota High School Graduates, 1994-2004
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Applicants
H.S. Grads
Sources: HESO and UM data warehouse
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Cumulative % Change in
UMTC MN Applicants vs. Pool, 1994-2004
Sources: HESO and UM data warehouse
Applicants
H.S. Grads
ACT Takers
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Average High School Rank of UMTC New
Freshmen, 1990-2003
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Source: UM NSCR Files
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Percentage of Big 10 New Freshmen in Top 10%
of Their High School Classes
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Indiana
Iowa
Michigan St
Purdue
Ohio St
Minnesota
Penn St
Wisconsin
Illinois
Northwestern
Michigan
Source: U.S. News 2004 College Guide
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Percentage of Big 10 New Freshmen
Scoring 24+ on ACT Composite
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Indiana
Michigan St
Iowa
Minnesota
Purdue
Ohio St
Illinois
Michigan
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Source: Petersons Guide www.petersons.com Penn State data not available
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Percentage of UM & MNSCU New Freshmen in
Top 10% of Their High School Classes
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
UM Crookston
St. Cloud St
MSU Mankato
Bemidji St
MSU Moorhead
Southwest St
Winona St
UM Duluth
UM Morris
Minnesota
Source: Petersons Guide www.petersons.com
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Percentage of UM and MNSCU New Freshmen
Scoring 24+ on ACT Composite
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
UM Crookston
MSU Mankato
Bemidji St
Southwest St
MSU Moorhead
UM Duluth
UM Morris
Minnesota
Source: Petersons Guide www.petersons.com Winona State data not available
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Our Competition: Destinations of
F2003 UMTC Non-Enrolling Admits
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
MNSCU
Other UM Campus
Other UW Campus
Non-MN Public
MN Private
UW Madison
Non-MN Private
Source: UMTC Fall 2003 Admitted Applicant Survey
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2. Student Demographics & Attitudes
New UMTC freshmen are:increasingly female
diverse geographically
diverse racially (compared to MN high schools)career-oriented
community-oriented
technologically savvyrespectful of authority
accepting of cultural diversity
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UMTC Freshman Gender
0%10%
20%
30%
40%
50%60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1994 2004
Women Men
For Fall 2004, we expect
women to comprise 56% of
the entering class, up from
49% ten years ago.
The increase in female
enrollments is a national
trend, and is expected to
continue.
The U of M proportions areclose to national averages.
Sources: U of M data warehouse and National Center for Educational Statistics
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Percentage of Out-of-State Freshman
Big 10 Schools
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Illinois
Ohio StatePurdue
Indiana
Minnesota
MichiganWisconsin
Penn St
Iowa
Northwestern
Source: US News 2004 College Guide. Michigan State not reporting
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UMTC Freshmen vs. MN HS Grads:
% Students of Color
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
MN HS Graduates UMTC New Freshmen
Sources: HESO graduation files; UMTC data warehouse; 2004 figures are estimates
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UMTC Freshman Students of Color:
2004 (est.) versus 2003
21.821.5Average ACT Composite
74.373.0Average HS Rank Percentile
17.9%20.8%% of All Freshmen
2004*2003
* 2004 data are preliminary Source: UM Data warehouse; 2004
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Student Ages
UMTC degree-seeking undergraduates are
predominantly of the traditional age.
11.5% of Fall 2003 students were aged 25 or over
(down from 16% in 1996)
Only 7 out of the 5,186 new freshmen were 25 or
older
The average age of full-time degree-seekingundergraduates was 20.7 (down from 21.6 in 1996)
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Attitudes: Career and Community
From 2003 CIRP Survey
59.5%Helping others who are in difficulty32.5%Becoming a community leader
59.6%Becoming an authority in my field
53.1%Obtaining recognition from colleagues
73.1%Being very well off financially
Essential or very important Goals
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Other 2003 CIRP Survey Findings
U of M Students are technologically savvy 85% used the Internet for homework or research in high
school
Students are respectful of authority Only 8% said that there was a very good chance that they
would participate in a student protest
Students are accepting of cultural diversity 66% said it was very likely that they would socialize
with someone of another racial/ethnic group
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Community On Campus:
% of TC Freshmen in Residence Halls
62%
64%66%
68%
70%
72%74%
76%
78%
80%
1999 2000 2001 2003 2004
Source: UMTC registration and housing data files; 2004 data preliminary
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UMTC Freshmen:
Comfortable with Digital Technology
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Communicated via
instant messaging
Communicated via e-
mail
Used Internet for
research or homework
Used a personal
computer
1999 2003Source: F1999 & F2003 UMTC CIRP Surveys
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3. Access and Quality
Over the past decade, the University increased
enrollment beyond increases in the numbers of
high school graduates
The next decade presents challenges:
Declining numbers of high school graduates
Sharp decline in Greater MN numbers
Sharp increase in proportion of students of color
Threats to affordability
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Cumulative % Change in UMTC MN Applicants
And Enrollees vs. Pool, 1994-2004
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Applicants
Enrollees
H.S. Grads
ACT Takers
Sources: HESO and UM data warehouse
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MN H.S. Graduates 1988-2018
45,000
47,000
49,000
51,000
53,000
55,000
57,000
59,000
61,000
63,00065,000
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
"Baby Bust"
"Baby Boomlet"
+Inmigration
Graduates will decline in 2005,
rise briefly and then fall to
below 1998 levels in 2013 before
starting up again.
Sources: 1988-2002 data are actual from MN HESO. 2003 combines actual public and WICHE-estimated private. 2004-2013 are WICHE estimates
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Percentage Change in MN H.S. Grads by Region,
2003-2013
-30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
Reg 1: E. Grand Forks
Reg 2: Bemidji
Reg 3: Duluth
Reg 4: Moorhead
Reg 5: Brainerd
Reg 6: Willmar
Reg 7: St. Cloud
Reg 8: Marshall
Reg 9: Mankato
Reg 10: Rochester
Reg 11: Twin Cities
Source: In the Pipeline: MN High School Graduates, 2003-2013, MN HESO. 6/03
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Percentage of Total MN H.S. Grads by Ethnicity
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Am Ind Asian/Pac African Am Chic/Lat SOC White
2003 2013
In 2003, 1 in 8 MN H.S.
graduates was a student of
color. In 2013, 1 in 5 will be.
Source: Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, WICHE, 12/03
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Freshman Concern about Finances:
UM SOC, UM Other, and Other Schools
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Selective
Publics
UM All UM SOC UM Other
None Some Major
Source: Fall 2003 CIRP Freshman Survey
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Paying for College:
UM vs. Other Schools
From 2003 CIRP Survey
50.8%39.2%Expect parents or family to pay $6,000per year for college expenses
44.4%62.9%Rating chances as very likely thathe/she will get a job to help pay for
college expenses
Selective
PublicsUMTC
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Percentage of Pell Grant Recipients, 2000-2004
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
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Access and Quality:
Conclusions
In the past decade, the UM undergraduatestudent body became larger, better prepared,and more diverse.
In the next decade we will be challenged by:Decreasing numbers of high school graduates
Increasing proportions of students of color
Continually increasing costs Our commitments to both access and quality
will be strongly tested