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Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world November 2016

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Page 1: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world

November 2016

Page 2: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Approaches to modelling

Traffic modelling

Driving simulation

Virtual validation2

Page 3: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

3

Platooning - SARTRE

Page 4: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

4

Platooning – modelling impact

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

0 10 20 30 40 50

Pe

rce

nta

ge in

cre

ase

in c

apac

ity

Percentage HGVs in Road Trains

Carriageway

Lane 1

Lane 2

Lane 3

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0 5 10 15 20

Pe

rce

nta

ge in

cre

ase

in c

apac

ity

Percentage Cars in Road Trains

Carriageway

Lane 1

Lane 2

Lane 3

Increase in capacity (5 HGVs) Increase in capacity (HGV + 5 cars)

Harwood, N., & Reed, N. (2014, October). Modelling the impact of platooning on motorway capacity. In Road Transport Information and Control Conference 2014 (RTIC 2014) (pp. 1-6). IET.

Page 5: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Platooning - modelling

Useful insights from basic modelling

But…

Brute force manipulation of modelling software

No ability to:

form stable vehicle platoons

investigate platoon formation

5

Page 6: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Simulator validation

6

Diels, C., Robbins, R., & Reed, N. (2012). Behavioural validation of the TRL driving simulator DigiCar: phase 1: speed choice. In International Conference on Driver Behaviour and Training, 5th, 2011, Paris, France.

Page 7: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Positioning

7

Page 8: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Acceleration and deceleration

8

Diels, C., Robbins, R., & Reed, N. (2012). Behavioural validation of the TRL driving simulator DigiCar: phase 1: speed choice. In International Conference on Driver Behaviour and Training, 5th, 2011, Paris, France.

Page 9: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Cruising speed

9

Diels, C., Robbins, R., & Reed, N. (2012). Behavioural validation of the TRL driving simulator DigiCar: phase 1: speed choice. In International Conference on Driver Behaviour and Training, 5th, 2011, Paris, France.

Page 10: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Braking profile

10Brake pedal application (0-1)

Dec

eler

atio

n (

ms-2

)

Page 11: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Automated vehicles

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Google operating >50 vehicles in CA, TX, AZ, WA

Collecting >20k miles of automated driving data per month (and many more in simulation)

Page 12: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Shuttle driving through LIDAR environment

Page 13: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Challenging the insight toolkit

Flexibility

Sophistication

Validation13

Page 14: Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling …...Title Challenging the insight toolkit for modelling tomorrow’s world Author Reed, Nicholas J Created Date 12/3/2016 6:12:09 PM

© Copyright 2016 TRL Ltd

Thank you

Presented by Professor Nick ReedTRL Academy Director

Month YYYYTel: +44 1344 770046

Email: [email protected]