cereal supply and demand balances for sub-saharan african ...african countries situation as of...

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countriesSituation as of August 2020

GIEWS - Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan

African countries

Situation as of August 2020

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United NationsRome, 2020

Required citation:FAO. 2020. Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries – Situation as of August 2020. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb1099en

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iiiCereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of March 2020

CONTENTSTerminology ..................................................................................................... iv

West Africa ....................................................................................................... 1Benin ................................................................................................................................................................2

Burkina Faso .....................................................................................................................................................3

Cabo Verde .......................................................................................................................................................4

Chad ................................................................................................................................................................5

Côte d’Ivoire .....................................................................................................................................................6

Gambia .............................................................................................................................................................7

Ghana ..............................................................................................................................................................8

Guinea ..............................................................................................................................................................9

Guinea-Bissau .................................................................................................................................................10

Liberia .............................................................................................................................................................11

Mali ................................................................................................................................................................12

Mauritania ......................................................................................................................................................13

Niger ..............................................................................................................................................................14

Nigeria ............................................................................................................................................................15

Senegal ...........................................................................................................................................................16

Sierra Leone ....................................................................................................................................................17

Togo ...............................................................................................................................................................18

Central Africa ................................................................................................. 19Cameroon ......................................................................................................................................................20

Central African Republic .................................................................................................................................21

Congo ............................................................................................................................................................22

Democratic Republic of the Congo ..................................................................................................................23

Equatorial Guinea ...........................................................................................................................................24

Gabon ............................................................................................................................................................25

Sao Tome and Principe ....................................................................................................................................26

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of March 2020

iv

Terminology ¾ All supply and demand figures are FAO forecasts and estimates based on official and unofficial sources.

¾ Cereals include: wheat, rice and coarse grains. Coarse grains include: maize, barley, sorghum, millet, rye, oats and NES (Not Elsewhere Specified).

¾ All elements of utilization for wheat and coarse grains are expressed in grain equivalent.

¾ For rice, all elements are expressed in milled terms.

¾ Non-food use includes post-harvest losses, seed use, feed use and industrial use for all cereals.

¾ ‘-‘ means nil or negligible.

¾ The source of the population figures is the “2019 Revision of World Population Prospects” prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat.

East Africa ....................................................................................................... 27Burundi ...........................................................................................................................................................28

Comoros .........................................................................................................................................................29

Djibouti ...........................................................................................................................................................30

Eritrea .............................................................................................................................................................31

Ethiopia ..........................................................................................................................................................32

Kenya .............................................................................................................................................................33

Rwanda ..........................................................................................................................................................34

Seychelles .......................................................................................................................................................35

Somalia ...........................................................................................................................................................36

South Sudan ...................................................................................................................................................37

Sudan .............................................................................................................................................................38

Uganda ...........................................................................................................................................................39

United Republic of Tanzania ............................................................................................................................40

Southern Africa .............................................................................................. 41Angola ............................................................................................................................................................42

Botswana ........................................................................................................................................................43

Eswatini ..........................................................................................................................................................44

Lesotho ...........................................................................................................................................................45

Madagascar ....................................................................................................................................................46

Malawi ...........................................................................................................................................................47

Mauritius ........................................................................................................................................................48

Mozambique ..................................................................................................................................................49

Namibia ..........................................................................................................................................................50

South Africa ....................................................................................................................................................51

Zambia ...........................................................................................................................................................52

Zimbabwe .......................................................................................................................................................53

https://population.un.org/wpp/

1Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - West Africa

West A

frica

Countries

¾ Benin

¾ Burkina Faso

¾ Cabo Verde

¾ Chad

¾ Côte d’Ivoire

¾ Gambia

¾ Ghana

¾ Guinea

¾ Guinea-Bissau

¾ Liberia

¾ Mali

¾ Mauritania

¾ Niger

¾ Nigeria

¾ Senegal

¾ Sierra Leone

¾ Togo

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - West Africa

2

BENINCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)

Wheat RiceCoarsegrains

Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 402 1 620 2 0222019 production - 252 1 620 1 872Expected stock drawdown - 150 - 150

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 56 542 1 631 2 229Food use 52 454 1 030 1 536Non-food use 1 88 499 588Exports 3 - 102 105Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 56 140 11 207

Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 4 38 87 130

2020 Comparison with the previous year and the recent average

Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - 225 1 610 1 835Previous five years' average production - 175 1 569 1 7442019 production compared to average (%) - 144 103 107

Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 56 450 11 517Previous five years' average imports 56 396 11 4632020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 100 35 100 45

Additional Information

Population mid-2019 (000s): 11 801

Crop Calendar (*major foodcrop)

Cassava*Irrigated RiceMaize* (Main)Maize* (Second)Millet & SorghumRiceYams*

Lean period (north)Lean period (south)

SowingGrowingHarvesting

J F M A M J J A S O N D


BURKINA FASOCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 259 4 228 4 4872020 production - 259 4 208 4 467Expected stock drawdown - - 20 20

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 171 819 4 269 5 259Food use 150 762 3 272 4 185Non-food use 21 57 827 905Exports - - 170 170Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020/21 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 171 560 41 772


2020/21 Comparison with the previous year and the recent average


Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 171 520 41 732Previous five years' average imports 171 477 42 6902020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 100 117 98 112

Note: Rice marketing year January/December of second year shown.




Maize*Millet*RiceSorghum*

Lean period




4

CABO VERDECEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 3 3 62020 production - - 3 3Expected stock drawdown - 3 - 3

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 25 35 33 93Food use 25 34 28 87Non-food use - 1 5 6Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - - 1 1Previous five years' average production - - 4 42020 production compared to average (%) - - 77 77




Population mid-2020 (000s): 556


Maize*Pulses

Lean period




CHADCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 3 204 2 559 2 7652020 production 2 199 2 502 2 703Expected stock drawdown 1 5 57 62

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 94 274 2 609 2 977Food use 94 228 1 680 2 002Non-food use - 46 829 875Exports - - 100 100Expected stock build-up - - - -




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production 2 199 2 691 2 892Previous five years' average production 2 180 2 545 2 7272020 production compared to average (%) 121 110 98 99






MaizeMillet*RiceSorghum*

Lean period




6

CÔTE D'IVOIRECEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 75 1 350 1 260 2 6852019 production - 1 130 1 260 2 390Expected stock drawdown 75 220 - 295

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 565 2 650 1 295 4 511Food use 525 2 317 1 131 3 973Non-food use 40 311 154 506Exports - 22 10 32Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 490 1 300 36 1 826



Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - 1 204 1 207 2 411Previous five years' average production - 1 247 1 017 2 2632019 production compared to average (%) - 91 124 106

Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 490 1 390 36 1 916Previous five years' average imports 496 1 419 35 1 9502020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 99 92 100 94




Cassava (1st year)Cassava (2nd year)Maize* (Main)Maize* (Second)MilletRice*SorghumYams





GAMBIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 16 96 1122020 production - 16 96 112Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 51 281 108 440Food use 49 199 96 344Non-food use 1 37 11 49Exports 1 - 2 3Expected stock build-up - 45 - 45




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - 14 64 78Previous five years' average production - 26 102 1272020 production compared to average (%) - 63 94 88






GroundnutMaizeMillet & Sorghum*Rice*

Lean period




8

GHANACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 578 3 291 3 8692019 production - 578 3 291 3 869Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 570 1 548 3 346 5 464Food use 410 1 308 2 606 4 324Non-food use 150 190 670 1 010Exports - - 70 70Expected stock build-up 10 50 - 60

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 570 970 55 1 595




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 570 1 027 55 1 652Previous five years' average imports 566 781 56 1 4022020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 101 124 99 114




Cassava* (1st year)Cassava* (2nd year)Maize* (North/main)Maize* (Second)Maize* (South/main)Millet & SorghumRice (North)Rice (South)Yams*





GUINEACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 1 734 1 674 3 4082019 production - 1 734 1 674 3 408Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 250 2 434 1 682 4 365Food use 170 1 719 885 2 774Non-food use 80 570 330 980Exports - 70 260 330Expected stock build-up - 75 207 282




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - 1 561 1 602 3 163Previous five years' average production - 1 431 1 517 2 9482019 production compared to average (%) - 121 110 116





Cassava* (1st year)Cassava* (2nd year)Maize, Millet & SorghumRice*Yams

Lean period




10

GUINEA-BISSAUCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 120 44 1642020 production - 120 44 164Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 20 290 58 368Food use 20 230 55 305Non-food use - 38 1 39Exports - - 2 2Expected stock build-up - 22 - 22










Maize, Millet & Sorghum*Rice*

Lean period




LIBERIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 200 - 2002019 production - 175 - 175Expected stock drawdown - 25 - 25

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 61 590 27 678Food use 60 528 27 615Non-food use 1 62 - 63Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - 168 - 168Previous five years' average production - 174 - 1742019 production compared to average (%) - 101 - 101





Cassava* (1st year)Cassava* (2nd year)Rice*Yams

Lean period




12

MALICEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 32 2 080 7 100 9 2122020 production 32 2 040 6 990 9 062Expected stock drawdown - 40 110 150

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 252 2 360 7 111 9 723Food use 235 1 800 2 865 4 900Non-food use 15 540 4 011 4 566Exports 2 20 235 257Expected stock build-up - - - -




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production 29 2 173 7 057 9 260Previous five years' average production 32 1 929 6 459 8 4212020 production compared to average (%) 99 106 108 108






Irrigated Rice*Maize, Millet & Sorghum*Rainfed Rice*

Lean period




MAURITANIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 3 237 82 3222020 production 3 237 82 322Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 488 272 103 863Food use 405 240 90 735Non-food use 63 24 12 99Exports 20 - 1 21Expected stock build-up - 8 - 8




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production 4 230 86 320Previous five years' average production 5 170 88 2632020 production compared to average (%) 66 139 93 123






Irrigated Rice*Low lying area crops Maize & MilletOff-season RiceSorghum*Walo crops

Lean period




14

NIGERCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 12 74 5 836 5 9122020 production 12 74 5 786 5 872Expected stock drawdown - - 50 40

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 113 594 5 941 6 638Food use 112 563 4 511 5 186Non-food use 1 21 1 420 1 442Exports - - 10 10Expected stock build-up - 10 - -










CowpeaGroundnutMaizeMillet*Rainfed Rice*Sorghum*

Lean period


Note: When the harvest of early planted crops of one season begins before the end of the planting of late crops of the same season, the growing period is omitted.



NIGERIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 63 5 761 21 373 27 1982019 production 63 5 061 21 373 26 498Expected stock drawdown - 700 - 700

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 4 863 7 161 21 793 33 818Food use 4 063 6 215 15 810 26 088Non-food use 200 946 5 734 6 880Exports 600 - 250 850Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 4 800 1 400 420 6 620




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 4 600 2 720 420 7 740Previous five years' average imports 4 540 2 680 406 7 6262020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 106 52 103 87




Cassava* (South)Irrigated Rice*Maize* (North/main)Maize* (second)Maize* (South/main)Millet*Rainfed Rice*SorghumYams






16

SENEGALCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 854 1 584 2 4382020 production - 854 1 584 2 438Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 650 2 304 1 769 4 723Food use 645 2 098 1 024 3 767Non-food use 5 135 650 790Exports - 1 50 51Expected stock build-up - 70 45 115

2020/21 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 650 1 450 185 2 285




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 650 1 300 185 2 135Previous five years' average imports 629 1 274 190 2 0932020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 103 114 97 109





GroundnutMaize*Millet* & SorghumRice*

Lean period




SIERRA LEONECEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 758 134 8932019 production - 568 134 703Expected stock drawdown - 190 - 190

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 52 1 038 149 1 239Food use 52 897 136 1 086Non-food use - 141 13 154Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -









Cassava* (1st year)Cassava* (2nd year)Maize & MilletRice*SorghumYams

Lean period




18

TOGOCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 13 107 1 267 1 3882019 production - 88 1 232 1 321Expected stock drawdown 13 19 35 67

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 83 287 1 273 1 643Food use 71 268 863 1 202Non-food use 2 19 395 416Exports 10 - 15 25Expected stock build-up - - - -









Cassava*Maize* (Main)Maize* (Second)Millet & SorghumRiceYams




19Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - Central Africa

Cen

tral Africa

Countries

¾ Cameroon

¾ Central African Republic

¾ Congo

¾ Democratic Republic of the Congo

¾ Equatorial Guinea

¾ Gabon

¾ Sao Tome and Principe

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - Central Africa

20

CAMEROONCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 278 3 258 3 4922019 production - 233 3 258 3 492Expected stock drawdown - 45 - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 830 768 3 298 4 852Food use 776 714 2 256 3 747Non-food use 4 49 792 845Exports 50 5 - 55Expected stock build-up - - 250 205

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 830 490 40 1 360




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 750 580 40 1 370Previous five years' average imports 643 488 49 1 1802020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 129 100 81 115




Maize, Millet*, Sorghum* (North/Unimodal)Cassava* (North/Unimodal)Muskuwarari Sorghum (North/Unimodal)Maize*, Rice (Central/Main)Maize* (Central/Secondary)Sorghum, Millet (Central/Main)Maize* (South/Main)Maize* (South/Secondary)





CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLICCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 8 149 1572019 production - 8 149 157Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 43 21 189 252Food use 40 19 168 227Non-food use 3 1 21 25Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -









Cassava*Millet & Sorghum* (North)Maize* (Centre)Maize and Rice* (South)

Lean period




22

CONGOCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals











Cassava* (North)Cassava* (South)Maize (Main)Maize (Second)Yams





DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGOCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 8 192 2 087 2 2872019 production 8 192 2 087 2 287Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 508 422 2 257 3 187Food use 507 362 2 081 2 950Non-food use 1 60 176 237Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -









Cassava* (North)Cassava* (South)Maize* (Centre/main)Maize* (Centre/second)Maize* (North/main)Maize* (North/second)Maize* (South)Millet & SorghumRice (North)Rice (South)Yams






24

EQUATORIAL GUINEACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 0 - 02019 production - - - -Expected stock drawdown - 0 - 0

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 35 23 - 58Food use 31 22 - 53Non-food use 4 1 - 5Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 35 22 - 57

Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 23 16 - 39


Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - - - -Previous five years' average production - - - -2019 production compared to average (%) - - - -

Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 33 22 - 55Previous five years' average imports 31 20 - 512020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 114 110 - 112




GABONCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 8 43 512019 production - - 43 43Expected stock drawdown - 8 - 8










Cassava*Maize (main)Maize (secondary)Yams*





26

SAO TOME AND PRINCIPECEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 1 - 1 12019 production - - 1 1Expected stock drawdown 1 - - 0

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 12 9 3 24Food use 9 9 3 20Non-food use 3 - - 3Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - 0 - -








27Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - East Africa

East Africa

Countries

¾ Burundi

¾ Comoros

¾ Djibouti

¾ Eritrea

¾ Ethiopia

¾ Kenya

¾ Rwanda

¾ Seychelles

¾ Somalia

¾ South Sudan

¾ Sudan

¾ Uganda

¾ United Republic of Tanzania

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - East Africa

28

BURUNDICEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 36 289 3252019 production - 36 289 325Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 56 55 399 510Food use 52 49 336 437Non-food use 4 4 63 71Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - 2 - 2




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - 23 293 317Previous five years' average production 6 43 231 2752019 production compared to average (%) - 84 125 118





Beans* (A season)Beans* (B season)Maize & Sorghum (A season)Maize & Sorghum (B season)

Lean periods




COMOROSCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals


2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 11 63 6 80Food use 11 62 4 77Non-food use - 1 2 3Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 11 51 - 62




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 11 47 - 58Previous five years' average imports 11 45 - 562020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 102 111 - 109




30

DJIBOUTICEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - - - -2019 production - - - -Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 61 26 2 89Food use 61 25 - 86Non-food use - 1 2 3Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -


Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 63 26 - 89







ERITREACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 30 - 167 1972019 production 30 - 167 197Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 390 13 253 656Food use 387 13 198 598Non-food use 3 - 55 58Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production 30 - 166 196Previous five years' average production 30 - 168 1982019 production compared to average (%) 99 - 99 99





BarleyMaizeMillet & Sorghum*Wheat*

Lean period




32

ETHIOPIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 5 315 191 24 188 29 6142019 production 5 315 111 24 188 29 614Expected stock drawdown - 80 - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 6 665 681 24 188 31 454Food use 5 465 624 16 042 22 131Non-food use 1 150 57 5 945 7 152Exports - - 1 345 1 345Expected stock build-up 50 - 856 826

2020 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 1 350 490 - 1 840




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 1 350 514 - 1 864Previous five years' average imports 1 339 416 58 1 7772020 Import requirements compared to average (%) 101 118 - 104




All Cereals (Belg)Barley, Teff & Wheat * (Meher)Maize & Sorghum* (Meher)Millet (Meher)Oats (Meher)

Lean period




KENYACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (October/September)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 280 119 4 046 4 4452020 production 280 94 4 046 4 420Expected stock drawdown - 25 - 25

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 1 880 819 5 446 8 145Food use 1 490 771 4 815 7 076Non-food use 390 47 631 1 068Exports - 1 - 1Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020/21 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 1 600 700 1 400 3 700




Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 1 570 688 1 400 3 658Previous five years' average imports 1 440 640 1 188 3 2682020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 111 109 118 113





Barley (Long rains)Barley, Maize*, Millet, Sorghum & Beans (Short rains)Beans (Long rains)Maize* (Long rains)Millet (Long rains)Sorghum (Long rains)Wheat* (Long rains)

Lean period




34

RWANDACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 22 93 585 6882019 production 16 88 585 688Expected stock drawdown 6 5 - -

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 107 193 610 898Food use 107 123 493 722Non-food use - 30 62 92Exports - 40 20 60Expected stock build-up - - 35 24




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production 13 76 583 672Previous five years' average production 10 69 542 6202019 production compared to average (%) 156 128 108 111





Beans* (A season)Beans* (B season)Maize & Sorghum (A season)Maize & Sorghum (B season)

Lean periods




SEYCHELLESCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 0 - 02019 production - - - -Expected stock drawdown - 0 - 0

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 2 7 6 15Food use 2 7 1 10Non-food use - - 5 5Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -









36

SOMALIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (August/July)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 16 189 2052020 production - 1 168 169Expected stock drawdown - 15 21 36

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 210 386 494 1 090Food use 207 361 476 1 044Non-food use 3 25 18 46Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -










Maize & Sorghum* (Deyr)Maize & Sorghum* (Gu)

Lean periods




SOUTH SUDANCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - - 819 8192020 production - - 819 819Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 450 - 1 049 1 499Food use 450 - 1 019 1 469Non-food use - - 30 30Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -

2020/21 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 450 - 230 680

Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 40 - 91 131



Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 450 - 230 680Previous five years' average imports 438 - 186 6242020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 103 - 124 109





Maize, Millet, Sorghum* (South/main)Maize, Millet, Sorghum* (South/second)Maize (Unimodal)Millet & Sorghum (Unimodal)

Lean period




38

SUDANCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 950 34 6 120 7 1042020 production 650 30 6 120 6 800Expected stock drawdown 300 4 - 304

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 2 950 109 6 460 9 519Food use 2 890 108 4 938 7 936Non-food use 60 1 1 372 1 433Exports - - 150 150Expected stock build-up - - - -





Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 1 820 70 340 2 230Previous five years' average imports 1 992 67 326 2 3852020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 100 112 104 101





Millet & Sorghum*Wheat*

Lean period




UGANDACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 31 149 3 294 3 4742019 production 20 147 3 215 3 382Expected stock drawdown 11 2 79 92

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 391 329 3 302 4 022Food use 389 268 2 565 3 222Non-food use 2 36 677 715Exports - 25 60 85Expected stock build-up - - - -









Beans (South/main)Beans (South/second)Cassava* (North)Maize & Millet* (South/second)Maize* (North)Maize* (South/main)Millet (North)Millet (South/main)Sweet Potato* (North)

Lean periods




40

UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (June/May)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 85 2 275 7 513 9 8532020 production 85 2 275 7 413 9 773Expected stock drawdown - - 100 80

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 885 2 520 7 528 10 913Food use 849 1 860 5 410 8 119Non-food use 16 380 1 818 2 214Exports 20 260 300 580Expected stock build-up - 20 - -

2020/21 Import Requirements (000 tonnes) 800 245 15 1 060









Maize* (Vuli/Bimodal)Maize, Sorghum & Millet* (Masika/Bimodal)Maize & Sorghum* (Msimu/Unimodal)Rice* (Msimu/Unimodal)

Lean period



41Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - Southern Africa

Sou

thern

Africa

Countries

¾ Angola

¾ Botswana

¾ Eswatini

¾ Lesotho

¾ Madagascar

¾ Malawi

¾ Mauritius

¾ Mozambique

¾ Namibia

¾ South Africa

¾ Zambia

¾ Zimbabwe

Cereal supply and demand balances for sub-Saharan African countries as of August 2020 - Southern Africa

42

ANGOLACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 5 37 2 565 2 5472020 production 5 37 2 415 2 457Expected stock drawdown - - 150 90

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 705 497 2 725 3 867Food use 630 479 1 818 2 927Non-food use 15 18 857 890Exports - - 50 50Expected stock build-up 60 - - -





Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 720 445 165 1 329Previous five years' average imports 633 461 196 1 2902020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 111 100 81 102





Maize*MilletPotatoesRiceSorghumWheat

Lean period




BOTSWANACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 1 - 49 502020 production 1 - 49 50Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 121 25 339 485Food use 116 25 259 399Non-food use - - 51 52Exports 1 - 5 6Expected stock build-up 4 - 24 28










Maize*MilletSorghum*Wheat

Lean period




44

ESWATINICEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (May/April)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) - 4 88 882020 production - 1 88 88Expected stock drawdown - 3 - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 50 39 259 344Food use 46 35 121 202Non-food use 1 4 130 135Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up 3 - 8 8










Maize*SorghumWheat

Lean period




LESOTHOCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals


2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 88 32 211 331Food use 87 32 193 312Non-food use 2 - 15 17Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - 3 3










Maize*SorghumWheat

Lean period




46

MADAGASCARCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 5 2 552 206 2 7632020 production 5 2 492 206 2 703Expected stock drawdown - 60 - 60

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 281 2 972 226 3 479Food use 281 2 708 200 3 189Non-food use - 264 26 290Exports - - - -Expected stock build-up - - - -










Maize*PotatoesRice*SorghumWheat

Lean period




MALAWICEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 1 96 3 890 3 9872020 production 1 96 3 890 3 987Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 172 134 3 896 4 201Food use 166 123 2 960 3 248Non-food use - 10 783 793Exports 1 1 50 52Expected stock build-up 5 - 103 108










Maize*RiceSorghumWheat

Lean period




48

MAURITIUSCEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)


Totalcereals

2020 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 11 5 - 72019 production - - - -Expected stock drawdown 11 5 - 7

2020 Utilization (000 tonnes) 165 59 121 336Food use 119 58 3 180Non-food use 6 1 108 115Exports 40 - 1 41Expected stock build-up - - 9 -




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production - - - -Previous five years' average production - 1 - 12019 production compared to average (%) - - - -





MOZAMBIQUECEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 45 317 2 559 2 9212020 production 15 307 2 490 2 812Expected stock drawdown 30 10 69 109

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 695 932 2 760 4 387Food use 685 870 2 030 3 584Non-food use 10 62 710 782Exports - - 20 20Expected stock build-up - - - -





Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 600 620 210 1 430Previous five years' average imports 642 595 148 1 3852020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 101 103 136 106





Maize*SorghumWheat

Lean period




50

NAMIBIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (May/April)


Totalcereals


2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 117 23 294 434Food use 108 23 174 305Non-food use 3 - 97 100Exports 1 - 2 3Expected stock build-up 5 - 20 25










Maize*Millet* & SorghumWheat*




SOUTH AFRICACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 1 962 27 16 679 18 6432020 production 1 962 2 16 679 18 643Expected stock drawdown - 25 - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 3 762 887 16 860 21 484Food use 3 320 869 5 356 9 545Non-food use 72 18 7 759 7 849Exports 80 - 2 510 2 590Expected stock build-up 290 - 1 235 1 500





Import Requirements (000 tonnes)Previous year's imports 1 800 856 691 3 347Previous five years' average imports 1 669 889 1 142 3 7002020/21 Import requirements compared to average (%) 108 97 16 77





BarleyMaize* (East)Maize* (West) & SorghumMilletSorghumSoybeanWheat*

Lean period




52

ZAMBIACEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (May/April)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 192 23 3 457 3 6732020 production 192 23 3 457 3 673Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 233 51 3 462 3 747Food use 227 47 2 311 2 585Non-food use 5 3 502 510Exports 1 1 150 152Expected stock build-up - - 500 500










Maize*MilletSorghumWheat

Lean period




ZIMBABWECEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2020/21 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)


Totalcereals

2020/21 Domestic Availability (000 tonnes) 100 - 1 101 1 2012020 production 100 - 1 101 1 201Expected stock drawdown - - - -

2020/21 Utilization (000 tonnes) 221 70 1 853 2 144Food use 211 69 1 656 1 937Non-food use 5 1 186 192Exports - - 1 1Expected stock build-up 5 - 10 15




Production (000 tonnes)Previous year's production 80 - 894 974Previous five years' average production 92 - 1 345 1 4362020 production compared to average (%) 109 - 82 84






Maize*SorghumWheat

Lean period



The Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture (GIEWS) continuously monitors crop prospects and food security situation at global, regional, national and sub-national levels and warns of impending food difficulties and emergencies. Established in the wake of the world food crisis of the early 1970’s, GIEWS maintains a unique database on all aspects of food supply and demand for every country of the world. The System regularly provides policy makers and the international community with up-to-date information so that timely interventions can be planned and suffering avoided.

The FAO/GIEWS Country Cereal Balance System (CCBS) is a database of annual supply and utilization balances for main cereals, covering all countries of the world. Since 1980, the FAO/GIEWS Team maintains and updates it continually.

This statistical report contains a subset of CCBS data and presents updated cereal supply and demand balances for all sub-Saharan African countries. It complements the information of the FAO/GIEWS Crop Prospects and Food Situation report and is published four time a year with the same schedule.

This report is based on information available as of August 2020.

The Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture (GIEWS) has set up a mailing list to disseminate its reports. To subscribe, submit the Registration Form on the following link:

http://newsletters.fao.org/k/Fao/trade_and_markets_english_giews_world

Enquiries may be directed to:Global Information and Early Warning System on Food and Agriculture (GIEWS)Markets and Trade - Economic and Social DevelopmentFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)Viale delle Terme di Caracalla00153 Rome, ItalyE-mail: [email protected]

CB1099EN/1/09.20

ISBN 978-92-5-133331-0

9 7 8 9 2 5 1 3 3 3 3 1 0

http://www.fao.org/giews/reports/crop-prospects/en/

http://newsletters.fao.org/k/Fao/trade_and_markets_english_giews_world


cereal supply and demand balances for sub-saharan african ...african countries situation as of...

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