central bank of yemen to article (57) of central bank of yemen law, i am pleased to submit ... mr....
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CENTRAL BANK OF YEMEN
ANNUAL REPORT
2011
RESEARCH AND STATISTICS GENERAL DEPARTMENT
http://www.centralbank.gov.ye
E-mail:[email protected]
a
The Speaker – House of Representatives
The Prime Minister
Dear Sirs,
Pursuant to Article (57) of Central Bank of Yemen Law, I am pleased to submit
the Balance Sheet for the year ending on 31st December 2011, Profit and Loss
Account, as certified by the external auditors, and Report of the Board of
Directors on the monetary, credit and economic situation in the country.
Thank you very much.
Mr. Mohamed Awad Bin Humam
Governor
Chairman of Board of Directors
b
Board of Directors
For the year ending on 31st December 2011
Mr. Ahmed A. Rehman Al-Samawi:
Governor and Chairman of the Board of Directors.
Mr. Mohamed Awad Bin Humam:
Deputy Governor and Vice Chairman of the Board of Directors.
Mr. Ahmed Ubaid Al-Fadhli - Vice Minister of Finance Member
Mr. Ali Ali Al-Nouseif Member
Mr. Abdul Gabbar Hayel Saeed Member
Mr. Munassar Saleh Mohammed Al-Quaiti Member
Mr. Abdul Rahman Mohammed Al-Kuhalli Member
c
INDEX
PAGE CONTENTS SUBJECT
1 World and Domestic Economic Developments Chapter One
13 Production Chapter Two
25 Government Finance Chapter Three
35 Money and Credit Chapter Four
11 External Sector Chapter Five
63 Balance Sheet
83 Statistical Appendices
85 Money Supply Appendix 1
86 Changes in Money Supply Appendix 2
87 Balance Sheet of the Central Bank of Yemen Appendix 3
88 Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks Appendix 4
90 Deposits of Commercial Banks Appendix 5
91 Advances of commercial & Islamic banks Appendix 6
93 Interest Rates Appendix 7
94 Currency Issued by Denominations Appendix 8
95 Structure of Banking System Appendix 9
97 Balance of Payments Appendix 10
100 Central Government Finance Appendix 11
102 Gross Domestic Product & Expenditure Appendix 12
103 GDP At Producers Prices By Economic Activity At Current Prices
105 GDP At Producers Prices By Economic Activity At Constant Prices
107 GDP Deflator by Economic Activity
109 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AND PER CAPITA GNP
110 Agricultural Production Appendix 13
116 Consumer Price Indices Appendix 14
117 (a) Market Exchange Rate Appendix 15
118 (b) Exchange Rate of Major Foreign Currencies
120 Trade Balance Appendix 16
121 (a) Exports by sections of H.S. Appendix 17
128 (b) Exports by Country
134 (a) Imports by sections of H.S. Appendix 18
141 (b) Imports by Country
2
I. WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
Introduction
In 2011 the performance of the world economy weakened as a result of unexpected shocks to which it was exposed thereby registering a modest growth of 3.9%, with variations in the degree of economic slowdown among various countries. In comparison the world economy achieved a strong growth of 5.3% in 2010. The slowdown of global economic growth in 2011 was expected owing to the continued delay of advanced economies in carrying out the structural reform policies necessary to overcome the effects of the international financial crisis.
As mentioned the world economy faced unexpected strong shocks during 2011, which temporarily affected its performance, the most significant of which were the havoc caused by the Tsunami floods and earthquakes in East Japan and the Arab Spring events leading to the overthrow of the political systems in some Middle Eastern countries, resulting in the slackening of industrial production, an increase in oil prices and a fall in its supply.
The negative effects of the shocks referred to above coincided with the
structural problems existing in the advanced economies and the difficulty in agreeing to implement fiscal tightening measures hampering the transfer of demand from the public to the private sector. Furthermore, the prevalence of high unemployment and the worsening of the European debt crisis led to the loss of confidence in international financial markets and the direct sale of high risk assets by investors.
The performance of emerging and developing countries varied at the same time from strong to recovering from the effects of the international financial crisis and as a result of an increase in the prices of primary commodities in some of these economies, or their fall in others, owing to weak external demand for their exports, in addition to political disturbances which afflicted some parts of this group of countries. Generally speaking, however the economic performance was in line with expectations. Following is an outline of the most important international and regional economic developments during the year 2011.
Advanced Economies
During 2011 the pace of economic activity in these countries as a group was weaker than expected, as growth rates are still slow and unemployment
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still high, particularly with the intensification of financial pressures in some Euro area countries and the hesitation shown by the United States authorities in carrying out the required policies. The economies of these countries as a group expanded by 1.6% in 2011, which is half the growth rate achieved in 2010. It is expected to weaken further to a level of 1.4% in 2012, which is too low and insufficient to reduce the prevailing high unemployment significantly.
Inflation is expected to recede from 2.7% in 2011 to 1.9% in 2012 in reflection of the expected fall in international food prices and stagnant wage and labour markets, in view of subdued economic activity resulting from lingering negative effects of the global financial crisis. The challenges and risks still facing these economies necessitate the carrying out of additional policies and measures to reform their financial sectors and public finances, particularly in the United States and Euro Area.
The United States
The growth of the United States’
economy slowed down sharply from a rate of 3% in 2010 to 1.7% in 2011. The slackening of economic activity in the United States was intensified as a result of the earthquakes in
Japan and increasing pressures on domestic demand, owing to the sharp hike in international oil prices, in addition to the deepening of the European debt crisis.
On the other hand, the slowdown in the United States economy was also caused by domestic factors such as the weakening of consumer and investor confidence, as a result of the downgrading of the credit classification of United states sovereign debt and the fall in real estate prices, all of which led to substantial losses in equity market prices.
It is expected that the slowdown in the growth of the US economy, the reduction in job opportunities and wage freeze will limit the fall in the unemployment rate, which averaged a level of 9.0% in 2011. Inflation registered a peak of 3.1% in 2011 and is expected to fall to 2.1% in 2012 as a result of the economy running below full capacity, as well as declining primary commodity prices.
The Euro Area
Growth in the Euro Area economy receded from1.9% in 2010 to 1.5% in 2011, as a result of high fiscal deficits and rising debt levels, which led to market fluctuations and financial
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instability, thereby weakening investor confidence and widening interest rate differentials to unprecedented levels. As a consequence there is a pressing need for the Euro Area to adopt quick and comprehensive measures to reform the financial systems and rectify the imbalances in public finances.
Inflation in the Euro Area is estimated at 2.7% in 2011 and is expected to fall to 2.0% in 2012, as a result of declining primary commodity prices.
Japan
In 2010 the Japanese economy expanded by 4.4% which is a high rate of growth surpassing the era of economic recession, which plagued Japan in previous years, most probably as a result of the adoption of a series of stimulating policies and measures. The Japanese economy, however, shrank by 0.7% in 2011, owing to the disastrous effects of the Tsunami floods and earthquakes which hit east Japan that year leading to a substantial reduction in industrial production. It is worth mentioning that the number of cars manufactured worldwide is estimated to have fallen by 30% during the two months following the Japanese disasters.
Preliminary data indicate the beginning of the recovery of the Japanese economy in the second half of 2011, primarily owing to the implementation of the reconstruction programs. Analysts observe that disturbances in the government bond market are unlikely in the near term, particularly in view of the lack of need for external financing sources, taking into consideration the high surplus in the country’s current account.
However the government should adopt more ambitious policies to tackle the extremely high level of public debt.
Developing and Emerging Countries
Growth in the economies of the developing and emerging countries as a group receded from 7.5% in 2010 to 6.2% in 2011, to a large extent as a result of the slowdown in global demand for primary commodities and the adoption of restrictive policies in some parts of this group of countries.
Generally speaking, these economies have managed to withstand the financial and banking pressures in the advanced countries. Furthermore, these countries are attracting an increasing flow of foreign investments, given the
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slowdown in growth in developed countries. Inflation, on the other hand, accelerated in the developing and emerging countries as a group from 6.1% in 2010 to 7.2% in 2011, owing to the increase in the prices of food and energy, which form a large part of the consumption basket in these countries.
Asian Emerging Markets
Available data indicate that the Asian emerging countries as a group continue to enjoy strong self-supporting growth despite its slowdown from 9.7% in 2010 to 7.8% in 2011, as a result of a decrease in global demand. Growth in the Chinese economy, which is considered the most important one in this group of economies, slowed down from 10.4% in 2010 to 9.2% in 2011 and is expected to fall further to 8% in 2012. In India, on the other hand, growth receded from 10.8% in 2010 to 7.1% in 2011 and it is expected to decline further to 6.1% in 2012.Economic growth in the other Asian group of countries, which includes Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam, decreased sharply from 10.0% in 2010 to 4.5% in 2011.
The Middle East and North Africa
The economic conditions of this region vary from one country to another. It includes oil rich economies in the Gulf as well as countries with scarce resources relative to their populations. The economic conditions in this region have been affected during most of the last quarter century to a large extent by international oil prices. Economic growth in this region slowed down from 5.0% in 2010 to 3.5% in 2011 but it is expected to strengthen to 5.5% in 2012 in view of the continuing increase in international oil prices, particularly in relation to the Gulf Cooperation Council states, which own 41% of total oil reserves in the world. Increasing international oil prices have strengthened growth in the oil exporting countries which are expected to realize an annual growth rate of 5.0% during the period 2011-2012.
At the same time, increasing international oil prices, which coincided with the political disturbances in a number of countries in the region, have hurt the oil importers. These countries have scarce resources relative to their large populations and achieved as a group a meagre growth rate of 1.5% in 2011, which is its worst performance in the last quarter century.
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II. DOMESTIC ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
The Economic Situation in 2011
Based on data received from the
Central Statistical Organization, the
national economy contracted by
15.3% in 2011, mainly as a result of
the political crisis which the country
experienced during the year. By
comparison, the economy achieved
in 2010 a high rate of positive growth
around 6.8%. On the other hand,
non-oil GDP shrank by 14.8% in
2011, after having achieved a
positive growth of 7.2%.
The domestic and external
financing of the budget showed that
the fiscal deficit widened from 5.0%
of GDP in 2010 to 5.5% in 2011,
mainly as a result of a fall in
government non-oil revenues and a
fall in oil production. Meanwhile in
2011, the government’s share of oil
export revenues increased to a large
extent because of soaring
international oil prices, which
averaged US dollars 111.1 during
the year.
The government’s share in oil and gas export revenues increased from YR 569.6 billion in 2010 to YR 787.9 billion in 2011, while total oil and gas
revenues increased from YR 1,090.1 billion in 2010 to YR 1,226.8 billion in 2011. On the other hand, total public debt rose from 38.6 % of GDP in 2010 to 45.6% in 2011.
In the area of money and credit,
despite the negative repercussions
of the events in 2011, the Central
Bank of Yemen was keen to pursue
strict policies, enabling it to maintain
the stability of the exchange rate and
soundness of the banking sector.
The Bank spared no effort to strike a
balance between containing
inflationary pressures while at the
same time stimulating economic
activities. The interest rate on local
currency saving deposits was kept
unchanged at 20% during the year.
Compulsory reserve requirement on
foreign currency deposits was
lowered from 20% in 2010 to 10 %
in 2011and bearing no interest.
Compulsory reserve requirement on
local currency deposits was also
unchanged at 7% and without
interest.
In the same context, the CBY
succeeded in reducing the growth of
broad money supply to only 0.1 % in
2011. Basically domestic liquidity
growth in 2011 was caused by an
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increase in net domestic assets and
a decrease in net foreign assets of
the banking system.
In 2011, the Central Bank of Yemen
continued its intervention in the
foreign exchange market, in order to
replenish the market with its needs of
foreign currencies, absorb excess
liquidity, relieve inflationary
pressures in the economy and
maintain exchange rate stability. In
order to reduce foreign exchange
speculation, CBY limited its sales to
banks and for covering basic
commodity imports. In 2011 these
sales amounted to US$ 1,563 million
consisting of US$ 342.6 million
direct sales to banks, US$ 1,188.7
million basic commodity import cover
and US$ 31.9 million direct sales to
public enterprises. The dollar price
stabilized against the national
currency at the rate of 213.8 Rials at
the end of both 2010 and 2011.
Turning to the external sector, the
overall balance of payments deficit
widened from US dollars 905.3
million in 2010 to US dollars 1,398.2
million in 2011, while the current
account deficit also increased from
US dollars1,123.2 million in 2010 to
1,364.3 million in 2011, basically as
a result of an increase in the
services account deficit, which rose
from US dollars 705.8 million in 2010
to 1,066.2 million in 2011. The
capital account, on the other hand,
registered a deficit of dollars 722.2
million in 2011 against a deficit of
dollars 253.1 million the previous
year. Generally speaking, oil and gas
exports have profound effects on the
external accounts positions.
International oil prices kept rising in
2011 averaging dollars 111.3 a
barrel compared with dollars 79.8 in
2010.
By contrast, net foreign reserves of
Central Bank decreased from US
dollars 5,689 million at the end of
2010 to US dollars 4,297 million at
the end of 2011.
Production
Commodity producing sectors
contracted by 14.0 % in 2011
compared with a positive growth of
6.7 % in the previous year, as a
result of the shrinking of the
manufacturing sector by 26.5 % in
2011 compared with a positive
growth of 5.5% in 2010. Likewise,
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8
the extractive industries sector
registered a contraction of 18.6% in
2011 compared with a positive
growth of 4% in the previous year.
On the other hand, the electricity,
water and gas sector contracted by
24.9% in 2011 after having achieved
a positive growth of 6.7% in 2010.
The expansion of the Agriculture,
forestry and fisheries sector
weakened from 4.1% in 2010 to
2.8% in 2011. The construction
sector shrank by 24.6% in 2011, after
having achieve a positive growth of
17.2%
Economic activities in the finance,
insurance, housing and business
services sectors receded by 20.7% in
2011 compared with a positive
growth of 7.8% in 2010. In the
transport, warehousing and
communication sector, economic
activity receded by 21.6% in 2011
compared with a positive growth of
11.6% in the previous year. On the
other hand, the contraction in
wholesale and retail trade,
restaurants and hotels sectors
amounted to 17.1% in 2011 against
a positive growth of 3.9% in 2010.
Government services growth was
3.8% in 2011 which is the same rate
achieved in 2010.
Total final consumption fell back by
4.6% in 2011 after having expanded
by 13.3% in the previous year, as a
result of a weakening in the growth
rate of private final consumption from
14.4% in 2010 to 6.7% in 2011. On
the other hand, the growth of public
final consumption also slackened
from 7.3% in 2010 to 6.6% in 2011.
Public Finance
Public revenues decreased from
26.4% of GDP in 2010 to 26.0% in
2011, basically as a result of lower
non-oil revenues.Public expenditures
also declined from YR 2,025.2 billion
in 2010 to YR 2,002.6 billion in 2011,
but increased as a percentage of
GDP from 30.1 % in 2010 to 30.8%
in 2011 as a result of the contraction
of GDP in 2011 in both real and
nominal terms. Current expenditures
increased from 26.0% of GDP in
2010 to 28.9% in 2011, while capital
expenditure declined sharply from
4.1% of GDP in 2010 to 1.9% in
2011. The overall fiscal deficit, in
accordance with the financing
classification, increased from 5.0% of
GDP in 2010 to 5.5% in 2011.
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01
External and Domestic Public Debt
Total public debt increased from
38.6% of GDP at the end of 2010 to
45.6% in 2011. Gross domestic
public debt increased in 2011 by
21.5% to what is equivalent to 29.2%
of GDP, while net domestic public
debt amounted to 25.6% of GDP,
after taking into account government
deposits at the Central Bank.
Treasury bills and government bonds
are the main instruments for
borrowing in the primary market.
Treasury bills alone formed 33.7% of
gross domestic public debt. On the
other hand, external public debt
decreased by 1.1% in 2011 and the
total outstanding amount was only
20.0% of GDP. The grant element
amounts to 5.8% of the outstanding
external debt. 53.8% of the total
outstanding external debt is owed to
international finance institutions and
given to Yemen on extremely
concessionary conditions, particularly
the credits extended by IDA, with
long repayment periods and grace
periods of up to ten years.
Money and Credit
By reviewing the components of
domestic liquidity in 2011, we noticed
that M1 increased by YR 207 billion
and currency outside banks by YR
230.6 billion, while demand deposits
decreased by YR 23.7 billion. Quasi
money fell by YR 205 billion as a
result of a decrease of YR 29.6
billion in saving, time, earmarked and
pension fund Rial deposits and YR
175.7 billion in foreign currency
deposits. Currency in circulation
increased from 40% of Rial broad
money in 2010 to 47% in 2011, while
Rial quasi money receded from 47%
of Rial broad money to 40% during
the same period. Foreign currency
deposits contracted from 34% of
broad money in 2010 to 27% at the
end of 2011.
On the other hand, the total of the
balance sheet Central Bank of
Yemen increased slightly by 1.2%
during 2011. In 2011, the balance
sheet total of the conventional and
Islamic banks declined by 8.7%. In
the same year, the net foreign assets
of the banks decreased by 3.4%,
while bank credit to the private sector
declined by16.3%. In 2011, banks
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00
invested 70.2% of their assets in
foreign assets, treasury bills and
Central Bank balances. At the same
time, credit to the private sector
remained at a low rate of 20.8% of
the total assets of banks in 2011.
In 2011, there was a significant
expansion in financial and banking
services. Several new bank branches
and offices were set up in that year
all over the country. In 2011 the
number of ATMs installed in the
country increased by 12.6% to 502
machines, while the number of POS
terminals reached 1901 by the end of
the year. Foreign exchange
companies and bureaux declined in
number to 517 Cheques cleared
decreased to 493,900 representing a
total amount of YR 1,873 billion in
2011 compared with YR 2,175 billion
in 2010.
Balance of Payments
Preliminary data show that the
deficit in the overall balance of
payments widened from US dollars
905.3 million in 2010 to US dollars
1,398.2 million in 2011. Likewise, the
current account deficit increased
from US dollars 1,123.2 million or
3.7% of GDP in 2010 to US dollars
1,364.3 million or 4.5% of GDP in
2011, partially as a result of the
expansion of the deficits in the
income and services accounts. The
trade balance however registered a
small surplus equivalent to 0.4% of
GDP in 2011, as a result of a rise in
oil export revenues. Net current
transfers increased slightly from
6.9% of GDP in 2010 to 7% in 2011.
Furthermore, the capital account
balance amounted to a deficit of US
dollars 722.2 million dollars in 2011
after having registered a deficit of US
dollars 253.1 million in 2010.
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01
2011 2010 2009 Description
Output and Prices
Gross Domestic Product at current prices
6,499.1 6,725.7 5,697.6 Billion rails
30,397.9 30,628.4 28,087.7 Million dollars
24,312 23,584 22,864 population (thousand people)
27,938 29,017 27,007 Gross National product Million
US $
1,149 1,230 1,181 Average per capital income
Change in percent
3.37- 18.04 6.17- Gross Domestic Product at current prices
-15.30 6.79 4.32 Real Gross Domestic Product
14.80- 7.19 5.86 Real non-oil Gross Domestic Product
14.09 10.34 9.87- Gross Domestic Product deflator
19.54 11.17 5.41 CPI (average change)
23.17 12.49 10.98 CPI (end of period change)
111.1 79.8 63.5 Crude oil average export price $/barrel
Public Finance as % of GDP
26.3 26.9 22.9 Total Revenues and grants
18.9 16.2 12.6 Oil and gas revenues
7.1 10.2 9.9 Non oil revenues
0.3 0.5 0.5 Grants
30.8 30.1 30.7 Total Expenditure
28.9 .026 25.9 Current expenditure
1.9 4.1 4.7 Development expenditure
4.8- 4.1- 9.1- Overall balance (cash basis)
5.5 5.0 8.3 Financing
2011 2010 2009 Description
45.6 38.6 38.3 Outstanding Total Public Debt
25.6 19.1 16.8 Domestic Debt, net
.020 19.5 21.5 Foreign debt
3.9 2.7 3.6 External Debt Service as% of exports of Goods & Services
Money and credit (Change in %)
0.2 9.2 10.6 Broad Money Supply (M2)
16.3- 8.5 4.6- Private sector Credit
20 20 10 Benchmark deposit rate (%
per annum)
2.9 3.0 2.7 Velocity of Circulation
Foreign Sector (million US$)
8662.2 7649.8 .05855 Exports (FOB),of which :
7850 6280.4 4432.4 Crude Oil & Gas
8542.5- 8472.9- 7867.8- Imports (FOB )
1483.9- 300.0 - 552.1- Services, income and Transfers (net)
33.8- 253.1 - -312.3 Capital Account including net errors& omissions
1398.2- 905.3- 1289.9- Overall Balance
.54296 5689 6703.5 Central Bank net Foreign Reserves
5.3 7.1 9.0 In months of imports
4.5- 3.7 - 9.1- Current Account as % of GDP
213.8 213.8 207.3 Exchange rate YR/US $ ( end of period )
* Preliminary
Main Economic Indicators
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51
The events Yemen experienced in
2011 had serious effects on the
performance of the national economy,
causing substantial damages in all
economic sectors. As a consequence,
gross domestic product at current as
well as constant prices shrank last
year as a result of a slump in
economic activities.
I. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT :
Gross domestic product at constant prices shrank by 15.3% in 2011 after having expanded by 6.8% in 2010. The fall in GDP in 2011 was essentially as a result of a reduction of economic activity in both sectors of manufacturing of commodities and production of services by 14.0% and 16.1% respectively. On the other hand, non-oil GDP at constant prices receded by -14.8% in 2011 after expanding by 7.2% in 2010.
Economic Growth Rates at Current and Constant Prices
(Percentages (
Description *2010 **2011
At Current Prices
gross national product 18.0 -3.4
Non-oil Gross Domestic Product 12.4 -8.4
National Disposable Income 18.7 -5.2
At Constant Prices(100=2000)
National Disposable Income 6.8 -15.3
Non-oil Gross Domestic Product 7.2 -14.8
Source: Central Statistical Organization
* Preliminary
** Preliminary Estimated Figures
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II. GDP SECTORS DEVELOPMENTS:
Preliminary estimates of gross domestic product at constant prices for 2011 show that most economic sectors registered negative growth rates. Agriculture, forestry and fisheries grew by 2.8% in 2011, compared with 4.1% in the previous year. With the exception of government services which maintained a growth rate of 3.8% in both 2010 and 2011, the other sectors shrank by different rates, the highest of which was 26.6% in manufacturing, after having achieved a growth rate of 5.5% the previous year. The wholesale and retail trade, restaurants and hotels sector shrank by the lowest rate (17.1%) in 2011 was after having achieved a growth rate of 3.9% the previous year. On the other hand, goods producing sectors as a group shrank by 14.0% in 2011, after having expanded by 6.7% in 2010.
The contribution to GDP of goods producing sectors as a group at constant market prices was 40.5% in 2011 compared with 39.9% in 2010. On the other hand the group of services producing sectors shrank by a rate of 16.1% in 2011 compared
Growth Rates of Economic Sectors at Constant Market Prices
(2000 = 100) (Percentages (
**2011 *2010 Description
2.9 4.1 Agriculture and Fishing
-18.6 4.0 Mining Industries
-26.5 5.5 Manufacturing Industries
-24.9 6.7 Electricity and Water
-24.6 17.2 Construction
-14.0 6.7 Total Commodity Producing Sectors
-17.1 3.9 Trade, Restaurants and Hotels
-21.6 11.566 Transport and Communication
-20.7 7.8 Finance, Real Estate & Business Services
-18.2 3.6 Social and Personal Services
3.8 3.8 Producers of Government Services
-19.6 3.0 Household Sector
-19.6 0.5 Non-Profit Institutions
- 16.1 6.9 Total Services Sectors
-15.3 6.8 GDP at Market Prices
Source: Central Statistical Organization
* Actual Preliminary Figures
** Estimated Preliminary Figures
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51
with a growth rate of 6.9% in 2010, while the contribution to GDP of this group of sectors retreated from 59.1% in 2010 to 58.6% in 2011.
DEVELOPMENTS OF GOODS
PRODUCING SECTORS IN 2011
Agriculture, forestry and
fisheries sector
At constant prices, the growth of this sector weakened from 4.1% in 2010 to 2.8% in 2011, but its contribution to GDP at constant prices increased from 12.9% in 2010 to 15.7% in 2011.
Extractive industries sector
At constant market prices, this sector shrank by 18.6% in 2011 compared with a growth of 4.0% in 2010, resulting in a decrease of its contribution to GDP from 13.2% in 2010 to 12.7% in 2011.
Manufacturing Industries Sector
At constant market prices, this sector shrank by 26.6% in 2011 compared with a growth of 5.5% in 2010, resulting in a decrease of its contribution to GDP from 5.1% in 2010 to 4.4% in 2011.
Relative importance of Economic sectors to GDP at constant market prices
(2000 = 100) (Percentages (
**2011 *2010 Description
15.7 12.9 Agriculture and Fishing
12.7 13.2 Mining Industries
4.4 5.1 Manufacturing Industries
0.6 0.7 Electricity and Water
7.1 8.0 Construction
40.5 39.9 Total Commodity Producing Sectors
20.0 20.5 Trade, Restaurants and Hotels
18.1 19.6 Transport and Communication
8.3 8.9 Finance, Real Estate & Business Services
10.7 8.7 Producers of Government Services
14 1.4 Other
58.6 59.1 Total Services Sectors
100 100 GDP at Market Prices
Source: Central Statistical Organization
* Actual Preliminary Figures
** Estimated Preliminary Figures
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51
Electricity, water and gas Sector
At constant market prices, this sector shrank by 24.9% in 2011 compared with a growth of 6.7% in 2010, resulting in a decrease of its contribution to GDP from 0.71% in 2010 to 0.63% in 2011.
Construction Sector
At constant market prices, this sector shrank by 24.6% in 2011 compared with a growth of 17.2% in 2010, resulting in a decrease of its contribution to GDP from 8.0% in 2010 to 7.1% in 2011.
DEVELOPMENTS OF SERVICES
PRODUCING SECTORS IN 2011
Wholesale and retail trade,
restaurants and hotels Sector
At constant market prices, wholesale and retail trade and maintenance shrank by 16.1% in 2011 compared with a growth of 3.2% in 2010. At constant market prices, restaurants and hotels shrank by 25.3% in 2011 compared with a growth of 4.2% in 2010. The contribution to GDP of wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, hotels and maintenance fell from 20.5% in 2010 to 20.0% in 2011.
Transport, warehousing and
communications Sector
Transport and warehousing shrank at constant prices by 19.3% in 2011, compared with a growth of 5.5% in 2010, while communications shrank by a rate of 25.6% in 2011, compared with a growth of 24.2% in 2010. The contribution to GDP at constant prices of this sector retreated from 19.6% in 2010 to 18.1% in 2011.
Finance, insurance, real estate
and business services Sector
Finance and insurance shrank at constant prices by 22.6% in 2011, compared with a growth of 13.7% in 2010. Likewise real estates and business services shrank by a rate of 19.6% in 2011, compared with a growth of 4.5% in 2010. The contribution to GDP at constant prices of this sector retreated from 8.9% in 2010 to 8.3% in 2011.
Government Services Sector
Growth of this sector at constant prices in 2011 was 3.8% which was the same rate achieved in 2010. Its contribution to GDP however strengthened from 8.7% in 2010 to 10.7% in 2011.
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III. EXPENDITURE ON GROSS
DOMESTIC PRODUCT
Preliminary estimates indicate that expenditure on total consumption at current market prices shrank by 4.6% in 2011, compared with a growth rate of 13.3% in 2010, as a result of a fall in private final consumption of 6.7% in 2011 compared with an expansion of 14.4% in 2010. Consequently its contribution to total expenditure on GDP retreated from 72.9% in 2010 to 70.4% in 2011.
On the other hand, the growth rate of public final consumption at current market prices expanded by 6.7% in 2011, compared with a growth rate of 7.3% in 2010, leading to a rise in its contribution to GDP to 14.6%. The reduction of private consumption by an amount exceeding the increase in public consumption led to a fall in the contribution of final consumption to GDP from 86.0% in 2010 to 84.9% in 2011.
Fixed capital formation decreased by 34.1% in 2011 compared with an increase of 17.7% in 2010, leading to a marked retreat in its contribution to GDP from 20.0% in 2010 to 13.6% in 2011.
Main Indicators of GDP Expenditure Components at Current Market Prices
(Percentages (
2011** 2010*
Rel
ativ
e im
port-
acn
e to
GD
P
Gro
wth
Rat
e
Rel
ativ
e im
port
-acn
e to
GD
P
Gro
wth
Rat
e
Description
84.9 -4.6 86.0 13.3 Final Gross Consumption
14.5 6.6 13.2 7.2 Final Public Consumption
70.4 -6.7 72.8 14.4 Final Private Consumption
16.8 -18.1 19.8 13.8 Gross Investment
13.6 -34.1 20.0 17.7 Gross Fixed Capital
Formation
3.2 1843.5- 0.2- -140.3 Change in Stock
32.6 4.3 30.2 43.2 Exports of goods and
services
34.3- 8.1- 36.07- 21.20 Less imports of goods
and services
100.0 -3.4 100 18.0 GDP at Market Price
Source: Central Statistical Organization * Estimated Preliminary Figures ** Forecast
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02
As far as the external sector is concerned, exports of goods and services expanded by 4.3% in 2011, compared with a growth of 43.2% in 2010, leading to an increase in their contribution to GDP at current market prices from 30.2% in 2010 to 32.6% in 2011.On the other hand, imports of goods and services declined by 8.1% in 2011, compared with an expansion of 21.2% in 2010, thereby leading to a decline in their contribution to GDP at current market prices from 36.1% in 2010 to 34.3% in 2011.
IV. Prices
Average inflation as measured by CPI rose from 11.2% in 2010 to 19.5% in 2011, partially owing to the increase in the prices of tobacco (including cigarettes and qat), transport, housing and food by 54%, 19%, 19% and 15% respectively. On the other hand, preliminary estimates indicate that the GDP deflator increased from 10.5% in 2010 to 14.1% in 2011, while the non-oil GDP deflator rose from 4.6% in 2010 to 7.5% in 2011.
Distribution of investment projects licensed by the general investment authority
(In YR Pillion)
2011 2010
Descri
pti
on
%
Valu
e
% No
%
Valu
e
% No
10.5 19.1 56.7 55 61.5 79.8 53.0 87 Manufacturing
0.1 0.1 2.1 2 2.9 3.8 10.4 17 Agriculture
6.3 11.3 6.2 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 Fishery
81.3 147.6 22.7 22 24.3 31.5 16.5 27 Services
1.9 3.4 12.4 12 11.3 14.7 20.1 33 Tourism
100 181.6 100 97 100 129.8 100 164 Total
Source: General investment Authority .
Inflation Rates*
(Percentages ( 2011 2010 Description
Consumer Price Index (annual average)1
19.5 11.2 All-items
14.9 10.5 Core Inflation2
Consumer price Index (end of period)
23.2 12.5 All-items
19.4 10.8 Core Inflation2
14.1 10.5 GDP deflator
7.5 4.8 Non-oil GDP deflator
Source: Central Statistical Organization 1-November 2008=100 2-Excluding Qat
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05
V. Investment
The total number of projects licensed in 2011 by the General Investment Authority in its head office and branches was 97 projects distributed among various sectors with a total value of 181.6 billion Rials, while the fixed assets worth 35 billion Rials, as detailed below:
Out of the total number of projects, 57% were industrial, which was 37% less than what was licensed in 2010. Furthermore the value of industrial projects reached 19 billion Rials in 2011, which was 76% lower than what was achieved in the previous year.
The number of projects in the Services Sector licensed in 2011 was 22 for a total amount of 148 billion Rials, which was 5 projects lower than what was achieved in 2010 but much higher in amount by 368%.
Projects in the tourism industry in 2011 were 12 in number for a total value of 3.4 billion Rials, which were lower than what was achieved in the previous year by 21 projects and 77% in value.
Projects in agriculture licensed in 2011were only 2 in number worth 0.1
billion Rials, compared with 17 projects worth 3.8 billion Rials.
Projects in fishery licensed in 2011 were 6 in number worth 11.3 billion Rials.
VI. Agriculture
In 2011 the area allotted to cereal production declined by 15.4% and as a result cereal production fell by 19.4% compared to the previous year. The area on which vegetables are grown declined in 2011 by 12.7% . Production of vegetables and fruits was lower than 2010 by 15.2% and 4.4% respectively.
Area and Output of Main Agricultural Crops
Growth ( % ) 2011 2010 Agricultural
Crops Area
1 Prod.
2 Area
1 Prod.
2 Area
1 Prod.
2
-15.4 -19.4 784.8 816.5 927.3 1012.9 Cereals
-12.7 -15.2 80.8 988.5 92.6 1165.0 Vegetables
0.0 -4.4 94.0 991.1 94.0 1036.9 Fruits
-7.9 -8.6 45.7 89.8 49.6 98.2 Legumes
-2.1 -7.2 88.8 87.9 90.7 94.7 Cash Crops
1.8 2.4 162.6 180.6 159.7 176.4 Qat
-6.5 -9.4 155.2 1970.5 166 2175.8 Fodder
-10.6 -11.0 1411.9 5125.0 1579.9 5759.9 Total
Source: Ministry of Agriculture 1 Area in Hectares 2 Production in Tons
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00
The area on which legumes is grown decreased by 7.9% in 2011 resulting in a reduction of 8.6% in production. In a similar trend , cash crops were lower by 2.1% in area and 7.2% in production. However, qat increased in 2011 by 1.8% in area and 2.4% in production. Fodder production went down in 2011 by 6.5% in area, which led to a fall of 9.4% in production.
VII. Animal husbandry
In 2011 the number of goats, sheep, cows and camels increased by 1.6%, 1.0%, 3.0% and 8.2% respectively. In the same year, the production of white meat rose by 6.6%,while the quantities of eggs produced increased by 2.5%. The production of hides and skins, wool and honey expanded in 2011 by 2.8%, 3.2% and 0.6% respectively.
VIII. Fisheries
In 2011, fish production decreased in quantity but increased in value. In that year seaside fish production shrank by 4.9% registering a quantity of 127 thousand tons, while its value expanded sharply by 133% to YR 63.6 billion. On the other hand deep sea fish produced shrank by 9.9 % to 18 thousand tons, while its value expanded by 86 % to YR 8.9 bn. Other sea fish production increased in
Number of Animals
2011 2010
Agricultural Crops
Gro
wth
%
Nu
mb
er
(1000)
Gro
wth
%
Nu
mb
er
(1000)
1.6 9,358 1.3 9,206 Goats
1.0 9,106 1.5 9,016 Lamb
3.0 1,654 -2.4 1,605 Cows
8.2 436 5.0 403 Camels
Source : Ministry of Agriculture
Animal Production in Thousands Tons
2011 2010
Agricultural Crops
Gro
wth
%
Nu
mb
er
(10
00
)
Gro
wth
%
Nu
mb
er
(10
00
)
6.6 153,621 3.2 144,103 White meat
2.5 1,195 3.4 1,166 Eggs (millions)
2.8 12,939 4.0 12,586 Hides & skins
3.2 4,366 1.3 4,231 Wool
0.6 2,561 2.4 2546 Honey
Fish and Aquatic Catch (Quantity in Thousand Tons, Growth in
Percent and Value in Million rials)
Growth ( % ) 2011 2010
Agricultural Crops
Value Qty Value Qty Value Qty
133.1% 4.9%- 63576 127 27275 133 Superficies
86.0 -9.9% 8870 18 4768 20 Deep Sea
Fish
21.6% 18.8 6185 12 5087 10 Moll uses & Crustaceans
111.8% -4.0% 78631 157 37130 164 Total
Source: Ministry of Fish Wealth Qty :( thousand tons)
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02
quantity by 18.8 % to 12 thousand tons and its value expanded by 21.6 % to YR 6.2 bn.
IX. Education
In the academic year 2010/2011 the number of students enrolled in public education (elementary and secondary) expanded significantly reaching 5.3 million, 3.1 million of whom were boys and the remaining 2.2 million girls.
In view of rising demand for skilled technical and professional workers, the Government established many technical and vocational institutes and community colleges. The number of students enrolled in these institutes and colleges reached 30,879 in the academic year 2010/2011, distributed over 104 fields of specialization, out of which 26,638 are males and 4,241 females.
The number of students enrolled in public universities reached 203.5 thousands in the academic year 2009/2010, 31.5% of whom were females. On the other hand, the number of students attending private universities was 62.6 thousand, 23.2% of whom were females, reflecting public awareness of the importance of education.
Number of students at various Stages of Education
(In thousands)
2010 /2011 2009 / 2010
Stage To
tal
Fe
ma
le
Ma
le
To
tal
Fe
ma
le
Ma
le
4656 1989 2667 4403 1880 2523 Basic Education
616 233 383 575 212 363 Secondary Education
5272 2222 3050 4978 2091 2886 Total
Source: Ministry of Education
Number of Students Enrolled in Technical Education
2010 /2011 2009 / 2010
Stage To
tal
Fe
ma
le
Ma
le
To
tal
Fe
ma
le
Ma
le
5786 1365 4421 4940 1031 3909 Technical Diploma & Community
Colleges
13368 2291 11077 10981 1934 9047 Technical Diploma (2Years)
3900 492 3408 2970 412 2558 Secondary
Professional Education
7825 93 7732 6925 74 6851 Professional Diploma
30879 4241 26638 25816 3451 22365 Total
Source : Ministry of Technical and Professional Education
Number of Students enrolled in University Education
(In thousands )
(%) 2009 / 2010
Stage
To
tal
Fe
ma
le
Sta
ge
To
tal
Fe
ma
le
Ma
le
100 31.5 68.5 203.5 64.1 139.4 Public Universities
100 28.6 71.4 45.9 13.1 32.8 Science Colleges
100 32.3 67.7 157.5 50.9 106.6 Humanity Colleges
100 23.2 76.8 62.6 14.5 48.1 Private Universities
100 29.5 70.5 266.1 78.6 187.5 Total
Source : Ministry of Higher Education
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72
Domestic and external financing
data for the 2011 budget indicate that
a deficit of YR 360.2 billion or 5.5% of
GDP was realized, compared with a
deficit of YR 334.4 billion or 5.0% of
GDP in 2010.
Public Revenues:
Public revenues decreased by
4.8% from YR 1,774.9 billion in 2010
to YR 1,689.0 billion in 2011. The
decrease was concentrated in non-
oil revenues, comprising of tax and
non-tax revenues, which fell back by
YR 78.5 and YR 144.3 billion
respectively. Oil revenues on the
other hand increased by 12.5% ,
owing to higher international prices.
As a ratio to GDP, pubic revenues
receded from 26.4% in 2010 to
26.0% in 2011.
1. Oil and Gas Revenues:
Oil and gas revenues increased
from YR 1090.1 billion or 16.2% of
GDP in 2010 to YR 1226.8 billion or
18.9% of GDP in 2011. Oil and gas
revenues include crude oil and gas
export and domestic consumption's
oil and gas revenues.
(a) Crude Oil and Gas Exports:
Crude oil and gas exports
expanded from YR 569.6 billion or
8.5% of GDP in 2010 to YR 787.9
billion or 12.1% of GDP in 2011,
basically as a result of the
increase in the average export
price from 79.8 dollars to 111.1
dollars a barrel.
(b) Domestic Oil and Gas
Revenues :
Domestic oil and gas revenues
fell from YR 520.5 billion or 7.7%
of GDP in 2010 to YR 438.9 billion
or 6.8 % of GDP in 2011.
2. Non-oil Revenues:
Non-oil revenues decreased
from YR 684.8 billion in 2010 to YR
462.2 billion in 2011 registering a
ratio to GDP of 7.1% in 2011. Non-
oil revenues include tax and non-
tax revenues.
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72
(a) Tax revenues:
Tax revenues decreased from
YR 454.6 billion or 6.8% of GDP
in 2010 to YR 376.1 billion or
5.8% of GDP in 2011. They
include direct and indirect taxes.
Direct taxes fell by 10.3% from YR
219.2 billion in 2010 to YR 196.7
billion in 2011. On the other hand,
indirect taxes, which include
custom duties, receded by 23.8%
from YR 235.4 billion in 2010 to
YR 179.4 billion in 2011.
(b) Non-tax Revenues:
Non tax revenues, which
include fees and profit transfers,
decreased by 62.7% from YR
230.2 billion or 3.4% of GDP in
2010 to YR 86.1 billion or 1.3% of
GDP in 2011.
II. Public Expenditures:
Public expenditures, which include
current and capital expenditures
declined by YR 2,002.6 billion or 1.1%
from YR 2,025.2 billion in 2010 to YR
2,002.6 billion in 2011. However as a
result of GDP reduction in 2011, it
Increased as percentage of GDP from
30.1% to 30.8% in 2011.
Government Revenues
(YR billions)
Items 2010 2011*
Total Revenues and Grants 1809.1 1706.3
Total Revenues 1774.9 1689.0
Oil and Gas Revenues 1090.1 1226.8
Crude Oil Exports 569.6 787.9
Domestic Oil & Gas Revenues 520.5 438.9
Non-oil Revenues 684.8 462.2
Tax Revenues ,of which: 454.6 376.1
Direct Taxes 219.2 196.7
Indirect Taxes 235.4 179.4
Non-tax Revenues 230.2 86.1
Grants 34.2 17.3
Source: Ministry of Finance
* Preliminary
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72
1. Current Expenditures
Current expenditures, which
include wages and salaries,
materials, services, interest
obligations, transfers and subsidies,
rose by 7.2% from YR 1,750.1 billion
or 26.0% of GDP in 2010 to YR
1,875.6 billion or 28.9% of GDP in
2011.
(a) Wages and Salaries (Civilian)
Wages and salaries rose by
16.4% from YR 569 billion in 2010 to
YR 662.6 billion in 2011, as a result
of the increase in wages and the
number of newly recruited
government employees.
(b) Materials and Services
Materials and services decreased
by 12.8% from YR 222 billion in 2010
to YR 193.5 billion in 2011.
(C) Interest Obligations
Interest obligations rose by 45.8%
from YR 159.9 billion or 2.4% of
GDP in 2010 to YR 233.2 billion or
3.6% of GDP in 2011. They include
domestic and external obligations.
As a ratio of total interest obligations,
domestic obligations rose marginally
from 92.7% in 2010 to 93.5% in
2011.
Government Expenditure
(YR billions)
Items 2010 2011*
Total Government Expenditures &
Net Lending 2086.3 2021.5
Total Government Expenditures 2025.2 2002.6
Current Expenditures 1750.1 1875.6
Wages and Salaries(Civilian) 569.0 662.6
Material and Services 222.0 193.5
Interest Obligations 159.9 233.2
Domestic (Net) 148.2 218.1
Foreign 11.8 15.1
Transfers& Subsidies 734.5 712.4
Subsides 564.0 535.1
Current Transfers 170.5 177.3
Other Current Expenditures 32.7 35.7
Capital DevelopmentExpenditures 275.1 127.0
Net Lending 61.0 18.9
Source: Ministry of Finance
*Preliminary
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03
(d) Transfers and Subsidies
Transfers and subsidies
decreased by 3% from YR 734.5
billion or 10.9% of GDP in 2010 to
YR 712.4 billion or 11% of GDP in
2011. They include current transfers
and subsidies. Subsidies fell by
5.1% from YR 564 billion or 8.4% of
GDP in 2010 to YR 535.1 billion or
8.2% of GDP in 2011, mainly owing
to the reduction of the gasoline
subsidy during the year. However,
the subsidy bill still not much
affected because of the increase of
world oil prices and the importation
of a large part of oil consumption by
products from abroad, as a result of
the damage caused to the oil
pipeline. Current transfers rose by
4% from YR 170.5 billion in 2010 to
YR 177.3 billion in 2011.
(e) Other Current Expenditures
Other current expenditures
increased by 9.2% from YR 32.7
billion in 2010 to YR 35.7 billion in
2011, but remained the same as a
ratio of total current expenditures as
it was in 2010 at 1.9%.
Overall Balance of Government Finance
(YR billions)
Items 2010 2011*
Total Public Revenues 1774.9 1689.0
Grants 34.2 17.3
Total Public Expenditures &net
Lending 2086.3 2021.5
Overall Balance
(on commitment basis) -277.2 -315.2
Pending Obligations 0.0 0.0
Overall Balance (on cash basis) 277.2 315.2
Financing 334.4 360.2
External Financing (Net) 23.0 -18.0
Domestic Financing (Net): 311.4 378.2
Banking System 247.5 311.9
Central Bank of Yemen 186.0 283.1
Commercial Banks 61.5 28.9
NonBanking Financing 63.9 66.2
Discrepency -57.2 -45.0
Source: Ministry of Finance
* Preliminary
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03
2. Development Capital Expenditures
Development capital spending shrank by 53.8% from YR 275.1 billion or 4.1% of GDP in 2010 to YR 127 billion or 2% of GDP in 2011.
Overall Balance
Domestic and external financing of the budget data show that the fiscal deficit increased from YR 334.4 billion or 5.0% of GDP in 2010 to YR 360.2 billion or 5.5 % of GDP in 2011. III. Domestic Public Debt:
The political crisis, which the country experienced in 2011, spilled over to the financial sector leading to a fall in public revenues and an increase in the budget deficit. This in turn caused an increase in the gross domestic public debt by 21.5% from YR 1562.2 billion or 23.2% of GDP in 2010 to YR 1,898.6 billion or 29.2% of GDP in 2011, thus assisting in absorbing pension fund surpluses.
Treasury bill auctions (in the primary market) constituted a main domestic debt instrument, contributing 33.7% of gross domestic public debt at the end of 2011 compared with 37.8% in the previous year. The purchase value of outstanding treasury bills at the initial auctions in the primary market was YR 639.8 billion at the end of 2011 against YR 590.4 billion in the previous year.
Repurchase operations (REPOs) of treasury bills did not register any change at the end of 2011 and remained at their level in 2010 at YR 65 billion. After taking into consideration government deposits at the Central Bank, net domestic public debt increased from YR 1,284.1 billion or 19.1% of GDP at the end of 2010 to YR 1,662.2 billion or 25.6% of GDP in 2011.
Distribution of Treasury Bills by
Subscribers:
The banking sector portfolio of treasury bills on the basis of purchase value increased from YR 493.7 billion in 2010 to YR 528.9 billion in 2011, while the portfolio of the non-bank sector (pension funds, public enterprises and the private sector) increased by 14.7% from YR 96.7 billion in at the end of 2010 to YR 110.9 billion at the end of 2011.
Distribution of Treasury Bills by
Terms:
Out of the total purchase value of treasury bills, the share of three month treasury bills rose from 65.8% at the end of 2010 to 70.3% at the end of 2011. Correspondingly, the share of six month treasury bills fell from 15.2% to 14.6% and the one year bills from 19% to 15.1% during the same period.
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07
IV. External Public Debt
The outstanding external public debt decreased by 1.1% from US dollar 6,144.0 million at the end of 2010 to US dollar 6,076.0 million at the end of 2011. As a ratio of GDP, it fell from 19.5% at the end of 2010 to 20.0% at the end of 2011 which is considered one of the lowest ratios in the Middle East. The debt includes the loans rescheduled with the Paris Club for long periods in 1996, 1997 and 2001, as well as the new facilities contracted after that with the international and regional institutions. The net present value of the Yemeni external public debt was only US dollar 5,722.9 million at the end of 2011 reflecting a concessionality rate of 5.8%.
The external debt service (interest and amortization) rose from 2.7% of exports of goods and services in 2010 to 3.9% in 2011. The external public debt may be classified on donor basis into four categories: international finance institutions, Paris Club donors, non-Paris Club donors and other countries.
Domestic Public Debt
(YR billions)
Items 2010 2011*
1- Overdrafts from Central Bank 477.5 719.0
2- Treasury Bills (Purchasing Value): 590.4 639.8
Banking Sector 493.7 528.9
Non-Banking Sector 96.7 110.9
3- Government Bills 413.7 465.7
Government Bills (Sold to YBRD) 2.3 2.3
Government Bills (Sold to CAC) 4.5 4.5
Government Bills (Sold to Pension funds) 406.9 458.9
4- Islamic Sukuk 0.0 3.3
5- Re-Purchasing: 65.0 65.0
6- Other advances, Banking sector 15.6 5.8
7- Gross Domestic Public Debt 1562.2 1898.6
8- Gross Domestic Public Debt Banking Sector 1058.6 1328.8
9- Government Deposits at the Central Bank -278.1 -236.4
10 – Net Domestic Public Debt Banking Sector 780.5 1092.4
11- Domestic Public Debt non-Banking Sector 503.6 569.8
12- Net Domestic Public Debt 1284.1 1662.2
13- External Public Debt(the outsdanding balance) 1313.6 1299.0
14- Total Public Debt 2597.7 2961.2
Distribution of Treasury Bills by Term Purchase Value
In Percent Billion Rials Time
2011 2010 2011 2010
70.3 65.8 450.1 388.4 3-months
14.6 15.2 93.1 89.7 6-months
15.1 19.0 96.6 112.4 12-
months
100.0 100.0 639.8 590.5 Total
Chabter three
00
1. International Institutions
At the end of 2011, the outstanding debt owing to this group of donors amounted to US dollar 3,271 million or 53.8% of the total outstanding external public debt. The credits of international institutions and particularly the International Development Association do not bear any interest and have long repayment periods with a grace period of up to ten years. Within this group, IDA is the number one lender to Yemen with outstanding loans amounting to US dollar 2,135.4 million. The second lender is the AFSED with loans totaling US dollar 701.4 million and the third is IFAD lending US dollar 133.6 million. Then comes the IDB with US dollar 116.5 million and then the AMF with US dollar 99.1 million followed by the IMF with US dollar 53.4 million. The remaining agencies in this group are OPEC and the EC with US dollar 28.4 million and 3.2 million respectively.
2. Member countries of Paris Club
At the end of 2011, the outstanding debt owing to this group of donors amounted to US dollar 1,748.9 million or 28.8% of the total outstanding external public debt. Within this group, Russia is the number one lender to
Yemen with outstanding loans amounting to US dollar 1,181.6 million. The second lender is Japan with loans totaling US dollar 319.1 million and the third is the United States lending US dollar 97 million. Then comes France with US dollar 79.7 million. The remaining donors in this group are Italy, Spain, Denmark, Netherlands and Germany with total lending amounting to US dollar 71 million.
3. Non-Member Countries of
Paris Club:
At the end of 2011, the outstanding debt owing to this group of donors amounted to US dollar 561.5 million or 9.2% of the total outstanding external public debt. Within this group, the Saudi Fund is the number one lender to Yemen with outstanding loans amounting to US dollar 362.6 million. The second lender is the Kuwaiti Fund with loans totaling US dollar 151.7 million and the third is Korea lending US dollar 27.9 million. Then comes Poland and the Iraqi Fund with total lending amounting to US dollar 19 million.
4 . Other Donors
At the end of 2011, the outstanding debt owing to this group of donors amounted to US dollar 494.4 million or 8.1% of the total outstanding external public debt.
Chabter three
03
Outstanding External Public Debt
(milion US$)
% Outstanding Incl. Arrears 31/12/2011
% Outstanding Incl. Arrears 31/12/2010
Creditor
28.8 1748.9 28.5 1753.3 Paris Club Countries
19.4 1181.6 19.5 1197.9 Russian Federation
5.2 319.1 4.9 303.3 Japan
1.6 97.1 1.6 97.5 U.S.A
1.3 79.7 1.3 81.6 France
0.7 44.7 0.7 44.4 Italy
0.3 20.3 0.3 21.8 Spain
0.04 2.6 0.04 2.7 Denmark
0.04 2.3 0.04 2.5 Holland
0.02 1.5 0.03 1.6 Germany
9.2 561.5 9.4 578.6 Non-Paris Club Countries
6.0 362.6 6.1 373.9 Saudi Arabia
2.50 151.7 2.4 149.4 Kuwait Dev. Fund
0.5 27.9 0.5 28.6 Korea
0.2 11.8 0.2 13.0 Iraqi Dev. Fund
0.1 7.5 0.2 13.7 poland
8.1 494.6 7.8 482.0 Other
53.8 3271.0 54.2 3330.1 Int'l & Regional Financing Institutions
35.1 2135.4 35.5 2179.8 IDA
11.5 701.4 11.3 697.3 AFESD
2.2 133.6 2.2 133.3 IFAD
1.9 116.5 1.7 107.5 Islamic Dev. Bank
1.6 99.1 1.6 99.3 AMF
0.9 53.4 1.3 77.8 IMF
0.5 28.4 0.5 31.5 OPEC
0.05 3.2 0.1 3.6 EEC
100.0 6076.0 100.0 6144.0 Grand Total
Chabter three
37
I. Monetary, Credit and Banking
Sector Developments:
1. Monetary Policy:
In spite of tottering political crisis that
the homeland has witnessed during
2011 and resulted in a suspension of
the wheels of economic and social
developments and a fall of economic
situation, the Central Bank in 2011
succeeded in protecting the value of
national currency through the
attainment of a greater possible
balance between containing
inflationary pressures and relative
stability of the exchange rate on the
one hand, and stimulating economic
activity on the other. The monetary
policy followed an apparent flexibility
with latest monetary developments in
the local, regional and international
areas with the aim of maintaining
monetary and banking stability
represented in steadiness of overall
price level, preserving a relative
firmness of rial exchange rate and
securing an interest rate structure in
harmony with local economic
developments and money market
evolutions, in addition to the
continuation of soundness and
firmness of banking system. The
benchmark minimum interest rate on
bank deposits has been kept
unchanged at 20% since March 2010,
the fact which consolidates confidence
in the national economy. The
outcomes of monetary policy were
positive as manifested in realization of
monetary stability and maintaining
relative fixedness of the exchange rate
of the rial vis-à-vis the dollar.
To attain the final objective of
monetary policy, represented in price
stability, the Central Bank examined
closely the developments in economic
activity in order to determine the
suitable level of domestic liquidity and
then undertake the necessary
measures to reach that level.
Statutory reserve requirements on
foreign currency deposits were
changed from 20% to 10% starting
March 2011. The Central Bank doesn’t
pay interest on these reserves.
Mandatory reserve requirement on rial
deposits has been maintained without
change at 7% since March 2008
without interest paid on these
reserves. The central Bank issued a
resolution ordering the calculation of
statutory reserve requirement on
foreign currency weekly, based on the
average days of the week . These
decisions respond to developments in
foreign exchange market and cope
Chabter four
38
with the great pressures that
commercial banks faced due to the
rising demand for foreign currencies
during crisis months. The Central Bank
continued replenishing the market with
part of its needs of foreign currencies.
The Central Bank sales of foreign
currencies to banks in 2011 amounted
to about US$1563.2 million, mainly to
cover imports of essential foodstuffs
represented in wheat, rice and sugar.
The Central Bank consolidated these
measures by taking several prudential
steps which contributed in protecting
local banks against perils ensuing from
unstableness of the political stalemate
that the country experienced in 2011,
along with the hazards that world
banks had Witnessed resulting from
the world financial crisis in mid-2008.
2. The Exchange Rate
The freely exchange rate system has
been the regime adopted by Yemen
for more than a decade and the
Central Bank intervenes to influence
the direction of the exchange rate only
in the case of short term wide
fluctuations in the foreign exchange
market, which are unwarranted by
economic fundamentals.
This policy has contributed in
enhancing economic stability and
bolstering investors' confidence in the
national economy. As a consequence
of the package of measures
undertaken by the Central Bank during
crisis months in 2011, the confidence
in the national currency was bolstered
and the exchange rate came back to
the levels prevailing in 2010. The
average exchange rate of the US
dollar against the Yemeni rial
amounted YR213.8 at the end of 2011,
which was the same rate, recorded at
the end of the previous year.
3. The Interest Rate
In conformity with political
developments which presented itself in
the political impasse Yemen suffered
and the developments that the
exchange markets witnessed during
2011 manifested in short term
fluctuations in the exchange market,
which are unwarranted by economic
fundamentals, the benchmark
minimum interest rate on bank
deposits has been kept unchanged
since March 2010 at 20%.
Chabter four
39
4. Money Supply and Factors
affecting it
The increase in domestic liquidity in
2011 was YR 1.6 billion or 0.1%,
compared with an increase of YR
191billion or 9% in 2010. The
expansion in domestic liquidity in 2011
was the result of an increase in net
domestic assets of the banking system
of YR 311.9 billion, combined with a
decrease in the net foreign assets of
the banking system amounting to YR
314 billion.
The main factor behind the fall in the
net foreign assets of the banking
system is the increase of C.B.Y.
financing of petroleum products
imports for local consumption
amounting to US$2.5 billion in 2011.
The increase in net domestic assets in
2011 was the end product of the rise in
budget financing by YR 313.9 billion
,the expansion in credit to non-
Government sectors by YR 5 billion
and the decrease in net other items
by YR 2 billion.
Monetary Survey
(YR Billions) 2011 2010 Items
2268.3 2266.7 Broad money
993.0 786.1 Money
777.4 546.8 Currency Outside Banks
215.6 239.3 Demand Deposits
673.0 702.6 Quasi Rial Money
602.2 778 Deposits in Foreign Currency
1379.2 1693.1 Net Foreign Assets
918.6 1216.4 Central Bank of Yemen
460.6 476.8 Commercial Banks
889.0 573.6 Net Domestic Assets
1092.4 780.5 Credit to Government (net)
1092.4 780.5 Total budget financing (Net)
544.7 539.3 Credit to Non-governmental
366.9 438.3 Private Sector
177.8 101 Public enterprises
748.1- -746.2
Other items (Net) % of Broad money of
previous year
13.8- -4.8 Net Foreign Assets
13.9 13.9 Net Domestic Assets
13.8 11.9 Total budget financing (Net)
3.1- 1.6 Credit to private sector % of previous year
0.1 9.2 Broad money
11.9 3 Rial broad money
16.3- 8.5 Credit to private sector
Chabter four
40
The deficit in the position of the budget
with the banking system increased
from YR 248 billion in2010 to YR 312
billion in 2011.This was caused by the
political deadlock that Yemen went
through in 2011 affecting non-oil
revenues. In 2011, M1 grew by YR207
billion while quasi-money fell by
YR206 billion. M1 growth was the
result of an increase of YR 231billion
in currency in circulation and a decline
of YR24 billion in rial demand deposits.
The fall in quasi money in 2011 was
caused by the decrease of YR 30
billion in rial saving , earmarked ,time
and pension fund deposits and the
decline of YR 176 billion in foreign
currency deposits. This was caused by
the political stalemate which the
country underwent in 2011.
Currency in circulation rose from 37%
of rial broad money in 2010 to 47% in
2011, while rial quasi-money fell from
47% in 2010 to 40% in 2011. Foreign
currency deposits declined from 34%
of broad money in 2010 to 27% in
2011.
II. Central Bank Activities
1. Central Bank Balance Sheet
The Central Bank Balance sheet total
increased by 1.2% from YR 1846
billion at the end of 2010 to YR 1868
billion at the end of 2011, compared
with a decrease of 0.6% in 2010.
Assets
The net foreign assets of the Central
Bank decreased by 24.5% from YR
1216 billion at the end of 2010 to YR
919 billion at the end of 2011,
compared with a decline of 13% the
previous year. Gross foreign assets
declined as a ratio of total assets from
69 % at the end of 2010 to 52% at the
end of 2011.
Net claims on Government rose by
186 % in 2011 compared with 1393%
in 2010. This is attributable to the
decline in non-oil public revenues.
Chabter four
41
Liabilities
Reserve money (currency outside
banks and bank balances with the
Central Bank) increased by 16% from
YR 824 billion at the end of 2010 to YR
954 billion at the end of 2011,
compared with an increase of 8 % the
previous year. The change in reserve
money in 2011 was the end product of
an increase of YR 229 billion in
currency issued and a decrease of YR
99 billion in bank balances with the
Central Bank, caused by the political
crisis experienced in the country in
2011, which provoked a decline in
bank deposits both in local and foreign
currencies, together with the effect of
lowering statutory reserve
requirements on foreign currency
deposits from 20% to 10% starting
March 2011.
Public sector enterprises’ deposits fell
by 39 % in 2011 against an increase of
9 % in 2010. Pension fund deposits,
mostly in foreign currencies, declined
from YR 65 billion in December 2010
to YR 59 billion in December 2011.
Net other items fell by 2.5% in 2011
compared with a decline of 8% in
2010.
Balance Sheet of Central Bank of Yemen
(YR Billions)
2011 2010 Description
968.8 1270.2 Foreign Assets
899.6 575.4 Domestic Assets
719.0 477.5 Claims on Government
157.4 82.9 Claims on Public Enterprises
- - Claims on Banks
23.3 15 Fixed and Other Assets
1868.4 1845.6 Assets = Liabilities
954.5 823.9 Reserve money
800.3 571 Currency in Circulation outside banks
154.2 252.9 Banker’s Deposits
236.4 278.1 Government Deposits
83.3 136.2 Public Enterprises Deposits
59.4 65.4 Social Security Funds Deposits
0 0 Certificates of Deposit
50.2 53.8 Foreign Liabilities
484.6 488.2 Other Liabilities
46.4 43.4 Capital and Reserve
241.7 240.5 Foreign Exchange Valuation
76.2 76.1 SDR Allocations
120.2 128.2 Other Liabilities
Chabter four
42
2- Central Bank Net Profits
Central Bank net profits amounted
toYR22.9 billion in 2011 compared
with YR39 billion in 2010, a decrease
of 41% .The revenues declined from
YR 62.6 billion in 2010 to YR 48.6
billion in 2011, a decline of 22%.
The expenditure rose by 9% from YR
23.6 billion in 2010 to YR 25.7 billion in
2011.
3- Currency Issued
Currency issued amounted to YR800
billion in 2011, which is 40% higher
than what it was in2010, while in 2010
it was 3.5% higher than what it was in
2009. Concerning the distribution by
denomination, the YR 1,000 note
represented 76 % of the currency
issued in terms of value, followed by
YR 500 note (19 %), then YR 250, YR
100 and YR200 notes (2.5%, 1.5%
and 0.5% respectively), and the
remaining 0.5% for the lower
denominations (YR 50, 20, 10 and 5).
The larger shares of the YR 1,000 and
YR 500 denominations have facilitated
the processes of counting, sorting,
transporting and warehousing the
banknotes.
4- The Clearing House
In 2011, the number of cheques
cleared and settled at the clearing
rooms of the Central Bank was
494,000 cheques amounting to YR
1837.5 billion. These figures were
lower than in 2010 by 27 % in number
and 15.5 % in value respectively.
Returned cheques were 16,600
cheques amounting to YR 57 billion in
2011, compared with 21,300 cheques
amounting to YR 69 billion in 2010.
The ratio of returned cheques to
cleared cheques value fell from 3.2%
in 2010 to 3.1% in 2011.
After introducing clearing services
in U.S. dollar starting 2004, about
41,000 cheques were transacted
with a total value of US$1509
million in 2010, against 56,500
cheques with a total value of US$
2074 million in 2010, i. e. a
decrease of 27% in number and
27% in value.
Chabter four
43
III. The Banking Sector
1. Commercial and Islamic Banks
A) Consolidated Balance Sheet:
As a result of the exceptional
circumstances that shake up the
country in 2011 and presented itself in
the political emergency, the
consolidated balance sheet of the
commercial and Islamic banks fell in
2011 by 9 % to reach a total of YR
1766 billion, compared with an
increase of 15% in the previous year.
Assets
Net foreign assets declined in 2011
by 3 % to reach a level of YR 461
billion, compared with an increase of
19 % in the previous year. As a ratio
of total assets, gross foreign assets
increased from 26.4 % at the end of
2010 to 27.0 % at the end 0f 2011.
Bank reserves (currency in bank
vaults and balances at the Central
Bank) fell by YR 101 billion or 36.5%
in 2011 to reach a level of YR 175
billion compared with YR 276 billion
at the end of 2010. This is attributed
to the decline in deposits in local and
foreign currencies as well as the
effect of lowering mandatory reserve
requirement on foreign currency
deposits from 20% to 10% since
March 2011.
Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial and Islamic Banks
(YR Billions)
2011 2010 Description
477.5 510.3 Foreign Assets
55.7 40.3 - Foreign currency 213.7 233.4 - Balances with banks abroad 208.0 236.6 - foreign investment 174.9 275.5 Reserves
22.9 24.1 - Local currency 152.1 251.4 - Deposits with Central Bank
0 0 Certificates of Deposit
997.8 1038 Loans and Advances
366.9 438.3 - Private Sector 20.4 18.1 - Public enterprises 610.4 581.5 - Government 115.6 110 Other Assets
1765.8 1933.8 Assets = Liabilities
16.8 33.6 Foreign Liabilities
15.0 31.2 - Deposits of foreign banks 1.9 2.4 - Nonresidents deposits
1348.6 1518.8 Deposits
162.3 175.6 - Demand Deposits 452.0 472.3 - Time Deposits 127.1 128.8 - Savings Deposits 34.4 36.1 - Earmarked Deposits 572.3 705.5 - Foreign Currency Deposits
0.5 0.5 - Government Deposits 400.3 381.4 Other Liabilities
181.6 176.5 Capital and Reserves 218.7 204.9 Other Liabilities
Chabter four
44
As a ratio of total deposits, bank
reserves declined from 18% in2010
to 13% in 2011.
Loans and advances fell by 4% in
2011 to YR 998 billion. This is mainly
attributable to the decline in private
sector credit by 16% in 2011,
compared with a rise of 8.5% in the
previous year.
Bank intermediation is still limited in
Yemen, as private sector credit did
not exceed 21%of total assets at the
end of 2011, while 70% of these
assets are placed in risk free
investment, consisting of foreign
assets (27%), treasury bills (35%)
and Central Bank balances (8%).
Liabilities
Total deposits in 2011 decreased by
11 % to YR 1349 billion (excluding
non-resident deposits), compared
with a growth of 13 % in the previous
year. Rial demand deposits, rial
quasi money deposits and foreign
currency deposits declined by 8 %, 4
% and 19% respectively, reflecting
the political crisis.
Net other liabilities increased by 5 %
to YR 285 billion in 2011, against an
increase of 17 % the previous year,
reflecting partially the efforts of the
Central Bank aiming at strengthening
the capital adequacy of banks.
B) Deposit structure:
Time deposits in local currency
dropped by4% in 2011, compared with
a rise of 11% in 2010. Saving deposits
also in rial, went down by 1 % in 2011,
against a growth of 5% in 2010. Rial
demand deposits also decreased by
8% in 2011, while in 2010 they
recorded an increase of 6%. Rial
Earmarked deposits diminished by
5%in 2011, compared with a reduction
of 42% in the previous year.
Foreign currency deposits fell by 19 %
in 2011 against a growth of 25 % in
2010. On the other hand, Yemeni rial
total deposits declined by 4.5% in
2011 against an increase of 5 % in
2010. This led to the dropping of
foreign currency deposits as a ratio of
total deposits from 46 % at the end of
2010 to 42 % at the end of 2011.
C) Credit facilities
The total outstanding balance of credit
facilities offered to the private sector
by commercial and Islamic banks
diminished by 16 % in 2011, reflecting
the political impasse, against a rise by
8.5 % in the previous year. Trade
Chabter four
45
finance declined from 55 % of total
credit facilities in 2010 to 44%in 2011.
Finance allotted to construction
subsided from 6.5% in 2010 to 5.2% in
2011. On the other hand, the share of
industry rose from 11% in 2010 to 12%
in 2011.The share of agriculture and
fisheries increased slightly from 1.4%
in 2010 to 1.9% in 2011. Classified
loans and advances, for which
provisions must be made, increased its
share from 14 % in 2010 to 21% in
2011. These provisions amounted to
71 % of the classified loans, which is a
high ratio designed to protect the
Yemeni banking system from facing
non-performing loan crises.
Short term loans and advanced
increased from 35% of total facilities in
2010 to 36% in 2011, while medium
and long term loans went down from
13.3% in 2010 to 11.5% in 2011.
The investments of Islamic banks
declined from 38 % of total credit in
2010 to 32 % in 2011.
2 -Commercial Banks
A) Consolidated Balance Sheet:
The consolidated balance sheet of the
commercial banks shrinked in 2011by
6% to reach a total of YR 1224 billion,
compared with an increase of 15% in
the previous year.
Commercial banks increased their
share as a ratio of the consolidated
balance sheet of the commercial and
Islamic banks from 67% in 2010 to
69% in 2011.
Assets
Net foreign assets of commercial
banks increased in 2011by 1.5% to
reach level of YR 188 billion,
compared with an increase of 12% in
the previous year. As a ratio of total
assets, gross foreign assets
maintained its share at 16%. As a
ratio of net foreign assets of
commercial and Islamic banks, the
share of commercial banks rose from
39% in 2010 to 41% in 2011.
Bank reserves (currency in bank
vaults and balances at the Central
Bank) dropped by YR 68 billion or
39% in 2011 to reach a level of YR
105 billion, compared with YR
173billion at the end of 2010.
Chabter four
46
This is attributed to the dipping in
deposits with Central Bank .As a ratio
of total deposits; bank reserves
lowered its share from 16% in 2010
to 11% in 2011.
Gross claims on government grew by
4% in 2011, while Private sector
credit, YR222, was 11% lower than in
the previous year.
Liabilities
Total deposits of commercial banks
in 2011 shrinked by 10% to YR 956
billion (excluding non-resident
deposits), compared with a growth of
13% in the previous year. . Rial
demand deposits, rial quasi money
deposits and foreign currency
deposits subsided by 10%, 4% and
18% respectively, reflecting the
political deadlock.
Net other liabilities increased by
34.0% to YR 187 billion, against a
growth of 11% the previous year,
reflecting, in part, the efforts of the
Central Bank aiming at strengthening
the capital adequacy of banks.
B) Deposit Structure of
Commercial Banks
Time deposits in local currency fell
by 5% in 2011, compared with a rise
of 19% in 2010. Saving deposits,
also in rial, grew by 2% in 2011,
Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks
(YR Billions)
2011 2010 Description
199.2 210.6 Foreign Assets
164.6 187 - Balance with banks abroad 0 0 - Claims on nonresidents
34.6 23.6 - Others 105.2 173.2 Reserves 14.5 15 - Local currency 90.8 158.2 - Deposits with Central Bank
0 0 Certificates of Deposit
849.9 848.6 Loans and Advances
222.3 249 - Private Sector 20.4 18.1 - Public enterprises 607.1 581.5 - Government 69.6 69.6 Other Assets
1224.0 1302 Assets = Liabilities
11.5 25.6 Foreign Liabilities
9.7 23.2 - Deposits of foreign banks 1.9 2.4 - Nonresidents deposits
955.6 1066.4 Deposits
125.7 139 - Demand Deposits 349.7 368.9 - Time Deposits 96.2 94.4 - Savings Deposits 31.4 31.9 - Earmarked Deposits 352.6 432.2 - Foreign Currency Deposits
0.1 0.1 - Government Deposits 256.8 210 Other Liabilities 114.2 107.3 Capital and Reserves 142.5 102.6 Other Liabilities
Chabter four
47
against 10% in 2010.Rial demand
deposits dropped by 10% in 2011,
compared with an increase of 9% in
2010. Rial earmarked deposits fell by
2% in 2011, compared with a decline
of 44% in 2010.
Foreign currency deposits shrinked
by 18%in 2011, against a growth of
19% in 2010. On the other hand,
Yemeni rial total deposits dropped by
5%in 2011, against a rise by 9% in
2010. This led to the decrease of
foreign currency deposits as a ratio
of total deposits from 40.5% in 2010
to 37% in 2011.
3- Islamic Banks
A) Consolidated Balance Sheet:
The consolidated balance sheet of the
Islamic banks diminished in 2011 by
14% to reach a total of YR 542 billion,
compared with an increase of 16% in
the previous year. As a ratio of the
commercial and Islamic banks
consolidated balance sheet, Islamic
banks lowered their share from 33% in
2010 to 31% in 2011.
Assets
Net foreign assets of Islamic banks in
2011 went down by 6% to reach a
level of YR 273 billion, compared
with an increase of 23% in the
previous year. As a ratio of total
assets, gross foreign assets
increased from 47% at the end of
2010 to 51% at the end of 2011.
As a ratio of net foreign assets of
Commercial and Islamic banks, the
share of Islamic banks fell from 61%
in 2010 to 59% in 2011.Bank
reserves (currency in bank vaults and
balances at the Central Bank)
diminished by YR 32 billion or 32% to
reach a level of YR 70 billion in 2011,
compared with YR 102 billion at the
end of 2010. This is attributed to the
decrease in the deposits with the
Central Bank. As a ratio of total
deposits, bank reserves went down
from 23% in 2010 to 18% in 2011.
Loans and advances shrinked by
22% in 2011 to reach a level of
YR148 billion, compared with YR189
billion at the end of 2010.
Chabter four
48
Liabilities
Total deposits in 2011 declined by
13% to YR 393 billion, compared with
a growth of 13% in the previous year.
This is attributed to the fall of foreign
currency deposits. As a ratio of total
deposits of commercial and Islamic
banks, the share of Islamic banks
decreased from 30% in 2010 to 29%
in 2011.
Net other liabilities dropped by 26%
in 2011 to YR 97.5 billion, against an
increase of 23% the previous year.
B) Deposit Structure of Islamic
Banks
Foreign currency deposits declined
by 20% in 2011, against a growth of
35% in 2010. On the other hand,
Yemeni rial total deposits went down
by 3% against a decline by 10% in
2010 . This led to the fall of foreign
currency deposits as a ratio of total
deposits from 60% at the end of 2010
to 56% at the end of 2011.
Consolidated Balance Sheet of Islamic Banks
(YR Billions)
2011 2010 Description
278.3 299.8 Foreign Assets
49.0 46.4 - Balance with banks abroad 207.0 235.0 - Foreign investment 22.2 18.3 - Others 69.7 102.3 Reserves
8.4 9.1 - Local currency 61.3 93.2 - Deposits with Central Bank
0 0 Certificates of Deposit
147.9 189.3 Loans and advances
144.6 189.3 - Private Sector 0.0 0.0 - Public enterprises 3.3 0 - Government
46.1 40.4 Other Assets 542.0 631.8 Assets = Liabilities
5.3 8.0 Foreign Liabilities 5.3 8.0 - Deposits of foreign banks 0.0 0.0 - Nonresidents deposits
393.0 452.4 Deposits
36.6 36.6 - Demand Deposits 102.3 103.4 - Time Deposits 30.9 34.4 - Savings Deposits 3.0 4.2 - Earmarked Deposits
219.7 273.3 - Foreign Currency Deposits 0.5 0.4 - Government Deposits
143.6 171.5 Other Liabilities 67.4 69.2 Capital and Reserves 76.2 102.3 Other Liabilities
Chabter four
49
4 .Bank Branches
In order to spread the banking habit
and expand the provision of bank
services, several new bank branches
and offices were opened in 2011 as is
shown in the following table.
New licenses were issued by the
Central Bank for money changers and
bureaux de change all over the country
.The number of these licenses
amounted to 517 in 2011 compared
with 601 in 2010 and below is a table
showing the number of licenses
granted in the various governorates of
the republic.
5. Payment system
2011 witnessed many developments in
the payments system. Many ATMs
were established .
The number of ATMs installed in the
country grew by 13% from 446 in 2010
to 502 in 2011. The number ATMs
operations declined in 2011 by 18%,
compared with an increase of 29% in
2010. POS amounted to 1901 in 2011
against 1887 in the previous year. The
number of POS operations went down
by 6%, compared with a growth of
10% in the previous year. Bank cards
rose in 2011 by 26%, compared with
15.5% in 2010.
New Branches & offices of Banks in 2011
Bank New
Branches/Offices
Bank Date of
Inauguration
A- New Branches Amal Microfinance Bank Hoban,Taiz 07/08/2011
Alkuraimi Microfinance bank
Dares,Sana'a 14/08/2011
Sana'a Street, Hodeida 08/03/2011
Jamal Street, Taiz 08/03/2011
Sana'a Street, Dhamar 27/04/2011
Sheikh Othman,Aden
23/02/2011
B- New Offices Yemen Kuwait Bank
Sheikh Othman,Aden
19/02/2011
Alkuraimi Microfinance bank
Sina Taiz Odain,Ibb
08/03/2011
20/03/2011
Sawan,Sana'a 02/05/2011
Mashhad,Sana'a 02/05/2011
Shamlan,Sana'a 27/04/2011
Dar Saad,Aden 27/02/2011
Payment System Indicators
2011 2010 2009 Year
502 446 365 ATMs
1,901 1,887 2,148 POS
858,986 681,215 589,858 Bank Cards
8,051,616 9,827,889 7,620,788 Number of ATMs operations
139,727 150,548 112,301 Value of ATMs operations(million Rials)
877,066 932,986 846,032 Number of POS operations
31,049 26,140 24,550 Value of POS operations(million Rials)
Number of License Granted to Money Chargers in 2010
Number of licenses granted
Governorate Number of licenses granted
Governorate
1 Al-Mahweet 192 Capital secretariat
6 Al-Mahra 41 Aden
8 Dhale 53 Taiz
17 Dhamar 45 Ibb
6 Abyan 35 Hodeidah
7 Amran 22 Hajja
8 Lahj 21 Mukalla
6 Mareb 15 Sayun
8 Sadda 11 Shabwa
1 Raima 14 Al-Beidha
517 Total
Chabter four
35
I. Balance of Payments
Preliminary data of 2011 indicate
that the overall balance of payments
realized a deficit of US$1398 million,
against a deficit of US$905 million in
2010. The ratio of the overall deficit to
GDP increased from3% in 2010, to
4.6% in 2011. The deficit in the
balance of payment is mainly attributed
to the deficit in the current account
which amounted to US$ 1364 million in
2011, against a deficit of US$ 1123
million in 2010.
The ratio of the current account
deficit to GDP rose from 3.7% in 2010
to 4.5% in 2011 due to the increase in
the deficit in services and income .The
capital account recorded a deficit of
US$ 722 million in 2011, against a
deficit of US$253 million last year. The
ratio of capital account deficit to GDP
rose from 0.8% in 2010 to 2.4% in
2011. For more analysis, the main
indicators and items of balance of
payments shall be discussed
hereunder.
Main Indicators of Balance of Payments As a Ratio of Gross Domestic Product(1)
1022** 1020* Item
5.4- 7.6- Current Account
4.5 7.6- Trade Balance
77.4 74.4 Exports
77.2- 76.6- Imports
7.4- 7.7- Services (Net)
7.5- 4.5- Income (Net)
7.0 5.8 Current Transfers (Net)
7.5- 4.7- Capital Account (Net)
5.5- -3.0 Overall Balance
* At Current Prices
** Preliminary
-3000
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
US
$ b
illio
ns
Balance of Payments
Current Account
Capital & Financial Account
Overall Balance
Chabter five
35
A-Current Account:
Current account represents transac-
tions that pertain to goods, services,
income and current transfers. Current
account deficit increased from US$
1123 million in 2010 to US$ 1364 mil-
lion in 2011. Ratio of this deficit to
GDP at current prices amounted to
4.5% in 2011, against a deficit of 3.7%
last year.
Goods and Services:
The deficit in goods and services
balance fell from US$1529 million in
2010 to US$947million in 2011.The
fall is attributed to the realization of a
surplus in trade balance, due to the
rise in oil export prices from US$79.8
per barrel in 2010 to US$111.1 in
2011.
Trade Balance 9
In 2011, the trade balance record-
ed a surplus of US$120 million,
against a deficit of US$823 million in
2010. Ratio of this surplus to GDP
amounted to 0.4% in 2011. The reali-
zation of this surplus is attributed to
the rise of oil and gas exports.
Exports9
The value of exports increased
from US$7650 million in 2010 to
US$8662 million in 2011, i.e.an
increase of US$1012 million, or 13%
over last year. Ratio of exports to
GDP amounted to 28.5%compared
with 25% last year.
Oil and Gas Exports9
Total value of oil and gas exports
in 2011 amounted to US$7850 mil-
lion, forming 91% of the total value of
exports. Oil and gas exports rose
from US$6280 million in 2010 to
US$7850 million in 2011, i.e. a rise of
US$1570 million, or 25% over last
year, basically attributed to the rise in
international oil prices and com-
mencement of LNG exports. On ex-
cluding the share of oil companies,
government’s share of oil and gas
exports increased by 33% from
US$2769 million in 2010 to US$3693
million in 2011, attributable to the in-
crease in average oil export prices .
Chabter five
33
Imports9
Imports increased by 0.8%, from
US $8473 million in 2010 to US
$8542.5 million in 2011, compared
with a rise of 8% last year . Its ratio to
GDP increased slightly from 27.7% in
2010 to 28.1% in 2011.
2 - Services (Net):
Deficit in the services balance in-
creased by US$360 million, or 51%
amounting to US$1066 million during
2011 against US$706 million during
2010. This is attributed to the decline
of total receipts by US$364 million
from US$1612 million during 2010 to
US$1248 million during 2011. The in-
crease in the deficit is basically at-
tributed to the fall in travel receipts by
39% due to the events that Yemen
witnessed in 2011.
3 -Income (Net):
Deficit in the income balance in-
creased by 49% from US$1718 mil-
lion during 2011 to US$2552 million
during 2011. This is attributed to the
rise of total payments by US$833 mil-
lion from US$1772 million during
2010 to US$2605 million during 2011
as a result of the increase of the
earnings of foreign direct investment
companies remitted to abroad. More-
over, total receipts declined by
US$1.2million during 2011 ,due to the
decrease in portfolio and other in-
vestment income.
4 -Current Transfers (Net):
Net Current transfers balance sur-
plus recorded an increase of US$10
million from US$2123 million in 2010
to US$2134 million in 2011. Receipts
grew by US$2 million in 2011 com-
pared with a rise of US$553 million in
2010. This is attributable to the rise in
government transfers receipt by
US$128 million, while receipts from
transfers of other sectors diminished
by US$117 million in 2011. On the
other hand, current transfers pay-
ments shrinked by US$8 million in
2011, compared with a drop of
US$56 million in 2010.
B- Capital and Financial Ac-
count:
This account forms the second
component of the balance of payments
and represents the government and
private sector capital movements, rep-
resented by foreign loans drawings,
amortization payments and move-
ments of government and private in-
Chabter five
35
vestments. In 2011, this account rec-
orded a deficit of US$722 million,
against a deficit of US$253 million in
2010. Ratio of the deficit in the capital
and financial account to GDP rose
from 0.8%in 2010 to 2.4% in 2011.
Foreign direct investment recorded a
deficit of US$713 million in 2011,
against a deficit of US$93 million in
2010. The deficit rise is attributed to
the decline of foreign oil companies
investment inflows. The position of
other investments recorded a deficit of
US$9 million in 2011 compared with a
deficit of US$160 million in 2010. The
deficit fall is due to the shift of the posi-
tion of net foreign assets of commer-
cial and Islamic banks from an in-
crease in 2010 to a decrease in
2011.As for drawings from foreign
loans, it amounted to US$97 million
and its ratio to GDP amounted to 0.3%
against 1.2%in the year 2010. Amorti-
zation obligations amounted to
US$181 million, and its ratio to GDP
amounted 0.6%, compared with 0.8%
in the previous year.
C- Overall Balance9
Overall balance recorded a deficit of
US$1398 million in 2011, and repre-
sented about 4.6% of GDP, against a
deficit of 3% of GDP last year. The def-
icit rise is mainly due to the political
events that the country witnessed in
2011. These were reflected on net for-
eign assets of the Central Bank which
has recorded in 2011 a decline of
US$1392 million, compared with a de-
crease of US$811million in the previ-
ous year.
Chabter five
35
7422 7424 Item
774.7 647.1 General Government
1,359.1 1,476.3 Other Sectors
-722.2 -253.1 Capital and Financial Account
-722.2 -253.1 1- Financial Account
-712.8 -93.3 1-1 Direct Investment
-756.5 -135.9 of which : oil companies investment
1,216.6 2,021.8 Inflows
-1,973.1 -
2,157.7 Outflows
-9.4 -159.8 1-2 Other Investment
-84.0 104.6 Government Loans (Net)
97.3 353.5 Drawings
-181.3 -248.9 Amortization Obligation
4.1 26.0 Trade Credit
70.5 -290.4 Commercial Banks
0.0 0.0 Other Sectors
688.3 471.0 Errors and Omissions
-1,398.2 -905.3 Overall Balance
1,398.2 905.3 Financing
1,391.8 810.7 a- Net Reserves (Increase -)
1,410.0 830.8 Reserve
-18.2 -20.1 Monetary Authorities Liabilities
-25.1 -27.4 International Monetary Fund Loans (Net)
0.0 0.0 Arab Monetary Fund Loans (Net)
6.9 7.2 Liabilities constituting Reserves of Foreign
Monetary Authorities
6.4 94.5 b- Debt Relief and Arrears
* Preliminary
7422 7424 Item
-1,364.3 -1,123.2 Current Account:
-946.6 -1,528.9 Goods and Services
119.6 -823.1 1 Trade Balance
8,662.2 7,649.8 Exports:
7,850.0 6,280.4 Crude Oil
3,693.4 2,769.1 Government Share
4,156.6 3,511.4 Companies Share
-8,542.5 -8,472.9 Imports
-1,066.2 -705.8 2 Services (Net)
1,247.9 1,611.7 Credit
-2,314.0 -2,317.5 Debit
-853.9 -847.7 Transportation
600.6 978.2 Travel
80.7 80.7 Communication
-208.7 -227.9 Construction Services
-191.0 -189.4 Insurance
-560.9 -561.4 Other Business Services
103.5 98.3 Government Services
-2,551.6 -1,717.6 3- Income (Net)
53.3 54.5 Credit
-2,604.9 -1,772.1 Debit
-2,239.6 -1,408.3 Direct Investment Income
-23.4 -20.7 Portfolio and Other Investment In-
come
2,133.8 2,123.4 4 Current Transfers (Net)
2,183.4 2,181.1 Credit
-49.6 -57.7 Debit
Balance of Payment (US$ Millions)
Chabter five
35
II – Foreign Trade9
Statistics of Foreign Trade between
Yemen and the rest of the world during
2011 showed an acceptable develop-
ment despite regional and international
uncertainties and unstable local politi-
cal crisis.
A. Trade Balance9
Trade balance recorded a deficit
ofYR591billion in 2011, compared with
a deficit of YR609 billion in the previ-
ous year. The decrease in the deficit is
attributable to the increase in exports
by a higher ratio than the rise in im-
ports. Exports grew by 5% to reach YR
1479 billion in 2011, while imports rose
by 2% compared with a growth of 8%
in the previous year.
B-Commodity Composition of Foreign Trade:
1. Exports
Exports and re-exports increased
by 5% in 2011 compared with a rise
of 11% last year .This is attributable
to the growth of indigenous exports
by 6% in 2011.The rise in exports
and re-exports was the end product
of the increase of world oil prices.
Re-exports during 2011 declined by
19%, and its ratio to GDP fell from
0.8% in 2010 to 0.6% in 2011 . Ana-
lysing the commodity composition of
exports by SITC:
Oil and its products: recorded an
increase of 5% during 2011, com-
pared with a rise of 9% last year,
Trade Balance
(YR Billions)
1022** 1020 Item
-591.1 -608.8 Trade balance
1,478.8 1,414.1 Exports(1)
2,0.070 2,022.9 Imports
Source: Central Statistical Organization.
1- Including Re-Exports
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Trade Balance
Exports Imports Trade Balance
Chabter five
35
attributable basically to the rise of
international oil prices.
Non-oil raw materials: recorded an
increase of 9% during 2011, com-
pared with a rise of 33% last year
.This is attributable to the increase
of exports of food-stuffs.
Manufactured goods: recorded a
decrease of 8% during 2011, com-
pared with an increase of 16.8%
last year. This is attributed to the
exports of machinery & transport
equipment and miscellaneous
manufactures during 2011.
2. Imports:
Imports during 2011 grew by 2 %,
compared with a rise of 8% during
2010. This is mainly due to the in-
crease in imports of oil and food
stuffs.
Analyzing the commodity
Composition of imports by SITC:
Oil and its products: recorded a rise
of 54% , compared with an increase
of 8% last year. This is attributable
basically to the rise of international
oil prices and importing a large part
of petroleum products as a result of
the breakdown of local oil pipeline.
Exports by SITC group(1)
(YR Billions)
% 2011 % 2010 Item
5.8 247.7 676 6.76 Food & Live Animals
4.7 4.2 074 676 Beverages and Tobacco
0.4 4.6 0.4 275 Raw Materials inedible
77.7 2.745.4 88702 6.54276 Mineral Fuel and Lub. Oil
4.2 7.7 0.1 67. Animals & Vegetables Oil
0.5 6.2 074 67. Chemicals
1.1 24.6 0.8 6076 Manufactures Classified by Materials
2.7 75.8 2.3 .570 Machinery & Transport Equipment
4.5 5.5 07. 478 Miscellaneous Man.
0.1 2.7 076 876 Commodities not classi-fied elsewhere
244 2.567.7 600 6.46476 Total Remarks : 7.8 115.3 7.5 106.2 Non-oil raw materials
3.9 57.6 4.4 62.8 Manufactured goods
Source: Central statistical organization 1 Including Re -exports
Imports by SITC group
(YR Billions)
% 2011 % 2010 Item
29.3 605.7 25.8 521.7 Food & Live Animals
1.2 25.2 1.4 28.0 Beverages and Tobacco
0.6 13.3 0.9 18.4 Raw Materials inedible
31.6 654.5 21.0 424.1 Mineral Fuel and Lub. Oil
2.03 42.0 3.4 69.4 Animals & Vegetables Oil
5.04 104.4 5.5 112.2 Chemicals
11.9 246.8 16.3 330.1 Manufactures Classified by Materials
15.5 321.0 22.02 445.6 Machinery & Transport Equipment
2.7 56.6 3.5 70.2 Miscellaneous Man.
0.02 4.9 0.2 3.3 Commodities not classified elsewhere
100 2,070.0 100 2,022.9 Total Remarks :
33.15 686.1 31.5 637.5 Non-oil raw materials
35.2 729.3 47.52 961.3 Manufactured goods
Source: Central Statistical Organization.
Chabter five
50
Non-oil raw materials: recorded an
increase of 8% in 2011, compared
with a rise of 19% last year. This is
attributed basically to the increase of
imports of food stuffs.
Manufactured goods: recorded a de-
crease of 24% during 2011, com-
pared with an increase of 2.0% last
year. This is attributed to the fall of
imports of machinery& transport
equipment and miscellaneous manu-
factures.
C- Foreign Trade by Economic Blocks 9
1. Exports9
The relative share of the Non-Arab
Asian countries decreased from 78%
in 2010 to 76% in 2011, although their
export value rose by 2% during 2011.
Next came Arab Countries, which de-
creased its share from14.5% in 2010
to 13.2% in 2011, due to a fall in ex-
ports value by 5% during 2011.
The relative share of EC countries in-
creased from 5% in 2010 to 6% in
2011 , attributed to a rise of export val-
ue by 29% during 2011.
Exports to American countries in-
creased by 85% during 2011. As a re-
sult, its relative share rose from 2.6%
in 2010 to 4.6%in 2011.
2. Imports9
In spite of the increase of imports
from Arab Countries by 2% during
2011, its share fell slightly from 37.0%
in 2010 to 36.8% in 2011 .Next came
Non-Arab Asian countries which low-
ered its share from 25.7% in 2010 to
22.4% in 2011 ,due to a fall in their im-
port value by 11% in 2011. Next came
EC countries which decreased their
share from 16.0% in 2010 to 15.7% in
2011. Next came American Countries
which lowered their share from 12% in
2010 to 11% in 2011 due to a fall in
import value by 7%. Other European
countries recorded an increase in their
import value by 122% in 2011. As a
result, their import value rose from 4%
in 2010 to 9% in 2011.
D - Foreign Trade by Countries9
1. Exports:
The rise of exports, especially oil and
gas exports during 2011, has a posi-
tive effect on the volume of trade with
some of Yemen’s trade partners.
China ascended from the second to
the first rank of importers from Yemen,
where its relative share increased from
22% in 2010 to 32% in 2011, as a re-
sult of a rise in export value by 53%.
Chabter five
52
Thailand also ascended from the
seventh to the second position, where
its relative share rose from 4% in 2010
to 18% in 2011 due to an increase in
export value by 434% during
2011.India retreated from the first to
the third position because its relative
share fell from 34% in 2010 to 14% in
2011 and its export value shrinked by
57.5% in 2011. South Korea climbed
from the sixth to the fourth rank be-
cause its relative share rose from 4%
in 2010 to 8% in 2011 and its export
value went up by 98% in 2011. Saudi
Arabia maintained the fifth rank which
it occupied in 2010, although its rela-
tive share increased from 4% in 2010
to 6% in 2011 and its export value rose
by 57%. U.S.A. advanced from the
tenth to the sixth position, whereas its
share increased from 2% in 2010 to
4% in 2011 and its export value rose
by 114.5 %. U.A.E. retreated from the
fourth to the seventh rank, whereas its
relative share dropped from 6.2% in
2010 to 3.5% in 2011 and its export
value fell by 41% during 2011.
Exports by Economic Blocks (1)
(YR Billions)
% *2011 % 7424 Item
13.15 194.5 14.47 204.7 Arab Countries
10.09 149.2 11.38 161.0 GCC
3.06 45.3 3.09 43.7 Other Arab Countries
75.63 1,118.5 77.62 1,097.8 Non-Arab Asian Countries
0.46 6.8 0.42 5.9 Non-Arab African Countries
5.59 82.6 4.54 64.2 EC
0.39 5.7 0.03 0.4 Other European Countries
4.6 68.7 2.63 37.2 American Countries
4 0 0 0.3 Australia and Pacific
4 0 0 0 Unspecified
4.25 2.1 0.25 3.6 Others
100 1,478.8 100 1,414.1 Total
Source: Central Statistical Organization. 1 - Including Re-exports.
Imports by Economic Blocks
(YR Billions)
( % ) 2011 ( % ) 2010 Item
36.80 761.8 .6768 .4876 Arab Countries
33.10 685.1 .57.6 66578 GCC
7.64 .67. 4755 827. Other Arab Countries
77.54 46.76 527.. 25074 Non-Arab Asian Countries
2.45 5676 07.0 6475 Non-Arab African Countries
24.65 .5278 66706 .5.76 EC
8.5 66.76 47. 8.7. Other European Countries
24.76 55270 6570 54572 American Countries
2.09 4.73 57.. 4.76 Australia and Pacific
4.44 070 0.00 070 Unspecified
2.52 5675 1.38 5870 Miscellaneous
244 2,070.0 100 2,022.9 Total
Source: Central Statistical Organization.
Chabter five
51
2. Imports:
U.A.E maintained the first rank among
exporters to Yemen, although its relative
share decreased from 18% in 2010 to
16% in 2011 and its import value fell by
6.5% in 2011.
Saudi Arabia also maintained the second
position which it has occupied in 2010,
whereas its relative share increased from
8% in 2010 to 10% in 2011 and import
value rose by 31% in 2011.
Switzerland climbed from the ninth to the
third rank because its relative share in-
creased from 3% in 2010 to 8% in 2011
and import value rose by 162% in 2011.
Netherlands maintained the fourth rank
which it has occupied in 2010, whereas its
relative share increased from 5.8% in 2010
to 7.6% in 2011 and import value rose by
35% in 2011. China retreated from the third
to the fifth position, whereas its relative
share declined from 7% in 2010 to 6% in
2011 and import value fell by 15% in 2011.
U.S.A. retreated from the fifth to the sixth
rank, whereas its relative share decreased
slightly from 5.2% in 2010 to 4.9% in 2011
and import value declined by 3.5% in 2011.
India occupied the seventh position,
whereas its relative share increased from
3% in 2010 to 5% in 2011 and import value
rose by 54% in 2011.
Top Ten Importers (1)
(YR Billions)
Country 2010 % 2011 %
China .657. 55766 4.675 77.5
Thailand 2078 .726 5.676 27.7
India 4.27. ..766 50575 13.7
South Korea 607. 4756 6667. 8.1
Saudi Arabia 53.5 3.78 83.8 5.7
U.S.A 27.6 1.95 59.2 4.0
U.A.E 8.76 6750 2678 3.5
U.K 6078 07.6 5.76 1.9
Belgium 675 0706 5072 1.4
Japan 672 076. 6676 1.1
Total 1,089.3 77.03 1,331.1 90.04
Other Countries 324.8 22.97 147.. 10.0
Grand Total 1,414.1 244.44 1,478.8 244.44
1 including Re-exports
Top Ten Exporters
(YR Billions)
Country 2010 % 2011 %
U A E 357.7 17.68 334.3 16.1
Saudi Arabia 166.0 8.21 218.0 10.5
Switzerland 6676 .756 265.5 8.4
Holland 66676 27.6 246.8 6.5
China 64476 .765 277.6 4.8
U S A 60670 2754 247.7 5.8
India 6676 .702 84.4 4.6
Kuwait 857. 470. 74.7 5.2
Brazil 8.74 4765 66.7 7.6
Turkey 6.72 .764 58.7 2.4
Total 6.54.8 66768 2.526.2 68.5
Other Countries ..476 .87.5 547.7 72.4
Grand Total 5.0557. 600 7.464.4 244
Source: Central Statistical Organization
Chabter five