cen software sell side draft
TRANSCRIPT
Preparing Your Software Business For SaleJoe DurnfordCEO & Sr. Managing DirectorJD Ford & Company888-999-9495 x2010
2
What to Expect
1• M&A Market Update
2• Current Purchase Price Multiples
3• Industry Focus: Software and Technology Services
4• Sell Side Issues
5• Private Equity
OneM&A Market Update
4
Sustained Rebound in M&A Activity
Number of Announced Deals by Sector Annually
• As we expected, continued pursuit of growth by strategic in economically unexciting times resulted in a rebound in M&A activity in 2014 and so far in 2015 after volume dipped significantly in 2013
• Additionally, increased availability of leverage for private equity firms has helped them compete with strategic valuation and continue doing deals at a steady pace, yet Private Equity were net sellers in 2014 and YTD 2015
• M&A markets are robust and seller-friendly for quality companies with strong valuations for sellers and healthy competition among buyers• Computer and Technology nearly always at the top of “Most Active Industries”
Overall M&A Transaction Activity
Source: CapTarget
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 TTM
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
1230
1253
1125
1391
1374
91
104
99
81
83
120
121
102
128
128
195
175
169
188
196
471
472
474
691
703
351
444
307
397
408
345
348
305
333
327
80
70
62
77
77
894
875
866
1091
1110
420
403
363
466
446
239
231
211
267
257
295
309
266
367
348
127
126
72
107
112
243
212
191
250
249
439
495
411
516
504
197
216
225
274
270
1185
1253
1085
1326
1403
150
166
161
154
139
120
90
108
115
110
Commercial ServicesCommunicationsConsumer DurablesConsumer Non-DurablesConsumer ServicesDistribution ServicesElectronic TechnologyEnergy MineralsFinanceHealth ServicesHealth TechnologyIndustrial ServicesNon-Energy MineralsProcess IndustriesProducer ManufacturingRetail TradeTechnology ServicesTransportationUtilities
5
M&A Market Fundamentals are Sound
Sellers Market for M&A
Drivers:• Grow market share and
expand geographically• Numerous mega deals
completed in 2014 and YTD 2015, but add ons more common
• Significant cash is available to both strategic and financial buyers
• Private equity frims must deploy capital and are aggressive in searching for deals, but still risk averse
• New capital structures designed to position acquisitions for growth
Buyers SellersDrivers:• Regulatory compliance
costs • Age demographics
trending toward selling• Healthy earnings for
past few years have increased valuations
• Internally generted capital is available for distributions
• Becoming more difficult to find and retain next generation management
• Greed and desire for greater liquidity. Fear is not a driver, but be ware
6
S&P 500 Constituents Total Cash & Equivalents ($ Millions)
Global Private Equity “Dry Powder” ($ Billions)
Strategic & Financial Buyers Are Flush with Cash
• Strategic buyers continue to have healthy balance sheets
• Cash balances spiked significantly at the end of 2014
• Members of the S&P 1500 ended the year with over $3 trillion in cash on their balance sheets
• Strategic buyers will continue to be active in the market in 2015 and have the liquidity to get and close deals quickly
Strategic Buyers
• The number of funds along with assets under management continue to grow
• Firms still have record levels of cash AKA “dry powder” to invest – increasing their equity available by $100 billion over 2013,. Now exceeding $1 Trillion of committed equity for investment
• Leverage markets have continued to open up and private equity have been able to increase valuations accordingly
Private Equity Buyers
Source: CapTarget
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$298$377 $407 $403 $406
$561
$801
$1,005 $1,071 $1,064$992 $927 $943
$1,062$1,208
7
Strategic vs. Financial Buyers - Volume
• Strategic buyers always outpace private equity in terms of deal volume • Strategic buyers have continued to ramp up their deal activity since it dipped during the recession – deal
volume is at record highs• Private equity firms continue to do deals at a normal pace but their share of deals overall declined since 2013• The increasing competition for deals both within the private equity community and between private equity and
strategic buyers should prove to have a positive effect on valuations for sellers
Deal Volume by Buyer Type (US-Based Targets)
Source: CapTarget
20102011
20122013
2014Q1 2015 TTM
708733
677609
626625
6068 6458 6678
6012
76017629
FinancialStrategic
TwoCurrent Purchase Price MultiplesStable Seller Friendly Multiples
9
Multiple Trends by Sector
Revenue Multiples by Sector (Cont.)
Revenue Multiples by Sector
Source: CapTarget
Commercial Services
Communications Consumer Durables
Consumer Non-Durables
Consumer Services
Distribution Services
Electronic Technology
Energy Minerals Finance Health Services0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
2.0x 1.7x1.2x 1.5x 1.7x
1.1x2.1x
3.7x3.0x
1.4x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TTM Average
Health
Techn
ology
Indust
rial S
ervice
s
Non-En
ergy M
ineral
s
Proces
s Indu
stries
Produ
cer Man
ufactu
ring
Retai
l Trad
e
Techn
ology
Servi
ces
Transp
ortati
on
Utilitie
s0.0x0.5x1.0x1.5x2.0x2.5x3.0x3.5x4.0x
3.1x
1.4x2.0x
1.5x 1.5x0.7x
3.1x
0.7x
2.5x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TTM Average
10
Multiple Trends by Sector
EBITDA Multiples by Sector (Cont.)
EBITDA Multiples by Sector
Source: CapTarget
Commerc
ial Se
rvices
Commun
icatio
ns
Consu
mer Dura
bles
Consu
mer Non
-Durable
s
Consu
mer Se
rvices
Distrib
ution
Servi
ces
Electr
onic T
echno
logy
Energ
y Mine
rals
Finan
ce
Health
Servi
ces0.0x4.0x8.0x
12.0x16.0x20.0x
9.5x 8.1x 7.9x10.6x
8.1x 10.2x 11.3x 10.5x7.7x 8.8x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TTM Average
Health
Techn
ology
Indust
rial S
ervice
s
Non-En
ergy M
ineral
s
Proces
s Indu
stries
Produ
cer Man
ufactu
ring
Retai
l Trad
e
Techn
ology
Servi
ces
Transp
ortati
on
Utilitie
s
Overall
Avera
ge0.0x2.0x4.0x6.0x8.0x
10.0x12.0x14.0x16.0x18.0x20.0x
11.6x9.8x
12.2x9.5x 10.7x
8.8x11.4x
7.9x10.3x 9.7x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TTM Average
11
Multiples by Transaction Size
• In some industries, multiples for larger companies tend to be higher• Companies with less than $5 million in EBITDA have limited appeal to private equity groups
and thus should consider making acquisitions to expand EBITDA• Services industries have the smallest price size spread historically• Energy and industrial services have the largest size spread • Buyers have been willing to pay higher multiples for companies with larger cash flow and
stronger brand/market presence
Multiples Vary by Size
EBITDA Multiples for Total Enterprise Values (TEV) Above and Below $500 Million (2010-2015)
Source: CapTarget
Commerc
ial Se
rvices
Commun
icatio
ns
Consu
mer Dura
bles
Consu
mer Non
-Durable
s
Consu
mer Se
rvices
Distrib
ution
Servi
ces
Electr
onic T
echno
logy
Energ
y Mine
rals
Finan
ce
Health
Servi
ces
Health
Techn
ology
Indust
rial S
ervice
s
Non-En
ergy M
ineral
s
Proces
s Indu
stries
Produ
cer Man
ufactu
ring
Retai
l Trad
e
Techn
ology
Servi
ces
Transp
ortati
on
Utilitie
s
Grand T
otal
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
Avg EV/EBITDA Under 500mAvg EV/EBITDA Over 500m
ThreeIndustry Focus: Software and Technology Services
13
Transaction Volume by Sector
• Packaged software is the most active industry segment historically
• Prior to 2014 Internet software/services was the next leading sector; however, information technology services have overtaken this segment slightly
• Since hitting a low in 2009, all segments have rebounded moving back toward pre-recession highs
• 2015 is on track to have a record number of deals close
Transaction Volume Volume by Sector and Total
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Data Processing Services Information Technology ServicesInternet Software/Services Packaged SoftwareTotal *Annualized
Source: CapTarget
14
Multiple Trends by Sector
EBITDA Multiples
Revenue Multiples
Source: CapTarget, excludes revenue multiples > 50x and EBITDA multiples greater than 100x
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0x5.0x
10.0x15.0x20.0x25.0x30.0x35.0x
18.8x 18.6x 22.1x 18.0x 20.1x 18.0x 21.0x 17.2x 32.7x 16.8x 15.0x
Data Processing Services Information Technology Services Internet Software/ServicesPackaged Software Average
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150.0x2.0x4.0x6.0x8.0x
10.0x12.0x
3.9x 3.1x 3.1x 3.1x 2.2x 3.5x 3.3x 3.5x 3.1x 3.5x 3.2x
Data Processing Services Information Technology Services Internet Software/ServicesPackaged Software Average
15
Software Industry: Key Value Drivers
Revenue Model &
Growth Rate
Customer Concentration
IP/Product Differentiation
Total Addressable
Market
Internal Systems & Controls
Management Team &
Organizational Structure
Partnerships Profitability
16
The Metric/Economic Outlook: Where are we in the cycle
Y/Y
GD
P G
row
th
(’08
-’15
)
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor EconomicsNote: U.S. GDP denominated in 2009 dollars
Historical data show a recession in the U.S. on average every 6-7 years since 1947, and double-dips within eight years of big recessions like the Great Depression
1.1% 0.8%
(0.3%)
(2.8%)
(3.5%)(4.1%)
(3.3%)
(0.2%)
1.6%
2.7% 3.1%
2.7%
1.9% 1.7% 1.2%
1.7%
2.6% 2.3%
2.7%
1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3%
3.1%
1.9%
2.6% 2.7% 2.4%
2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8%
(5.0%)
(4.0%)
(3.0%)
(2.0%)
(1.0%)
---
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
'08 '08 '08 '08 '09 '09 '09 '09 '10 '10 '10 '10 '11 '11 '11 '11 '12 '12 '12 '12 '13 '13 '13 '13 '14 '14 '14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15
(5.0%)
---
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015Y/
Y G
DP
Gro
wth
(’
50-’
15)
The Metric/Economic Outlook: Tech Spending
17
Global IT Spending (% YoY Change)
Global IT Spending by Category ($BN)
6.0%
(10.0%)
8.0%
6.0%
2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
3.7%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F
$620
$393
$514
$353
$456
Software
Computer Equipment
Tech Consulting &Systems IntegratinoSvcs.
CommunicationsEquipment
Tech Outsourcing & H/WMaint.
$2,336
Sources: Goldman Sachs, IDC, Forrester, and Gartner
Forrester: “Software’s leading position is not a surprise, because it is the focal point for tech innovation today, whether that innovation takes the form of cloud computing and adoption of SaaS, PaaS, smart computing and big data, real-time predictive analytics and smart process apps, or mobile computing and mobile apps and enterprise app stores.”
The Multiple/Discount Rate
18
Lower Rates = Higher Valuations
0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%
10.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%
10-Year Treasury Yields (Jan. 1900 – Jul. 2015)
Source: Department of the Treasury
The Multiple/Risk Environment
19
CBOE Volatility Index (“VIX”) (2004-2015)
Source: CBOE, NYU Sterns research
Lower Perceived Risk = Higher Valuations
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1/2/2004 2/26/2005 4/23/2006 6/18/2007 8/12/2008 10/7/2009 12/2/2010 1/27/2012 3/23/2013 5/18/2014 7/13/2015
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Historical Risk Premium (1960-2014)
The Result: Multiples are High
20
42.6x 13.1x 15.2x 6.5
x 13.5x
7.8x 1.8x
1.1x
2.6x
2.6x
Tech Bubble (2000-2002)
Peak(1) Trough(2)
Great Recession (2007-2009)
Peak(1) Trough(2)
Today
As of 3/31/15
Index Value 4,941 1,114 2,812 1,269 4,964
EV/LTM Revenue
EV/LTM EBITDA
Source: Capital IQ, STRHNote: Bubble represents aggregate LTM revenue and LTM EBITDA multiples for the respective index(1) Tech Bubble peak as of 3/23/00 and trough as of 10/9/02(2) Great Recession peak as of 10/10/07 and trough as of 3/9/09
IPO: US Technology IPO Activity
21
U.S. Technology IPO Activity (Q1 1998 – Q2 2015)
Note: All technology IPOs on U.S. exchanges; Source: Capital IQ
1822
17
8
27
52
65
6060
44
51
12
36
36 5
7
02 1 2
6 7 8 8
16
84
81211
7 85
16
11
20
13
18
20
20 1
42 3
5
1311109
19
37
119
6 6 5
1412
1011
17
69
4
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
'98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
IPO: Growth at Scale is Key Public Market Consideration
22
Revenue Growth of Selected Software IPOs (at IPO)1
Revenue Run Rate of Selected Software IPOs (at IPO, $MM)2
107%
77%65% 63% 62%
51% 49% 48%40% 39% 38% 38% 33% 31% 29% 24% 24% 23%
$51
$101
$34
$104
$79 $99
$68
$108
$151
$96 $103
$62
$97
$63 $85
$97 $89
$60
Median: 39%
Median: $92
Source: Capital IQ and Wall Street research; Selected Software IPOs since 1.2013 with IPO valuation < $2.0bn(1) y/y revenue growth rate of last reported quarter prior to IPO pricing(2) Revenue run rate based on annualized last reported quarter prior to IPO pricing
Rule of Thumb: $100MM of Revenue or $50MM Recurring Revenue Growing at Least 25-30%
Monetization/Full Sale: Most Active Buyers – Strategic
23
• The 10 most active strategic software consolidators combined for 13 acquisitions in Q1 2015
• In Q1 2015, Microsoft was the most active strategic software acquirer with 5 completed acquisitions, including Revolution Analytics and Equivio, that support the company’s strategy to acquire cloud solutions for the Azure platform
• Google and IBM were also active in Q1 2015, with 5 combined acquisitions
# of Transactions by Strategic Buyers1,2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
5 8 5 59
17 8
4 7
7
1012
85
5
35
57
5
8 99 7
5
9 2 85
28 9 6
4 6
10
44 3 1
3
12
15
1
48
3634
27 27 2623
20 20 20
#total
2015 Q1
2014
2013
2012
CashInc. Debt Capacity3
$70
$80
$54
$13
$9
$31
$54
$24
$2
$0.6
$95
$68
$14
$54
$7
$5
$5
$11
$1
$0.6
($BN)
Less Risk = Higher Valuation
24
Key Metrics
Valuation LTM Op. Metrics
3.5x EV / ‘15E Revenue
14.0x EV / ‘15E EBITDA
23.8x EV / ‘15E
P/E
14.3% Revenue Growth
68.6% Gross
Margins
14.8% EBITDA Margins
Source: Company filings, Thomson Financial, Capital IQ, STRH reports; # of public software companies analyzed: 165Note: Valuation charts represent median, 25th percentile and 75th percentile values based on Wall Street consensus
Valuation Metrics by Bus. ModelEV/2015E Revenue
EV/2015E EBITDA
3.3x
4.6x
2.1x2.5x
7.5x
5.5x
Perpetual
SaaS
11.7x
17.1x
10.4x
12.0x
27.5x
23.1x
Perpetual
SaaS
25
Software Sub-segment: SaaSValuation and Growth Profiles
26
Software Sub-segment: SaaSEBITDA Multiple & Rev. Growth Correlation
8.0x 9.0x 10.0x 11.0x 12.0x 13.0x 14.0x 15.0x 16.0x 17.0x0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Industry Focused Solutions Profitable Saas Smaller Market Cap
CY15E EV/EBITDA
CY14
E –
CY16
E Re
venu
e CA
GR
Solera Holdings
Dealertrack
Constant ContactTangoe
Constellation SoftwareSciquest
NICE systems
Sabre Corporation
27
Software Sub-segment: SaaSRev. Multiple & Rev. Growth Correlation
0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Growth Saas Industry Focused Solutions Profitable SaaS Smaller Market Cap SaaS
CY15E EV/Revenue
CY14
E –
CY16
E Re
venu
e CA
GR
ServiceNow
Textura
Guidewire
inContact
Constant ContactMarin Software
Workday
NetSuiteVeeva
MarketoCornerstone On Demand
Tyler Technologies
BenefitfocusService Source
Solera Holdings
Sabre Corporation
Dealertrack SalesforceWageWorks
Service Source
Tangoe
NICE SystemsSciquest
Realpage
Five9
Valuation Analysis & Estimated Value Range
28
Valuation Analysis - Summary
Illustrative Valuation Matrix for ABC Technology, Inc.
Estimated Value Range
Capitalization of Earnings
Comparable Public Companies
Comparable Transactions
Discreet Market Inquiry
$8,
000,
000
$10
,000
,000
$12
,000
,000
$14
,000
,000
$16
,000
,000
$18
,000
,000
$20
,000
,000
Implied Total Equity Value
Valu
atio
n M
etho
dolo
gy
FourSell Side Issues
30
Positioning for Sale
Solid Business Prepared for
Sale
Have Strong Financial Controls• Good controller or CFO• Audit financials• Limited lifestyle expenses
Put a Team in Place• Engage experienced
advisors• Investment bankers and
legal counsel are key extracting value
• Environmental consultants – get site assessment in advance
• Wealth advisor- devise a personal wealth plan and know retirement needs
Be Reasonable• Understand current
market multiples• View from buyers shoes• Don’t be greedy
Grow• Recurring revenue• Improve EBITDA• Enhance margins
Diversify• Reduce upstream
and downstream concentrations
• Look at customers, suppliers and markets
Secure Customers• Nurture customer
relationships• Enhance customer
stickiness
Expand• Improve market
share• Top-tier competitors
get higher valuations
31
Illustrative Sell Side Process and Timeline
PHASE I: Pre-Transaction
Planning (2 – 6 weeks)
PHASE II:
Preparation & Marketing
(6 - 8 weeks)
PHASE III: Partner Selection & Due
Diligence (4 weeks)
PHASE IV: Closing the Transaction
(8 – 12 weeks)
• Extensively discuss goals and objectives of shareholders & management
• Coordinate integrated wealth protection, transfer and preservation plan
• Develop ideal transaction profile consistent with shareholder goals
• Collect due diligence – operational, management, market, industry and financial data
• Develop thorough understanding of the company’s business model and competitive position
• Perform earnings analysis & recast financials to reflect true economic earnings
• Develop a divestiture (sale) plan for the business
• Prepare a detailed assessment of value and selling price range
• Prepare financial models and forecasts
• Work with accountants/lawyers/estate and financial planners with respect to tax advantaged strategies
• Analyze strategic rationale for various buyers
• Identify potential obstacles to sale and deal with them directly and upfront
• Establish Virtual Data Room to be used during due diligence phase
• Create Executive Summary & Prepare the Confidential Information Memorandum
• Finalize list of potential buyers and analysis of buyer synergy opportunities
• Complete data room and begin work on management presentation
• Pre-qualify and contact potential buyers from the approved list
• Execute confidentiality and non-disclosure agreements with interested parties
• Present compelling case for an acquisition to buyer senior executives
• Distribute Information Memoranda to approved parties
• Facilitate flow of information to prospective buyers/investors
• Field inquires from interested parties to minimize company disruption
• Analyze letters of interest and qualifying buyer proposals
• Arrange visits with management for selected parties
• Prepare management presentation materials
• Facilitate negotiations relevant to the transaction and evaluate price, structure and conditions of multiple offers
• Value potential synergies• Advise on the structure of
competing transactions• Model multiple transaction
scenarios to evaluate net after-tax value and meeting of other objectives
• Orchestrate multiple simultaneous negotiations and competing offers
• Review business terms of transaction agreements
• Negotiate for maximum yield of indemnification escrows
• Analyze buyers’ financial capacity to close and closing conditions
• Value non-cash consideration• Negotiate employment, consulting
and other important transaction documents
• Manage buyers due diligence process
• Collaborate with legal, accounting and tax advisors to close the sale
• Continue to assist in negotiation of definitive purchase & sale and other ancillary agreements
• Assist in structuring and closing the transaction
• Ensure timely follow through and settlement of any post-closing obligations
• Utilize JDF Proprietary approach to minimizing taxes and maximizing escrow yields
• Assist with post-closing items as needed
Finding the Right Buyer
32
Collaborate
Consider Both Strategic & Financial Buyers
Leverage Resources – Advisors and Relationships
Go International
Think Outside the BoxBe Thorough
33
The Value Gap
INCREASING VALUE GAP
If the company is not a top tier performer: lack
of buyer interest, difficult financing, and
lower mutliples
Value required by the selling shareholders
• Owners need post-closing cash that is adequate to sustain current lifestyle in low yield investment environment
• Entreprenuers see value in business not seen by third parties
• Owners don’t see company speicifc risks in the same light as buyers
Owner Value
Value potential buyers place on the business
• Valuations driven down by businesses realizing returns < cost of capital
• Buyers have become increasingly risk averse – higher discounts for risks
(i.e. customer concentration, earnings volatility, etc)
Market Value
VALUE GAPResult:Owners opt not to sellOwner sells but does not achieve liquidity objectives
Result:Buyers opt not to buyBuyers pass up good
opportunities
34
Bridging The Value Gap
• Demonstrate growth strategy and be prepared to support “Total Addressable Market” opportunity• Have well documented Intellectual Property Rights and be able to define any market disrupting elements• Ensure all key employees have non-competes and ideally incentives to remain after a sale (Talent has value)• Be willing to get creative in capturing value beyond current market multiples
Overcoming the Value Gap
Focus on Value Creation
Articluate Value & Negotiate Effectively
Achieve fair value that
meets owner needs and
expectations
35
Working Capital – How is it handled?
Post Closing Adjustment
What working capital was actually delivered? What is mechanism for true up?
Working Capital Escrow 90 to 120 days
Setting the TargetFixed Amount or a range?
Why is it an Issue?Buyers view it as an asset they are purchasing, Sellers often view it as something that is rightfully theirs
How is it Defined?(Current Assets, excluding cash) – (Current Liabilities, excluding interest bearing debt) = Net Working Capital
36
Market Standards – What to Expect
Reps & Warranties• Knowledge Qualifiers• Survival Period
Indemnification• Baskets• Caps• Escrows
Indemnification Summary (10-year period, Percentages shown as a percent of purchase price) Mean Median Max MinAll Baskets 0.8% 0.7% 8.2% 0.1%
Deductible 0.8% 0.7% 8.2% 0.1%Dollar-One 0.7% 0.7% 2.3% 0.1%
Cap 13.3% 10.0% 100.0% 0.5%Survival (Months) 19 18 96 6 Escrow 7.8% 7.1% 26.7% 0.5%Escrow (Months 19 18 96 1
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New Deal Tool: Reps and Warranty Insurance
Pros: Limits seller’s exposure if breach of reps and warranties occurs Eliminates 12-24 month indemnity escrow, which is typically 10-15% of Purchase Price Makes deals easier when shareholder groups are diverse and have different levels of indemnification Can provide buyers an edge up in a competitive sale process Helpful to limit risk in cross border deals
Cons: Sellers and buyers must pay insurance premium and pay a deductible if a claim is made Coverage may have broad exclusions of coverage, and does not eliminate risk Some reps may not be covered such as environmental reps when potential exposure is significant Takes~30 days to obtain Inserts another party into the mix
• Can be structured as a security or indemnity: • Most common: As an indemnity it replaces all or part of the traditional seller indemnity for breaches of reps and warranties• Less common: As a security it stands behind a seller’s indemnity for breaches of reps and warranties
• Insurance providers charge a premium, which is usually split by buyers and sellers• Allows sellers to choose to pay a premium to be covered for breaches instead of having a percentage of purchase price held in escrow for 12-
18 months• Premiums usually range from 2-5% of the limit of liability purchased• Deductibles are typically 1-3%
Overview
FourPrivate EquityPrivate Equity deal dynamics and the formula for creating value for buyers and sellers
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Private Equity
• Private Equity multiples are generally lower than those paid by strategic buyers but not always - especially for premier companies
• Valuation is largely dependent on capital structure and availability of leverage
• After hovering at low levels during the recession, leverage multiples have rebounded thus propelling valuations upward to record highs
• As such, total debt used in transactions has increased to near record highs
• The lower middle market continues to be the segment of the PE market with the most activity
Private Equity Private Equity Deal Types
Private Equity Debt % for BuyoutsPrivate Equity Capital Structure Multiples
Source: PitchBook
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140.0x1.0x2.0x3.0x4.0x5.0x6.0x7.0x8.0x9.0x
10.0x
4.4x 3.8x 4.6x 4.5x 4.4x6.6x 6.0x
2.9x 3.8x3.6x 3.7x
2.9x
3.4x 4.0x
Debt/EBITDA Equity/EBITDA
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
50%
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
60%
50%
57%55%
60%
66%
60%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
$1 B +$500 M - $1 B$100 M - $500 M$25 M - $100 MUnder $25 M
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Most Recent PE Transaction Activity by State
30
1013 0
6
2
1
177
6 0 1 23
31 1928 17
64
96
40
15 0113 2
54
2
15 12
50
15
1 124
7
2
14
Q2 2014 transaction activity:• Northeast leads with
123 deals• West: 109 deals• Southeast: 103 deals• Midwest: 101 deals• Southwest: 61 deals
Regional PE Activty Highlights
111
217
1
20
8
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Not All Debt Created Equal
The availability and type of debt available is dependent on a couple of factors that make it more or less “attractive” (in terms of cost, risk and flexibility):
1. Market conditions2. Type of borrower: institutionally backed vs. individual borrower
Institutional
•More flexible covenants (less risk)•Equity cure rights (less risk)•Long-term relationship thinking (less risk)•Lower interest rates (cost)•Lower amortization (flexibility)
Individual
•Often requires personal guarantees (more risk)•Most of the cash flow based market is not available (cost, availability)
•Lender not general thinking long term about relationship (more risk)
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Private Equity & The Rational For Leverage
• Private Equity relies on debt in buyouts and transactions to help provide liquidity to shareholders upon buyout or recapitalization as well as to enhance returns for all shareholders upon harvesting of the investment
• Most private equity deals involve senior debt equivalent to 2.0x to 3.0x EBITDA of the selling company
• Most deals are leveraged less aggressively today than they have been in the past due to tighter banking covenants and more conservative investing approaches overall
• While business owners may be debt averse inherently, many private equity groups have learned to take a disciplined approach to utilizing leverage in a positive manner to achieve results that surpass those that would be obtained via the use of equity alone
Overview
• Assume a hypothetical recapitalization of a company with $15.4 million in EBITDA and an enterprise value of $100 million (6.5x multiple)
• The proposed transaction is to recapitalize the company with a 75% purchase of equity from the existing shareholders allowing them to retain 25% ownership in the new entity
• The private equity firm utilizes sr. debt in the transaction of 2.0x EBITDA or $30.8 million
• The private equity firm provides equity of $44.2 million• Capitalization and proceeds to shareholders is shown in the table
below:
Case Study Assumptions
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Case Study (Cont.)
• If the private equity firm didn’t use leverage the results of the transaction would be entirely different
• The results of two alternative transaction structures are shown in the tables:
• Alternative 1: No debt, same proceeds to selling shareholders
• Alternative 2: No debt, same pro forma ownership
Effects of the Use of Leverage
Reduced Ownership %
Reduced Proceeds
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Closing CommentsClosing Comments
1 Industry Dynamics are favorable for Acquisitions
2 Purchase multiples and EBITDA are expanding
3 Taxes are big motivator to close before year-end
4 Understand Buyers Motives
5 Be focused and disciplined on your desired outcomes
6 Integration planning and execution is parmaount
7
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Joe DurnfordCEO & Sr. Managing DirectorJD Ford & Company
9 Sedgwick DriveThe Consulate BuildingEnglewood, CO 80113Telephone: 303.867.7749E-Mail: [email protected]: www.jdford.com
© 2015 JD Ford & Company LLCSources:
GF Data Resources
JD Ford & Company Proprietary Data
Cap Target
Pitchbook