cell phone traffic data technology demonstration in minnesota its america 2007 annual meeting &...
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Cell Phone Traffic Data Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Technology Demonstration in
MinnesotaMinnesota
ITS America 2007 Annual ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & ExpositionMeeting & Exposition
Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOTRashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT
Dr. Henry Liu, University of MinnesotaAdam Danczyk, University of Minnesota
June 2007
Advantage of Cell Phone Advantage of Cell Phone Probe-based Tracking Probe-based Tracking
• Cell Phone TrackingCell Phone Tracking– Over 215 Million Cell Phones NationwideOver 215 Million Cell Phones Nationwide– Infrastructure already presentInfrastructure already present– Offer point-to-point travel times/speeds Offer point-to-point travel times/speeds
compared with the loop detector’s compared with the loop detector’s “Estimation”“Estimation”
– Does not require installation of new Does not require installation of new detectorsdetectors
How the Cell Phone System How the Cell Phone System WorksWorks
Road Segments and Cell Boundaries
AirSage CoverageAirSage Coverage
Project PartnersProject Partners
• Mn/DOTMn/DOT– FundingFunding– Evaluation supportEvaluation support
• AirSage, Inc.AirSage, Inc.– Provides cell phone traffic data systemProvides cell phone traffic data system– Contractual agreement with Sprint, providing the Contractual agreement with Sprint, providing the
cell phone networkcell phone network
• University of Minnesota, Center For University of Minnesota, Center For Transportation StudiesTransportation Studies– Evaluation and data collectionEvaluation and data collection– Overall evaluation reportOverall evaluation report
• Hennepin CountyHennepin County– Business PlanBusiness Plan
Evaluation ApproachEvaluation Approach
• Freeway Section (I-394)Freeway Section (I-394)– Compare with loop detector travel time dataCompare with loop detector travel time data
• High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)– Compare with floating car dataCompare with floating car data
• Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)– Compare with manual license plate matching Compare with manual license plate matching
datadata
**
Freeway Section (I-394) Freeway Section (I-394) DescriptionDescription
• Loop DetectorsLoop Detectors– ½ mile spacing½ mile spacing
• 30-Second Data30-Second Data
• Existing Mn/DOT Existing Mn/DOT Travel Time SystemTravel Time System
High Speed Signalized High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55) DescriptionRoadway (T.H. 55) Description
• Full Actuated Full Actuated Coordinated Traffic Coordinated Traffic Signal System Signal System
• Floating Car Will Floating Car Will Assess Travel TimesAssess Travel Times
**
Urban Signalized Roadway Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81) Description(CSAH 81) Description
• Semi-Actuated Coordinated Semi-Actuated Coordinated Traffic Signal SystemTraffic Signal System
• License Plate SamplingLicense Plate Sampling
• Use Digital Voice Use Digital Voice Recorders to collect last Recorders to collect last 4 4 license plate digitslicense plate digits
Plate Plate
LetteLetterr
NumbeNumber r
11
NumbNumberer
22
NumbNumberer
33
Upstream Upstream
Entry Entry TimeTime
DownstreaDownstream m
Entry TimeEntry Time
TraveTravel l
TimeTime
FF 55 44 22 4:05:24:05:200
4:08:584:08:58 3:33:388
Data CollectionData Collection
• AirSage, Inc.AirSage, Inc.
• Mn/DOTMn/DOT
• U of MU of M
Data Sample for Freeway Data Sample for Freeway Section Section
(I-394) AM Peak(I-394) AM PeakI-394 AM Peak Hour (I-494 to U.S. 169)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
5:30:00 AM 6:30:00 AM 7:30:00 AM 8:30:00 AM 9:30:00 AM
Time of Day
Tra
vel T
ime
(sec
)
Observed
AirSage
Data Sample for Freeway Data Sample for Freeway Section (I-394) PM PeakSection (I-394) PM Peak
I-394 PM Peak Hour (I-494 to U.S. 169)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
3:00:00 PM 4:00:00 PM 5:00:00 PM 6:00:00 PM 7:00:00 PM
Time of Day
Tra
vel
Tim
e (s
ec)
Observed
AirSage
Data Sample for High Speed Data Sample for High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)
T.H. 55 12-Hr Data (Arrowhead to Peony)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
6:00 7:30 9:00 10:30 12:00 13:30 15:00 16:30 18:00
Time
Tra
vel T
ime
(sec
)
Observed
AirSage
Data Sample for High Speed Data Sample for High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)
T.H. 55 12-Hr Data (I-494 to U.S. 169)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
6:00 7:30 9:00 10:30 12:00 13:30 15:00 16:30 18:00
Time
Tra
vel T
ime (
sec)
Observed
AirSage
Data Sample for Urban Data Sample for Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81) Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)
AM PeakAM PeakCSAH 81 AM Peak (CSAH 30 to U.S. 169)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
7:50 8:00 8:10 8:20 8:30 8:40 8:50 9:00
Time
Tra
vel T
ime
(sec
)
Observed
AirSage
Data Sample for Urban Data Sample for Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81) Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)
PM PeakPM PeakCSAH 81 PM Peak (CSAH 30 to U.S. 169)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
16:15 16:25 16:35 16:45 16:55 17:05 17:15 17:25 17:35 17:45
Time
Trav
el T
ime
(sec
)
Observed
AirSage
Statistical AnalysisStatistical Analysis
• Aggregated Scale Aggregated Scale – Paired T-Test Evaluation Paired T-Test Evaluation
• Based on Time of Day (AM Peak, Mid-day, PM Peak, Based on Time of Day (AM Peak, Mid-day, PM Peak, Evening, Weekend Day, Weekend Evening, etc.)Evening, Weekend Day, Weekend Evening, etc.)
• Disaggregated Scale Disaggregated Scale – Percentage of time that AirSage’s value falls Percentage of time that AirSage’s value falls
within 90% confidence intervalwithin 90% confidence interval– Exception for T.H. 55, as it does not have a Exception for T.H. 55, as it does not have a
continuous data source continuous data source
• Hypothesis TestingHypothesis Testing
Next StepsNext Steps
• Continued Data CollectionContinued Data Collection
• Statistical AnalysisStatistical Analysis
• Final Report – Fall 2007Final Report – Fall 2007
Future/OpportunitiesFuture/Opportunities
• It’s success depends on statistical It’s success depends on statistical confidence when compared with ground confidence when compared with ground truth conditionstruth conditions
• If results are positive, then cell phone If results are positive, then cell phone tracking will likely offer a promising future tracking will likely offer a promising future for travel time estimationfor travel time estimation
Thank you!Thank you!Questions?Questions?