cell phone traffic data technology demonstration in minnesota its america 2007 annual meeting &...

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Cell Phone Traffic Data Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration Technology Demonstration in Minnesota in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT Dr. Henry Liu, University of Minnesota Adam Danczyk, University of Minnesota June 2007

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Page 1: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Cell Phone Traffic Data Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Technology Demonstration in

MinnesotaMinnesota

ITS America 2007 Annual ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & ExpositionMeeting & Exposition

Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOTRashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Dr. Henry Liu, University of MinnesotaAdam Danczyk, University of Minnesota

June 2007

Page 2: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Advantage of Cell Phone Advantage of Cell Phone Probe-based Tracking Probe-based Tracking

• Cell Phone TrackingCell Phone Tracking– Over 215 Million Cell Phones NationwideOver 215 Million Cell Phones Nationwide– Infrastructure already presentInfrastructure already present– Offer point-to-point travel times/speeds Offer point-to-point travel times/speeds

compared with the loop detector’s compared with the loop detector’s “Estimation”“Estimation”

– Does not require installation of new Does not require installation of new detectorsdetectors

Page 3: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

How the Cell Phone System How the Cell Phone System WorksWorks

Road Segments and Cell Boundaries

Page 4: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

AirSage CoverageAirSage Coverage

Page 5: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Project PartnersProject Partners

• Mn/DOTMn/DOT– FundingFunding– Evaluation supportEvaluation support

• AirSage, Inc.AirSage, Inc.– Provides cell phone traffic data systemProvides cell phone traffic data system– Contractual agreement with Sprint, providing the Contractual agreement with Sprint, providing the

cell phone networkcell phone network

• University of Minnesota, Center For University of Minnesota, Center For Transportation StudiesTransportation Studies– Evaluation and data collectionEvaluation and data collection– Overall evaluation reportOverall evaluation report

• Hennepin CountyHennepin County– Business PlanBusiness Plan

Page 6: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Evaluation ApproachEvaluation Approach

• Freeway Section (I-394)Freeway Section (I-394)– Compare with loop detector travel time dataCompare with loop detector travel time data

• High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)– Compare with floating car dataCompare with floating car data

• Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)– Compare with manual license plate matching Compare with manual license plate matching

datadata

**

Page 7: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Freeway Section (I-394) Freeway Section (I-394) DescriptionDescription

• Loop DetectorsLoop Detectors– ½ mile spacing½ mile spacing

• 30-Second Data30-Second Data

• Existing Mn/DOT Existing Mn/DOT Travel Time SystemTravel Time System

Page 8: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

High Speed Signalized High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55) DescriptionRoadway (T.H. 55) Description

• Full Actuated Full Actuated Coordinated Traffic Coordinated Traffic Signal System Signal System

• Floating Car Will Floating Car Will Assess Travel TimesAssess Travel Times

**

Page 9: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Urban Signalized Roadway Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81) Description(CSAH 81) Description

• Semi-Actuated Coordinated Semi-Actuated Coordinated Traffic Signal SystemTraffic Signal System

• License Plate SamplingLicense Plate Sampling

• Use Digital Voice Use Digital Voice Recorders to collect last Recorders to collect last 4 4 license plate digitslicense plate digits

Plate Plate

LetteLetterr

NumbeNumber r

11

NumbNumberer

22

NumbNumberer

33

Upstream Upstream

Entry Entry TimeTime

DownstreaDownstream m

Entry TimeEntry Time

TraveTravel l

TimeTime

FF 55 44 22 4:05:24:05:200

4:08:584:08:58 3:33:388

Page 10: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data CollectionData Collection

• AirSage, Inc.AirSage, Inc.

• Mn/DOTMn/DOT

• U of MU of M

Page 11: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data Sample for Freeway Data Sample for Freeway Section Section

(I-394) AM Peak(I-394) AM PeakI-394 AM Peak Hour (I-494 to U.S. 169)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

5:30:00 AM 6:30:00 AM 7:30:00 AM 8:30:00 AM 9:30:00 AM

Time of Day

Tra

vel T

ime

(sec

)

Observed

AirSage

Page 12: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data Sample for Freeway Data Sample for Freeway Section (I-394) PM PeakSection (I-394) PM Peak

I-394 PM Peak Hour (I-494 to U.S. 169)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

3:00:00 PM 4:00:00 PM 5:00:00 PM 6:00:00 PM 7:00:00 PM

Time of Day

Tra

vel

Tim

e (s

ec)

Observed

AirSage

Page 13: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data Sample for High Speed Data Sample for High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)

T.H. 55 12-Hr Data (Arrowhead to Peony)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

6:00 7:30 9:00 10:30 12:00 13:30 15:00 16:30 18:00

Time

Tra

vel T

ime

(sec

)

Observed

AirSage

Page 14: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data Sample for High Speed Data Sample for High Speed Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)Signalized Roadway (T.H. 55)

T.H. 55 12-Hr Data (I-494 to U.S. 169)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

6:00 7:30 9:00 10:30 12:00 13:30 15:00 16:30 18:00

Time

Tra

vel T

ime (

sec)

Observed

AirSage

Page 15: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data Sample for Urban Data Sample for Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81) Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)

AM PeakAM PeakCSAH 81 AM Peak (CSAH 30 to U.S. 169)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

7:50 8:00 8:10 8:20 8:30 8:40 8:50 9:00

Time

Tra

vel T

ime

(sec

)

Observed

AirSage

Page 16: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Data Sample for Urban Data Sample for Urban Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81) Signalized Roadway (CSAH 81)

PM PeakPM PeakCSAH 81 PM Peak (CSAH 30 to U.S. 169)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

16:15 16:25 16:35 16:45 16:55 17:05 17:15 17:25 17:35 17:45

Time

Trav

el T

ime

(sec

)

Observed

AirSage

Page 17: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Statistical AnalysisStatistical Analysis

• Aggregated Scale Aggregated Scale – Paired T-Test Evaluation Paired T-Test Evaluation

• Based on Time of Day (AM Peak, Mid-day, PM Peak, Based on Time of Day (AM Peak, Mid-day, PM Peak, Evening, Weekend Day, Weekend Evening, etc.)Evening, Weekend Day, Weekend Evening, etc.)

• Disaggregated Scale Disaggregated Scale – Percentage of time that AirSage’s value falls Percentage of time that AirSage’s value falls

within 90% confidence intervalwithin 90% confidence interval– Exception for T.H. 55, as it does not have a Exception for T.H. 55, as it does not have a

continuous data source continuous data source

• Hypothesis TestingHypothesis Testing

Page 18: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Next StepsNext Steps

• Continued Data CollectionContinued Data Collection

• Statistical AnalysisStatistical Analysis

• Final Report – Fall 2007Final Report – Fall 2007

Page 19: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Future/OpportunitiesFuture/Opportunities

• It’s success depends on statistical It’s success depends on statistical confidence when compared with ground confidence when compared with ground truth conditionstruth conditions

• If results are positive, then cell phone If results are positive, then cell phone tracking will likely offer a promising future tracking will likely offer a promising future for travel time estimationfor travel time estimation

Page 20: Cell Phone Traffic Data Technology Demonstration in Minnesota ITS America 2007 Annual Meeting & Exposition Bernie Arseneau, Mn/DOT Rashmi Brewer, Mn/DOT

Thank you!Thank you!Questions?Questions?