cc operational strategy
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Draft Operational Strategy on Adapting to Climate Change
Alex Simalabwi
GWP Regional Days
August 2011
Of the 12 years (from 1995-2006), 11 are among the 12 warmest since records began in 1850.
Global Impacts and Issues
Global Trends in disasters since 1900
Drought and Desertification
Drought, desertification estimated to affect one-third of the world’s population and are predicted to worsen
Sea Level Rise
Millions of people low-lying coastal areas,SIDS at risk over the 21st century
Delta losses
Rising sea levels to result in freshwater losses in river delta systems
Water Stress
700 million people in 43 countries live below the water-stress threshold of 1,700 cubic metres per person. By 2025 that figure will reach 3 billion
Gender Impacts
increased frequency of droughts means that women are walking greater distances to collect water, often ranging from 10-15 km/ day
Ecosystems & Forests
Changes in hydrology to have wide-ranging impacts on ecosystem diversity
Glacial Melt & Mountain Populations
increase flood risk to one-sixth of the world’s population, predominantly in the Indian sub-continent, parts of China, and the Andes in South America
Climate Migration and Displacement
A global temperature increase of 3-4°C could cause 330 million people displaced
Agriculture and Food Systems
Disruption of food production systems may expose an additional 75–125 million people to threat of hunger
Transboundary Impacts
An estimated 145 states have international basins within their territory, and 30 countries lie entirely within them
Finance and GDP• UNFCCC-additional costs
for adaptation in the water sector $9 – 11 billion in 2030
• World Bank- $13.7 billion in drier scenarios, and $19.2 billion in wetter scenarios for ‘Water Supply and Flood Management’.
GWP Response
Goal 2: Address critical development challenges
This means contributing to solutions for critical challenges to water security, such as climate change,
urbanisation, food production, resource related conflict
and other challenges.
Expected outcomes-2a
Outcome 2a:
• National and regional policy makers, civic organisations, water managers and international development agencies take into account the links between water and climate change, and develop solutions for adapting the management of water resources to climate change.
a. Advocacy • Helping policy makers understand
the links between water and climate change
b.Solution development• Supporting policy makers to develop
solutions for adapting the management of water resources to climate change for development
Expected outcomes-2c
Outcome 2 c: International actors and multi-lateral policy processes work with a clearer understanding of the options available for tackling emerging and on-going challenges facing water security
• Intellectual contributions
• to enable international actors and multi-lateral policy processes work with a clearer understanding of the options available for tackling emerging and on-going challenges facing water security
ISSUE GWP Response•Advocacy Major focus of the interventions
-Dialogues,workshops,meetings
•Solutions development
Need Tools for guiding decision making, decision support Tools
-dealing with uncertainity, no/low regret measures, resilience, vulnerability,etc,-some focus on policies -uncertainity??
•Intellectual contributions
-Modest progress; TEC & Regions
Towards an operational strategy
a. Advocacy
G8, Italy, July 2009
“Climate Adaptation is Water Adaptation”
Copenhagen, November 2008
Dialogue on Adaptation to Climate Change for Land and Water Management
UNFCCC AccreditationIGO Observer Status
Side Event : “Bridging the Water and Climate Agendas”“Water Management, Water Security and Climate Change Adaptation”
One Page Briefing Note + contributions to “Outreach”Led to : “Beyond COP15 : Building Resilience through Water Security”
Hanoi, January 2009 Bamako, February 2009
Istanbul, March 2009 Nairobi, April 2009
Nairobi Statement
Barcelona, November 2009
Side Event at Water Day and IGO Observer with
Stakeholder Forum
Beyond COP15 : Regional Dialogues;
+ GWP input into Review of Adaptation
Fund
Nairobi Work Programme on
Adaptation
Bonn, June 2010 COP
16
COP 17Key messages
COP 15
Bonn, June 2011
Disaster Risk Reduction
Disaster Risk Reduction
Climate Change Adaptation
Climate Change Adaptation
Water Security
Water Security
Linking development Agendas
Better climate information
GWP´s role :• Reaching out to the climate community and the disaster management community • Linking water security with these agendas at national level, regional level, global level• Stressing that better water management is the key to climate adaptation
b. Intellectual contributions
b. Intellectual Contributions
• Better Water Resources Management - Greater Resilience Today, More Effective Adaptation Tomorrow
• Water Management, Water Security and Climate Change Adaptation: Early Impacts and Essential Responses
• Climate Change Adaptation and IWRM - An Initial Overview
• Climate Change: How can we adapt• Regional Publications • GWP Briefing Note, 2009
c. Solution developmentbuilding resilience to impacts, minimize damages
& increase benefits
What Solutions?
Policy solutions
Financial solutions
Institutional solutions
Technical solutions
Policy Solutions-Linking Water, Climate and Economic Development communities.. getting out of the silos
Integrating water security, climate resilience into national development, policy frameworks
COP PeopleWater People Finance/ economicDevelopement people
Financial Solutions-Mobilising investments and financing water security to build climate resilience…. (3 I s)
Institutional Solutions
Institutional development- information, education & enhancing knowledge on the risks, damages and opportunities
Technical solutions
Dealing with uncertainty
Distilling available methodologies
Projecting water, climate, development futures
Robust response measures for a wide range of scenarios
Technical solutions-floods
Current Status of the Operational Strategy
Programme Approach.....
Water Climate Development Programe
Under Development.....
Strategic Framework for Water Security and Climate Resilient Development
Technical Backgound documentCapacity Developmenet Strategy
Policy Briefs
Developing the Framework• CORE TEAM• HR Wallingford-lead• Oxford University Centre for Environment• Oxford Policy Management• Institute for Development Studies
• Associate Partners• University of East Anglia Water Security Centre
International Office for Water (host of INBO)
• IWMI-Africa• Climate Systems Analysis Group-University of Cape Town
Discussion
Solution development requires a ‘Step Change’
What should we do to get to this?