catching the wind and basking in the sun
TRANSCRIPT
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Catching the wind
Basking in the sun
and
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Catching the wind
Remember 16th October 1987 !
But not too much
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Michael Fish – forecast on 16th October
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Michael Fish – forecast on 16th October
In 1987, despite major advances, we had very limited satellite information compared with the present day
Marine traffic provided most of the up to date forecasts of incoming weather
All the ships in the Atlantic had moved away from the storm area. So we were effectively blind…
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The British Isles sit in the “latitude of storms”
Cold dry polar air meets moist warm tropical air
RESULT: A depression
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Vertical section through a depression
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The wind strength and direction inside a depression
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The wind strength is directly proportional to the isobar spacing
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Breath of life……
……Or kiss of death ?
Wind Turbines
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World growth of wind power 1995-2012
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And the 2009 forecast of turbine size
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Comparative size – 2MW turbine and a Jumbo 747
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In 2014 the largest turbine is the Vestas V164-8.0…..
• Blade length: 80 metres
• Tower height: 140-metres
• Tip height: 220 metres
• Swept area: 21,000 m2
Rated output 8MW
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Comparative size – 2MW turbine and a Jumbo 747
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Remember the 2009 forecast of turbine size?
2012 – 2-3 MW
2015 – 7.8 MW
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The global mean wind speed at 80 metres
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There is a very good reason why we the UK are building wind turbines
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Impact of wind turbines on land
Visual intrusion on landscape
Low frequency turbine noise
Flicker effect at low sun elevation
Headache
Nausea
Depression
Anxiety
Pollution
Fire
Birds and bats killed by sweeping blades
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Relative component values
How a wind turbine comes together
26.3%
22.2%
1.37%
1.22%
1.91%
2.80%
12.9%
3.44%
1.25%
2.66%
5.0%
3.59%
1.32%
1.35%
1.04% 0.96%
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What’s inside a wind turbine
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Out of control wind turbine
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Wind turbine fire
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1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.8
9 hours
Normalised output from 15 turbines • Variability about the norm • Standard deviation/mean 1.84
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1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.8
9 hours
Normalised output from 200 turbines • Variability about the norm • Standard deviation/mean 1.26
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1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.8
9 hours 9 hours
Comparing the two situations
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Catching the wind
Basking in the sun
and
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Basking in the sun
Solar PV and three years’ Personal experience
…..When it shines
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solar panels The average energy flux striking the Earth’s surface is 175 W/sqM
We could supply all the world’s energy needs from a solar farm covering the area of a small country
Solar panels convert sunlight to electricity with an efficiency of around 15%
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A typical domestic installation
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The basic principle
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Simplifed schematic diagram
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Worldwide growth of PV
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Eight of our 16 250w panels
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The other eight panels
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Some like it hot – and some do not!
Electronic equipment tends to get less efficient and more prone to fail at higher temperatures
The inverter is typically mounted in an unventilated roof space or a garage. The roof space warms up very quickly on sunny days
On sunny days the solar panels generate up to 4 kilowatts at DC
The inverter consequently gets substantially warmer than the already warm roof space!
It has an internal cooling system with a large finned heat sink, but it needs a bit of help!
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A warm sunny day with passing cumulus clouds
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A few minutes later the cloud has passed
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This is my Aurora 3.6 Kw inverter, mounted in the roof space
The elephant’s trunk is my own very special adaptation
Note the two isolators. My system has two groups of 8 panels and each can be isolated
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A hot water cylinder thermostat has a SPCO switch so I used it in reverse!
When the inverter gets too hot it switches on an inline fan
The temperature drops immediately by about 10 degrees
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Air is drawn in from a nearby bedroom when the temperature rises to about 55 degrees
The cool air is blown vertically through the finned heat sink
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Some like it hot – and some do not!
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Basking in the sun
Solar PV and three years’ Personal experience
…..When it shines
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Was it a good investment? Solar PV and three years’ Personal experience
An unqualified YES!
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Initial cost was £8,500
Forecast power generation was 3,700 kwh
After three years’ experience:
• M.A.T. power generated was 4,300 kwh
• F.I.T. payment £932
• Electricity sold to grid £128
• Reduced electricity from grid saves £52
• FORECAST TOTAL ANNUAL RETURN £1,112
• Equal to 13.1% tax free
• Equal to 16.4% at 20% tax rate
• Or even 21.8% at 40% tax rate
Assuming only 10% of the electricity generated is used
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Three years actual payments made by EDF
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Daily normalised output from Solar PV
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But what happens when the
entirety of Europe sits under a
large midwinter anticyclone with
little sun showing through the
clouds?
NO solar PV
NO wind turbines moving
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Demand and Supply 27th February 2015
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Storage technology Typical round trip efficiency (%)
Typical capacity
Pumped hydro 80 100 – 1000 MW
Compressed air 75 50 – 100 MW
Flywheel 90 1 kW – 50 kW
Conventional battery 50 - 90 1 kW – 10 MW
Flow battery 70 ~ 15 MW
Hydrogen fuel cell 40 50 kW – 1 MW
We need to store the energy created earlier