case3-obermeyer case study
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Supply chain management case study reportTRANSCRIPT
Group 3: Abdollah Mohammadi
Candice Benson
Brandon Bell
Praful Rapariya
October 6, 2015
Case Study: Sports Obermeyer Ltd.
AGENDA
Background
About Sports Obermeyer
Obermeyer Supply Chain Management
Challenges in Supply Chain
Obermeyer Order cycle
Production planning
Lead time
Operational recommendation
BACKGROUND
Established in Aspen Colorado by Klaus Obermeyer in 1947.
Immigrated from Germany to be instructor at Aspen ski school.
Inspired by students to make better clothes for skiing conditions.
Responsible for making the 1st goose down vest and ski brake
SPORTS OBERMEYER LTD.
They produce parkas, ski jackets, ski pants, sweaters, turtlenecks and other accessories.
Products offered in five different gender men, women, boys, girls and preschoolers.
In 1992, Obermeyer held 45% of the children skiwear market.
Sales in 1992 reached almost $33 million.
11% of the adult skiwear market.
Over 85% of product sold to customer to use during skiing
Manufacturing Subsidiary Obersport, Ltd
OBERSPORT LTD.
Established in 1985 by joint venture Klaus Obermeyer and Raymond Tse.
Coordinated Sport Obermeyer production in the far east.
Responsible for fabric and component sourcing.
Material sourced was produced in Alpine. Ltd owned by Raymond.
Manufacturing plants located in Hong Kong, Macau and China.
Obermeyer Supply Chain Management
Source MoveMake Store
Supply Chain Process Flow
Textiles and Accessories Suppliers
Apparel Manufacturers
ObersportSports
Obermeyer Retailers
OBERMEYER CHALLENGES IN SUPPLY CHAIN
Challenges
Long Lead Time Inaccurate forecast of retailers demand
Production allocation difficulties in China
and Hong Kong
OBERMEYER ORDER CYCLE 1993-1994 LINE
• Design process begins
• Las Vegas show for 92-93 line
• Concept finalized • Sketches send to
Obersport• Prototype
production • Design finalized
• First production order with Obersport.
• Calculate requirement
• Order components
• Print dye orders • Sample
production
• First orders through ships ( June-July)
• Addition orders through air freight (Aug)
• Orders received in Aug
• Peak selling period Dec and Jan.
• Discount period start March.
• Las Vegas Show for 93-94 line.
• 80% of retailers order received.
• Second production order with Obersport.
• Full scale production.
Design Activity (Feb-Sep)- 92
Production Planning
(Oct 92 – Jan 93)
New Line Promotions
(Jan-Mar)-93
Shipping and Handling
(June-Aug)-93
Retail Activity (Sep 93- April 94)
LEAD TIME
What is the production lead time of ski wear 10 months: February to August
What are the factors that contribute to lead times being so long?
Chinese New Year
Assembly line production
LEAD TIME CONT.
What are the operational and competitive results of these long lead times?
Loss of sales if dates are not met
Change of tastes
10 style of women parka
At least 10,000 units of initial production
All made in Hong Kong
How many of each style should be ordered?
PRODUCTION PLANNING
Forecast Data
Style
Seduced 4,017 1,113
Assault 2,525 680
Electra 2,150 807
Entice 1,358 496
Anita 3,296 2,094
Daphne 2,383 1,394
Isis 1,042 646
Teri 1,100 762Stephanie 1,113 1,048
Gail 1,017 388
http://www.obermeyer.com/womens-ski-jackets
Normal Distribution of Demand
Prod. Q. Over. Pr.
50.00%
15.87%
2.28%
0.13%
Forecast Data Production
Style
Seduced 4,017 1,113 4,017 2,904 1,791Assault 2,525 680 2,525 1,845 1,165Electra 2,150 807 2,150 1,343 536Entice 1,358 496 1,358 862 366Anita 3,296 2,094 3,296 1,202 0Daphne 2,383 1,394 2,383 989 0Isis 1,042 646 1,042 396 0Teri 1,100 762 1,100 338 0Stephanie 1,113 1,048 1,113 65 0
Gail 1,017 388 1,017 629 241
Total 20,000 - 20,000 10,573 4,099 10,000
2,8361,8041,294832
1,075904357292
1
605
?=1.0
6
PRODUCTION PLANNING(NO MIN. ORDER QUANTITY)
PRODUCTION PLANNING(WITH MIN. ORDER QUANTITY)
Reminder: All parkas made in Hong Kong (m=600)
General Idea: to produce high demand or low demand styles so that we are pretty sure either there will be stock out or overstock.
Three risk categories and risk factor:
Category 1 (Safe):
Category 2 (Pretty Safe):
Category 3 (Not Safe):
Category 3
Category 2 Category 1
PRODUCTION PLANNING(WITH MIN. ORDER QUANTITY)
Forecast Data Risk Parameters
Style Mean Std. Dev. ()
Risk Category Safety Factor ()
Seduced 4,017 1,113 1 2.53
Assault 2,525 680 1 1.95
Electra 2,150 807 1 1.18
Entice 1,358 496 1 1.00
Anita 3,296 2,094 1 0.85
Daphne 2,383 1,394 1 0.32
Isis 1,042 646 3 0.00
Teri 1,100 762 3 0.00Stephanie 1,113 1,048 3 0.00
Gail 1,017 388 3 0.00
Calculating Risk Parameters:
PRODUCTION PLANNING(WITH MIN. ORDER QUANTITY)
Start n=1i=1 𝑄𝑖=max ¿ i=n? 𝑇=𝑠𝑢𝑚(𝑄𝑖) 𝑇 ≥10,000?
𝑖=𝑖+1
i=1
YES YES
NO
NO
end
After sorting the styles based on in decreasing order we have the following assumptions: n is the case of the first n styles of parka = min in case n
is the standard deviation of the style i
PRODUCTION PLANNING(WITH MIN. ORDER QUANTITY)
Case 1 Case 2 Case 3 Case 4 Case 5 Case 6 Case 7 Case 8 Case 9 Case 10
1 600 1,248 2,107 2,303 2,472 3,062 3,417 3,417 3,417 3,417 2 600 1,125 1,244 1,348 1,708 1,925 1,925 1,925 1,925 3 600 742 865 1,293 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 4 600 919 2,029 2,696 2,696 2,696 2,696 5 600 1,339 1,783 1,783 1,783 1,783 6 600 758 758 758 758 7 600 600 600 600 8 600 600 600 9 600 600 10 600
Total: 600 1,848 3,831 4,890 6,204 10,032 12,729 13,329 13,929 14,529
Results from running the heuristic for all the cases:
OPERATIONAL RECOMMENDATIONS
What operational changes would you recommend to Wally to improve performance?
Cross Training Consider implementing the training policies you have in place in Hong Kong in China
Switching which Jackets are Produced in which warehouse Let the risk factor determine which jacket to produce in which location
Address your variability in your lead times for receiving materials Make an ordering Schedule
STRATEGIC OPTIONS How should Obermeyer management think (both short-
term and long-term) about sourcing in Hong Kong versus China?
Short Term: Let your risk factor determine where certain products should be produced
Long Term: (While working on your short term plan) Try to implement a cross training regime for your Chinese production center
References:
http://www.obermeyer.com/womens-ski-jackets
Thank You