case study states - colorado
TRANSCRIPT
Case Study States
Voted Republican in 2012 and 2016
Voted Democrat in 2012 and 2016 Interview Focus Area
Switched from Democrat in 2012 to Republican in 2016
Switched from Republican in 2012 to Democrat in 2016
Ohio Colorado Nebraska U.S.
3-Person Household, 2016:
Middle-Income Range
Median Income
$40,359 - 121,078
$60,539
$46,551 - 139,653
$69,827
$40,902-122,705
$61,353
$45,195 - 135,585
$67,793
Population, 2018 11,689,442 5,695,564 1,929,268 327,167,434
Population Growth,2010-2018 1% 13% 6% 6%
Population with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (ages 25+), 2017
28% 41% 32% 32%
Median Value of Owner-Occupied Housing, 2017
$144,200 $348,900 $155,800 $217,600
Manufacturing Employment, 2018 13% 6% 9% 9%
SOURCE*: Rakesh Kochhar, “The American Middle Class is Stable in Size, But Losing Ground Financially to Upper-Income Families,” Pew Research Center, September 6, 2018; U.S. Census, “Quick Facts: United States, Ohio, Colorado, Nebraska,” “Educational Attainment: 2017 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates,” and “Median Value (Dollars) Owner-Occupied Housing Units 2017 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates;” Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2018 Annual Averages.”*See PowerPoint Notes for Full Sources
Voted Republican in 2012 and 2016
Voted Democrat in 2012 and 2016
Switched from Democrat in 2012 to Republican in 2016
Interview Focus Area
Household Costs Rising Faster than Income
High Home to Price Ratios, 2017
Top Occupations Pay Below Mid-Income Wages
SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Occupational Employment Statistics: May 2018 State Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates: Colorado,” https://www.bls.gov/oes/2018/may/oes_co.htm.
Income Variance
< $40,000
$40,000 - 46,000
$46,001 - 55,000
$55,001 - 67,000
> $67,000
Median HH Income, 2013-2017
SOURCE: Colorado Department of Local Affairs, “Median Household Income,” January 22, 2019, https://storage.googleapis.com/maps-static/MedianHouseholdIncome.pdf.
Goods Exports, 2018 (% of GDP)
8.0% 6.5%
2.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%Lo
uis
ian
aTe
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Ken
tuck
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Car
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Mic
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Wes
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Mis
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Ore
gon
Ala
ska
Ten
nes
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Ver
mo
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Uta
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Illin
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Iow
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Neb
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nec
ticu
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elaw
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New
Ham
psh
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Min
ne
sota
Cal
ifo
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No
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Car
olin
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ori
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Pen
nsy
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New
Yo
rkA
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sas
Mas
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Mis
sou
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ain
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Isla
nd
New
Mex
ico
Wyo
min
gV
irgi
nia
Mo
nta
na
Okl
aho
ma
Mar
ylan
dSo
uth
Dak
ota
Co
lora
do
Haw
aii
Goods Exports
8.1%U.S. Total
SOURCES: U.S. Census Bureau, USA Trade Online, data extracted May 10, 2019, https://usatrade.census.gov/; and Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Regional Data: GDP by State, Current Dollars,” 2018, data extracted May 16, 2019, https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?isuri=1&reqid=70&step=1#isuri=1&reqid=70&step=1.
SOURCES: United States Department of Labor, Data on TAA Petitions and Determinations, April 30, 2019, data extracted May 30, 2019, https://www.doleta.gov/tradeact/taa-data/petitions-determinations-data/; U.S. Census, “State Intercensal Tables: 2000–2010” and “Annual Estimates of the Resident Population April 1, 2010 to July, 2018,” data extracted June 3, 2019, https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid= PEP_2018_PEPANNRES&src=pt, https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/intercensal-2000-2010-state.html.
Trade Adjustment Assistance
Estimated Number of Workers Awarded TAA Benefits 2010-2018, per 1000 people
12.2
6.0 5.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
No
rth
Car
olin
aO
rego
nM
ich
igan
Ten
nes
see
Mai
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Ark
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Car
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Ala
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sylv
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Was
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Kan
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inn
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Rh
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chu
sett
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Okl
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Vir
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Vir
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Dak
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Geo
rgia
Neb
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Uta
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exic
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rad
oN
ew Y
ork
New
Jer
sey
Cal
ifo
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Del
awar
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Mo
nta
na
Lou
isia
na
No
rth
Dak
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Mar
ylan
dFl
ori
da
Haw
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Wyo
min
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a
8.2U.S. Median
3.7% 3.4% 2.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%H
awai
iN
ew Y
ork
Nev
ada
Mas
sach
use
tts
Flo
rid
aD
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are
Cal
ifo
rnia
New
Jer
sey
Illin
ois
Geo
rgia
Mar
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on
nec
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ash
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on
Co
lora
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Vir
gin
iaU
tah
New
Ham
psh
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Texa
sP
enn
sylv
ania
Neb
rask
aA
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na
New
Mex
ico
Min
ne
sota
Mis
sou
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ort
h C
aro
lina
Ore
gon
Sou
th D
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ich
igan
Oh
ioIn
dia
na
Lou
isia
na
No
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Dak
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Rh
od
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lan
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Idah
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esse
eV
erm
on
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on
tan
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Car
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Ark
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Ala
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Vir
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Services Exports
Services Exports, 2017 (% of GDP)
3.9%U.S. Total
SOURCE: Nick Marchio and Joseph Parilla, “Export Monitor 2018,” Brookings Institution, April 30, 2018.
Defense Spending
0.0% to 0.5%
0.6% to 1.0%
1.1% to 1.8%
1.9% to 2.9%
3.0% to 8.9%
Defense Spending (% GDP), 2017
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Defense, Office of Economic Adjustment, “Defense Spending by State: Fiscal Year 2017,” Revised Version, March 2019, http://www.oea.gov/sites/default/files/fy2017-r2/FY2017_Defense_Spending_by_State_Report_Web_Version_20190315.pdf.
$40 M – 150 M
$151 M - $250 M
$251 M - $1 B
$1 B - $1.9 B
$2 B – 2.1 B
Defense Spending 2017
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Defense, Office of Economic Adjustment, “Defense Spending by State: Fiscal Year 2017,” Revised Version, March 2019, http://www.oea.gov/sites/default/files/fy2017-r2/FY2017_Defense_Spending_by_State_Report_Web_Version_20190315.pdf.
Energy Production by State
Total Energy Production, 2017
SOURCE: U.S. Energy Information Administration, “Rankings: Total Energy Production, 2017” https://www.eia.gov/State/rankings/?sid=OH#/series/101, accessed October 11, 2019.
Oil Production
Oil & Gas Locations
SOURCE: Colorado Department of Local Affairs, “Median Household Income,” January 22, 2019, https://storage.googleapis.com/maps-static/MedianHouseholdIncome.pdf.
Oil and Gas Basins
Approved Well Permit
Back Up Slides
Services Exports, Detailed
SOURCE: Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Data on Activities of Multinational Enterprises: Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S., Majority –Owned Bank and Nonbank U.S. Affiliates, Employment,” https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?isuri=1&reqid=2&step=1, “Total Full-Time and Part-Time Employment by NAICS Industry, Total Employment (Number of Jobs),” September 24, 2019, https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=70&step=1&isuri=1, accessed October 9, 2019.
Foreign Direct Investment
3.9%
2.9%
2.4%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%N
ew J
erse
ySo
uth
Car
olin
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entu
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Ind
ian
aN
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amp
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nec
ticu
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assa
chu
sett
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ich
igan
Ten
nes
see
No
rth
Car
olin
aIll
ino
isD
elaw
are
Rh
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lan
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lab
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Mai
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Haw
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New
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Vir
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and
Mis
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Wis
con
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Was
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Neb
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Okl
aho
ma
No
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Dak
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Sou
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New
Mex
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Estimated Major Foreign Affiliate Employment, 2016(% Total Employment)
3.7%U.S. Total
D.C
.
Unemployment Rate by State
Unemployment Rate, Sept 2019
5.2 – 7.6%
4.4 – 5.1%
4.1 – 4.3%
3.7 – 4.0%
3.4 – 3.6%
2.9 – 3.3%
2.2 – 2.8%
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Local Area Unemployment Statistics Map,” https://data.bls.gov/lausmap/showMap.jsp;jsessionid=6003F1BAC976CB4E1F40E68521EAA496._t3_07v, accessed November 6, 2019.
Goods Exports (Brookings)
9.2%
3.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Lou
isia
na
Ind
ian
aIo
wa
Ala
bam
aM
ich
igan
Ke
ntu
cky
Wes
t V
irgi
nia
Sou
th C
aro
lina
Texa
sM
issi
ssip
pi
Oh
ioN
ort
h C
aro
lina
Wis
con
sin
Kan
sas
Ore
gon
Ten
nes
see
Ark
ansa
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ash
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on
Wyo
min
gN
ebra
ska
Sou
th D
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Idah
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klah
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inn
eso
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ort
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ako
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nec
ticu
tU
nit
ed S
tate
sU
tah
Pen
nsy
lvan
iaIll
ino
isG
eorg
iaN
ew H
amp
shir
eA
rizo
na
Cal
ifo
rnia
New
Mex
ico
Ver
mo
nt
Ala
ska
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dM
assa
chu
sett
sM
ain
eC
olo
rad
oM
on
tan
aV
irgi
nia
New
Jer
sey
Nev
ada
Del
awar
eFl
ori
da
Mar
ylan
dN
ew Y
ork
Haw
aii
Goods Exports, 2017 (% of GDP)
7.8%
SOURCE: Nick Marchio and Joseph Parilla, “Export Monitor 2018,” Brookings Institution, April 30, 2018.
6.4%U.S. Total
Goods Exports, 2018 (% of GDP)
8.0% 6.5%
2.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%Lo
uis
ian
aTe
xas
Ken
tuck
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uth
Car
olin
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ako
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ash
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Mic
hig
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dia
na
Wes
t V
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nia
Mis
siss
ipp
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lab
ama
Ore
gon
Ala
ska
Ten
nes
see
Ver
mo
nt
Uta
hO
hio
Illin
ois
Iow
aK
ansa
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iaW
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nsi
nN
evad
aA
rizo
na
Neb
rask
aC
on
nec
ticu
tD
elaw
are
New
Ham
psh
ire
Min
ne
sota
Cal
ifo
rnia
No
rth
Car
olin
aN
ew J
erse
yFl
ori
da
Pen
nsy
lvan
iaId
aho
New
Yo
rkA
rkan
sas
Mas
sach
use
tts
Mis
sou
riM
ain
eR
ho
de
Isla
nd
New
Mex
ico
Wyo
min
gV
irgi
nia
Mo
nta
na
Okl
aho
ma
Mar
ylan
dSo
uth
Dak
ota
Co
lora
do
Haw
aii
Goods Exports (U.S. Census)
8.1%U.S. Total
SOURCES: U.S. Census Bureau, USA Trade Online, data extracted May 10, 2019, https://usatrade.census.gov/; and Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Regional Data: GDP by State, Current Dollars,” 2018, data extracted May 16, 2019, https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?isuri=1&reqid=70&step=1#isuri=1&reqid=70&step=1.