cars - the better drivers ? dr. kay stepper vice president, driver assistance and automated driving...
TRANSCRIPT
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Cars - the better drivers ?
Dr. Kay Stepper
Vice President, Driver Assistance and Automated Driving
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2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 20400%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Vision – Injury free driving
Source: Bosch Accident Research, DAT, DESTATIS 1 Installation rate and figures estimated 3 100% in 1999 = 395 689 accidents w/ casualties
ESC
1
Accidents involving fatalities 3
- 30%
4
no car involved(18%)
automation(26%)
driver assistance systems/active safety
(45%)
v2x solutions(11%)
Vision – Injury free driving
Source: Bosch Accident Research, DAT, DESTATIS 1 Installation rate and figures estimated 2 AEB including AEB VRU, LDW/LKS, Night Vision, Lane Change Assist (incl. BSD), Crossing Assist, Left Turn Assist 3 100% in 1999 = 395 689 accidents w/ casualties 4 possible Installation rate of automated function e.g.Highway Pilot
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 20400%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Automated driving 4
Driver Assistance
1,2
ESC
1
Accidents involving fatalities 3
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The human driver
Overwhelmed
Under stimulated
Oth
er
Tasks
Driving task
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From driver to passenger
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Assisted driving
Automatic emergency braking since 2010
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Assisted driving
Evasive steering support
2015
Automatic emergency braking since 2010
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Example - Evasive steering support
60 cm
Evasive steering support
2015
25% earlier
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Partial / Conditional Automation
Traffic jam assist 2015
Highway assist 2018Evasive Steering
Support 2015
Automatic emergency braking since 2010
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Titel des KapitelsHigh / Full Automation
Traffic Jam Assist 2015
Integrated Cruise Assist 2017
Highway Assist 2018
Evasive Steering Support
2015
Automatic emergency braking since 2010
Traffic Jam pilot>2016
Highway pilot2020
Auto pilot>2025
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Key technologies for automated driving
Vehicle motion control
Perception
Localization
Planning & Decision Makingcut in
Driver monitoring
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Titel des Kapitels
The car takes over fallback responsibilities
High / fullautomation
Partialautomation
!System maintains operation(fail-operational)
Driver takeover (fail-safe)
Driver takeover
No Driver takeover: System in degraded operation until car is stopped
t
Safe stop
0
Highly automated driving requires redundancies
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Automated parkingvmax < 10 kph
Traffic jam pilot vmax = 40..60 kph
Highway pilotvmax = 130 kph
brake steer accel.
motion control
situation analysis + planner
environmental sensors
Required redundancies
brake steer accel.
motion control
situation analysis + planner
environmental sensors
motion control
brake steer accel.
Situation analysis + planner
environmental sensors
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Test, Verify, Validate … Repeat
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Connectivity based development and validation
Data-storage
Back-end
Perception
Database for field data Product development
Actuators
Example
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Information on future behavior
Titel des Kapitels
Connected vehicles are better vehicles
Non-visible area (e.g. crossing traffic)
Small latency(e.g. electronic brake light)
Information on future behavior(e.g. remaining red light phase)
Sensor data fusion(e.g. dynamic map)
Negotiation of maneuvers(lane merge assist)
Redundancy(360° vehicle environment)
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Cars - the better drivers ?
Overwhelmed
Under stimulated
Oth
er
Tasks
Driving task
Be connected,Communicate,Be productive
Active Driving
Driving pleasure
Relieve human from driving task-> enable non-driving tasks
Involve human, offer information, offer driving tasks
“Co-Pilot“:Observe, evaluate, offer
Crash avoidance / Collision mitigation
Vision – injury free driving
Source: Bosch Accident Research, DAT, DESTATIS 1 Installation rate and figures estimated 2 AEB including AEB VRU, LDW/LKS, Night Vision, Lane Change Assist (incl. BSD), Crossing Assist, Left Turn Assist 3 100% in 1999 = 395 689 accidents w/ casualties
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 20400%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Automated Driving 4
Driver Assistance
1,2
ESC
Accidents involving fatalities 3
1
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no car involved(18%)
Automation(26 %)
driver assistance systems/active Safety
(45%)
V2x solutions(11 %)
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Invented for life