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Cardinal Disclosure
THIS PRESENTATION SHALL NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER TO SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY AN INTEREST IN ANY FUND MANAGED BY CARDINAL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. (“CARDINAL”), WHICH MAY ONLY BE MADE AT THE TIME A QUALIFIED OFFEREE RECEIVES A CONFIDENTIAL PRIVATE OFFERING MEMORANDUM (“CPOM”) DESCRIBING THE OFFERING AND RELATED SUBSCRIPTION AGREEMENT AND IN THE CASE OF ANY INCONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE DESCRIPTIONS OR TERMS IN THIS PRESENTATION AND THE CPOM, THE CPOM SHALL CONTROL. THESE SECURITIES SHALL NOT BE OFFERED OR SOLD IN ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH SUCH OFFER, SOLICITATION OR SALE WOULD BE UNLAWFUL UNTIL THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE LAWS OF SUCH JURISDICTION HAVE BEEN SATISFIED. WHILE ALL THE INFORMATION PREPARED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BELIEVED TO BE ACCURATE, CARDINAL MAKES NO EXPRESS WARRANTY AS TO THE COMPLETENESS OR ACCURACY OF THE INFORMATION APPEARING IN THIS PRESENTATION. ANY PROJECTIONS, MARKET OUTLOOKS OR ESTIMATES IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND ARE BASED UPON CERTAIN ASSUMPTIONS. OTHER EVENTS WHICH WERE NOT TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT MAY OCCUR AND MAY SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE RETURNS OR PERFORMANCE OF A CARDINAL PRODUCT. ANY PROJECTIONS, OUTLOOKS OR ASSUMPTIONS SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED TO BE INDICATIVE OF THE ACTUAL EVENTS WHICH WILL OCCUR. THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT INTENDED FOR PUBLIC USE OR DISTRIBUTION.
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A Small to Mid Cap Value Equity Investment Firm
Experienced team of value investors
Superior long-term investment returns
Free cash flow driven investment strategy
Consensus-building and team-oriented culture
Wholly owned by current and former senior investment professionals
4
Client Assets Under Management
Assets by Client Type Assets by Product
February 29, 2016
Total AUM: $1,383 Million
Inception Dates: Small Cap: July 1992 Select Value: January 2002 SMID Cap: April 2010 Microcap: May 2012 ** Includes both SMID Cap and Select Value Portfolios
Corporate36%
Foundation & Endowment
6%
Taft-Hartley11%
Public Pension15%
LPs3%
Mutual Fund13%
Individuals8%
Small Cap $1,066 MM
61%
SMID Cap**$624 MM
35%
Microcap$68 MM
4%
Total AUM: $1.8 Billion
5
Seasoned Team of Value Investment Managers
Eugene Fox, III
Managing Partner/PM/Analyst
April 1995
BA, University of Virginia
MBA, University of Chicago
Investment Experience: 29
Robert Kirkpatrick, CFA
Managing Partner/PM/Analyst
August 2000
BA, Williams College
Chartered Financial Analyst
Investment Experience: 31
Rachel Matthews
Partner/PM/Analyst
January 2001
BA, Columbia University
MBA, New York University
Investment Experience: 25
Robert Fields
Partner/PM/Analyst
April 2013
BS, Ball State University
MBA, University of Pennsylvania
Investment Experience: 16
Chitra Sundaram
Senior Analyst
August 2005
B. Comm. University of Pune
MBA, New York University
Investment Experience: 17
Christopher Robertson
Senior Analyst
August 2007
BA, University of Rochester
MBA, Columbia University
Investment Experience: 18
Michael Cotogno, CFA
Analyst
September 2011
BA, Rhodes College
Chartered Financial Analyst
Investment Experience: 12
A shared passion for team-based and results-oriented investing
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Research Driven & Business Based Strategy
Cardinal’s Value Approach
Buy “good businesses” at a discount
• Stable and Predictable
• Significant Free Cash Flow
• Motivated & Competent Management
• Multiple Levers to Create Value
Tailor the valuation to the business
Value company to target 20% return
Driver: detailed fundamental research
Conventional Value Investing
Buy stocks based on financial statistics
• Low Price/Earnings
• Low Price/Book
• High Dividend Yield
• Net Working Capital
Apply same approach to all companies
Value all stocks relative to the market
Driver: reversion to the mean
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
7
Idea Generation: Opportunistic and Efficient
Internally Generated Repository of 700+ models
~ 200 recently updated Trade journals/conferences Insider buying Large share repurchases Corporate restructurings
Other Investors 13F filings 20+ years of relationships
Niche Research Spinoff Report CJS Securities, Craig Hallum
Sources:
Attractive Business Model High ROIC Sustainable comp advantage Long-term visibility
Good Management Competent & motivated
Significant FCF Free Cash Flow ≠ Earnings Discretionary vs. reported Cannot be screened for
Focus On Differentiated businesses w/
transparency
Characteristics:
Cyclical or Secular Out of favor industries Out of favor growth
Company Specific Corporate restructurings Turnarounds Special situations
Not in Databases Spin-offs Post-bankruptcies Orphan IPOs Underfollowed securities
Inefficiencies:
~ 500 Companies/ year ~ 75 Companies/ year ~ 35 Companies/ year
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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CBIZ InterDigital MDC Partners PDF Solutions
Babcock & Wilcox Compass Minerals Medical Properties Trust World Fuel
BGC Partners Howard Hughes Monotype Wendy’s
Special Situations Out of Favor Industries
ACI Worldwide j2 Global Communications Ligand Six Flags
American Capital IAC/InterActive Corp Kaman Trimas
Convergys CTS Corp Krispy Kreme TechTarget
Turnarounds Underfollowed Out of Favor Growth
Corporate Restructurings
Holdings Reflect Our Opportunistic Approach Cardinal Representative Holdings
Structural inefficiencies provide consistent sources of investment opportunities
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
9
Research Process
Analyze financial disclosures Speak w/ experts & other investors Building management relationship Evaluate business & competition Assess capital allocation decisions
Due Diligence:
Tool to set buy & sell prices Template provides consistency Customized business segments Discount rate = return target Updated at least quarterly 5 new models per analyst yearly Models take 1-3 weeks to build
5-Year DCF Model: Decision making All PMs must consent Investment team compensated
on total portfolio performance
Position sizes based on Business predictability Valuation Catalyst Liquidity
Risk management 40 – 60 stocks across sectors Benchmark agnostic Mkt cap similar to benchmark
Portfolio Construction:
Is the company run as we would
if we owned it all?
Yields a superior understanding
of key value drivers
Conviction-weighted portfolios
balance risk and reward
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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Valuation: Redeployment Opportunities & Choices
Insight into capital deployment comes from robust relationships with management
Discretionary Free Cash Flow
Hold Cash Pay Down
Debt Acquisitions
Internal
Investments
Share
Repurchase Dividend
0 - 1%
Interest Rate
Dependent
3–5% Rate /
Credit
Sensitive
Opportunity
Set /
Hurdle Rate
Dependent
Opportunity
Set /
Hurdle Rate
Dependent
Share Price
Dependent Tax Rates
Deployment
Option
After-Tax
Return
Cardinal
Perspective
50¢/ Dollar
Hurts Value
Only If
Optimizing
Capital
Structure
Proven
Expertise &
Execution
Lower Risk /
Attractive If
High Hurdle
Rate
Attractive
When Shares
Depressed
Attractive If
No Other
Opportunity/
Tax Leakage
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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Disciplined Approach to Buying and Selling
Buy & Sell Price Targets
Value of Business (EBITDA x Terminal Multiple)
- Debt
+ Cash
Present Value
=
Equity Value =
Buy & Sell Price Targets
= Present Value
Equity Value =
Fifth Year
Value of Business (EBITDA x Terminal Multiple)
- Debt
+ Cash
Our analytical framework provides us with a robust tool for setting price targets consistently across companies
Key Assumptions : Buy Price Sell Price Discount Rate 20% 15%
Terminal Multiple 5x – 9x 8x – 11x
Terminal multiple is based on the following factors: M&A transactions and public market valuations Consistency of EBITDA & capital intensity 70+ M&A transactions in portfolio companies
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
12
Portfolios Constructed to Balance Risk and Return Small Cap Top 15 Holdings as of February 29, 2016
Equity
Market Enterprise Net Cash 5 Year
Stock Portfolio Value Value/2016 (Debt) 2016 Est. Est. EPS
Company Name Symbol Industry Weight (MM) EBITDA (MM) P/E Ratio Growth
Ligand Pharmaceuticals LGND Biotechnology 4.2% $2,160 NM $211.44 NM NM
BWX Technologies BWXT Aerospace & Defense 4.0% $3,399 11.4x ($318.00) 22.3x 9.9%
KAR Auction Services KAR Miscellaneous Commercial Services 3.7% $5,169 8.9x ($1,700.00) 17.5x 17.4%
MDC Partners MDCA Advertising/Marketing Services 3.2% $1,084 6.7x ($449.40) 8.1x 24.6%
PacWest Bancorp PACW Regional Banks 3.1% $5,181 NM NM 10.3x 8.0%
Six Flags SIX Movies/Entertainment 3.0% $5,046 11.4x ($1,234.50) 14.8x 20.9%
Kaman Corporation KAMN Aerospace & Defense 3.0% $1,110 7.7x ($261.70) 13.4x 14.4%
World Fuel Services INT Wholesale Distributors 3.0% $2,761 7.8x ($274.80) 14.6x 11.4%
BGC Partners BGCP Investment Banks/Brokers 3.0% $4,114 8.1x ($381.90) 10.5x 9.1%
Silgan Holdings SLGN Containers/Packaging 3.0% $3,245 9.7x ($1,827.60) 15.7x 22.3%
Howard Hughes HHC Real Estate Development 2.8% $4,494 NM ($1,862.19) NM NM
PDF Solutions PDFS Electronic Production Equipment 2.6% $341 4.3x $126.30 8.9x 26.2%
Medical Properties Trust MPW Real Estate Investment Trusts 2.5% $2,738 14.2x ($3,010.60) 10.4x 14.2%
Cash America International CSH Finance/Rental/Leasing 2.3% $802 7.3x ($109.40) 24.4x 38.4%
CBIZ CBZ Miscellaneous Commercial Services 2.3% $505 6.3x ($180.90) 13.9x 20.3%
45.8%
Cardinal Composite Portfolio Weighted Average $2,240 7.9 x 13.3 x 15.6%
Russell 2000 Value $1,620 15.1 x 10.0%
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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Portfolios Constructed to Balance Risk and Return SMID Cap Top 15 Holdings as of February 29, 2016
Equity
Market Enterprise Net Cash 5 Year
Stock Portfolio Value Value/2016 (Debt) 2016 Est. Est. EPS
Company Name Symbol Industry Weight (MM) EBITDA (MM) P/E Ratio Growth
Ligand Pharmaceuticals LGND Biotechnology 5.1% $2,160 NM $211 NM NM
BWX Technologies BWXT Aerospace & Defense 4.0% $3,399 11.4x ($318) 22.3x 9.9%
KAR Auction Services KAR Miscellaneous Commercial Services 3.9% $5,169 8.9x ($1,700) 17.5x 17.4%
PacWest Bancorp PACW Regional Banks 3.6% $5,181 NM NM 10.3x 8.0%
Howard Hughes HHC Real Estate Development 3.4% $4,494 NM ($1,862) NM NM
MDC Partners MDCA Advertising/Marketing Services 3.2% $1,084 6.7x ($449) 8.1x 24.6%
Silgan Holdings SLGN Containers/Packaging 3.1% $3,245 9.7x ($1,828) 15.7x 22.3%
Six Flags SIX Movies/Entertainment 3.0% $5,046 11.4x ($1,235) 14.8x 20.9%
World Fuel Services INT Wholesale Distributors 3.0% $2,761 7.8x ($275) 14.6x 11.4%
BGC Partners BGCP Investment Banks/Brokers 3.0% $4,114 8.1x ($382) 10.5x 9.1%
Starwood Property Trust STWD Real Estate Investment Trusts 2.8% $4,905 NM ($5,040) 7.9x 7.0%
American Capital LTD ACAS Diversified Financials 2.7% $3,277 NM $4,822 15.6x 7.0%
Medical Properties Trust MPW Real Estate Investment Trusts 2.6% $2,738 14.2x ($3,011) 10.4x 14.2%
Lithia Motors LAD Specialty Stores 2.5% $2,810 8.4x ($429) 12.6x 14.6%
Concho Resources CXO Oil & Gas Production 2.4% $11,992 8.9x ($2,408) NM 11.0%
48.3%
Cardinal Composite Portfolio Weighted Average $3,352 8.4 x 12.6 x 13.0%
Russell 2500 Value $3,634 15.5 x 8.6%
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Six Flags Entertainment
• Global leader in the attractive regional theme park industry
• Resilient in a weak economy
• High barriers to entry
• Exceptional brand and business foundation
• Substantial growth opportunities
• Pricing and ticket yield management
• Season Pass / Membership penetration
• International licensing
• Financial Excellence
• Strong recurring revenue and cash flow
• High margins
• Favorable capital allocation strategy
• $0.7 billion NOL carry forward
• Employees closely aligned with shareholders
Six Flags Chicago, IL
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation 15 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
18 Strategically Located Parks
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
• Locations provide economic and weather diversity with limited direct competition
• High barriers to entry – land and zoning
16 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
17
Six Flags: Idea Generation and Vetting
Internal Research: News announcement:
Emerged f/ bankruptcy: 2010
New CEO was CEO of former holding, Dade Behring: Successfully sold to Siemens Had been turnaround exec at
Apollo and non-compete had expired
Sources:
Attractive Business Model: High recurring revenue High barriers to entry Resilient in weak economy Low cash taxes Good Management: CEO record of post
bankruptcy management Substantial stock and
option ownership Significant FCF Yield: 2010: 7.6% FCF/EV 2016: 6.1%
Characteristics:
Perceived To Be: Economically cyclical Limited Growth
Investment Opportunities: Focus strategy to core biz Increase ticket yields/cut
costs International licensing Share repurchases Information-based: Post bankruptcy
Inefficiencies:
Six Flags was found by Rob. The PM’s vetted the idea, then agreed that Rob would be the primary analyst performing ongoing due diligence
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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Six Flags: Research, Modeling & Position Sizing
Analyzed Financial Disclosures: Last three 10-K’s Last two years’ 10-Q’s 8-K’s and last two proxies
Spoke With: Industry experts Customers/product users Sell side analysts Existing and former shareholders
Strong Relationship w/ Mgmt: Knew CEO and his team from
previous holding
Due Diligence:
Buy and Sell Prices: 2010: $13 - $20* Current: $37 - $49 *Adj for two stock splits
Scenarios: Revenue growth Incremental margins
Buy/Sell Terminal Multiples: 2010: 8.5x to 10.0x Current: 10.5x to 12.0x
Valuation Benchmarks: Competitors:
Cedar Fair: 10.0x M&A transactions:
Sea World IPO: 12.0x
5-Year DCF Model:
Position Size (2/29/16): Initial: 1.5% Current SCV/SMID: 3.0%/3.0%
Investment Strengths: Wise capital redeployment Excellent operators
Weaknesses & Risks: Weather sensitivity NOL depletion
Why Large Position? Confidence in business & mgmt Growth opportunities Valuation: still attractive Trading: liquid
Portfolio Management:
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Substantial Growth Opportunities
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
(1) 2009 Revenue restated to include Six Flags Great Escape Lodge and Indoor Waterpark, which was consolidated beginning January 1, 2010
• Effective execution driving revenue and profit growth
• Improving ticket yields
• Season pass/ membership penetration
• In-park intiatives
• Innovative product/programs
• Long-term strategy to license brand internationally
• Agreements in Middle East and China
• Fees from design & development, licensing and mgmt services
• Zero capital investment
• Innovation: news in every park, every year
• Thrills for all ages:
• Guest-centered attractions
• Mix of family, teen and tween thrills
19 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Ticket Yields
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
• Higher ticket yields and attendance are primary drivers of growth
• A multi-year plan to improve ticket yields
• Increase ticket prices
• Reduce and fence discounts
• Continue to raise guests’ value-for-the-
money ratings
• Close/surpass pricing gap vs others
20 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Growing Season Passes/Memberships
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
(1) Introduced membership program in February 2013
• Season pass holders and members:
• Generate more annual revenue and
cash flow than single day visitors
• Build recurring revenue
• Visit during off-peak periods
• Provide weather hedge
• Put downward pressure on per caps
21 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Growing Earnings and Margins
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
(1) Excludes SFKK as discontinued operation
(2) 2009 Modified EBITDA Margin calculation includes revenue from Six Flags Great Escape Lodge and Indoor Water Park so it is consistent with future periods
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM’s)(1) and Modified EBITDA Margin (1)(2)
22
Capital Allocation
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Source: Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
(1) As of December 31 for each year except 2015
23
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Company Overview: Ligand is a biopharmaceutical company with a business model
based upon acquiring royalty generating assets and licensing them to well-funded
development partners, coupled with a lean corporate cost structure.
Four dominant sources of value:
• Royalties
• Material sales (Captisol)
• Portfolio of biological compounds
• Tax assets (NOL’s)
25
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation. 26
Diverse Partner Companies
• Portfolio of 140+ fully-funded partnerships driving future growth
• 70+ partners spent more than $1.8 billion in R&D during 2015 to advance Ligand
programs
Source: Ligand
14 58 38 13 2 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Expansion of Revenue-generating Assets
27 Source: Ligand
Preclinical Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3/NDA Phase 4
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Diverse Capital Allocation
28 Source: Ligand
Building asset base and increasing returns for investors
• Over last several years, Ligand has deployed capital in the following ways
- Company acquisitions
- Royalty acquisitions
- Share buybacks
- Seed investment in a private drug company (recently IPO’d)
- Investment in drug delivery technologies
• Ligand takes advantage of market knowledge and experience gained
from partnerships to find opportunities to invest and create value within
the biopharma industry
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Financial Overview
29 Source: Ligand
• Business model provides tremendous earnings leverage
- Growing total revenues: 33% compound annual growth projected 2015-2017
- Robust margins:
• 2014 gross margins ~86%
• Adjusted cash flow margins ~50%
- Strong earnings growth: 2017 adjusted EPS projected to be >$4.45 (vs $1.52 in 2014)
- Significant tax assets:
• > $500mm in NOLs
• Projected cash tax rate < 5% for next several years
30
Ligand: Idea Generation and Vetting
Previous investment: Originally held 2007-2008
Sources:
Attractive Business Model: Recurring revenue Strong growth prospects Low opex/low capex Large NOLs Small share count Good Management: Strong record & pedigree Disciplined capital allocators 16% ownership Growing FCF: Current: 2% disc FCF yield Enormous incremental FCF
margins
Characteristics:
Perceived To Be: Expensive based on historical
earnings
Investment Opportunities: Accretive acquisitions Share repurchases
Information-based: Complex drug-by-drug valuation Limited analyst coverage
Inefficiencies:
Ligand was a previous Cardinal investment. Management visited our office for an update post-transformation. The PMs vetted the idea, then agreed that Bob would
be the primary analyst performing ongoing due diligence
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
31
Ligand: Research, Modeling & Position Sizing
Analyzed Financial Disclosures: Last three 10-K’s Last two years’ 10-Q’s 8-K’s and last two proxies Public filings of licensing partners Spoke With: Competition (Amgen, Celgene,
Johnson & Johnson) Partners (Retrophin, Spectrum
Pharma) Industry/medical professionals Other analysts Built Relationship w/ Mgmt: Met w/ CEO & COO several times
at our offices and in NYC Attended shareholder conferences
Due Diligence:
Buy and Sell Prices: Original: $55 - $80 Current: $81 - $107
Scenarios: Probablity weighted analysis of
incremental drug launches Conservative modeling
Buy/Sell Terminal Multiples: Drug by drug Discount rate-based/ absolute
rate of return hurdle
Valuation Benchmarks: No real company comparables
5-Year DCF Model:
Position Size (2/29/16): Current SCV: 4.2% Current SMID: 5.1% Investment Strengths: High barriers to entry:
FDA Intellectual property
High growth; high margins Low capital employed
Weaknesses & Risks: FDA approvals Near-term drug concentration
risk
Why Large Position? Confidence in business & mgmt Catalyst: incremental drug
royalties Valuation: attractive Liquidity: moderate
Portfolio Management:
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Howard Hughes Corp
• Developer of master planned communities
and other strategic developments in U.S.
• Spun off after GGP bankruptcy
Strategic Developments:
• 3 Waterway Square Office
• One Ala Moana
• Alameda Plaza
• Allentowne
• Bridges at Mint Hill
• Century Plaza Mall
• Circle T Ranch and Power Center
• Columbia Parcel D
• Cottonwood Mall
• Elk Grove Promenade
• 80% Interest in Fashion Show Air Rights
• Kendall Town Center
• Lakemoor (Volo) Land
• Maui Ranch Land
• Millennium Woodlands Phase II, LLC
• Nouvell at Natick Condominium
• Redlands Promenade
• West Windsor
Master Planned Communities:
• Bridgeland
• Maryland Communities
• Summerlin
• The Woodlands
Retail Operating Assets:
• 20/25 Waterway Avenue Retail
• Cottonwood Square
• Landmark Mall
• Park West
• Rio West Mall
• Riverwalk Marketplace
• South Street Seaport
• Ward Centers
• Waterway Garage Retail
Other Operating Assets:
• 110 N. Wacker
• 4 Waterway Square Office
• 9303 New Trails Office
• 1400 Woodloch Forest
• Arizona 2 Lease
• The Club at Carlton Woods
• Columbia Office Properties
• Golf Courses at Summerlin and TPC Las Vegas*
• 2201 Lake Woodlands Drive
• Millennium Waterway Apartments
• Stewart Title of Montgomery County, TX
• Summerlin Hospital Medical Center
• The Woodlands Parking Garages
• The Woodlands Resort and Conference Center
• Woodlands Sarofim #1
• Hexalon
Source: Howard Hughes Corp
*Participation interest in
33 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Company Overview
Source: Howard Hughes Corp
34 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Portfolio of Trophy MPCs
Source: Howard Hughes Corp
(1) Recorded impairment charges of $346 million for Summerlin South and $59 million for the Maryland MPCs in 2010.
35
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Increasing NOI
Source: Howard Hughes Corp 36
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Unlocking Value
Source: Howard Hughes Corp 37
The Woodlands
Source: Howard Hughes Corp
38 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Downtown Summerlin
Source: Howard Hughes Corp
39
South Street Seaport
40 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation. Source: Howard Hughes Corp
Ward Village
41 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation. Source: Howard Hughes Corp
42
Howard Hughes: Idea Generation and Vetting
Previous Cardinal Experience:
Newhall Land
Crescent Real Estate
Niche Research:
Compass Point
Sources:
Attractive Business Model:
Entitled land & CRE
Capabilities across spectrum
Limited financial leverage
Partnerships leverage capital
Good Management:
$20M personal investment
10% effective ownership
Significant FCF:
Arises as assets converted
60% of NAV
Characteristics:
Perceived To Be:
Orphan illiquid assets
Investment Opportunities:
Develop unique sites
Additional investments
Information-based:
Spinoff f/ bankrupt company
No conference calls
1 analyst covers
Inefficiencies:
Howard Hughes was sourced by Rob. The PMs vetted the idea and then agreed
that Rob would be the primary analyst performing due diligence.
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
43
Howard Hughes: Research, Modeling & Position Sizing
Analyzed Financial Disclosure:
Last three 10-K’s
Last two year’s 10-Q’s
8-K’s and last 2 proxies
Spoke With:
Competitors (Newhall/Crescent)
Real estate professionals (DLC)
Sell side analyst
Built Mgmt Relationship:
Met CFO & General Counsel
Know MPC head
Site Visits: Woodlands (Houston)
Summerlin (Las Vegas)
Maryland Comm (Columbia)
Due Diligence:
Buy and Sell Prices:
Initial: $77 - 110
Current: $124 - 155
Scenarios:
Development
Capital allocation
Buy/Sell Terminal Multiples:
Initial: 0.8x to 1.2x NAV
Current: 0.8x to 1.0x NAV
Valuation Benchmarks:
Comps at 0.85x NAV
NAV Model:
Position Size (2/29/16:
Current SCV: 2.8%
Current SMID: 3.4%
Investment Strengths:
Prime asset locations
Attractive returns on land sales
and development
Weaknesses & Risks:
Moderate current cash flow
Economic & financing
Why Large Position?
Confidence in assets & mgt.
Catalyst: simplify & develop
Valuation: attractive
Portfolio Management:
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
BWX Technologies
Company Overview: BWX Technologies is a leading supplier of nuclear components
and fuel to the U.S. government; the company also supplies precision manufactured
components and services for the commercial nuclear power industry.
• BWX Technologies completed a tax-free spin-off of its Power Generation business
July 2015; that portion now trades under the name Babcock and Wilcox.
• The main benefits of the spin-off include:
• Greater management focus on this distinctive business
• Greater alignment with investor base (not wanting to own coal)
Source: BWX Technologies 45 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Nuclear Operations Group
• The Nuclear Operations Group produces ~90% of EBITDA
Source: BWX Technologies 46 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
(1) LTM as of 9/30/15
(2) The government shutdown and delayed budget approvals resulted in certain awards being delayed until the first quarter of 2014.
Source: BWX Technologies
Nuclear Operations Group
47
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
NOG: US Navy Visibility Through 2040
Source: BWX Technologies. 48 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Technical Services Group (TSG)
TSG: work covers various government agencies with potential for expansion
Source: BWX Technologies 49 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Nuclear Energy (NE)
NE: primarily a Canadian business with modest growth opportunities over the cycle
Source: BWX Technologies 50 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
Growth Opportunities
• Organic growth strategy: new contract wins in TSG should drive majority of organic
growth driver.
Source: BWX Technologies, Inc. All rights reserved. 51 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
• M&A growth strategy: modest additions that do not dilute the highly coveted NOG
segment which investors and potential acquirers assign a high multiple to.
BWX Technologies
• BWXT: Unique assets / Stable Cash flows / Very long-term contracts
Source: BWX Technologies, Inc. All rights reserved. 52 Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
53
BWX Technology: Idea Generation and Vetting
Small Regional Broker: Followed previously
Announced spin-off provided
opportunity
Sources:
Attractive Business Model: High barriers to entry
Proprietary IP Sole service provider Irreplaceable value-added
service High operating margins: ~19-20% Visibility:
Long-term/evergreen contracts Significant backlog
Economy agnostic Good Management: Shareholder friendly Focus on execution Return cash to shareholders FCF Yield: 2016: 4.6% FCF/EV
Characteristics:
Perceived To Be: Limited growth Problem assets in NOG/TSG
Investment Opportunities: Highly attractive asset to large
U.S. defense companies
Information-based: Misunderstood by sell-side Limited historical coverage
Inefficiencies:
BWXT’s predecessor company was found by Chris. The PMs vetted the idea, then agreed that Chris would be the primary analyst performing ongoing due diligence
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
54
BWX Technology: Research, Modeling & Position Sizing
Analyzed Financial Disclosures: Last three 10-K’s Last two years’ 10-Q’s 8-K’s and last two proxies Form 10
Spoke With: Existing and former shareholders Sell side analysts
Strong Relationship w/ Mgmt: Met w/ CEO & CFO several times Attended investor conferences Two headquarter visits
Due Diligence:
Buy and Sell Prices: 2014: $31 - $43* Current: $26 - $35 * Prior to Spin
Scenarios: CPI-type growth Two new contract wins Share repurchases
Buy/Sell Terminal Multiples: 2010: 9.5x to 11.0x* Current: 14.5x to 16.0x * Prior to Spin
Valuation Benchmarks: M&A transactions:
Defense company Unique asset
5-Year DCF Model:
Position Size (2/29/16): Current: SCV/SMID: 4.0%
Investment Strengths: Intellectual property High visibility
Weaknesses & Risks: Alternative non-nuclear power
sources within Canada Alternative non-nuclear power
source for submarines/aircraft carriers
Why Large Position? Strategic assets Visibility & growth prospects Valuation: attractive
Portfolio Management:
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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*Small Cap Inception Date: July 1, 1992
20-Year Record of Superior Small Cap Performance
Time Period Cardinal
Gross of Fees Cardinal
Net of Fees Russell 2000 Value Index
Relative Gross Performance
1-Year -7.0 -7.6 -13.4 6.4
3-Year 9.2 8.5 4.4 4.8
5-Year 9.4 8.7 5.3 4.1
10-Year 6.6 5.9 4.1 2.5
Inception-to-Date* 13.2 12.3 10.2 3.0
For Periods Ending February 29, 2016
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
'93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
Cardinal Small Cap Performance In Different Markets
Index Returns > +20 %
Index Returns -10 % to +20%
Index Returns < -10 %
1993 1995 1996 1997 2000 2004 2003 2006 2009
2010 2013
1994 1998 1999 2001 2005 2007 2011 2012 2014
2015
2002 2008 Years Outperformed/
Underperformed
+130 bps +595 bps +80 bps Average Excess Return
Cardinal Annual Excess Return Since Inception - Small Cap
Ex
cess
Re
turn
(%
)
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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*Select Value Inception Date: January 1, 2002
SMID Cap Product Family Performance
Time Period Cardinal Select
Value Gross Cardinal Select
Value Net Russell 2500 Value Index
Relative Gross Performance
1-Year -11.6 -12.4 -12.1 0.5
3-Year 7.3 6.4 5.7 1.6
5-Year 8.5 7.6 6.9 1.6
10-Year 6.4 5.7 5.3 1.1
Inception-to-Date* 9.7 9.1 8.2 1.5
Time Period Cardinal
SMID Gross Cardinal SMID Net
Russell 2500 Value Index
Relative Gross Performance
1-Year -11.8 -12.1 -12.1 0.3
3-Year 6.4 5.9 5.7 0.7
5-Year 8.5 8.1 6.9 1.6
Inception-to-Date* 10.5 10.1 8.3 2.2
*SMID Inception Date: April 1, 2010
For Periods Ending February 29, 2016
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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What to Remember About Cardinal
Longevity of philosophy, process and people
Fundamental research driven, free cash flow-based value investors
Superior investment performance across products
We own the firm and have invested significant capital in our products
Please see the important disclosures at the end of this presentation.
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Disclosures
The information presented herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. The investments presented herein are included merely to provide a general example of Cardinal’s research and investment process. There can be no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in a client's portfolio or if sold will not be repurchased. The securities discussed herein do not represent a client’s entire portfolio and in the aggregate may represent only a small percentage of a client’s portfolio holdings. It should not be assumed that any of the securities discussed herein have been or will be profitable, or that investments will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. No assurances can be made that profits will be achieved or that substantial losses will not be incurred. Net performance reflects the deduction of advisory fees, which reduce a client’s total return of investment. Gross performance is presented without deduction of advisory fees and expenses. Returns presume investment for the entire period shown and reinvestment of all interest income, capital gains, dividends and other distributions. Performance returns for 2015 are unaudited estimates and have been computed by Cardinal. Depending on the timing of an investor’s investment in the strategy, net performance for such investor may vary from the net performance as stated herein. Past performance is not indicative of future results. In order to obtain a list of portfolio holdings during the periods discussed herein, please contact Cardinal. The sector exposure and portfolio weighting composition discussed herein should not be viewed as an indication that future exposures and weightings will remain the same. The sector exposure and portfolio weighting composition of the strategies are subject to change by Cardinal at any time in its sole discretion without prior notice to investors. The Russell Microcap Index consists of the smallest 1,000 stocks in the Russell 2000 Index plus the next 1,000 smallest eligible stocks by market cap. The Russell Microcap Value Index measures the performance of the microcap value segment of the U.S. equity market. It includes Russell Microcap companies that are considered more value oriented relative to the overall market as defined by Russell's style methodology. The Russell 2000 Index consists of the 2000 smallest stocks in the Russell 3000 Index that represents approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. The Russell 2000 Value Index measures the performance of small-cap value segment of the U.S. equity universe and includes those Russell 2000 Index companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell 2500™ Index measures the performance of the small to mid-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe, commonly referred to as "smid" cap. The Russell 2500 Index is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index. It includes approximately 2500 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 2500 Value Index measures the performance of small to mid-cap value segment of the U.S. equity universe and includes those Russell 2500 Index companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell Midcap Index is a subset of the Russell 1000 Index. It includes approximately 800 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell Midcap Index represents approximately 31% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 1000 companies. The Russell Midcap Value Index measures the performance of the mid-cap value segment of the U.S. equity universe and includes those Russell Midcap Index companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. This index is included merely to show the general trend in the mid-cap equity markets in the periods indicated and is not intended to imply that Cardinal's investments were comparable to the index either in composition or element of risk. There is no guarantee that the performance of a Cardinal strategy will meet or exceed any index. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.
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Small Cap Value Composite GIPS® Table Total Total Russell 3-Year 3-Year Total Total Total
Gross Net 2000 Value Number of Composite Composite Russell 2000 Composite Assets Equity Assets Firm Assets
Year/ Return Return Return of Dispersion* Standard Value Standard at End of Period*** at End of Period*** at End of Period***
Period (%) (%) (%) Portfolios (%) Deviation (%) Deviation (%) (USD millions) (USD millions) (USD millions)
6/92-12/92 15.4 14.6 17.3 1 NA NA NA 1 1 153
1993 28.9 27.0 23.8 1 NA NA NA 6 6 433
1994 6.9 5.3 -1.6 1 NA NA NA 18 38 528
1995 28.3 26.5 25.8 4 1.0 NA NA 36 36 149
1996 29.2 27.4 21.4 3 1.0 NA NA 42 43 222
1997 36.4 34.5 31.8 6 0.6 NA NA 64 65 219
1998 4.9 3.9 -6.5 10 2.4 NA NA 171 228 417
1999 -1.2 -2.0 -1.5 21 1.1 NA NA 287 321 485
2000 13.3 12.5 22.8 15 3.7 NA NA 259 280 409
2001** 19.0 18.2 14.1 16 1.2 NA NA 324 346 346
2002 -1.6 -2.4 -11.4 20 1.1 NA NA 342 359 359
2003 34.3 33.3 46.0 21 1.9 NA NA 467 665 665
2004 24.4 23.6 22.3 25 0.3 NA NA 635 1093 1093
2005 13.0 12.3 4.7 25 0.4 NA NA 784 1363 1363
2006 15.8 15.0 23.5 33 0.4 NA NA 951 1670 1670
2007 -2.5 -3.1 -9.8 32 0.5 NA NA 917 1571 1571
2008 -36.1 -36.5 -28.9 28 0.9 NA NA 530 892 892
2009 34.2 33.4 20.6 29 0.6 NA NA 707 1138 1138
2010 25.8 25.0 24.5 24 0.5 NA NA 668 1115 1115
2011 -0.1 -0.6 -5.5 24 0.2 19.0 26.1 595 1184 1184
2012 18.3 17.6 18.1 25 0.2 15.8 19.9 673 1526 1526
2013 35.2 34.3 34.5 23 0.3 13.2 15.6 823 1980 1980
2014 7.6 6.9 4.2 22 0.2 11.1 12.8 1012 1803 1803
6/30/2015 7.2 6.9 0.8 24 --- --- --- 1088 1985 1985*Asset-weighted standard deviation of annual gross returns for accounts that are in the Cardinal Small Cap Value Composite for the full year. **Firm assets prior to September 2001 comprise small cap value equity and high yield bond assets. Subsequent to the lift-out of Cardinal's high yield group by another firm in September 2001, firm assets consist solely of value equity assets. ***Includes cash assets
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Small Cap Value Performance Disclosures 1. Cardinal Capital Management, LLC (“Cardinal” or the “Firm”) is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment
Advisors Act of 1940. Cardinal is a specialty investment firm focused on small and mid cap value equity investing. The Firm strives to generate superior risk-adjusted returns through active management, while serving clients with the highest level of integrity and diligence. Cardinal serves institutions such as pension plan sponsors, public funds and foundations as well as high net worth individuals.
2. On 12/31/2002, the minimum portfolio size for the Cardinal Small Cap Value Equity Composite became $5 million. Prior to 12/31/2002, the minimum was $500,000. 3. Valuations and returns are computed and stated in U.S. dollars. 4. Composite returns are calculated both net and gross of fees. Gross of fees returns are calculated gross of actual management and custodial fees and net of all trading
expenses. Net of fees returns are calculated net of trading expenses and actual management fees and gross of custodial fees. The management fee schedule for the Cardinal Small Cap Value Equity Strategy is:
Separate Accounts First $10 MM: 1.00% Next $15 MM: 0.90% Next $25 MM: 0.85% Next $50 MM: 0.75%
Separately Managed Account Platforms Funds Between $10 MM and $25 MM: 0.90% applied to entire balance Funds Over $25 MM: 0.80% applied to entire balance Commingled Limited Partnership Vehicle Funds under $5 MM: 1.25% applied to entire balance Funds from $5 MM to $10 MM: 1.00% applied to entire balance Funds over $10 MM: 0.85% applied to entire balance
5. Performance for the period prior to April 1995 represents the results of clients’ assets managed by the investment professionals of Cardinal Capital Management while at Deltec Asset Management and employing the same investment style being used by Cardinal Capital Management.
6. The Cardinal Capital Small Cap Value Equity Composite was created in June 2001 and is one of the firm's four composites. A complete description of all composites is available upon request.
7. Cardinal Capital Management, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®) and has prepared and presented this report in compliance with the GIPS standards. Cardinal has been independently verified for the periods June 30, 1992 through June 30, 2015. Verification assesses whether (1) the firm has complied with all the composite construction requirements of the GIPS standards on a firm-wide basis and (2) the firm's policies and procedures are designed to calculate and present performance in compliance with the GIPS standards. The Small Cap Value composite has been examined for the periods June 30, 1992 through June 30, 2015. The verification and performance examination reports are available upon request. The benchmark returns are not covered by the report of independent verifiers.
8. Returns are calculated gross of withholding taxes on dividends from foreign securities. Cardinal’s strategies are very rarely invested in foreign securities not traded on U.S. exchanges.
9. Policies for valuing portfolios, calculating performance and preparing compliant presentations are also available upon request. 10. Composite description: the Small Cap Value Equity Composite comprises all of the strategy’s accounts under management for at least one month, with the exception of
those with client imposed trading restrictions and those that do not meet the $5 million minimum size requirement. The Small Cap Value Equity Composite adheres to the Firm’s model-driven, free cash flow analysis-based investment style and consists mainly of small cap value stocks. The benchmark is the Russell 2000 Value Index.
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SMID Cap Value Composite GIPS® Table Gross Net 2500 Value Number of Composite Composite Russell 2500 Composite Assets Equity Assets Firm Assets at
Year/ Return Return Return of Dispersion** Standard Value Standard at End of Period*** at End of Period*** End of Period***
Period (%) (%) (%) Portfolios (%) Deviation (%) Deviation (%) (USD millions) (USD millions) (USD millions)
2002 -5.4 -5.4* -9.9 1 NA NA NA 1 359 359
2003 37.7 37.58* 44.9 1 NA NA NA 115 665 665
2004 26.5 26.1 21.6 4 NA NA NA 238 1093 1093
2005 13.5 13.1 7.7 6 0.3 NA NA 345 1363 1363
2006 15.8 15.2 20.2 6 0.2 NA NA 211 1670 1670
2007 0.8 0.3 -7.3 6 0.2 NA NA 191 1571 1571
2008 -35.7 -36.0 -32.0 5 0.1 NA NA 102 892 892
2009 35.4 34.6 27.7 3 0.2 NA NA 140 1138 1138
2010 22.0 21.3 24.9 3 0.0 NA NA 119 1115 1115
2011 1.7 1.2 -3.4 4 0.3 18.0 24.2 190 1184 1184
2012 19.7 19.2 19.2 7 0.3 15.5 18.4 490 1526 1526
2013 31.2 30.6 33.3 8 0.3 12.9 14.9 546 1980 1980
2014 7.3 6.7 7.1 8 0.1 10.2 11.2 583 1803 1803
06/30/2015 7.2 6.9 1.7 9 --- --- --- 685 1985 1985
*Between 12/31/2001 and 9/30/2003, the composite consisted solely of one non-fee paying portfolio. **Asset-weighted standard deviation of annual gross returns that are in the Cardinal SMID Cap Value Composite for the full year. ***Includes cash assets
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SMID Cap Value Performance Disclosures 1. Cardinal Capital Management, LLC (“Cardinal” or the “Firm”) is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the
Investment Advisors Act of 1940. Cardinal is a specialty investment firm focused on small and mid cap value equity investing. The Firm strives to generate superior risk-adjusted returns through active management, while serving clients with the highest level of integrity and diligence. Cardinal serves institutions such as pension plan sponsors, public funds and foundations as well as high net worth individuals.
2. As of 9/30/2003, the minimum portfolio size for the Cardinal Capital Small-to-Mid (SMID) Cap Value Equity Composite is $5 million. Prior to 9/30/2003, the minimum was $500,000.
3. Valuations and returns are computed and stated in U.S. Dollars. 4. Between 11/30/2001 and 9/30/2003, the composite consisted solely of one non-fee paying portfolio, and as such, returns were only calculated gross of fees. As of
9/30/2003, composite returns are calculated both net and gross of fees. Gross of fees returns are calculated gross of actual management and custodial fees and net of all trading expenses. Net of fees returns are calculated net of trading expenses and actual management fees and gross of custodial fees. The separate accounts management fee schedule is:
First $10 MM: 1.00% Next $15 MM: 0.85% Next $25 MM: 0.80% Next $50 MM: 0.70%
5. The Cardinal Capital SMID Cap Value Equity Composite was created in October 2003 and is one of the firm's four composites. A complete list and description of the firm’s composites are available upon request.
6. Cardinal Capital Management, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®) and has prepared and presented this report in compliance with the GIPS standards. Cardinal has been independently verified for the periods June 30, 1992 through June 30, 2015. Verification assesses whether (1) the firm has complied with all the composite construction requirements of the GIPS standards on a firm-wide basis and (2) the firm's policies and procedures are designed to calculate and present performance in compliance with the GIPS standards. The SMID Cap Value composite has been examined for the periods December 31, 2001 through June 30, 2015. The verification and performance examination reports are available upon request. The benchmark returns are not covered by the report of independent verifiers.
7. Returns are calculated gross of withholdings taxes on dividends from foreign securities. Cardinal’s strategies are very rarely invested in foreign securities not traded on U.S. exchanges.
8. Policies for valuing portfolios, calculating performance and preparing compliant presentations are also available upon request. 9. Composite description: the SMID Cap Value Equity Composite comprises all of the strategy’s accounts under management for at least one month, with the exception
of those with client imposed trading restrictions and those that do not meet the $5 million minimum size requirement. The SMID Cap Value Equity Composite adheres to Firm’s model-driven, free cash flow analysis-based investment style and consists mainly of small and mid cap value stocks. The benchmark is the Russell 2500 Value Index.
10. In 2012, the name of this composite changed from Small-to-Mid Cap Value to SMID Cap Value. The performance and composite assets changed materially in 2010 as a result of a change in the characteristics of the composite from Small-to-Mid to SMID and the corresponding changes in market cap ranges.