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Presentation from the final event of the RSA Carbon Limited project, November 2008.

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Page 1: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 2: Carbon Limited Final Event

www.carbonlimited.org

Matt Prescott, CarbonLimited director

Page 3: Carbon Limited Final Event

This evening’s format

Matt Prescott, director, CarbonLimited

Introduction from Matt Prescott, Project Director, CarbonLimited

Peter Jones OBE discusses the origins and importance of personal carbon trading

Matt Prescott, RSA, presents main CarbonLimited research findings

Michael King, Atos Origin, outlines the key findings from the ‘carbon card’ trial

Matt Prescott, RSA, describes the next steps

Q&A

Open discussion and networking

Close

18.30

18.35

18.50

19.00

19.10

19.20

19.30

20.30

Page 4: Carbon Limited Final Event

www.carbonlimited.org

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 5: Carbon Limited Final Event

Origins of CarbonLimited

Meeting with Colin Challen and the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research

Peter Jones proposals to RSA Council/ Trustees

Criteria for new programmes – Innovative, Inclusive, Pertinent, Wide ranging

Tyndall Centre report

Project and steering group formed, January

Launch by David Miliband, former Environment Minister, October

2005

2005

2005

2005

2006

2006

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 6: Carbon Limited Final Event

Arctic ice melts at record levels

This satellite image shows the Arctic sea ice spread on September 21, 2005, when it dropped to the lowest extent yet recorded. The yellow outline indicates where the concentration of ice was as of September 21, 1979.

Source: AFP

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 7: Carbon Limited Final Event

Government and resource efficiency: The delivery landscape

GOVERNMENT

TASKS

Parameters/LCABest scienceIPPC/planningTechnology footprintsLicensingDataBPEO

CARBONCOMMISSION

Improved resource efficiencyLower carbon footprintingData capture transparency

Economic growthMinimal inflationary impact

Improved R&D/innovation strategySkills and employment issues

Light touch regulationEfficient local government

implementation

POLICIES

Data capture systemTraded Permits

structuresEconomic frameworks

Public educationRegional strategies

R&D/innovation policiesSkills and employment

supply

RESOURCESCOMMISSION

TASKS

Page 8: Carbon Limited Final Event

Carbon obligations framework

10% renewable energy target

4.5% achieved

12.5% reduction from offices relative to 1999

Carbon Reduction Commitment on road vehicles and corporates

Local authority pollution permit trading

Closure of 35% electrical capacity from 45 year old plants

Community Carbon Reduction Commitments on Local Authorities

20% CO2 reduction; 16% energy/35% electricity from renewable sources

50% / 60% / 80% CO2 reduction

2010

(2008)

2010-11

2011

2012

2015

2016

2020

2050

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 9: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 10: Carbon Limited Final Event

Local Authority challenges

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Landfill Allowance Trading Scheme

Carbon Footprint from the Community Nottingham Agreement

Renewable energy assistance and Energy Savings Trust support

2011-12

2010

ongoing

Page 11: Carbon Limited Final Event

Carbon and biomass to landfill 2007

Plastic 5%Paper & card

10%

Household carbon/garden

& kitchen & DIY 30%Food chain,

pubs & restaurants 25%

Timber 30%

Source: Biffa estimates

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 12: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 13: Carbon Limited Final Event

Source: DTI

Page 14: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 15: Carbon Limited Final Event

The interest from government

All embracing inclusivity

Egalitarianism

Involving

Inter-active

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 16: Carbon Limited Final Event

Questions remain

Communication

Rural poor

Propertied pensioners

Transparency and complexity

Buy in

“But it’s a tax!”

Peter Jones, CarbonLimited advisor

Page 17: Carbon Limited Final Event

www.carbonlimited.org

Matt Prescott, CarbonLimited director

Page 18: Carbon Limited Final Event

Providing the right lifestyle signals?

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 19: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 20: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 21: Carbon Limited Final Event

Decarbonising the economy?

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 22: Carbon Limited Final Event

The question of equity

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 23: Carbon Limited Final Event

The question of public acceptability

Don’t want to get stitched up

High cost to delivery?

Complicated

Price volatility

Positive about the allowance as a normative signal

Don’t believe a carbon tax would be hypothecated

Feels fairer – more effective

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 24: Carbon Limited Final Event

A question of economics

In practical policy making, the response to these [behavioural]

barriers has been the imposition of multiple economic

instruments on the same unit of energy or along the

same energy consumption chain, precisely because

politically expedient application of upstream instruments

do not appear to provide sufficient rationale for

organisations or individuals to change behaviour

downstream.

Dr Andy Kerr

www.rsacarbonlimited.org

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 25: Carbon Limited Final Event

A question of economics

…Supplier Obligation that will create an absolute emissions or

energy cap on household energy suppliers. Whilst the details

have yet to be agreed,

a key challenge for the policy is to avoid a

misalignment between liability and responsibility:

suppliers will hold the liability for capping emissions/energy,

whilst the responsibility for emissions lies in the activities of

householders.

Dr Andy Kerr

www.rsacarbonlimited.org

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 26: Carbon Limited Final Event

A question of economics

For a personal carbon trading scheme to be

more effective, it must break down the

barriers to the efficient functioning of these

economic instruments

Dr Andy Kerr

www.rsacarbonlimited.org

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 27: Carbon Limited Final Event

Real-time Personal Carbon

Michael King, Atos Origin

Page 28: Carbon Limited Final Event

Locating this research within Personal Carbon Trading

The creation, division and allocation of the carbon budget

The utilisation of this allowance – capturing carbon emissions and updating a carbon account

The trading of surplus and additional credits on the market

Page 29: Carbon Limited Final Event

Capturing the utilisation of carbon – 5 options were researched…

The ‘Miliband carbon card’

Credit and debit cards

Pre-pay cards

Loyalty card schemes e.g. Nectar, Clubcard

Fuel cards

Page 30: Carbon Limited Final Event

The strengths and weaknesses of the 5 options – an example with road fuel (1)

Card company (Individual’s

bank or building society)

Individual purchases fuel

Credit / Debit card presented

Loyalty Card presented

Carbon Card presented

Transaction data

Cash / cheque presented

66%1

Note: process flows derived from APACS1. Source: Payments Council Consumer Payments Survey

32%1

Transaction data

Loyalty company

Card scheme (e.g. Visa,

MasterCard)Acquirer (retailer’s

bank)

Transaction data

Page 31: Carbon Limited Final Event

The strengths and weaknesses of the 5 options – an example with road fuel (2)

Card company (Individual’s

bank or building society)

Individual purchases fuel

Credit / Debit card presented

Loyalty Card presented

Carbon Card presented

Transaction data

Cash / cheque presented

66%1

32%1

Transaction data

Loyalty company

Card scheme (e.g. Visa,

MasterCard)Acquirer (retailer’s

bank)

Transaction dataCredit, debit pre-pay, fuel cards

Loyalty cards Carbon card

Page 32: Carbon Limited Final Event

The strengths and weaknesses of the 5 options – an example with road fuel (3)

Loyalty cards

Credit cards etc.

Point of Sale

changes

Retail staff training

Retail “opportunity

costs”

Transaction process

costs

Carbon card costs

Notes: Absolute figures are not presented here. This approach seeks to show the different cost profiles of each option

Carbon card

Page 33: Carbon Limited Final Event

The Pilot – an automated real-time Personal Carbon Calculator

Demonstrate the real-time capture of an individual’s actual fuel purchases.

With accepted limitations

Objective

Not simulating a UK-wide personal carbon allowance and trading scheme.

If people are unable to use BP stations or want to ‘hide’ their emissions bypurchasing fuel elsewhere then we accept that as a limitation of the project.

We did not seek a demographically representative sample of the UK – our sample of volunteers was randomly self-selected and we accept that the group may or may not represent the wider UK population.

Page 34: Carbon Limited Final Event

The Pilot Solution

(2) For RSA Carbon pilot volunteers fuel transaction information (volume and grade) is extracted. (3) Fuel transaction

(fuel volume and grade) is passed back to CarbonDAQ.

(1) Volunteer registers for the pilot by entering their Nectar details on CarbonDAQ.

(4) Fuel data is converted to emissions for presentation to users

Page 35: Carbon Limited Final Event
Page 36: Carbon Limited Final Event

Lessons learnt – anecdotal

“Sounds terrific. i'm [sic] realistic about limitations, it's really about being able to come clean about the full footprint. Any step is a good step in my book.”

The green segment is real and it welcomes the support.

“I drive 30k+ miles a yr [sic] and regularly fill up at BP as I collect Nectar points.”

Participation doesn’t just come from the usual suspects

“Went to fill up with diesel at the local BP today and at 131.9 just could not bring myself to do it. That's 7p more than Tesco's in Warrington …”

No-one is being naïve – price is still a key factor

Page 37: Carbon Limited Final Event

Lessons learnt (2)

Individuals are not just economic actors responding to price signals from upstream policyAll carbon is personal

Make carbon personal: the individual must be involved in the response:

Individuals as members of organisations contributing to CRC targetsIndividuals contributing to LA targets like N186

Our level of thinking needs to move to individuals as members of communities and organisations:

Reward Individuals who help to achieve community goals – day’s leave, ££, etcStill the challenge of verification – self-assessment with random audits etc?

Incentives and WIIFM:

Page 38: Carbon Limited Final Event

www.carbonlimited.org.uk

Matt Prescott, CarbonLimited director

Page 39: Carbon Limited Final Event

Local climate and energy solutions popular

Many see the value in trading within communities of interest

Energy Services model could apply

Potential for fuel security improvements

Local and community cohesiveness and creativity

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 40: Carbon Limited Final Event

Carbon credits could be saved …

by switching to these…

by not doing so much of this…

by doing more of this…

Page 41: Carbon Limited Final Event

Trading creates an incentive for participants

The lower your footprint, the more carbon credit you can sell, which could mean:

1 being paid for your efforts to cut emissions, or participation in a virtual policy experiment

2 gaining more voting rights to secure funds for projects you want to support

3 receiving annual leave, entry into prize competitions or other incentives

Page 42: Carbon Limited Final Event

A CarbonDAQ network might elect for carbon credit to be used to support local projects, such as this wind turbine in Swaffham.

Those with carbon credit to sell gain extra voting rights to support the project. The money comes either from a sponsor, or from those needing to buy credit to balance their account.

CSR possibilities

Page 43: Carbon Limited Final Event

Local climate and energy solutions popular

Many see the value in trading within communities of interest

Energy Services model could apply

Potential for fuel security improvements

Local and community cohesiveness and creativity

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 44: Carbon Limited Final Event

Taking the idea forward

Low carbon local authority

Profits from the trading scheme

Itemised carbon cost imposed on households that exceeded carbon

target

High carbon local authority

Costs to comply in trading scheme

Revenue recycled as council tax

discounts for households exceeding

carbon target

Community scale

Household scale

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 45: Carbon Limited Final Event

Taking the idea forward

Low carbon local authority

Profits from the trading scheme

Local authority provide

information and support to

households to reduce costs of

compliance

High carbon local authority

Costs to comply in trading scheme

Revenue recycled as

community-scale benefits to local

sustainable energy

networks/ climate change

Community scale

Community scale

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 46: Carbon Limited Final Event

Voluntary

Taking the idea forward

Opt-in

Opt-out

Mandatory

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 47: Carbon Limited Final Event

Taking the idea forward

mandatory

Local authority participation

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 48: Carbon Limited Final Event

Taking the idea forward

Local authority participation

Fuel poor

Inefficient homes

Voter decides

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 49: Carbon Limited Final Event

Community carbon trading

www.carbonlimited.org

Dr Andy Johnston

Centre for Local Sustainability

Matt Prescott, Director, CarbonLimited

Page 50: Carbon Limited Final Event