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CARB ON-ROAD MOTORCYCLE (ONMC) PUBLIC WORKSHOP 11/17/20 CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 1 Stakeholder Update on Tentative Regulatory Proposal November 17, 2020

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Page 1: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CARB ON-ROAD MOTORCYCLE (ONMC) PUBLIC WORKSHOP

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 1

Stakeholder Update on Tentative Regulatory Proposal

November 17, 2020

Page 2: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

WORKSHOP GOALS

• Update stakeholders on progress of ONMC rulemaking activity

• Introduce concepts for a regulatory proposal

• Request for supporting cost data

• Request for regulatory alternatives and supporting data

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 211/17/20

Page 3: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

OUTLINE

• ONMC Background

• Exhaust Standards and Recent Activity

• Evaporative Standards and Recent Activity

• Tentative Regulatory Proposal

• Cost Survey and Data Requests

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 311/17/20

Page 4: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

NEED FOR EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS

• Over 90% of Californians breathe unhealthy levels of air pollutants during some part of the year

• A major source of these pollutants is transportation related combustion o Nitrogen Oxides (NOx)

o Reactive Organic Gases (ROG)

o Carbon Monoxide (CO)

• Together NOx and ROG form ozone in sunlighto Ground level ozone is a major component of smog

• CARB’s mission involves protecting the public health by providing safe clean air to all Californians

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 411/17/20

Page 5: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

NEED FOR EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (CONTINUED)

• Push For Zero Emissions Vehicles o 2016 Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Action Plan

Create programs to incentivize zero emission vehicles

o Executive Order B-48-18

5 million ZEVs in California by 2030

250,000 vehicle chargers installed in California by 2025

o Executive Order N-17-20

Require all passenger cars sold in state to be ZEV by 2035

• CARB 2020 Mobile Source Strategy (MSS) proposes aggressive targetso 100% of 2035 LDV sales to be ZEV and PHEV

o https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/documents/2020-mobile-source-strategy

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 511/17/20

Page 6: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ONMC EMISSIONS INVENTORY IN CA

• 2020 ONMC EMFAC emissions estimates*o ~ 27 TPD of NOx + ROG

o ONMC Population ~ 700,000

o Passenger Car Population ~ 15,000,000

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 611/17/20

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

ROG

+ N

ox (T

PD)

Year

Total Baseline ROG + NOx

ROG Evap

ROGExhaust

NOxExhaust

TotalEmissions

0

50

100

150

200

250

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

ROG

+ N

ox (T

PD)

Year

Passenger Car vs MotorcycleCurrent Trend ROG + NOx

Passenger Car

Motorcycle

*EMFAC 2020 to be finalized in January 2021

Page 7: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ONMC MARKET SIZE

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 711/17/20

51,605

392,343

1,257,000

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

California US 49 State EU

2018 ONMC Sales

• California population from Ca DMV registration

• US 49 state population from EPA certification data

• EU population from Statista

Page 8: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

STAKEHOLDER OUTREACH

• Met individually with most manufacturers - 2017o Most expressed preference for CARB harmonization with recent Euro 5 standards

o Significant cost savings possible with harmonization

• Project Kickoff Workshop – April 2018

• Established ongoing technical working groups for stakeholders to provide input in areas of:o Test procedures and EU certification protocols

o On board diagnostics (OBD) and verification

o Zero Emissions Motorcycle (ZEM) incentives

• Participating in UN working groups on motorcycle regulations

• Conducting joint emissions testing with U.S. EPA, ECCC and manufacturers

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 811/17/20

Page 9: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

TAMPERING SURVEY

• CARB staff surveyed 2017 ONMC classified ads for evidence of tamperingo Analysis included 2000 online random classified ads

o Sampling excluded street legal modifications and other allowable exceptions

• Emissions related tampering fell into two main categories:o Installation of parts without a CARB EO or not exempt from CVC §27156

o Emissions control systems/components that were removed, modified or disconnected

• Key Findingso 93% of sample population was Class III ONMCs

o 31% of the Class III sample appeared to be tampered

o Exhaust tampering was most common type of tampering

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 911/17/20

Page 10: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

TAMPERING SURVEY (CONTINUED)

• Tampering frequency increases with vehicle age

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 10

Page 11: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

OUTLINE

• ONMC Background

• Exhaust Standards and Recent Activity

• Evaporative Standards and Recent Activity

• Tentative Regulatory Proposal

• Cost Survey and Data Requests

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 1111/17/20

Page 12: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

HISTORY OF ON-ROAD MOTORCYCLE EXHAUST REGULATIONS

• Exhaust standards last updated in 1998, effective 2008o UDDS Test Cycle (based on LDV driving)

o No OBD

o US EPA and ECCC harmonized with CARB exhaust standards, effective 2010

• EU has adopted more stringent exhaust standards, other nations have followed suito Euro 5 effective 2020

o WMTC Test Cycle (based on real world motorcycle riding)

o Basic OBD

o UN mostly harmonized with EU on test procedures

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 12

ECCC

United Nations

Page 13: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

CARB/USEPA EU 5 (MY 2020+) CARB SULEV 30

g/km

HC + NOx Standards

ONMC EXHAUST EMISSION STANDARDS

13CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 11/17/20

0.100 g/km HC0.0600 g/km NOx

0.0188 g/km HC + NOx

0.8 g/km HC + NOx

Page 14: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ONMC EXHAUST EMISSION STANDARDS

14CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 11/17/20

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

CARB/USEPA EU 5 (MY 2020+) CARB SULEV 30

g/km

CO Standards

0.625 g/km CO

12 g/km CO

1.00 g/km CO

Page 15: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

DRIVE CYCLES: FTP (CARB / EPA) VS. WMTC (EURO 5)

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 15

FTP WMTC

• Max speed: 91 km/h• Average Speed: 34 km/h*• Duration: 1877 s*• Distance: 18 km

Spee

d (k

m/h

)

Spee

d (k

m/h

)

• Max speed: 125 km/h• Average Speed: 58 km/h• Duration: 1800 s• Distance: 29 km

* Does not include 600 s soak period

Page 16: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

600cc 0810,170 m

600cc 08T10,170 m

1584cc 08T3,459 m

250cc 13*29,253 m

675cc 145,060 m

942cc 1416,787 m

750cc 157,507 m

650cc 1627,302 m

1000cc 181,013 m

1750cc 19632 m

850cc 191,131 m

765cc 20425 m

HC+N

Ox

(wei

ghte

d g/

km)

Test Bikes

HC+NOx Emissions By Bike and Test Cycle

FTP WMTC Euro 5 limit CARB limit

* WMTC mod 3-1, Class II

CARB INVENTORY EXHAUST TEST DATA (PRELIMINARY RESULTS)

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 16

Tampered

Bikes

Euro 5 compliant

Page 17: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CARB INVENTORY EXHAUST TEST DATA (PRELIMINARY RESULTS)

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 17

0

5

10

15

20

25

600cc 0810,170 m

600cc 08T10,170 m

1584cc 08T3,459 m

250cc 13*29,253 m

675cc 145,060 m

942cc 1416,787 m

750cc 157,507 m

650cc 1627,302 m

1000cc 181,013 m

1750cc 19632 m

850cc 191,131 m

765cc 20425 m

CO (w

eigh

ted

g/km

)

Test Bikes

CO Emissions By Bike and Test Cycle

FTP WMTC Euro 5 limit CARB limit

WMTC mod 3-1, Class II

Euro 5 compliant

Tampered

Bikes

Page 18: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ADDITIONAL DATA FROM ECCC

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 18

Rosenblatt, D., Stokes, J., Caffrey, C., and Brown, K.F., “Effect of Driving Cycles on Emissions from On-Road Motorcycles,”SAE Technical Paper 2020-01-0377, 2020, doi:10.4271/2020-01-0377.

Test Bike MY Size(cc)

Controls

A (Sport) 2017 296 SFI/TWC/PAIR/HO2S

B (Cruiser) 2016 749 SFI/TWC/2HO2S

C (Touring) 2015 1198 SFI/TWC/PAIR/2HO2S

Page 19: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

• WMTC is generally more aggressive than FTP drive cycle, resulting in higher emissions for most bikes testedo Difference between FTP and WMTC varies by model (control technology, engine calibration, displacement, etc.)

• The Euro 5 compliant motorcycle emits lower than non-Euro 5 compliant motorcycleso EU5 standards approach limits of feasibility for current ONMC control technology, especially NMHC

• Some late MY CARB compliant motorcycles are closely related to Euro 5 compliant models, and are therefore already close to meeting Euro 5 Standards

• Tampered motorcycles generally emitted much higher than non-tampered motorcycles

CARB INVENTORY EXHAUST TESTING OBSERVATIONS

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 19

Page 20: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

NEXT STEPS - EXHAUST

• Protocol comparison testing must be completedo 4 bikes being testing in El Monte

o Additional testing of Euro 5 models planned at ECCC, US EPA, and OEMs

o Determine impact of drive cycle (WMTC, FTP) and fuel formulation (EU5, CARB, and EPA cert fuels)

• Evaluate applicability of WMTC to small displacement ONMC

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 20

Page 21: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

OUTLINE

• ONMC Background

• Exhaust Standards and Recent Activity

• Evaporative Standards and Recent Activity

• Tentative Regulatory Proposal

• Cost Survey and Data Requests

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 2111/17/20

Page 22: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

HISTORY OF ON-ROAD MOTORCYCLE EVAPORATIVE REGULATIONS

• Current evaporative standards and test procedures were implemented in 1986o 2-hour diurnal heat build and hot soak test, not representative of full vehicle evap emissions

• EU also uses the CARB heat blanket procedure, with minor modifications

• U.S. EPA evaporative requirements include only tank and hose permeation standards

• Most other vehicle categories use full vehicle multi-day SHED diurnal testo Includes CARB LDV and off highway motorcycles

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 22

Page 23: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

CARB ONMC* EU 5 CARB OHRV CARB LDV

g/te

st

Evap Standards

ONMC EVAP EMISSION STANDARDS

23CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 11/17/20

2-Hour diurnal heat build and hot soak test

Full Vehicle SHED Diurnal Test

* Practically, manufacturers design to 1.8 g/test to gain exemption from CARB fuel tank fill pipe specifications.

1.5 g/test

2.0 g/test

0.35 g/test

1.0 g/test

Page 24: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

0

0.49

1

1.29

2.03

9

0

1.24

5

1.65

2.02

1 2.33

2

2.41

1

0

0.73

9

1.96

8

3.17

1

0

3.28

6

4.69

5

4.57

9

0

0.66

5

0.76

4

0.84

2

0

0.58

7

1.78

1

2.93

5

0

0.75

2

1.24

2 1.59

1

1.52

8

2.43 2.

537

0

1.24

7

1.97

9

2.82

1

3.37

3

3.75

2

3.74

9

3.83

7

3.96

1

0 0.18

5

0.31

5 0.47 0.

655 0.83

7

0

1.88

2.24

2

2.64

4

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

GRAM

S/DA

Y H

C

DAYS

MC EVAP RATES OVER TIME (65-105-65 DIURNAL)1000cc 1111,115 miles

675cc 145,060 miles

942cc 1416,787 miles

689cc 158,125 miles

750cc 157,507 miles

650cc 1627,302 miles

1000cc 181,013 miles

850cc 191,131 miles

1750cc 19632miles

765cc 20425 miles

CARB INVENTORY EVAP TEST DATA

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 24

Euro 5 Compliant

Page 25: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CARB LDV EVAP TEST DATA

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 25

Example Long Term PZEV Evaporative Profiles

Page 26: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

• Wide range of emissions from various models, although all models passed the current heat blanket certification testso Poor correlation between current test procedures and real world emissions

• No noticeable improvement for Euro5 bike versus CARB-certified bikeso Additional testing of Euro5 models would be useful, will be conducted by U.S. EPA

• Motorcycles appear to have high initial evaporative emissions compared to LDVo Opportunity for emissions reductions

o Staff is investigating this further with a focus on carbon cansiter design

CARB INVENTORY EVAPORATIVE TESTING OBSERVATIONS

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 26

Page 27: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

OUTLINE

• ONMC Background

• Exhaust Standards and Recent Activity

• Evaporative Standards and Recent Activity

• Tentative Regulatory Proposal

• Cost Survey and Data Requests

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 2711/17/20

Page 28: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL - OBJECTIVES

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 28

• Bring lower emissions motorcycles to the California market as quickly as possible

• Minimize costs by aligning standards with other jurisdictions where possible

• Require additional cost-effective reductions in subsequent years

o Focus on evaporative emissions, which make up the majority of ONMC ROG

• Ensure compliance with emissions standards over the vehicle’s useful life

• Transition towards zero emissions motorcycles (ZEMs) as technology improves and costs decrease

Page 29: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL – EXHAUST

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 29

• MY 2023 - 50% of sales must meet Euro 5 exhaust requirements

• MY 2024+ - All motorcycles must meet Euro 5 exhaust requirements

• Manufacturers may use their EU test data if engine family has EU Type Approval

o EU spec fuel may be used for testing if manufacturer is using EU Type Approval data

o Vehicle must also comply using CARB LEVIII fuel

o CARB confirmatory and compliance testing will be conducted using CARB LEVIII fuel

• Manufacturers may use CARB-specific test data (not from EU Type Approval)

o CARB LEV III fuel is required unless using EU Type Approval test data

o Testing need not be witnessed by an EU Technical Services representative

Page 30: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL – EXHAUST FOR SMALL DISPLACEMENT BIKES

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 30

• MY 2024+: CARB will certify Class IA bikes (<50cc)o CARB currently defers regulations of Class IA bikes to U.S. EPA

o Must meet Euro 5 exhaust and evaporative requirements

• Exhaust testing must be done using the phases of the WMTC prescribed in Euro 5 regulations, except as follows:o Bikes with displacement between 50cc and 150cc, and max speed of > 85km/h, shall use WMTC Subclass 2-1 (max speed 82.5

km/h) instead of Subclass 1-3 (max speed 50 km/h) Ensures that the WMTC is equally stringent to FTP for all motorcycle classes

• Regulation will include procedure for determining max speedo Max Speed determination will only be required when using lower speed variants of WMTC

Page 31: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

HC AND CO CERT LEVELS FOR ALL 2020 CARB ONMC ENGINE FAMILIES

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 31

2x Euro 5 Limit

Euro 5 Limit

40.4% are at or below 1.0 g/km CO62.3% are at or below 2.0 g/km CO

38.6% are at or below 0.10 g/km HC60.1% are at or below 0.20 g/km HC

Hydrocarbons Carbon Monoxide

Page 32: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ECCC DATA SHOWING THE EFFECT OF TEST FUELS ON EMISSIONS

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 11/17/20 32

Page 33: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL – OBD

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 33

• MY 2023 - 50% of all Class III sales must meet Euro 5 OBD requirements

• MY 2024-25 - All Class III sales must meet Euro 5 OBD requirements

• MY 2026+ - Class III sales must meet Euro 5 OBD plus additional CARB-specific requirements:

o Evap system, cold start, crank case ventilation, fuel system, engine cooling, and variable valve timing based on CARB LDV

o OBD faults that indicate catalyst removal must limit vehicle speed, prompting owners to make timely repair

• OBD certification based on Euro 5 requirements

o Manufacturers may use their EU OBD test results if OBD system has Euro 5 Type Approval

o EU Type Approval for OBD will be accepted by CARB

o CARB staff will review/approve the additional CARB-specific requirements

Page 34: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CARB-SPECIFIC OBD REQUIREMENTS

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 34

Monitor Comments

Evaporative System Monitoring CARB will require detection of fuel system leaks (0.20” orifice) and comprehensive evaporative component monitoring.

Cold Start Emission Reduction Strategy Monitoring

If a vehicle incorporates a specific engine control strategy to reduce cold start emissions, the OBD system shall monitor the commanded elements/components for proper function.

Crankcase Ventilation Monitoring Manufacturers shall monitor the CV system on vehicles so-equipped for system integrity.

Engine Cooling System Monitoring The OBD system shall monitor the thermostat on vehicles so-equipped for proper operation. The OBD system shall monitor the engine coolant temperature (ECT) sensor for circuit continuity, out-of-range values, and rationality faults.

Variable Valve Timing (VVT) Monitoring

The OBD system shall monitor the VVT system on vehicles so-equipped for target error and slow response malfunctions.

Fuel System Monitoring The OBD system shall monitor the fuel delivery system to determine its ability to comply with applicable standards

Refer to CARB LDV OBD requirements – CCR, Title 13, section 1968.2 for additional details

Page 35: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CATALYST REMOVAL

• Starting in 2026, OBD system must detect catalyst removal and reduce vehicle max speed to 40 mpho Discourages tampering, encourages prompt correction

o Applies only to catalyst removal, not degradation of catalyst over time

• Once the OBD system identifies missing catalyst:o Speed reduction triggered after no more than 10 engine starts, 500 miles driven, or 10 hours of driving time

o Once triggered, vehicle max speed will be limited until corrected and cleared

• Manufacturer may de-rate power or max speed stepwise prior to reaching CARB limitso To ensure rider safety, manufacturers should provide adequate warning of impending speed reduction

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 35

Page 36: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL – EVAPORATIVE CONTROLS

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 36

• MY 2023-2024: All motorcycles must meet either Euro 5 or current CARB evaporative system requirements

• MY 2025-26: All motorcycles must meet either Euro 5 or current CARB evaporative system requirements, plus additional evaporative component performance specificationso U.S. EPA tank and hose permeation requirements

o Minimum ratio requirement for carbon canister working capacity to fuel tank volume

o Maximum carbon canister bleed emissions

• MY 2027+: All motorcycles must meet diurnal SHED standardo SHED test protocol based on CARB TP-933 and LDV requirements

Page 37: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

EVAPORATIVE COMPONENT REQUIREMENTS

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 37

• CARB inventory testing showed strong correlation between emissions and canister working capacity / fuel tank volume

• Working with MECA and US EPA to develop ONMC evap canister performance standards

• May require improved canister design, but no other changes to approved Euro 5 models

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0.50 0.70 0.90 1.10 1.30 1.50 1.70 1.90 2.10 2.30

3-D

ay E

mis

sion

sCanister Working Capacity (g)/Tank Volume (l)

Canister Working Capacity/Tank Size vs. Total 3-Day Emissions

Outliers: Leakers?

Page 38: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

DEVELOPMENT OF SHED TEST PROTOCOL

• Manufacturers and CARB staff have identified potential for improvement to TP-933

• CARB will work with U.S. EPA and stakeholders to develop appropriate ONMC SHED test protocolo Vehicle prep procedure, temperature profile, test duration, pass/fail criteria

• Goal is to develop a test protocol that can become 50-state requirement if EPA updates their ONMC regulations

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 38

Page 39: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL - DURABILITY

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 39

• MY 2023-2024 – Durability demonstration must be conducted per either Euro 5 or current CARB requirementso Manufacturers using EU durability demonstration protocol must also use EU useful life distance

o Manufacturers using catalyst bench aging option will be required to conduct in-use verification

Durability Method

Current CARB

Current EU

EU 2024+ CARB 2025+

Full Mileage X X X

Partial Mileage X X X X

Bench Aging X X X

Mathematical (fixed)

X

Page 40: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

PROPOSED INCREASE TO USEFUL LIFE MILEAGE

• MY 2025+ - All NEW engine families are subject to increased useful life distance

• Median age of motorcycles dropping from DMV registration = 18.5 years• Median age of motorcycles with 50,000km = 10.5 years*

* 2017 NHTSA Motorcycle Safety Survey

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 40

CARB/EPAClass

Most Common Comparable EU Class

Current EPA/CARB Distance (kilometers)

Current Euro 5 Distance (kilometers)

Proposed CARB Distancefor MY 2025+ (kilometers)

% Increase over current CARB/EPA

Distance

IA (<50cc) L1e-B, L2e 6,000 5,500 6,000 0%

IB (50-169 cc) L3e-A1 12,000 11,000 15,000 25%

II (170-279 cc) L3e-A2 18,000 20,000 25,000 38.8%

III (279+ cc) L3e-A3 30,000 35,000 50,000 66.6%

Page 41: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

IN-USE VERIFICATION PROGRAM

• In-use verification program (IUVP) will be based on current CARB Light-Duty Vehicle (LDV) requirements

• Testing will be required on Class III motorcycles certified using catalyst bench agingo Applicable only to engine families with yearly sales of 300 or more units in California

• Testing done on four motorcycles per engine family o All test motorcycles must have a minimum 15,000 km

o At least one motorcycle in each test group have a minimum of 22,500 km (75% of useful life)

o Program will be based on current CARB LDV requirements

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 41

Page 42: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

DURABILITY FOR EVAPORATIVE EMISSIONS SYSTEMS

• If manufacturers do not conduct full or partial mileage durability demonstration, evaporative component durability must be established

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 42

Fuel

Tan

k • Slosh testing• Pressure / vacuum cycling• Thermal cycling• UV exposure• Fuel cap cycling

Car

bon

Can

iste

r • Vibration exposure• Thermal cycling• Dust• UV exposure

Page 43: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

PROPOSED CERTIFICATION PROCESS

• CARB Executive Order required for all new motorcycles sold in California

• Application process based on current CARB requirements

• Submit all required test data and supporting documentation to CARB for review

• EU Type Approval documents may be submitted when applicable

o EU Type Approval does not guarantee CARB certification

• Data that cannot be submitted via EPA’s EV-CIS system must be submitted electronically to CARB

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 43

Page 44: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REGULATORY PROPOSAL –TRANSITION TO ZERO EMISSIONS

44 11/17/20 CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP

MY 2035+ - At least 50% of each manufacturer’s sales must be ZEMs

MY 2030-2034 At least 25% of each manufacturer’s sales must be ZEMs

MY 2028-2029 At least 10% of each manufacturer’s sales must be ZEMs

MY 2028+ All class IA motorcycles (<50cc) must be Zero Emissions Motorcycles (ZEMs)

Page 45: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ZEM CREDITS AND CERTIFICATION REQUIREMENTS

• Manufacturers may trade ZEM creditso CARB staff will work with stakeholders to set appropriate credit value for ZEMs with performance equivalent to

small displacement motorcycles

• ZEMs must be certified by CARBo Basic performance demonstration, similar to current requirements for CVRP program

o Basic durability requirements

o Labeling, warranty, and administrative requirements

• ZEM program will be modeled after CARB LDV ZEV requirementso CCR, Title 13, sec 1962.2

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 45

Page 46: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

PRELIMINARY ESTIMATED BENEFITS OF REGULATORY PROPOSAL

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 4611/17/20

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

ROG

+ N

ox (T

PD)

Year

Baseline ROG + NOx with Projected Reductions*

ROG Evap

ROG Exhaust

NOx Exhaust

Baseline Emissions

*Reductions are understated in that a ROG evaporative standard has not yet been determined from which to estimate complete emissions reductions.

Page 47: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CARB IS UPDATING THE MOBILE SOURCE STRATEGY (MSS)

• MSS outlines trajectories needed in all mobile sectors to meet air quality and climate goals, including significant reductions from ONMC

• Meets SB 44 requirements & incorporates Governor’s EO direction

• Staff have considered a scenario that significantly reduce criteria and greenhouse gas emissions from motorcycles

• Proposed 2020 MSS assumes 100% ONMC new sales to be ZEVs in 2035

o Consistent with other vehicle categories, but more aggressive than regulatory concepts being proposed today

https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/resources/documents/2020-mobile-source-strategy

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 47

Page 48: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

PRELIMINARY ESTIMATED BENEFITS OF MSS PROPOSAL

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 4811/17/20

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

ROG

+ N

ox (T

PD)

Year

Baseline ROG + NOx with Projected Reductions

ROG Evap

ROG Exhaust

NOx Exhaust

Baseline Emissions

Page 49: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

ESTIMATED TIMELINE

January 2021:Draft Proposed

Regulatory Language

March 2021:Workshop Draft Regulatory

Language

December 2020:Complete Emissions

Testing

September 2021:Board Hearing

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 49

Page 50: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

BEYOND CARB’S 2021 RULEMAKING…

• U.S. EPA staff is following CARB and UN rule development, and will re-evaluate motorcycle regulations in Spring 2021o CARB staff will support and coordinate with U.S. EPA in any future federal ONMC regulations

• Develop real world driving standards or “not to exceed” limitso Based on on-road emissions using miniature PEMS

o Requires development of mini-PEMS standards, and protocols for collecting on-road data

• Increased confirmatory and compliance testing at new Riverside lab• Statewide Smog Check program for motorcycles

o Reduce tampering and ensure real world emissions benefits

• Look for additional opportunities to advance the ZEV motorcycle marketo Close the gap between staff ’s regulatory proposal and the 2020 MSS scenario

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Page 51: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

OUTLINE

• ONMC Background

• Exhaust Standards and Recent Activity

• Evaporative Standards and Recent Activity

• Tentative Regulatory Proposal

• Cost Survey and Data Requests

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 5111/17/20

Page 52: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

SURVEY COST RESULTS

• In May 2020, CARB sent out a survey requesting manufacturers to participate in a survey to identify regulatory costso At that time, the focus of the proposal was on harmonization with Euro 5

• Useful responses were received from manufacturers representing approximately 38% of the market for ONMCs sold in California

• The survey indicated that the cost due of improved parts for current CARB compliant bikes to meet Euro 5 standards would be approximately $191o The most common items mentioned were improved catalyst and post catalyst O2 sensor

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Page 53: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

NEW COST SURVEY REQUEST

• Since the May 2020 survey, there have been changes in the direction of the proposal to include:o Increased goals for ZEM sales

o More stringent evaporative emissions standards

o CARB regulation of Class Ia (< 50cc) motorcycles

o Increased durability and California-specific OBD requirements

• To understand the cost of these additional requirements on stakeholders, CARB is requesting manufacturers answer this new surveyo This survey will be emailed out to manufacturers in the coming days

o This survey is an additional opportunity to answer Euro 5 harmonization questions from the May 2020 survey

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 53

Page 54: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

REQUEST FOR ALTERNATIVES

11/17/20CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 54

• CARB welcomes public input on alternatives to the proposed regulatory concepts discussed in this workshop

• Proposed alternatives should: o Yield the same or greater benefits than those associated with the

proposed concepts

o Achieve the goals at equivalent or lower cost

o Include associated cost/benefit information, methodology and data sources to enable comparison of economic impacts

• Please submit alternatives by December 3, 2020o Submit via email to [email protected]

Page 55: CARB On-road Motorcycle (ONMC) Public Workshop

CONTACTS AND QUESTIONS

• Project Lead: Jason McPhee, P.E.

(916)323-1104

[email protected]

• Lead OBD and Verification: Anthony Grandov

(916) 322-2411

[email protected]

• Manager, Engineering & Regulation Development Section:Scott Bacon

(916) 322-8949

[email protected]

CARB ONMC PUBLIC WORKSHOP 5511/17/20

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