capital markets day 2015 · source market development: lmc automotive 2015, ihs global insi ghts,...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Michael Pontzen, CFOCologne, November 6th 2015
Capital Markets Day 2015The “New LANXESS” - focus on the financial perspective
![Page 2: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
The information included in this presentation is being provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, securities of LANXESS AG. No public market exists for the securities of LANXESS AG in the United States.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements, including assumptions, opinions and views of the company or cited from third party sources. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause the actual results, financial position, development or performance of LANXESS AG to differ materially from the estimations expressed or implied herein. LANXESS AG does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does it accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecast developments. No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and accordingly, no representative of LANXESS AG or any of its affiliated companies or any of such person's officers, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
Safe harbor statement
![Page 3: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
3
Agenda
The “New LANXESS”:
Businesses that provide resilience, cash generation and growth
Financial principles to create value
![Page 4: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
Our businesses
Advanced Intermediates
Performance Chemicals
High Performance
Materials
![Page 5: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Our businesses: Resilient, cash generating and well positioned in growing markets
Growth
Cash generation
Resilience
![Page 6: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
Advanced Intermediates: Diverse and growing end markets
Diverse and growing end markets
Index (2010 = 100%)
Asia-Pacific
EMEA
North AmericaLatin America
World
App
licat
ions
Agr
o M
arke
t Advanced
Intermediates
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
140%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
CAGR ~3%
Source market development: IHS Global Insight 2015
Agro custom manufacturing
Agro intermediates
PlasticsChemicals
Tires
Consumers
Construction
AutomotiveOthers
Sales split FY 2014
![Page 7: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
Sustainable margin corridor of 15-18%
Advanced Intermediates: Resilient and sound business platforms
Resilient and crisis-proof businessEBITDA [€ m] / Margin [%]
0
100
200
300
400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 2015 LTM
16.6% 15.8% 16.2% 15.2% 16.7% 18.1%
4% CAGR
Crisis in Southern Europe
Advanced Intermediates
all reference to EBITDA is EBITDA pre exceptionals
![Page 8: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
Advanced Intermediates: Strong cash generation through asset efficiency and lean business set-up
Strong focus on cash generation
-150
-50
50
150
250
350
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 2015 LTM
[€ m]
EBITDA
Capex
Cash flow (approx.)*
* before changes in working capital and M&A / all reference to EBITDA is EBITDA pre exceptionals
Advanced Intermediates
![Page 9: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Performance Chemicals: Five solution-providing businesses with unique positions and diverse end market
App
licat
ions
Con
stru
ctio
n
Performance Chemicals
Index (2010 = 100%)
90%
110%
130%
150%
170%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
CAGR ~3%
Source market development: IHS Global Insight 2015
Consumers
Construction
Paints and Coatings
WaterPlasticAutomotive
Latex
Food & Beverages
Metal
Chemicals & Others
Sales split FY 2014
Asia-Pacific
EMEA
North AmericaLatin America
World
Diverse and growing end markets
![Page 10: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
4% CAGR
Performance Chemicals: Reliable performance with upside potential
Well balanced portfolio of solution provider businesses
0
100
200
300
400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 2015 LTM
EBITDA [€ m] / Margin [%]
Sustainable margin corridor of 13-16%15.3% 14.3% 14.1% 12.2% 13.5% 15.8%
Crisis in Southern Europe
Performance Chemicals
all reference to EBITDA is EBITDA pre exceptionals
![Page 11: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11
Performance Chemicals: Considerable cash generation based on good mix of solution focused businesses
Strong focus on cash generation
-150
-50
50
150
250
350
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 2015 LTM
[€ m]
EBITDA
Capex
Cash flow (approx.)*
* before changes in working capital and M&A / all reference to EBITDA is EBITDA pre exceptionals
Performance Chemicals
![Page 12: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
12
High Performance Materials: Attractive growth in engineering plastics for automotive applications
Growing end markets
App
licat
ions
Car
Mar
ket
Global demand growth for engineering plastics*: ~5%
Growth for engineering plastics in automotive applications*: ~7%
Index (2010 = 100%)
Asia-Pacific
EMEANorth America
Latin America
World70%
120%
170%
`10 `11 `12 `13 `14 `15 `16 `17 `18 `19 `20
CAGR ~3%
High Performance
Materials
Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insights, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 2015-2020
Automotive
Electro/Electronics
Construction
Packaging
Textile, Sports & Leisure
Others
Sales split FY 2014
![Page 13: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
13
High Performance Materials: Downstream investments will improve margins and facilitate future resilience
Working on margin improvement through cost efficiencies
0
50
100
150
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 2015 LTM
EBITDA [€ m] / Margin [%]
Target margin >10% by transformation of
business13.9% 12.8% 9.8% 6.1% 7.3% 9.5%
Overcapacitiesin caprolactam
High Performance
Materials
all reference to EBITDA is EBITDA pre exceptionals
![Page 14: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14
High Performance Materials: Downstream investments will improve margins and facilitate future resilience
Shift of business to higher-value-added markets
High exposure of ~40% to caprolactam merchant market2005
Caprolactam
Polyamide
Compounds
Growth
Margin level
low
high
low high
High Performance
Materials
![Page 15: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
High Performance Materials: Downstream investments will improve margins and facilitate future resilience
Shift of business to higher-value-added markets
Reduction of caprolactam merchant market exposure to <10% Build up of global compounding network2015
Caprolactam
Polyamide
Compounds
Growth
Margin level
low
high
low high
High Performance
Materials
![Page 16: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16
High Performance Materials: Downstream investments will improve margins and facilitate future resilience
Shift of business to higher-value-added markets
Majority of business in high tech compounds
Caprolactam
Polyamide
Compounds
2020
Growth
Margin level
low
high
low high
High Performance
Materials
![Page 17: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
17
High Performance Materials: Investment strategy sets the stage for future improvement in cash generation
Investing in a balanced value chain
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 2015 LTM
[€ m]
EBITDA
Capex
Cash flow (approx.)*
Investments into polymerization and compounding networkHigh Performance
Materials
* before changes in working capital and M&A / all reference to EBITDA is EBITDA pre exceptionals
![Page 18: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18
Capex spent with strong cash conversion potential
AdvancedIntermediates
PerformanceChemicals
~€100–150 m
Planned growth
capex until 2020
High Performance
Materials
Strong cash conversion
~€100–150 m ~€50–100 m
![Page 19: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19
Our businesses: resilient, cash generating and well positioned in growing markets
Advanced Intermediates
Performance Chemicals
Proven level of 15-18% Margin volatility of ~2-3% pts
Strong businesses
Resilience (EBITDA margin)
Cash generation
Growth
Attractive cash generation through technology leadership and efficient business set-up
Growth slightly above GDP
Sustainable at 13-16% Margin volatility of ~2-3% pts
Considerable cash generation based on good mix of solution focused businesses
Growth with GDP
Target margin >10%, resilience moving forward with transformation of business
Cash generation will improve with a more balanced value chain and shift to higher-margin businesses
Growth above GDP
Valuable businesses with resilience, cash generation and growth opportunities
High Performance Materials
![Page 20: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
20
Agenda
The “New LANXESS”:
Businesses that provide resilience, cash generation and growth
Financial principles to create value
![Page 21: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
21
CFO principles: Creating value by managing costs, focusing on cash generation and rigorously managing debt
Cost optimization
Cash control
Improve cash flow Maintain investment grade rating
Foster growth with clear investment principles
Debt management
Strong team as foundation for success
![Page 22: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
22
Visible improvement of SG&A and R&D costs through our Phase I restructuring
Based on annual and interim reports
Overheads and sales in line againIndex 2006 = 100
Sales (excl. raw materials inflation)
Overhead and R&D costs
75
100
125
Q32015LTM
201420132012201120102009200820072006
~960[€ m]
Visible reduction in overheads despite inflation
~860Restructuring
savings
Admin Marketing R&D
2010 2012 Q3 2015 LTM
![Page 23: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
23
~€150 m savings from Phase II – from process efficiencies and asset network reconfiguration
Processefficiencies
EPDM / Nd-PBR global
network
Total savings
~€100 m~€10 m
~€150 mby end of 2019
~€20 m
Asset network reconfiguration
* €20 m savings from the EPDM and Nd-PBR reconfiguration already communicated in March 2015** OTCs include ~€55 m already communicated and booked (Marl / Nd-PBR reconfiguration) / *** Cost base 2014 without depreciation and amortization
New LANXESS
~€60 m
OTCs as exceptional charges**
~€100 m
~€20 m*
Rubber~€40 m
Capacity adjustments
Latin America
Capacity adjustments
France
Savings from Phase II
Capex for efficiency measures
~€140 mby end of 2019
One-time items of Phase II
~€10 m already realized in 2015
~€55 m already booked
(Q1’15)**
![Page 24: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
24
Quantified savings of ~€400 m from efficiency programs
Cumulated savings from efficiency measures
* vs. 2013 / previous programs include Advance, cost base comparison Advance vs. 2012
2014 2015 2016 2019 ffcumulated savings*
Realignment Phase I
Previous Programs*
~€400 m
Realignment Phase II
~€150 m
~€150 m
~€100 m
![Page 25: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
25
Capex cycle ends – now cash control on capex established again
GrowthMaintenance
2012 2014 Nov ‘142015e
~450
614696
Capex [€ m] ~-200
Capex cycle ends…
~430
…in addition cash control on operational basis
2016e Mar ‘15 Aug ‘15 Nov ‘15
500-550~450 <450 ~430
Capex guidance 2015 [€ m]
Capex continuously controlled and optimized
![Page 26: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
26
Looking into the details – controlling cash on all levels
Tax rate Cash-outs for restructuring
20130
50
2014 2015e 2016e 2017e
~-€100 m[€ m]
12375
2014 2015e 2016e 2017e
~-€75 m[€ m]
Interest payments
20%
30%
40%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3 '15LTM
Midterm
- Mid term ~30%- Potential of 22-25%
based on earnings recovery in rubber
Working capital
1.500
1.750
2.000
Beg. of year Q1 Q2 Q3
[€ m]
2015
2014
![Page 27: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
27
Actively managing debt – prudent financial control
Financial debt
Liquidity
Pensions
Leasing
Rating
Prudent financial control on risk management and financing
![Page 28: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
28
Proceeds of ~€1.2 bn from JV will lead to improved financial profile and flexibility
Improved financial profile
Significant reduction in total net financial debt
3,014
888
1,814
888
3.4x
2.0x
Q3 2015 LTM pro forma after closing JV
Total net debt EBITDA pre Total net debt / EBITDA pre
[€ m]
Total net debt includes: Net financial debt and pensions liabilities as of September 30th, 2015 / operating leases as of December 31st 2014
Clear commitment to investment grade rating
Credit outlook lifted to positive by Standard & Poor’s
“JV transaction, combined with continued prudent financial policy and improving operating performance, will likely reduce leverage […] with potentialfor rating upgrade over next 12 months […]”
“The joint venture is credit positive for Lanxess”
![Page 29: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
29
CFO financial principles to create value
Cost optimization
Cash control
Quantified savings of ~€400 m
Control cash-outs in capex, interests, restructuring, tax
and working capital
Improve free cash flow Maintain investment grade rating
Foster growth
Fact based investment principles
Debt management
Total net debt / EBITDA target 2–2.5x
Strong team as foundation for success
![Page 30: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Appendix
![Page 31: Capital Markets Day 2015 · Source market development: LMC Automotive 2015, IHS Global Insi ghts, AMI Plastics, PCI Nylon, Plastics Europe 2014 / *CAGR 201 5-2020 Automotive Electro/Electronics](https://reader035.vdocuments.site/reader035/viewer/2022081405/5f0692a07e708231d418a846/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
31
Financial details on Phase II
~20~50~5Cash-out (OTC) ~15
201720162015 2018
~10~30~60P&L expense (OTC)
Capital Invest
~40~20~10Cost reduction ~40
Detailed table to summarize financial impact of restructuring Phase II
[€ m]
[€ m]
[€ m]
[€ m]
2019
~40
Includes €20 m savings from the EPDM and Nd-PBR reconfiguration already communicated in March 2015 / OTCs include ~€55 m already communicated and booked in 2015 (Marl / Nd-PBR reconfiguration) / OTC = one-time-costs booked as exceptionals
~150
~90
~140
Total
~100
by 2019