calpine february 23, 2005 california puc climate change en banc san francisco, ca pete cartwright...

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February 23, 2005 CALPINE CALIFORNIA PUC CLIMATE CHANGE EN BANC San Francisco, CA PETE CARTWRIGHT President and Chief Executive Officer

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February 23, 2005

CALPINE

CALIFORNIA PUC CLIMATE CHANGE EN BANC

San Francisco, CA

PETE CARTWRIGHTPresident and Chief Executive Officer

CA PUC Climate Change

2

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

CALPINE OVERVIEW

Power Portfolio

Operation 26,500 mw

Construction 5,500 mw

Development 16,000 mw

TOTAL 48,000 mw

Fuel

Natural Gas 98%

Geothermal 2%

CA PUC Climate Change

3

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

CALPINE U.S. POWER PORTFOLIO

In Operation – Gas-Fired (73 plants)In Operation – Geothermal (19 plants)Under Construction (11 plants)

WECC

MAPP

SPP

ERCOT

MAIN ECAR

SERC

FRCC

MAAC

NPCC-NY

NPCC-NENPCC-O

UK

not to scale

MEXICO

CA PUC Climate Change

4

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

CALPINE IN CALIFORNIA

Power Portfolio

Operation 3,900 mw

Construction 2,000 mw

Development 3,800 mw

TOTAL 9,700 mw

Fuel

Natural Gas 92%

Geothermal 8%

CA PUC Climate Change

5

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

CA PUC Climate Change

6

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

CO2 EMISSIONS —COAL vs. NATURAL GAS

2,1631,995

1,307

832647

CO2 — Pounds per megawatt-hour

Old Coal New CoalOld Natural Gas New Natural GasNatural Gas Cogeneration

CA PUC Climate Change

7

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

CLIMATE CHANGE —WHAT CALPINE IS DOING

Board Low-Carbon Resolution

Concentration on Natural Gas

Efficiency Improvements

Cogeneration Program

Natural Gas Supply

Geothermal and Renewables

Solid Fuel Gasification and Sequestration

CA PUC Climate Change

8

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

WHAT THE UNITED STATES CAN DO

Modernize its Power Plant Fleet

Shut Down Half of Old Coal-Fired Plants —442.6 Million mwh

Shut Down All Old Gas-Fired Plants —169.2 Million mwh

Replace With New Gas-Fired Plants +611.8 Million mwh

CA PUC Climate Change

9

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES

Gas Consumption Increases by ~ 2.5 tcf/Year

Cost of Electricity Roughly Unchanged

Fuel Cost: +$3.6 Billion Per Year

CO2 Offsets: —$3 Billion Per Year

Adequate Gas-Fired Generation is Available

CA PUC Climate Change

10

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

326 Million Tons Per Year

ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES

% Reduction of Power Sector Emissions (2002)

NOX 33.8%

SO2 26.5%

Hg 40.3%

PM 19.8%

CO2 13.0%

CA PUC Climate Change

11

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

IMPACT OF CO2 REDUCTION

326 Million Tons Per Year

Equals Emissions From 57 Million Cars

87% of Bush’s 2012 Goals

35% of McCain-Lieberman 2010 Goals

15% of Kyoto 2010 Goals

CA PUC Climate Change

12

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

WHAT CALIFORNIA CAN DO

Encourage:

Energy Efficiency

Renewables

Encourage Natural Gas Generation

Shut Down Old Gas-Fired Plants

Eliminate Reliance on Out-of-State Coal Plants

Build LNG Terminals

Promote Open Competitive Markets

CA PUC Climate Change

13

CALPINE

February 23, 2005

WHAT CALIFORNIA CAN DO (continued)

Shut Down Old Gas-Fired Plants —40.8 Million mwh

Stop Importing Coal-Fired Power —59.0 Million mwh

Additional Renewables to Meet 20% Goal +26.6 Million mwh

Add Modern Gas-Fired Plants +73.2 Million mwh

CO2 Reduction Potential — 60 Million Tons Per Year

February 23, 2005

CALPINE

CALPINE