calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

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Vitor Silva GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

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Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

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Page 1: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Vitor Silva

GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Page 2: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Region of interest: Nepal

1. 2221 locations

2. 9144 assets

3. 5 taxonomies

4. ≈140.000 km2

5. Number, area,

economic value,

retrofitting cost.

Page 3: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Scenario Risk CalculatorMagnitude: 7.0 Mw, Mean loss: 8.7 billion EUR, Standard deviation: 2.1 billion EUR

Page 4: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Scenario Damage CalculatorMagnitude: 7.0 Mw

Damage distribution per asset

Total damage distribution

Damage distribution per taxonomy

Page 5: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Scenario Damage CalculatorMagnitude: 7.0 Mw

Page 6: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Benefit/Cost Ratio CalculatorPre-code and retrofitted vulnerability functions.

Original vulnerability model Retrofitted vulnerability model

Page 7: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

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Page 8: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Benefit/Cost Ratio Calculator

Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).

Page 9: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).

Page 10: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).

Page 11: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Seismic hazard map for 475 years

Page 12: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Vulnerability model for structural components

Page 13: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Vulnerability model for structural components

Page 14: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Loss exceedance curves

Page 15: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Optimal design map

Page 16: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Optimal design map

Page 17: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

2012 Mw=5.9 Emilia-Romagna earthquake

24 fatalities400 injured20,000 homeless$17.4B direct losses

Page 18: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Thank you.

Page 19: Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under: creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to -www.globalearthquakemodel.org