but how climate-friendly are evs really? -...
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But how climate-friendly are EVs really?
Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van MierloDirector of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 3Joris Besseling
57% NOx – 25% PM
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 4
Jonathan C. Wheeler
1 Billion Euro’s per Day for import of Oil in Europe
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 5
Manon
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 6
Strong foundations
1979 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
2014 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Key data
40years of expertise
140projects
over last 5 years
12current EU Projects
18nationalities
75 +
team members
>4M€ M€
turnover
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 9
Top 3 Barriers for EVs
Limited charging infrastructure
Limited driving range
High purchase cost
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 10
Specific Energy (Wh/kg)
Lead Nickel Lithium 2020 2030
30 – 35 50 – 80 80 – 200 400 - 600 1000 - 2000?
x2 x2 x3 x3
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 12
Market evolutionP
urc
hase p
rice (
€)
Driving range (km)
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 13
Infrastructure needsWhere is your car during one week?
HomeWork
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van MierloMOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 15
Intelligent roll-out of infrastructure
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 20
Life Cycle Assessment
Raw
materialsProduction of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw
materials
Refining
and
transport
Distribution
Usage
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Ozone formation
Elementaryflows
Midpointimpacts
EndpointDamages
Climate change
Acidification
EutrophicationFossil fuel depletion
PM formation
Land useHuman toxicity
Radiation Eco toxicity
Ozone depletion
CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, …and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)
Human health
EcosystemResource
availability
Single score
Mineral depletion
Water use
Inventorymodel
Raw materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw materials Refining and
production
Distribution
Usage
WTTMaintenance
Production
TTW
Road
infrastructure 21
FU: 209,470 km(14.1 years, 14,856 km/yr)
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 22
Climate change
Messagie, Maarten; Boureima, Faycal-Siddikou; Coosemans, Thierry; Macharis, Cathy; Van Mierlo, Joeri (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle
Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue:
3 Pages: 1467-1482
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 23
What is the influence of peak and off-peak charging of BEV?
Reference Vehicle: Peugeot iOnM. Messagie VUB | MOBI
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 24
Life cycle perspectives of 2nd life and V2G
• Peak shaving• Optimizing PV use• 2nd life battery
M. Messagie VUB | MOBI
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Reduction potential of 2nd life battery
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1st life w 2ndlife
1st life w 2ndlife
1st life w 2ndlife
1st life w 2ndlife
1st life w 2ndlife
CC OD HT POF MRD
Roads and lightingEngine Control UnitStarter and generatorCatalytic converterPublic charging stationOnboard chargerDC/DC converterAC/DC converterElectric MotorLi batteryMaintenanceLead batteryBody shellTTWBrake abrasionRoad abrasionTire abrasion
M. Messagie VUB | MOBI
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Ozone formation
Elementaryflows
Midpointimpacts
Climate change
Acidification
EutrophicationFossil fuel depletion
PM formation
Land useHuman toxicity
Radiation Eco toxicity
Ozone depletion
CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, …and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)
Mineral depletion
Water use
Inventorymodel
Raw materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw materials Refining and
production
Distribution
Usage
WTTMaintenance
Production
TTW
Road
infrastructure
26
Single score
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 29
Life cycle air quality
! Geographical & Temporal Reslution in LCA
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Vehicle
database
Parameterized LCI model
Monte Carlo
assessment
Vehicle segmentation
Data fitting
0%20%40%60%80%100%
0
0,05
0,1
0,15
970
1057
.2
1144
.4
1231
.6
1318
.8
1406
1493
.2
Den
sity
Weight [kg]
Parameterized vehicle-LCA model
30
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 31
Single score
Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment
Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle
Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 1467-1482
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Influence of the electricity mix
Ref: Messagie, M., et.al. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment
Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle
Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES
33
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 34
Sustainability LCA : supply chain risk
Environment
Society Economy
Sus - LCA
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Sustainable (3P) design optimization
+ +
=
M. Messagie VUB | MOBI
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 42
Consumer segmentation
Purchase price Brand and travel cost
Fuelling time
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 44Source: Fuelling EUROPE’S Future, 2013
Electrification=1 mln. additional jobs in 2030 in EU2 mln. additional jobs in 2050 in EU
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 47
Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Phone +32 2 629 28 03
Email [email protected]
Office Building Z (ZE109)
Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels
mobi.vub.ac.be
twitter.com/MOBI_VUB
Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Research centre
Vrije Universiteit Brussel