but how climate-friendly are evs really? -...

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But how climate-friendly are EVs really? Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van Mierlo Director of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre

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But how climate-friendly are EVs really?

Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van MierloDirector of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 2

20%

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 3Joris Besseling

57% NOx – 25% PM

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 4

Jonathan C. Wheeler

1 Billion Euro’s per Day for import of Oil in Europe

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 5

Manon

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 6

Strong foundations

1979 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel

2014 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel

Vrije Universiteit Brussel

Key data

40years of expertise

140projects

over last 5 years

12current EU Projects

18nationalities

75 +

team members

>4M€ M€

turnover

E-mobility

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 9

Top 3 Barriers for EVs

Limited charging infrastructure

Limited driving range

High purchase cost

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 10

Specific Energy (Wh/kg)

Lead Nickel Lithium 2020 2030

30 – 35 50 – 80 80 – 200 400 - 600 1000 - 2000?

x2 x2 x3 x3

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 11

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 12

Market evolutionP

urc

hase p

rice (

€)

Driving range (km)

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 13

Infrastructure needsWhere is your car during one week?

HomeWork

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 14

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van MierloMOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 15

Intelligent roll-out of infrastructure

How Green are Clean vehicles?

17

Real life emissions (exhaust/non-exhaust/non regulated)

M. Messagie- VUB 18

Real-time emissions of full supply chain of electricity generation

19

Extensive Bill-of-Materials of all components

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 20

Life Cycle Assessment

Raw

materialsProduction of

components

Assembly and

distribiution

Waste

Raw

materials

Refining

and

transport

Distribution

Usage

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Ozone formation

Elementaryflows

Midpointimpacts

EndpointDamages

Climate change

Acidification

EutrophicationFossil fuel depletion

PM formation

Land useHuman toxicity

Radiation Eco toxicity

Ozone depletion

CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, …and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)

Human health

EcosystemResource

availability

Single score

Mineral depletion

Water use

Inventorymodel

Raw materials Production of

components

Assembly and

distribiution

Waste

Raw materials Refining and

production

Distribution

Usage

WTTMaintenance

Production

TTW

Road

infrastructure 21

FU: 209,470 km(14.1 years, 14,856 km/yr)

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 22

Climate change

Messagie, Maarten; Boureima, Faycal-Siddikou; Coosemans, Thierry; Macharis, Cathy; Van Mierlo, Joeri (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle

Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue:

3 Pages: 1467-1482

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 23

What is the influence of peak and off-peak charging of BEV?

Reference Vehicle: Peugeot iOnM. Messagie VUB | MOBI

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 24

Life cycle perspectives of 2nd life and V2G

• Peak shaving• Optimizing PV use• 2nd life battery

M. Messagie VUB | MOBI

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Reduction potential of 2nd life battery

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1st life w 2ndlife

1st life w 2ndlife

1st life w 2ndlife

1st life w 2ndlife

1st life w 2ndlife

CC OD HT POF MRD

Roads and lightingEngine Control UnitStarter and generatorCatalytic converterPublic charging stationOnboard chargerDC/DC converterAC/DC converterElectric MotorLi batteryMaintenanceLead batteryBody shellTTWBrake abrasionRoad abrasionTire abrasion

M. Messagie VUB | MOBI

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Ozone formation

Elementaryflows

Midpointimpacts

Climate change

Acidification

EutrophicationFossil fuel depletion

PM formation

Land useHuman toxicity

Radiation Eco toxicity

Ozone depletion

CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, …and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)

Mineral depletion

Water use

Inventorymodel

Raw materials Production of

components

Assembly and

distribiution

Waste

Raw materials Refining and

production

Distribution

Usage

WTTMaintenance

Production

TTW

Road

infrastructure

26

Single score

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 27

Air quality in Belgium

M. Messagie- VUB 28

Supply chain risks

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 29

Life cycle air quality

! Geographical & Temporal Reslution in LCA

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Vehicle

database

Parameterized LCI model

Monte Carlo

assessment

Vehicle segmentation

Data fitting

0%20%40%60%80%100%

0

0,05

0,1

0,15

970

1057

.2

1144

.4

1231

.6

1318

.8

1406

1493

.2

Den

sity

Weight [kg]

Parameterized vehicle-LCA model

30

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 31

Single score

Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment

Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle

Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 1467-1482

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 32

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Influence of the electricity mix

Ref: Messagie, M., et.al. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment

Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle

Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES

33

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 34

Sustainability LCA : supply chain risk

Environment

Society Economy

Sus - LCA

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Sustainable (3P) design optimization

+ +

=

M. Messagie VUB | MOBI

How affordable are Clean Vehicles?

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 37

TCO methodology

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Passenger cars – medium cars

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Passenger cars – medium cars - subsidy

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Passenger cars – premium cars

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Company cars – premium cars

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 42

Consumer segmentation

Purchase price Brand and travel cost

Fuelling time

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 43

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 44Source: Fuelling EUROPE’S Future, 2013

Electrification=1 mln. additional jobs in 2030 in EU2 mln. additional jobs in 2050 in EU

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 45

Fun to drive and ….

www.evs30.org

Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 47

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Phone +32 2 629 28 03

Email [email protected]

Office Building Z (ZE109)

Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels

mobi.vub.ac.be

twitter.com/MOBI_VUB

Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Research centre

Vrije Universiteit Brussel