business case for green power, and: global...
TRANSCRIPT
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 1 / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /
BUSINESS CASE FOR GREEN POWER, AND: GLOBAL CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX)
16 NOVEMBER 2011
SAN FRANCISCO, RENEWABLE ENERGY MARKETS CONFERENCE
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 2 / / / /
6.24.9 5.1
6.6 7.5
10.89.3
11.513.012.9
16.8
23.9
17.819.9
25.2
28.4
23.5
31.430.0
31.1
19.7
31.428.6
27.9 27.626.3
33.0
41.6
30.6
35.0
41.8
Q1 04
Q2 04
Q3 04
Q4 04
Q1 05
Q2 05
Q3 05
Q4 05
Q1 06
Q2 06
Q3 06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q3 07
Q4 07
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
Q3 11
Four quarter running average
GLOBAL ASSET FINANCING FOR NEW BUILD CLEAN ENERGY ASSETS, Q1 2004–Q3 2011 ($BN)
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Note: Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 3 / / / /
DESCRIPTION MODEL EXAMPLE
REC procure
ment
Green power
procurement
Siting Financing Power offtake
REC offtake
Utility service Siting Financing
Power offtake
REC offtake
Cor
pora
te s
usta
inab
ility
• Company purchases RECs
• Company partakes in utility’s green power offer
Inte-grated
• Company provides siting, financing, buys power, retires RECs
Siting Financing
Power offtake
REC offtake
Asset finance
• Company finances project (eg, debt, equity, tax equity)
On-site PPA
• Company provides siting (eg, rooftop) and consumes power
Siting Financing Power offtake
REC offtake
Siting Financing
Power offtake
REC offtake
Inve
stm
ents
CORPORATE PARTICIPATION IN RENEWABLE ENERGY: BUSINESS MODEL OPTIONS
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 4 / / / /
TOP COMPANIES FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY PROCUREMENT (RANKED BY % RENEWABLE IN 2010)
Basic materials
Comm-unications
•Plum Creek Timber •Newmont Mining (*) •Praxair(*)
•News Corp •Koninklijke KPN NV •Nokia
Consumer goods
•Kohl’s •Whole Foods Market •Starbucks
Energy and
utilities
•CLP Holdings •Origin Energy •AGL Energy
Financial services
Industrial
•Toronto Dominion •Swiss Reinsurance •Nordea Bank
•Vestas Wind Systems •Koninklijke Philips •Deutsche Post
Tech-nology
•Adobe Systems • Intel •Dell
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, EPA, CDP
(*) Based on 2009 results. For 2010, only one company in this sector (Plum Creek) submitted data.
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 5 / / / /
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROCUREMENT BY SECTOR (AVERAGE %)
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, EPA, CDP Note: Analysis only reflects results from companies who responded to both the 2009 and the 2010 iterations of the survey, to enable proper comparison across years.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Com
mun
icat
ions
Con
sum
er
Fina
ncia
l
Indu
stria
l
Tech
nolo
gy
RE / total electricity (%) in 2009 RE / total electricity (%) in 2010
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 6 / / / /
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROCUREMENT BY REGION
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, EPA, CDP Note: Analysis only reflects results from companies who responded to both the 2009 and the 2010 iterations of the survey, to enable proper comparison across years.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
North America Europe Asia & Oceania
RE / electricity consumption (%) in 2009
RE / electricity consumption (%) in 2010
# of companies in 2009 & 2010
Weighted average renewable energy % Number of companies
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 7 / / / /
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROCUREMENT BY SECTOR AND TECHNOLOGY TYPE (VOLUME WEIGHTED %), 2010
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, EPA, CDP Note: Volume weighted by GWh of renewable energy procurement
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Com
mun
icat
ions
Con
sum
er
Fina
ncia
l
Indu
stria
l
Tech
nolo
gy
Other/UnknownNational blendWaste energyHydroWindSolarGeo-thermalBiomass/ biofuel
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 8 / / / /
COMPARISON OF PROCUREMENT PREFERENCES, 2009-10 (% OF TOTAL PROCUREMENT)
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, EPA
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
Carbon Offsets Direct Investment
Green Pricing RECs
2009
2010
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 9 / / / /
TRACKING THE INDEX ON BLOOMBERG: CREX<GO>
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 10 / / / /
PERFORMANCE OF CREX AGAINST BENCHMARK INDEX (CUMULATIVE % RETURN ON PORTFOLIO)
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, MSCI Inc
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Jun 08 Dec 08 Jun 09 Dec 09 Jun 10 Dec 10
CREX
MSCI World Index
Note: MSCI World Index is commonly used benchmark for global stock funds, comprised of more than 1,600 companies in 24 developed markets. CREX is comprised of 102 companies who provided survey responses with 2010 data. Note that while this survey has treated Motorola as one entity (to enable comparison between 2009 and 2010), the index separates Motorola into its two publicly traded entities: Motorola Mobility and Motorola Solutions. CREX assigns equal weighting to each company. Performance is for total returns.
REM CONFERENCE: CORPORATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INDEX (CREX) – NOV 2011 11 / / / /
TAX EQUITY STRUCTURES: PARTNERSHIP FLIP MODEL (10-YEAR FLIP – YIELD CONTINGENT)
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
Pre-flip Post-flip
Tax equity investor
Project company (100% equity)
ITC/PTC Power and REC sales
100% cash flows
MACRS
99% of tax credits; 35.75% of cash flows in yrs 1-5; 60% of cash flows in yrs 6-10
sources of tax credits sources of revenue
sources of funding
100% tax credits
Developer
1% of tax credits;
64.25% of cash flows in yrs 1-5; 40% of cash flows
in yrs 6-10
Tax equity investor
Project company (100% equity)
ITC/PTC Power and REC sales
100% cash flows
MACRS
5% cash flows; 99% of tax credits
sources of tax credits sources of revenue
sources of funding
100% tax credits
Developer
95% cash flows; 1%
of tax credits
Lender
Interest payments
Loan
Lender
Interest payments
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