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  • Queen Mary, University of London ECN 346 Business Cycles

    2011/2012

    Lecturer: Dr. Ana Galvao Ferreira ([email protected]). Office Hours: Tuesday, 11-12; Friday: 11-12. Office: Queens W315. Lectures on Wednesday 11-1 p.m, Arts 128. Classes: Tuesday 2-4p.m. (2 groups). Aim: The course aims at evaluating how business cycle theories perform when confronted with business cycles stylised facts. The theories are presented based on a micro-founded macroeconomic dynamic model that provides understanding on how different types of shocks cause macroeconomic fluctuations. Both Classical and New Keynesian Theories of Business Cycles are evaluated. Learning Outcomes: On the successful completion of the course you should: 1. be familiar with the behaviour of macroeconomic series over the business cycles; 2. understand the micro-foundations of a typical general equilibrium macroeconomic model; 3. compare Classical and New Keynesian Theories of business cycles; 4. evaluate business cycle theories by comparing their prediction with business cycle stylized facts.

    Outline of Topics: Measurement of Business Cycle. Static General Equilibrium Macroeconomic Model. Dynamic Macroeconomic Model. Monetary Dynamic Model. Market-Clearing Theories of Business Cycles. Keynesian Sticky-Wage Model. New Keynesian Model of Business Cycle. Confronting Theories with data. Course Organization: The course has 11 2-hour lecturers and 10 one-hour classes. Classes are compulsory and are essential for learning. Lectures slides and problem sets will be available on Blackboard every Tuesday afternoon, so you can bring the printed slides for the lecture to write your notes on them. Assessment: 75% of the final mark for the course is the mark of the two-hour exam in the end of the year. 25% of the overall mark is the average of the mark of two tests held during the lectures of weeks 8 and 12. Reading List: The course main text-book is: (W) Macroeconomics by Stephen D. Williamson (4. Ed., Pearson-Addison-Wesley, 2008). Lectures 9 and 10 will develop the content of: (GG) Gali, J. and Gertler, M. (2007) Macroeconomic Modelling for Monetary policy. Journal of Economic Perspectives. V. 21 Fall, p. 25-45. For lecture 10, you can also read: (M) Macroeconomics by Gregory Mankiw. 7th ed.(2010). ch. 14 (only available in the new edition (7th)). And an additional reading: (P) Prescott, E. (2004) The transformation of macroeconomic policy and research. 2004 Nobel Prize Lecture. Available at http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2004/prescott-lecture.html

  • Lectures: Week Lect.

    Date Readings

    1 11/01 1 - Business Cycles: Definitions, Measurement and Stylized Facts W, ch. 3; P. 2 18/01 2 - A Static (one-period) Macroeconomic Model and the decisions

    of the consumers, firms and government. W, ch. 4, 5.

    3 25/01 3 - A Dynamic (two-period) Macroeconomic Model: the intertemporal decision of consumers.

    W, ch. 8.

    4 01/02 4 - A Dynamic Macroeconomic Model with investment: the Real Intertemporal Model

    W, ch. 10

    5 08/02 5 -The impact of credit imperfections and shocks in the Real Intertemporal Model.

    W, ch. 9 and 10

    6 15/02 6 - A Monetary Intertemporal Model W, ch. 11 7 Reading Week 8 29/02 7 - Mid-Term Test (60 min); Lects: 1 6; 6 07/03 8 - Market-Clearing Models: the Real Business Cycle Model, the

    Segmented Market Model and the Coordination Failure Model. W, ch. 12

    10 14/03 9 - A New Keynesian Model: Micro-foundations of IS, PC and TR curves. The AD/AS curves.

    GG; Lect. Notes.

    11 21/03 10- A New Keynesian Model: the effect of shocks (technology and demand shocks) and implications for the Business Cycles.

    GG; Lect. Notes.

    12 28/03 11 End-of-term Test (60 min); Confronting Business Cycle Theories with Data/Revision.

    Lects: 8-10; Lecture Notes.

    Classes: Week Date Content based on: 1 10/01 No classes. 2 17/01 Exercise Sheet 1. Lect 1 3 24/01 Exercise Sheet 2. Lect 2 4 31/01 Exercise Sheet 3. Lect 3 5 07/02 Exercise Sheet 4. Lect 4 6 14/02 Exercise Sheet 5. Lect 5 7 Reading Week 8 28/02 Exercise sheet 6 (checking answers). Lect 6. 9 06/03 Answers/Feedback on mid-term test. 10 13/03 Exercise Sheet 7. Lect 8 11 20/03 Exercise Sheet 8. Lect 9 12 27/03 Exercise Sheet 9 (checking answers). Lect 10.


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