bronteblog arp hemton guarantee fraud march 2010

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  • 8/13/2019 Bronteblog ARP Hemton Guarantee Fraud March 2010

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    F r i d a y , M a r c h 1 9 , 2 0 1 0

    My tipper on Astarra

    Tipping the authorities off about Astarra required as I said no special genius on my part. I was

    tipped by a blog reader who noticed that the Astarra investment committee claimed Charles

    Provini as a member whilst Provini was the CEO of Paradigm Asset Management. I have written

    extensively on Paradigm Asset Management (see here for a decent summary).

    Anyway my tipper has now revealed himself. He is Dominic McCormick the chief investment

    officer ofSelect Asset Management. Dominic insists his team deserves any credit.

    Dominic (and presumably his team) had many of the issues with Astarra nailed by the time he

    tipped me off. I worked out a few more.

    I reported the story to the Sydney Morning Herald who did not think they had enough evidence to

    run the story. [They printed nothing until much later.]

    Later I worked a few more things out and using connections ensured that the whole story landed

    directly on the desk of Tony DAloisio (the head of our securities regulator).

    Dominic found about half a dozen red flags with Astarra. He has since listed them in this article

    without revealing that he was my original tipper. Dominics article shows clearly that there were

    plenty of reasons not to invest in Astarra and these reasons are valid reasons to be wary even if

    you have no strong basis to allege fraud.

    The problems are wider than either Dominic or I anticipated. For instance we knew nothing of

    ARP Growth and that may be the most seriously impaired fund of the lot. It is also the only fund

    on which I am willing to determine absolutely involved fraud. (I have two wildly different sets of

    accounts for ARP Growth - at least one of those accounts mustbe fraudulent.)

    The rest of the issues with Astarra I will leave in the capable hands of our regulator and perhaps

    the class action lawyers. I want to get back to making money for our clients.

    John

    Posted by John Hempton at 9:37 AM

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    Bronte CapitalI t ' s a s m a l l w o r l d b u t I w o u l d n ' t w a n t t o p a i n t i t

    Keith - Hermosa said...

    Very nice work, again! Would you please take over the Fed? Or at least the SEC?

    March 19, 2010 1:42 PM

    Ken Taylorsaid...

    You're an influential guy. It was your relationship with Ken Henry that made your letter

    e Capital: My tipper on Astarra http://brontecapital.blogspot.tw/2010/03/my-tipper-on-as

    11/26/2012

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    GENERAL DISCLAIMER

    The content contained in this blog represents the opinions of Mr. Hempton. Mr. Hempton may hold

    either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon

    Mr. Hempton's recommendations. The commentary in this blog in no way constitutes a solicitation

    of business or investment advice. In fact, it should not be relied upon in making investmentdecisions, ever. It is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the author. In

    particular this blog is not directed for investment purposes at US Persons.

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    BLOG LINKS

    A blog from my very cool cousin Nick

    Hempton

    100 Good economics blogs usefully put

    in one place

    Aleph Blog: to remind you that discipline

    in this business is both dull and

    profitable

    Alpha Sources: the macro-economics

    to ASIC sufficiently credible to get them interested. ASIC asking questions gave

    enough credibility for the Herald to publish, which further encouraged ASIC to take it

    seriously. A letter or press article from Joe Blow would be ignored. At least some

    people who have had there funds frozen aren't likely to be happy about ASICS

    actions. Like you say in your submission to the Cooper Review, an Australian super

    ponzi could go on for years before it collapses. The people collecting pensions now

    were winners until ASIC stepped in.

    Could unallocated gold in the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) be a

    fractional reserve system unbeknown to most account holders as suggested by Paul

    Mylchreest http://www.gata.org/files/ThunderRoadReport-10-15-2009.pdf. The

    argument goes that in 2008 the total quantity of unallocated gold is estimated to be

    15,000 tonnes which supports the 2,134 tonnes on average of spot gold trade

    through London every day representing 14.2% of the pool. This compares to average

    daily turnover in UK equities of between 0.34% and 0.63% for the 12 months ending

    September 2009. While members of the LBMA provide no information on the backing

    for unallocated gold the improbably high turnover is suggestive they are operating a

    fractional reserve system where unallocated accounts are only partially backed by

    physical gold. This makes LBMA unallocated gold accounts susceptible to a run and

    gold is not like a fiat currency where the government can make more.

    If it is true, unlike the Astarra revelations, your fund could exploit this opportunity.

    March 21, 2010 10:51 PM

    Alisonsaid...

    Well done to Dominic and his team for seeing the red flags and John for getting the

    regulators to review Astarra. It certainly has triggered some momentum down in

    Wollongong which may improve the quality of the local financial planning profession.

    July 23, 2010 9:52 AM

    e Capital: My tipper on Astarra http://brontecapital.blogspot.tw/2010/03/my-tipper-on-as

    11/26/2012

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    site of the young uber-nerd (Claus

    Vistesen)

    Bad Astronomy blog - because markets

    are not the only place you find

    irrationality

    Brad DeLong - sometimes right,

    sometimes wrong, always liberal...

    Cassandra does Tokyo and lots of other

    things

    Felix Salmon: I have no idea how he

    keeps the quantity and quality this high

    Fistful of Euros: another

    macroeconomics blog from the

    continent with the most interesting

    macroeconomics

    Gary Weiss: because any journo who

    spends that much time chasing

    scumbags really is an ornament to our

    society...

    Ibex Salad: Spanish stocks and Olive

    Oil

    Interfluidity: An impossibly clever and

    well written blog - one of my favourites

    Jeff Matthews: Not Making This Up -

    this is one of the all time greats and was

    my inspiration for starting this blog

    Paul Krugman: because he is so darn

    smart

    Rortybomb - a blog I love to disagree

    with...

    Santangel's Review: neat interviews

    with value investors and other things

    The Chronic Investor: A UK link I am

    starting to read

    The Gonzo Goes - a really good idea for

    what you could be doing when you were

    not punting financial markets

    Bronte Capital .

    .

    e Capital: My tipper on Astarra http://brontecapital.blogspot.tw/2010/03/my-tipper-on-as

    11/26/2012