breakout session day 2 voice of industry werner de wolf
DESCRIPTION
FTTH Conference Milan 2011 Day 2TRANSCRIPT
Improving FTTH Network Construction Speed, QoS and OPEX
Werner De WolfManaging Director EMEA, Network Solutions
Technology Cycles Last ~ 10 YearsEntered the next major computing cycle – Mobile Internet
Source: Morgan Stanley Research , Pictures from Computersciencelab.com, Wikipedia, Apple, Google, Amazon,
19801970 1990 2000 2010
Mainframe Computers
MicroComputers
Personal Computers
Desktop Internet
Mobile Internet
New Technology Cycle CharacteristicsEach cycle brings increased devices & network needs
Source: Morgan Stanley 2009; Estimates of Future Mobile Devices Ranges Broadly Across Industry But The General Consensus Is The Number Will Be Very Large
Mainframe Computers
MicroComputers
Personal Computers
DesktopInternet
Mobile Internet
1MM + Units 10MM + Units
100MM + Units
1B+ Units
10B+ Units ???
Drivers
•Smartphones•Tablets•Smart TVs•Car Electronics•Home Appliances•Medical Devices
•Mobile Video•Games•On Demand Video•VoIP•Social Networking•Education•Remote Healthcare
New Devices → New Use CasesOur interactions with technology are increasing
Ubiquitous, On-Demand Video
VoIP Emergency Response
Voice is transitioning to an App
Source: CES 2011 Conference Discussions, “Screen Futures” Intel Press 2010, Scenarios discussed in “National Broadband Plan”
Smart
EKG
Records
The CloudFurther enabling new usage models
Virtual Content Library
Video Music Photos Apps/Documents
Trend: Digital ConvergenceFuture waves of converged content will consume more bandwidth
Comparison of Times Spent on Information Consumption vs. Bandwidth Used
Source: “How Much Information? 2009 Report on American Consumers”, University of California, San Diego, Last Updated: January 2010
Explosive Data TrafficPowerful Devices + New Usage Models = ↑ Data Traffic
North American Consumer Data Usage Forecasts
PB /
Mon
th
CAGR (2009-2014)
117%3%
29%51%21%
103%37%21%
Wildcard Trends To Watch:
Faster adoption of:•On demand gaming•Broadcast to Ubiquitous TV•On demand 3DTV
Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2009 - 2014
New FTTH roll-out plans put more focus on …
USERS USE
EKGRecords
DEPENDENCY DATA RATE
Speed of construction
Operating cost - OPEX
Quality of Service
Market
Carrier
Trials & small scale deployment
Topology, regulatory &
CAPEX
2010 t
Importance of Speed of Construction for large scale deployment programs
Reducing planning
Reducing set-up time
Reducing labour
Ease of installation
Low Network Operating Cost becoming as vital as low CAPEX
Identification systems
Test points
Fast repair
Ease of installation
Upgradeable
Customer dependency of new value adding Services is pushing carrier QoS to the frontier
Standards
Reliability testing
Mfg. standards
Training & field support
Knowledge & experience
IECTelcordia
ITU