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TRANSCRIPT
Brazilian Exploration Scenario
and Opportunities
Marina Abelha
London, UK
March 6th,2019
This institutional presentation is based upon or derived from sourcesbelieved to be reliable for informational purposes only.
Projections and future values are presented, but no representationregarding their accuracy or completeness is made.
Forward-looking statements regarding our intent, belief or currentexpectations may change without prior notice.
Disclaimer
OutlineAgenda
Implemented Regulatory Measures Year to Date Results
Main Regulatory Enhancements
Brazil´s Unique E&P Environments Calendar of Bid Rounds & Strategic Initiatives
Investment Opportunities
Regulatory Framework Brazil E&P Potential
Final Remarks
1
2
3
“The most excitement at the moment is from thedeepwater,” Mr Brown* told the Financial Times, saying
projects in Brazil, the Gulf of Mexico and West ofShetland in the North Sea were among the mostattractive.
* Andy Brown, Shell’s head of exploration and production
March 2018 - Exxon Mobil and other oil companiesopened their wallets at an offshore oil auction in Brazilon Thursday in a sign that the industry was steppingback into the deepwater drilling business. It was thethird encouraging Brazilian offshore auction since
September, and a vote of confidence for thecountry’s energy reform program (…)
This fresh investment, notably in offshore pre-salt basins,
follows the introduction of significant regulatorychanges to the oil and gas sector within Brazil.
Main Regulatory Enhancements
6
Bidding Rounds (in 2017/2018)
2017 3 Bidding Rounds
PSA 2 & 3 / R14
New Simplified Contract Rules
New Local Content Rules
2017 & Beyond
Bidding Schedule 2018/2019
Extension - Exploration Phase (Rounds 11 and 12)
2018 3+ Bidding Rounds
PSA 4 & 5 / R15
Local Content Waver
(previous rounds - up to 13th Round)
Open Acreage – Entire Onshore
Royalties Reduction
(incremental production in mature fields)
Collateral Burden Reduction
(100% to 30% in marginal fields)
New E&P Database (BDEP)
(ANP/IBAMA joint Environmental Database)
Reserve Based Landing (RBL)
Bidding Rounds Schedule 2020/2021
The New Pre-Salt Exploration Scenario
Before 2017 YTD
2017 - 2018 Bidding Rounds Results
Bidding RoundAcquired
BlocksSigning Bonus
(US$ billion)
RegisteredCompanies
Winner Companies
Premium
37 (24 onshore and 13 offshore)
1.035 32 17 1,556%
3 0.889 10 7 261%
3 0.768 14 6 202%
3 0.849 16 7 202%
22 2.159 17 12 622%
4 1.838 12 8 170%
Total 72 7.5 Fierce Competition with Fantastic Results!
Estimated Impact from 6 Recent Oil Auctions…
New Investments
Hundreds of Wells!
Tax Revenues2017-2018
Million bpd(added peak production) New Platforms
Outline
Implemented Regulatory Measures Year to Date Results
Main Regulatory Enhancements
Brazil´s Unique E&P Environments Calendar of Bid Rounds & Strategic Initiatives
Investment Opportunities
Regulatory Framework Brazil E&P Potential
Final Remarks
1
2
3
Agenda
Sedimentary Area: 7.5 million km2
Brazil’s Current State
Area under concession
~ 280,000 km2
324 Blocks
440 fields
Production
(Dez, 2018)
Oil 2.691 million barrels/d
Natural Gas 114 million m3/d
Proven Reserves
(Dez, 2017)
Oil 12.8 billion barrels
Natural Gas 369 billion m3
9th largest oil producer in the world
and the largest in Latin America
Average oil production per well
Onshore
Pre-Salt
Conventional Offshore
Three Different E&P Environments
East Margin adjacent to the pre-salt region and
Equatorial Margin, including new frontier areas and a
significant number of large mature fields.
Mature Basins and New Frontier Basins (mostly gas
prone). Potential for unconventional to be unleashed.
One of the World´s hottest oil play, home to the largest
offshore oil discoveries in the last decade.
55%
37%
8%
December 2018
85 wells
17,655 bpd
628 wells
1,650 bpd
6,683 wells
16 bpd
Onshore oil Production (Oct, 2018)
38%
107,415bpd
Foster Conventional Production
0
500
1000
Development Wells Concluded
59
June 2018
70%2015/2017
2012/2018
38%
2012/2018
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Th
ou
sa
nd
bp
d
Post-Salt Campos Basin Oil Production
4.500
6.500
8.500
10.500
12.500
14.500
16.500
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Northeast Basins Offshore Oil Production
bpd
62%
SEAL
0
500
1.000
1.500
01/2
012
08/2
012
03/2
013
10/2
013
05/2
014
12/2
014
07/2
015
02/2
016
09/2
016
04/2
017
11/2
017
Pre-Salt Oil Production 729%
2012/2018
Th
ou
sa
nd
bp
d
41%2012/2018
RNCE
2014/2018
65
52
140
81
101
91 94108
149
193
139169
216215
122
89 77
3826
2727
87%2011/2018
Exploratory Wells Concluded
Current O&G Recovery Factor
Campos Basin
14%
Maximize Recovery Factor
Final O&G Recovery Factor
Brazil
21%
Campos BasinFinal O&G Recovery
Factor Average Final O&G
Recovery Factor
World
35%
Source: ANP (December 2017)
23%1% addition in Campos Basin:
985Mboe
New Reserves
1% addition in Onshore:
200Mboe
New Reserves
Bidding Rounds Schedule
November 1st Semester 3rd Quarter
To be
definedTo be
defined
October, 28th
Continuous offer of blocks and
mature fields.
Companies can bid on blocks not sold
in previous auctions.
Applications can be submitted
anytime and not just at designated
points.
It will promote exploration activity
especially in onshore areas.
Open Acreage
346,035Km² area
14Mature
fields
15Sedimentary
basins
Open Acreage 1st Wave
884Blocks
Blocks not acquired in previous rounds included
Data packages available
Open Acreage 2nd Wave
441,400Km² area
20Sedimentary
basins1,054
Blocks
Technical and economic parameters under
evaluation
6th Pre-Salt Bidding Round (2019)
Estimated Unrisked Oil in
Place Volumes (P50)
42B/bbl5
Areas
BlocksMin. Oil
Profit (%)Sig. Bonus (R$)
Aram 24,53 5.050.000.000,00
Bumerangue 26,68 550.000.000,00
Cruzeiro do Sul 22,87 1.150.000.000,00
Sudoeste de
Sagitario26,09 500.000.000,00
Norte de Brava 36,98 600.000.000,00
Total 7.850.000.000,00
16th Bidding Round (2019)
42 Offshore blocks
~30,000 km2
Pernambuco-Paraíba,
Jacuípe, Camamu-Almada,
Campos & Santos basins
Next Pre-salt Bidding Rounds
Several blocks in
the Pre-Salt play
including giant leads
Sectors Under Examination
2020Para-Maranhão, Potiguar, Santos Campos & Pelotas Basins
2021Ceara, EspiritoSanto & Pelotas
Transfer of Rights Surplus Opportunities
Legend
4Fields
October, 28th
Atapu, Itapu, Buzios and
Sepia
Implemented Regulatory Measures Year to Date Results
Main Regulatory Enhancements
Brazil´s Unique E&P Environments Calendar of Bid Rounds & Strategic Initiatives
Investment Opportunities
Regulatory Framework Brazil E&P Potential
Final Remarks
1
2
3
Agenda
Attract Suitable Players
Major Operators
Exploration Specialists
Mature Field Players
Small and mid -
sized Companies0302Supermajors
Major Operators01
Pre-Salt Conventional Offshore
Onshore
Supported by Oilfield Service Companies, Suppliers and Financial Institutions !
Brazil E&P Potential
Production Forecast
(next 10 years)
Mature Fields/Basins
Improve Recovery Factor 1% addition
2,2Bboe reserves US$18B investments
We barely Know our Potential…
Unconventional resources under discussion
bpd
M
The most prominent deepwater
environment
New FPSOs
Contracted / In Progress to be unlocked
New Frontier Basins
ANP main objective is to promote a Predictable and Stable Regulatory Framework , that Attract New Investments and Accelerate the Development of the Pre-Salt, Conventional Offshore and Onshore E&P Environment.
Increase E&P Activities Accelerate Pre-Salt Development Improve Mature Fields Production Improve Recovery Factor Enhance Onshore Incentives Expedite Environmental Licensing
Attract the Right Players Giant Fields New Frontiers Mature Fields Onshore
Create a Secondary Market Attract mid/small-sized
companiesMaximize Production Diversity of Players EOR/IOR initiatives New RD&I focus Financing Opportunities
Final Remarks
Create Value through a
Developed, Diverse and Competitive
Market!
Additional Information:
http://rodadas.anp.gov.br/en
www.anp.gov.br
National Agency for Petroleum, Natural Gas and
Biofuels – ANP
Marina [email protected]
Deputy Superintendent of Exploration