bora current futuredaca13 · 2013. 9. 30. · satellite sar data, kuzmi ć et al. acta...
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Some current and future
research on Bora wind
Branko Grisogono 1, Ž. Večenaj1, J. Milovac 2, P. Lepri 3, G. Gašparac 4,
K. Horvath 3 and H. Kozmar 5
1Dept Geophysics, Univ Zagreb, Croatia, 2Inst Physics & Met, Univ Hohenheim,
Stuttgart, Germany, 3, Met & Hyd Serv Croatia, Zagreb, 4Gekom, Zagreb,
5 Fac Mech Eng & Naval Arch, Univ Zagreb, Croatia
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OUTLINE
� Background, Frvert = U/(Nh) ≤ 1 (or ≈ 1)
� Bora and Related (Sub)Structures
� Pulsations, Rotors, Turbulence
� Future Avenues
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Most of data here by Dept. Geophysics & partly by Met. & Hyd. Serv. Croatia
Other: e.g., Aircraft data MAP'99, Grubišić QJRMS 2004 →Večenaj et al. BLM 2012
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Origins of bora gusts: a) atmos. turbulence (mean speed = solid, TKE = dotted, b) eddies due to waves (Mnt, KH, etc.) breaking, rolling down the slope, c) sliding air. Kozmar et al. J. of Wind Eng. & Industrial Aerodyn. 2012, photo by T. Kozmar, 43 km S of Split, Croatia
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Satellite SAR data, Kuzmić et al. Acta Adriatica, 2013 in press
Left: gap-type of bora, Vratnik Pass & Oštarije Pass | Right: “all-over” wave-breakingtransient WB over mnt. flanks severe bora type
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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10−10
−5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Time (h)
u (
m/s
)
0 10 20 30 40 50 600
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Time (min)u
(m
/s)
TYPICAL BORA EPISODE, SENJ, 08/12/2001; 6TH H EXPANDED – PULSATIONS!sampling 1 sec, Grisogono & Belušić Tellus 2009
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0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
279285
Z(m
)
(a)
A
Pulsations: WS > 28m/s shaded, θ by 1K, 09 UTC 08/12/2001, a→d) 650, 750, 850, 950 sec. A, B = individual pulsations, Belušić et al. QJRMS 2007
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Courtesy of Mark Zagar, VESTAS, DK, 2010, submitted to Tellus as Rakovec et al. 2013Redone simulation after Belušić et al. QJRMS 2007 (using COAMPS) now using WRF
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Same as the former but vertical x-section (gridpoints): ~ Krk island ← Senj
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-Pulsation cause in this case: 1) KHI
-Other possibilities: 2) eddies from Mnt. Wave-Breakingvortex tilting advected down to sfc.
3) propagating lee waves, due to transience in the MWB region; "waveguide" between sfc. & MWB region in th e lee
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01/08/06 01/09/06 01/10/06
0
10
20
30
time (date)
u [m
s−1
]
20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00
0
10
20
30
time [h]
u [m
s−1
]
(a)
(b)
(a) 4-day raw 4 Hz data near-sfc. time series, 07-11/01/2006, streamwise wind comp. u, 1h mean superimposed (b) 4 h with 10 min mean superimposed; Večenaj et al. 2010
�TKE ~ 10 – 20 m2s-2, ε ~ 0.5 – 1 m2s-3; related poster on turb. integral length-scale by Večenaj et al.
Senj, 2006
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Works of K. Horvath, Ž. Večenaj,…
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30
forecast range
win
d sp
eed
@ 2
0 m
AG
L [m
/s]
MEAS_20
WRF_20
- Related poster on obs. based 1D TKE long-lasting bora case by Babić et al.
- For non-Bora downslope (katabatic) flow, a weakly-nonlinear Prandtl model developed, ICAM2013, Slovenia
Central Adriatic coast, Dugopolje, upwind from Split
Dinara
D04
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Dugopolje: modeled pulsations at noon, > 12 h…Simulated by Kristian Horvath using WRF (work in progress)
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25 26 270
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
day of July 2010
VA
R
VAR40 m
VAR20 m
VAR10 m
10−2
10−1
100
101
102
103
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
τ [min]
fS(f
) [m
2 s−2
]
PB40
(d)
8 min
10−2
10−1
100
101
102
103
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8PB20
τ [min]
(e)
8 min
10−2
10−1
100
101
102
103
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
PB10
τ [min]
(f)
8 min
fSu
fSv
fSw
Velocity Aspect Ratio = anisotropy param. = vert/horiz. at Dugopolje, 2010.
VAR ≡ 21/2σw /[σ 2u + σ 2
v]1/2 →
Wind comp. spectra at 3 levels (below)
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α
ref
z
ref
z
z
z
u
u
=
Logarithmic law - black
Log. adjustment to the power low - grey
α = 0.189 ± 0.049
u* = 0.74 ± 0.31 m/s
z0 ≈ 0.145 m
Dugopolje, summertime bora case - continued
bora wind ↑↔ (α, u*, z0)↓ bora: moderate ↔ strong => suburban ↔ rural u(z)
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Other bora- & its turbulence issues…
� Anomalous refraction of radio-waves, Viher et al. J. Atmos. Sol. Ter. Phys. 2013
� Air-pollution: O3, VOC, NOx, Telišman Prtenjak et al. Met. Appl. 2013
� New generalized z-less mixing length-scale:(Grisogono QJRMS2010) into mesoscale models
� Fire-protection research, agriculture, traffic, future bora scenarios, etc.
17
2/1
2/1
)/1(||
)(
PrRiS
TKEconstΛ
+⋅=
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Borrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
rrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr-aa
http://www.pmf.unizg.hr/[email protected]
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Poulos et al. JAS 2007
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Daytime pulsations: upstream variability
� Scorer parameter of the background flow shows an upstream variability during daytime (including unstable sfc. layer)
� Related to lee side pulsations?
Daytime * 107 Nighttime * 107
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Anomalous refraction of radio-waves during bora
M. Viher et al. J. Atmos. Sol. Ter. Phys. 2013+ diploma work I. Horvat 2013
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Near-sfc. O3 & VOC in summer13.08. no bora → 15.08. with bora
M.Telišman Prtenjak et al. Met. Appl. 2013 in press
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� ALPEX 1982 � R.B. Smith, JAS ‘85,’87 & J. Klemp & D.
Durran, Cont. Atmos. Phys.’87. � Strong(est) Bora is a type
of severe downslope windstorm
� Mountain wave-breaking usually occurs… Frv = U/(Nh) ≤ 1
� 3D MODELING of Bora from late ’90s onward… DA (2km)
in ALADIN (8km) helps operationally
� 1→ 5 Hz wind sampling since ~2001…
� fine remote sensing data still missing
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New info come from MAP – airborne data, PVanalysis, fine-scale modeling
Jets & wakes ↔ mountain gaps & peaks
PV banners separate individual bora wakes & jets, Lx ~ 10 – 25 km