blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

Upload: alexia-gaudeul

Post on 30-May-2018

222 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    1/19

    Blogs and the economics ofreciprocal (in)attention

    Alexia Gaudeul,Chiara Peroni and

    Laurence Mathieu.

    April 21st 2009, Conference of the Royal Economic Society

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    2/19

    Outline of the presentation

    1. Blogs, context and motivations.2. Objectives of the research3. The norm of reciprocity4. The dataset: Livejournal friendship patterns.5. Empirical Analysis.6. Conclusion and further research.

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    3/19

    Context of the paper

    Growth in participation in Internet-mediated non-monetary participative processesSocial networking, open source software, wikis, social news

    websites such as digg or reddit, etc...

    Particularly important for companies that managecommunities of self-motivated individuals.eBay, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Facebook.

    Also important for media, culture, journalism...

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    4/19

    Motivations for blogging

    Different reasons for blogging.Make friends.Interacting with other bloggers and in

    communities.Become popular and well-known.Expressing oneself and publicizing own work.

    Update far located and dispersed real life friends(web presence).

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    5/19

    Results

    Study of the behaviour of bloggers.

    We show that attention and content are the currenciesof trade within bloggers networks.

    We evidence the importance of reciprocity norms inblogging networks.

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    6/19

    A model of content production (1)

    e i effort by agents i.Agent i devotes attention n ij to the content produced by jand n ik to the content produced by k.

    1

    2 3

    n21n12

    n23

    n32

    n13

    n31

    e 2

    e 1

    e 3

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    7/19

    A model of content production (2)

    A simple additive form for the total utility of agent is:

    U i (n,e) = d sum j i n ji e i + sum j i n ij e j - C(e i )

    Content producers choose how much attention todevote to each other and how much content to produce.

    Utility fromreading others

    Utility frombeing read

    Cost of contentproduction

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    8/19

    A model of content production (3)

    We suppose there isFree entry and exit in the blogging marketPerfect information on the activity of each bloggers.Attention budget T, the same for all agents.Attention shared equally between all friends.Number of friends readers independent of ones number of

    friends

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    9/19

    Hypothesis

    H1: Network size: Bloggers who display higher levelsof content production and general blogging activity willhave a higher number of friends.H2: Network imbalances: Bloggers with more readers(friend of) than readees (friends) will produce morecontent than others.

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    10/19

    Norm of reciprocity: Caveats!

    Other possible forms of reciprocityA friend for a friend.A comment for a comment.Reciprocate only if content of high enough quality.

    Other possible motivations: reader only, writer only.External effects, e.g. real world celebrities.Limitations in the data available

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    11/19

    The dataset: LiveJournal

    Livejournal is essentially an aggregation tool with lock-in effectWrite and read public and private entriesParticipate in communities and exchange comments

    Use of proxies for attention exchanged and expendedfrom a number of bloggers activity.Content production (posting per day)

    Interaction (comments, community participation)Commitment (length of time active)

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    12/19

    The dataset: LiveJournal

    2767 users.Main characteristics (median):Three years activity (and counting!).One post every two days. Each receive 1.5 comments.Balance between friends / readers (26 / 25).Balance between comments received / made.Membership in 14 communities.

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    13/19

    Friends vs. friends of

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    14/19

    Reciprocity equation

    ln(friends of i )=a+b*ln(friends)+u i

    (0.017)3.41RESET

    (0.002)9.39BP

    43673***F (1, 2494)

    0.942R22496obs

    0.0006.070.0170.103constant

    0.000208.980.0050.985***ln(friends)

    P >| t |t -valueseln(friends of)

    ***:

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    15/19

    Regressions (1)

    Activity equation 1 to test H1 :ln(friend of i )=cX i +v i

    with X i a matrix of independent variables measuring theactivity of the blogger i

    Activity equation 2 to test H2 :ln(friend of i /friends i )=dX i +w i with X i a matrix of independent variables measuring theactivity of the blogger i .

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    16/19

    Activity equation 1 and 2

    Dependent variable: ln(friends of) ln(friends of/friends)

    ln(communities) 0.152*** 0.170*** -0.030***ln(entries) 0.579*** 0.576*** -0.007

    ln(commentsreceived per post) 0.776*** 0.742*** 0.070***

    ln(commentsmade per friends) -0.463*** -0.525*** 0.138***

    ln(duration) 0.601*** 0.603*** -0.025***

    ln(friends of/friends) 0.474***

    constant 0.781*** 0.950*** 0.240***obs 1334 1334 1357adj R2 0.880 0.902 0.275F stat 1550*** 1646*** 83***

    ***:

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    17/19

    Additional regressions

    ln(readers i /friends i) instrumented by X i.Shows that deviating from the norm of reciprocity has a

    negative effect on number of readers and friends.Use of a measure of network asymmetryShows that part of the effect is due to asymmetry, not

    imbalance, in a bloggers network of relations.

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    18/19

    Conclusion

    Activity significant predictor of size of friend listWhich comes first?Topic for further study based on panel data set.

    Interpretation of reciprocity norm: does a balancedfriends list lead to more or less friends?Those who care about reciprocity may be less willing to

    friend others (risk of friendship not returned).Those who care about reciprocity may reciprocate more,

    thus accumulating more friends over time.Net effect is ambiguous, as seen in contradiction in results

    of OLS and IV regression.

  • 8/14/2019 Blogs and the economics of reciprocal (in)attention

    19/19

    Future research

    Is there saturation in reciprocation, i.e. limit to the sizeof a bloggers network?Further research in the effect of systematicallyreciprocating or to not reciprocating.

    --> Collection and analysis of panel dataDo you befriend (link) because of content produced, or doyou produce content because of friends?

    Further analysis of reciprocation at the individual level.