biogeochemical cycles: integration across the land- estuary-continental shelf-ocean continuum

62
Biogeochemical Cycles: Integration Across the Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum Sybil P. Seitzinger Rutgers University Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences New Brunswick, NJ

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Biogeochemical Cycles: Integration Across the Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum. Sybil P. Seitzinger Rutgers University Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences New Brunswick, NJ. Major Topics. Global models of nutrient export from land to coastal oceans - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Biogeochemical Cycles: Integration Across the

Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Sybil P. SeitzingerRutgers University

Institute of Marine and Coastal SciencesNew Brunswick, NJ

Page 2: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Major Topics

Global models of nutrient export from land to coastal oceans

Fate of N along the river – estuary – shelf continuum

- denitrification

Effect of nutrient sources and sinks on coastal ocean

primary production- 3-D hydrodynamic plankton model

DOM – opening the Black Box

Page 3: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Human Impacts at Global Scales

Global models of nutrient export from land to coastal oceans

Page 4: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

N Inputs to Estuaries O rig inate from M any S ources

A tm ospheric D epos ition

U rban R uno ffSewage

Storm water

F ores t R uno ff

A g ricu ltu ra l R uno ffAnim al Waste

Fertilizer

E S T U A R Y

N

N

N

N

NN

N Forms: DIN – ammonia, nitrateDON – Black BoxPN

Watershed Sources of Nutrients to Coastal Ecosystems

Page 5: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Approach

Measured N Export by Range of Rivers

Model Predict N Export f(N Inputs to Watersheds)

+Spatially Explicit Global Data Bases

Spatial Pattern N Export Globally

Page 6: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Model Calculation of NO3 Export by Global Rivers

NO3 Export = f(Human Sewage , Fertilizer Use, Atmos. Dep. )

from Caraco & Cole, 1999

[0.4 x Water Runoff 0.8] x [Fert Use + Atmos. Dep.] )

( NO3 Export = 0.7 x Human x 1.85 kg N

Population person-1 yr-1 x Fraction

urban +

Page 7: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Bouwman et al. 1995

Fertilizer 1990kg N km-2 y-1

Page 8: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

NOy 1990NOy Atmospheric Deposition - 1990

kg N km-2 y-1

Dentener and Crutzen, 1994

+ Gridded Data bases for:• Global population (U.N.)• Water runoff • Watershed delineation

Page 9: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Seitzinger & Kroeze, Global Biogeochemical Cycles 12:93-133, 1998

Measured (kg N km-2 y-1)

1 10 100 1000 10000

Mo

de

led

, N

-mo

de

l (k

g N

km

-2 y

-1)

1

10

100

1000

10000

Kazan and Back

Murray-Darling

YukonMackenzie

ZambeziOrange

Nile Niger ParanaZaire

AmazonUruguay

Colombia Orinoco

Volga

St. Lawrence

Mekong Mississippi

Huang (Yellow)Baltic Sea Rivers

VistulaMagdalena

DanubeDelaware

Loire

RhineYangtze

Rhone

Ganges

r2 = 0.85

1:1

Model vs. Measured

Page 10: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Model Predicted DIN Export by Rivers

kg N km-2 watershed y-1

Seitzinger & Kroeze, 1998

Page 11: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

20 o

20 o

45 o

45 o

66 o

66 o

DIN Export by RiversTg N y-1

N. Hemisphere87%18.2

S. Hemisphere13%2.6

Equator

Seitzinger & Kroeze, 1998

Page 12: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

20 o

20 o

45 o

45 o

66 o

66 o

0 o

Global Total 21

4.1

5.3 4.2

1.5

0.9

Tg = 1012g

DIN, World RegionsTg N y-1

Seitzinger & Kroeze, 1998

1.6U.S.

Page 13: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

20 o

20 o

45 o

45 o

66 o

66 o

0 o

Tg = 1012g

Source Apportionment of DIN Export

Seitzinger & Kroeze, 1998

Precipitation

FertilizerSewage

FertilizerSewage

Precipitation

USA

Page 14: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Imagining the Future

Page 15: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Business-as-Usual Scenario

19

90

20

50

Fertilizer NO Point Source0

50

100

150

200

y

1990

2050

Deposition

Tg

N y

-1

Inputs, 1990 & 2050 to Global Watersheds

Kroeze & Seitzinger, 1998

Page 16: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Bouwman et al. 1995

Bouwman et al. pers. comm

1990

2050

Fertilizer, 1990 & 2050kg N km-2 y-1

Page 17: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Dentener and Crutzen, 1994

Dentener, pers. comm.

1990

2050

Atmospheric Deposition NOykg N km-2 y-1

Page 18: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

1990 and 2050 DIN Export by Rivers

for World Regions

19

90

20

50

North South Africa Europe Former China, India0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

America America USSR Japanin Asia & S.E. Asia

Tg

N y

-1

1990

2050

Kroeze & Seitzinger, 1998

Page 19: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Research Needs

Other forms (particulate, dissolved organic)

Other elements (P, C, Si…….)

Time varying (seasonal, daily….)

Finer spatial resolution input dataincluding hydrology

Enhanced global databases

Process-based models

Page 20: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Global NEWS

Nutrient Export from WatershedsUNESCO-IOC Workgroup

Other forms (particulate, dissolved organic)

Other elements (P, C, Si…….)

Time varying (seasonal, daily….)

Finer spatial resolution input dataincluding hydrology

Enhanced global databases

Process-based models – NASA IDS

Page 21: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Average SRP Yield by Watershed (kg P/km2/yr)

Harrison, Seitzinger & Caraco, in prep.

Page 22: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Major Topics

Global models of nutrient export from land to coastal oceans

Fate of N along the river – estuary – shelf continuum

- denitrification

Effect of nutrient sources and sinks on coastal ocean

primary production- 3-D hydrodynamic plankton model

DOM – opening the Black Box

Page 23: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Denitrification

NO3/2 N2O N2

Page 24: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Buria l

?

Denitrific a tion

N 2Ac ro ss She lf Tra nsp o rt

N -fixa tio n2

Rive r inp utsAtm osp hericDep osition

N N

N N

NN

Terrestria l &Estuarine Continental Shelf O ceanicRivers Estuaries Continental

ShelfOceanic

Denitrificationof terrestrial N sources

Page 25: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

From Seitzinger & Giblin 1996

R ivers

O nw e lling

B uria l

A tm os. D ep .

D enitrifica tion

NET

North Atlantic

North AtlanticContinental Shelf N Budget

Sources:

Sinks:

Net Balance (onwelling?)

Estuarine/R iver A tm os. Dep

Denitrification Burial

(10 m ol N y )46-63

13

1432-9

10 -1

59-76

145-152

-72 to -97

(fro m Se itzing e r a nd G ib lin 1996)

46-63

13143

Connecting the Ocean Margin to Estuaries and Oceans

North Atlantic

72-97

Page 26: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

020406080

100120140160

1 2 3 4

From Seitzinger & Giblin 1996

R ivers

O nw e lling

B uria l

A tm os. D ep .

D enitrifica tion

NET

North Atlantic

North AtlanticContinental Shelf N Budget

Sources:

Sinks:

Net Balance (onwelling?)

Estuarine/R iver A tm os. Dep

Denitrification Burial

(10 m ol N y )46-63

13

1432-9

10 -1

59-76

145-152

-72 to -97

(fro m Se itzing e r a nd G ib lin 1996)

46-63

13143

Connecting the Ocean Margin to Estuaries and Oceans

North Atlantic

72-97

N,

10

10 m

ol N

/y

River N

Sources Sinks

Atmos.Dep.

Denitrification

Page 27: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

020406080

100120140160

1 2 3 4

From Seitzinger & Giblin 1996

R ivers

O nw e lling

B uria l

A tm os. D ep .

D enitrifica tion

NET

North Atlantic

North AtlanticContinental Shelf N Budget

Sources:

Sinks:

Net Balance (onwelling?)

Estuarine/R iver A tm os. Dep

Denitrification Burial

(10 m ol N y )46-63

13

1432-9

10 -1

59-76

145-152

-72 to -97

(fro m Se itzing e r a nd G ib lin 1996)

46-63

13143

Connecting the Ocean Margin to Estuaries and Oceans

North Atlantic

72-97

N,

10

10 m

ol N

/y

River N

Sources Sinks

Atmos.Dep.

DenitrificationOnwelling

Page 28: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Terrestrial

Rivers

Estuaries Ocean Margins Oceanic

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rivers Estuaries Continental Shelf Oceanic OMZ Pelagic sediments

Den

itri

fica

tion

Tg

N/y

Integrating Landscapes to WaterscapesDenitrification – Global View

Page 29: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

No 3 NH4

Phyto -p la nkton

C hlo

Zoo -p la nkton

De trita l N (sm a ll)

De trita l N (la rg e )

Nitrific a tio n

M ine ra li- za tio n

Up ta ke

Exc re tio n

Sinking

G ra zing

M o rta lity

Se d im e nt

N 2 NH4 No 3

De tritus (lg )

De tritus (sm )

O xic M ine ra liza tio nDe nitrific a tio n

Lo ss o ffixe d N

Dynamic Biogeochemical/Hydrodynamic Model of the MABK. Fennel et al. in prep.; ASLO 2004

• N Based Plankton Model Fasham et al. 1990

• Sediment Denitrification Seitzinger & Giblin 1996

Page 30: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

No 3 NH4

Phyto -p la nkton

C hlo

Zoo -p la nkton

De trita l N (sm a ll)

De trita l N (la rg e )

Nitrific a tio n

M ine ra li- za tio n

Up ta ke

Exc re tio n

Sinking

G ra zing

M o rta lity

Se d im e nt

N 2 NH4 No 3

De tritus (lg )

De tritus (sm )

O xic M ine ra liza tio nDe nitrific a tio n

Lo ss o ffixe d N

Dynamic Biogeochemical/Hydrodynamic Model of the MABK. Fennel et al. in prep.; ASLO 2004

• N Based Plankton Model Fasham et al. 1990

• Sediment Denitrification Seitzinger & Giblin 1996

River N Inputs Across Shelf Transport

Page 31: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Time for the Movie !

Page 32: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Run denitrificationriverine

nutrients/PON

A no no

B yes no

C yes yes

2-yr simulations, starting from same initial condition in January 1994 after a 1-yr spinup

Page 33: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

A 227 gC /m2 /y

B 184 gC /m2 /y20% reduction

from A

C 200 gC /m2 /y10% increase

from B

K. Fennel et al. unpubl.ASLO 2004

Denitrification

River Nutrients Annual Primary Production

Page 34: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

A 227 gC /m2 /y

B 184 gC /m2 /y20% reduction

from A

C 200 gC /m2 /y10% increase

from B

K. Fennel et al. in prep.ASLO 2004

Denitrification

River Nutrients

Denitrification

River Nutrients

Annual Primary Production

Page 35: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

A 227 gC /m2 /y

B 184 gC /m2 /y20% reduction

from A

C 200 gC /m2 /y10% increase

from B

Katja Fennel – [email protected]

River Nutrients

Denitrification

River Nutrients

Denitrification

River Nutrients

Page 36: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Research Needs

• 3-D hydrodynamic/biogeochemical models global estuaries and shelf (C,N,P, …..)

• Enhanced observation systems for coastal ecosystems (remote sensing, in situ)

• Nutrient-plankton-sediment dynamics

• Higher trophic levels

Page 37: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Advanced Analytical Capabilities

Page 38: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Major Topics

Global models of nutrient export from land to coastal oceans

Fate of N along the river – estuary – shelf continuum

- denitrification

Effect of nutrient sources and sinks on coastal ocean

primary production- 3-D hydrodynamic plankton model

DOM – opening the Black Box

Page 39: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

DOM Compounds

DOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

• 100’s to 1000’s of different DOM compounds

Page 40: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Resource Utilization by Microbial Communities: Is it Chaos?

DOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

B

B

B

B

BB

B

B

B

B

B B

•100’s to 1000’s different DOM compounds

•100’s+ different species of bacteria

chemical composition, sources, and bioavailability of DOM are not well known

Page 41: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Electrospray Ionization Mass Spectrometry – ESI-MS Molecular Level Analysis

Instrument• Soft ionization, no fragmentation• Mass range = 50-3000• Direct injection of sample (20 µl)• Positive and negative ionization

modes

(Rutgers LC/APESI-MS/CLND facilityAgilent 1100)

Data• mass to charge ratio (m/z), 50-3000• abundance• basic/acidic properties (+/- mode) of functional groups

m/z

50 150 250 350 450 550 650

abun

danc

e

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000140000160000

m/z

Ion

Ab

un

dan

ce

Page 42: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

ESI-Mass Spectra of Streams L and M

C) Stream L - ESI negative

m/z

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Ion

abun

danc

e

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

300006000090000

120000D) Stream M - ESI negative

m/z

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

300006000090000

120000

Stream L Stream M

m/z m/z

Ion

Ab

un

dan

ce

Ion

Ab

un

dan

ce

Seitzinger et al. accepted L&O

1435 “compounds” 1751 “compounds”

Page 43: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

71%

5%

24%

Both Stream L and M

Only Stream L

Only Stream M

Similarity in DOM Composition in 2 Streams

C) Stream L - ESI negative

m/z

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Ion

abun

danc

e

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

300006000090000

120000

D) Stream M - ESI negative

m/z

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

300006000090000

120000

Stream L Stream M

m/z m/z

Ion

Ab

un

dan

ce

Ion

Ab

un

dan

ce

Seitzinger et al. accepted L&O

1435 “compounds” 1751 “compounds”

Page 44: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Bioavailability of DOM in Streams

• Spring-collected stream water• Inoculated with freshwater bacteria

local pond• Incubated in the dark for 12 days

Bacterial analysis: Bulk analysis: Molecular level analysis: 3H leucine incorp DOC ESI-MS

Time series samples (days 0, 2, 6, 12)

Page 45: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Bulk Measures of Bioavailability

Leu

cin

e in

corp

ora

tio

n (

nm

ol

l-1 h

-1)

0

2

4

6

8

10LM

Experiment Day

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

DO

C-C

mo

l L

-1)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000LM

Bacterial Production

DOC Utilization 51% Stream L 43% Stream M

similar in both streams

Page 46: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Co

nce

ntr

atio

n (

ion

ab

un

dan

ce u

nit

s)

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

6500

191 L-1191 L-2

Experiment Day

Patterns of Change in Abundance of Individual “Compounds” - m/z

D) Stream M - ESI negative

m/z

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

300006000090000

120000

Experiment Day

0 2 4 6 8 10 12Co

nc

en

tra

tio

n (

ion

ab

un

da

nc

e u

nit

s)

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

6500

Experiment Day

0 2 4 6 8 10 12Co

nc

en

tra

tio

n (

ion

ab

un

da

nc

e u

nit

s)

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

6500

m/z 191 m/z 179 m/z 335

Page 47: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Bioavailability Experiment: Molecular Level Results

No

. o

f m

/z

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Decrease inAbundance

NoChange

Increase inAbundance

New m/z

72

60

48

24

% o

f to

tal

m/z

12

Stream M

Page 48: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

DOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

B

B

B

B

BB

B

B

B

B

B B

Resource Utilization by Microbial Communities- Is it Chaos?

B

B

B

B

BB

B

B

B

B

B B

DOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOMDOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

DOM

Page 49: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

High Degree of Similarity in Utilization of m/z’s between Replicate Flasks

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Co

nce

ntr

atio

n (

ion

ab

un

dan

ce u

nit

s)

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

6500265 L-1265 L-2379 L-1379 L-2191 L-1191 L-2

Experiment Day

Stream L

m/z 265Flask 1 2

Page 50: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Flask 1, concentration decrease(ion abundance units)

100 1000 10000 100000

Fla

sk B

, co

nc

entr

atio

n d

ecr

eas

e(i

on

ab

un

dan

ce

un

its

)

100

1000

10000

100000Basic compoundsAcidic compounds

High Degree of Similarity in Utilization of m/z’s between Replicate Flasks

Seitzinger et al. accepted L&O

Page 51: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Comparison Between Flasks and Between Streams

of m/z that Decreased

Flask 1, concentration decrease(ion abundance units)

100 1000 10000 100000

Fla

sk B

, co

nc

en

tra

tio

n d

ec

rea

se

(io

n a

bu

nd

an

ce

un

its

)100

1000

10000

100000Basic compoundsAcidic compounds

Between flasks same stream (L)

Stream M, concentration decrease(ion abundance units)

100 1000 10000 100000

Str

ea

m L

, co

nc

en

tra

tio

n d

ec

rea

se

(io

n a

bu

nd

an

ce

un

its

)

100

1000

10000

100000

Between streams (L and M)

Page 52: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Future Directions

• Identification of specific compounds

• Comparison of DOM chemical composition in time and space

- within and across aquatic (fw & marine) systems

• Effects of biological and physical complexity on patterns of DOM utilization

• Development of ecological theories of resource utilization by microbial communities

• Identification of compound-specific effects on aquatic organisms (e.g., HABs)

Page 53: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum
Page 54: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

blankPopulation (persons km-2)

1990

2050

Lerner et al. 1988; updated to 1990 by Bouwman

Lerner et al. 1988; Bouwman, 1990; United Nations, 1996

Page 55: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Totals (Tg)

1990 21

2050 42

Model Predicted DIN Export by Rivers

Doubles by the Year 2050

DIN export doubles in 2050

Kroeze & Seitzinger, 1998

Page 56: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

4 9 -5 7

7

8 6-22

9 .5 -1 8

4 7

5 .4

-24

Page 57: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Buria l

?

Denitrific a tion

N 2Ac ro ss She lf Tra nsp o rt

N -fixa tio n2

Rive r inp utsAtm osp hericDep osition

N N

N N

NN

Terrestria l &Estuarine Continental Shelf O ceanicRivers Estuaries Continental

ShelfOceanic

N2

N2

N2

Page 58: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

North Atlantic

O nw e lling

B uria l

A tm os. D ep .

Entire Shelf Budget

N orth A tlanticC ontinental Shelf N B udget

S ources:

S inks :

N et B alance (onw elling?)

E stua rine /R ive r A tm os. D ep

D enitrif ication B uria l

(10 m o l N y )460-630

130

143020 -90

9 -1

590-760

1450 -1520

-720 to -970

Gulf of M exico

Northeast U.S.

Southeast U.S.D en itrifica tion

R ive rs /E stuaries

Regional Budgets

Modified from Seitzinger & Giblin 1996

Page 59: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Terrestrial

Rivers

Estuaries Ocean Margins Oceanic

Integrating Landscapes to Waterscapes

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rivers Estuaries Continental Shelf Oceanic OMZ Pelagic sediments

Den

itri

fica

tion

Tg

N/y

Check these blue numbers!!!

Page 60: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Terrestrial

Rivers

Estuaries Ocean Margins Oceanic

Integrating Landscapes to Waterscapes

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rivers Estuaries Continental Shelf Oceanic OMZ Pelagic sediments

Den

itri

fica

tion

Tg

N/y

Page 61: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Buria l

?

Denitrific a tion

N 2Ac ro ss She lf Tra nsp o rt

N -fixa tio n2

Rive r inp utsAtm osp hericDep osition

N N

N N

NN

Terrestria l &Estuarine Continental Shelf O ceanicRivers Estuaries Continental

ShelfOceanic

Page 62: Biogeochemical Cycles:  Integration Across the  Land- Estuary-Continental Shelf-Ocean Continuum

Terrestrial

Rivers

Estuaries Ocean Margins Oceanic

Integrating Landscapes to WaterscapesDenitrification – Global View

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rivers Estuaries Continental Shelf Oceanic OMZ Pelagic sediments

Den

itri

fica

tion

Tg

N/y